PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Neptunas vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 14:50
Final 96-87 (OT)
30-18 19-20 22-24 14-23 11-2
Position#3
Record12-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game92.6
Allowed / game90.1
vs
Position#6
Record10-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game82.8
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Neptunas v Lietkabelis
17 Feb 2027
NEP v LIE
upcoming
23 Jan 2027
NEP v LIE
upcoming
11 Jun 2026
NEP66
LIE63
06 Jun 2026
NEP86
LIE73
28 Mar 2026
NEP96
LIE87
22 Feb 2026
NEP73
LIE94
24 Jan 2026
NEP97
LIE87
02 Mar 2025
NEP72
LIE91
11 Jan 2025
NEP56
LIE63
13 Apr 2024
NEP88
LIE84
03 Jan 2024
NEP91
LIE89
16 Sep 2023
NEP91
LIE81
03 Apr 2023
NEP73
LIE86
05 Mar 2022
NEP73
LIE83
05 Jan 2022
NEP69
LIE73
06 Oct 2021
NEP53
LIE81
16 May 2021
NEP78
LIE94
01 May 2021
NEP83
LIE73
05 Dec 2020
NEP80
LIE90
29 Feb 2020
NEP78
LIE84
09 Nov 2019
NEP78
LIE74
17 Mar 2019
NEP72
LIE74
30 Sep 2018
NEP76
LIE89
15 Jun 2018
NEP79
LIE71
10 Jun 2018
NEP69
LIE83
27 Jan 2018
NEP83
LIE78
02 Dec 2017
NEP86
LIE76
15 Jan 2017
NEP86
LIE61
19 Nov 2016
NEP67
LIE77
16 Jan 2016
NEP70
LIE74
22 Nov 2015
NEP73
LIE65
01 Feb 2015
NEP102
LIE76
16 Nov 2014
NEP98
LIE86
09 Oct 2013
NEP84
LIE79
03 Oct 2012
NEP84
LIE78
01 Oct 2011
NEP80
LIE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
95-87
95
87
+8
92avg 82
H31/01
LKL
Aris
#13
L
64-83
64
83
-19
55avg 82
A04/02
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
76-87
76
87
-11
67avg 82
A08/02
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
86-91
86
91
-5
74avg 82
H11/02
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
95-100
95
100
-5
85avg 82
A14/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
81-119
81
119
-38
70avg 82
A21/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
73-94
73
94
-21
38avg 82
H22/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#4
W
90-81
90
81
+9
77avg 82
A08/03
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
L
70-81
70
81
-11
53avg 82
A14/03
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
64-81
64
81
-17
52avg 82
A21/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-19
22-26
23-22
20-20
21-21
13-19
8-25
22-18
27-19
10-32
18-20
21-16
21-30
24-20
22-20
19-21
23-31
22-25
24-21
26-23
22-31
22-25
20-35
17-28
24-16
12-31
21-24
16-23
21-14
35-22
16-22
18-23
18-22
22-11
21-24
9-24
19-14
15-24
15-19
15-24
169.8Avg total
79.4Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)92.690.1182.7+2.457%
Season at home (8)97.687.8185.4+9.975%
Season away (13)89.591.6181.1-2.246%
Last 10 (10)79.490.4169.8-11.020%
Last 5 (5)75.691.2166.8-15.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)88.1102.7190.8-14.618%
vs Similar ◀ (8)88.586.2174.8+2.250%
vs Weaker (11)95.488.6184.0+6.773%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#5
L
70-79
70
79
-9
57avg 77
H01/02
LKL
Panionios
#19
W
89-62
89
62
+27
83avg 77
H04/02
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
L
80-81
80
81
-1
72avg 77
A07/02
LKL
London Lions
#17
W
66-58
66
58
+8
65avg 77
A11/02
Eurocup
Siauliai
#4
L
75-77
75
77
-2
70avg 77
H18/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
89-106
89
106
-17
82avg 77
A21/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#6
W
94-73
94
73
+21
52avg 77
A22/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
W
83-80
83
80
+3
82avg 77
A07/03
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
91-80
91
80
+11
89avg 77
H15/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
81-96
81
96
-15
68avg 77
A22/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
12-16
16-24
24-19
26-16
20-11
19-15
24-20
17-18
28-22
18-21
17-20
12-14
23-11
12-20
19-13
17-17
22-24
24-19
12-17
20-29
17-27
22-26
30-24
16-24
31-12
24-21
23-16
13-28
28-12
19-21
23-19
21-26
27-23
23-12
20-19
28-23
12-22
23-22
18-29
161.0Avg total
81.8Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.082.8166.9+1.248%
Season at home (10)85.681.6167.2+4.050%
Season away (11)82.683.9166.5-1.345%
Last 10 (10)81.879.2161.0+2.650%
Last 5 (5)87.687.0174.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.288.9169.1-8.710%
vs Similar ◀ (9)77.980.1158.0-2.233%
vs Weaker (11)84.577.5161.9+7.073%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +1.4+1.4
NeptunasLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H31/01
LKL
Aris
#13
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A04/02
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A08/02
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H11/02
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A14/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A21/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H22/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#4
