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Gargzdai vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:10
Final 88-81
23-30 19-17 22-23 24-11
Position#5
Record7-12
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game87.4
vs
Position#9
Record6-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game90.2
LithuaniaLKL· Klaipedos aps. VPK sporto sale
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Gargzdai v Nevezis
08 May 2027
GAR v NEV
upcoming
16 Dec 2026
GAR v NEV
upcoming
06 Dec 2026
GAR v NEV
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
GAR88
NEV81
10 Dec 2025
GAR90
NEV74
16 Nov 2025
GAR86
NEV79
16 Oct 2023
GAR97
NEV84
02 Apr 2023
GAR73
NEV87
29 Oct 2022
GAR71
NEV73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-108
71
108
-37
56avg 75
A07/12
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
90-74
90
74
+16
92avg 75
H10/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
87-104
87
104
-17
84avg 75
H13/12
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
78-104
78
104
-26
71avg 75
A27/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
82-75
82
75
+7
79avg 75
A03/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
82-78
82
78
+4
68avg 75
H10/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
79-70
79
70
+9
76avg 75
A01/02
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
73-83
73
83
-10
63avg 75
A08/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
63-69
63
69
-6
50avg 75
H15/02
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
90-95
90
95
-5
87avg 75
A17/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
18-27
18-26
13-26
26-23
20-11
30-20
14-20
24-24
18-26
19-37
26-17
19-27
23-32
14-20
22-25
17-19
24-18
22-20
19-18
15-16
21-15
23-25
23-22
20-18
16-12
24-16
19-24
14-23
6-23
28-21
25-16
12-14
14-19
19-18
18-18
20-21
22-27
25-22
23-25
165.5Avg total
79.5Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.687.4169.1-5.837%
Season at home (9)83.383.1166.4+0.244%
Season away (10)80.191.3171.4-11.230%
Last 10 (10)79.586.0165.5-6.540%
Last 5 (5)77.479.0156.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.592.2168.7-15.717%
vs Similar (11)84.684.1168.7+0.545%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)87.785.9173.6+1.943%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
L
83-85
83
85
-2
82avg 77
H14/12
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
76-87
76
87
-11
65avg 77
H23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
W
77-69
77
69
+8
75avg 77
H28/12
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
95-98
95
98
-3
87avg 77
A03/01
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
82-113
82
113
-31
70avg 77
A10/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
67-87
67
87
-20
no box
A17/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
69avg 77
A25/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
81-80
81
80
+1
78avg 77
H07/02
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
88-85 OT
88
85
+3
79avg 77
H14/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
67-91
67
91
-24
54avg 77
H18/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
15-27
26-25
19-19
15-26
28-15
13-23
20-23
22-14
17-16
20-17
18-22
19-26
25-20
21-25
30-27
24-29
27-24
13-33
18-27
13-17
24-21
15-30
15-19
20-18
20-22
6-29
27-19
18-17
22-28
21-18
20-17
23-20
17-22
13-17
24-18
16-18
13-24
21-26
17-23
167.2Avg total
78.9Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.390.2171.4-8.932%
Season at home (11)81.286.7167.9-5.545%
Season away (8)81.494.9176.2-13.512%
Last 10 (10)78.988.3167.2-9.430%
Last 5 (5)75.286.2161.4-11.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)83.391.9175.2-8.637%
vs Similar (9)79.787.4167.1-7.822%
vs Weaker (2)96.581.0177.5+15.5100%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -7.4-7.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -7.4-7.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
GargzdaiNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A07/12
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H10/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H13/12
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A27/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A03/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H10/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A01/02
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
20-46
20
46
-26
A08/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H15/02
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A17/02
LKL
79.5Avg total
37.1Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.343.283.5-3.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.938.680.6+3.364%-
Last 30 away (16)38.847.286.1-8.431%-
Last 10 (10)37.142.479.5-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)32.037.669.6-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.644.280.8-7.625%-
vs Similar (11)42.143.285.3-1.164%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)43.741.785.4+2.057%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H14/12
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H28/12
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A03/01
LKL
Neptunas
#3
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A10/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A17/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A25/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H07/02
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H14/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H18/02
LKL
81.9Avg total
40.1Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.543.885.3-2.330%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.143.284.3-2.235%-
Last 30 away (13)42.144.586.6-2.523%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.881.9-1.720%-
Last 5 (5)37.241.478.6-4.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)40.245.385.5-5.121%-
vs Similar (9)40.742.783.3-2.033%-
vs Weaker (2)57.535.092.5+22.5100%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.422.9
50.4%
55.4%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.56.1
29.8%
35.5%18.3
🏀 Free throws20.714.8
71.5%
74.3%14.8
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.923.1
55.1%
55.4%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.26.8
30.6%
35.5%20.4
🏀 Free throws19.912.9
64.8%
74.3%12.9
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
LLLWWWLLWL
Nevezis
LWWLLLLWLL
#5
League position
#9
-8.4
Net rating
-9.9
97.4