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A08/03
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A14/03
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A21/03
LKL
87.5Avg total
42.3Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.247.392.5-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.547.993.4-2.531%-
Last 30 away (17)45.046.891.8-1.853%-
Last 10 (10)42.345.287.5-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)42.042.084.0+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)44.753.297.9-8.518%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.445.189.5-0.850%-
vs Weaker (11)46.342.989.2+3.464%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#5
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H01/02
LKL
Panionios
#19
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H04/02
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A07/02
LKL
London Lions
#17
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A11/02
Eurocup
Siauliai
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H18/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
37-56
37
56
-19
A21/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#6
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A22/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A07/03
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H15/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A22/03
LKL
80.3Avg total
40.8Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.180.5-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.540.879.3-2.431%-
Last 30 away (17)40.141.481.4-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)40.839.580.3+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.645.287.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.044.384.3-4.330%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.640.677.1-4.033%-
vs Weaker (11)41.138.779.8+2.455%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.517.2
51.3%
55.4%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.4
30.1%
35.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.416.7
71.4%
74.3%16.7
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.2
53.2%
55.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.3
36.6%
35.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws16.911.9
70.4%
74.3%11.9
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LLWLLLLLLW
Lietkabelis
LWWWLLWLWL
#3
League position
#6
-11.5
Net rating
+1.3
92.5
Offensive rating
96.9
104.0
Defensive rating
95.6
48.5%
Effective FG%
53.8%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
14.1%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.1%
3-point %
36.6%
65.2%
Assist %
61.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence92.5 · 96.9Defence104.0 · 95.6Shooting48.5% · 53.8%3-point %30.1% · 36.6%Ball care14.1% · 15.4%Free throws0.38 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Neptunas   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Neptunas wins
5
Lietkabelis wins
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26AJonava64-81
14/03/26AGargzdai70-81
08/03/26ASiauliai90-81
22/02/26HLietkabelis73-94
21/02/26AZalgiris Kaunas81-119
14/02/26ARytas95-100
11/02/26HBahcesehir Kol.86-91
08/02/26AZalgiris Kaunas76-87
04/02/26AAris64-83
31/01/26HRytas95-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26ARytas81-96
15/03/26HJonava91-80
07/03/26AJuventus83-80
22/02/26ANeptunas94-73
21/02/26ARytas89-106
18/02/26HSiauliai75-77
11/02/26ALondon Lions66-58
07/02/26ANevezis80-81
04/02/26HPanionios89-62
01/02/26HGargzdai70-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL57%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayLLWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21813
Win %57%75%46%
Points / game92.697.689.5
Allowed / game90.187.891.6
Point differential+2.4+9.9-2.2
Avg total182.7185.4181.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %5%0%8%
Lietkabelis
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL48%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayLLLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %48%50%45%
Points / game84.085.682.6
Allowed / game82.881.683.9
Point differential+1.2+4.0-1.3
Avg total166.9167.2166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%30%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2221195%90.675.0+15.6
2 Rytas2113862%91.584.2+7.2
3 Neptunas2112957%92.690.1+2.4
4 Siauliai21111052%86.288.9-2.7
5 Lietkabelis21101148%84.082.8+1.2
6 Gargzdai22101245%82.286.1-3.9
7 Juventus2181338%86.688.5-2.0
8 Nevezis2171433%81.889.4-7.6
9 Jonava2241818%85.095.4-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Neptunas301922141196
Lietkabelis18202423287
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.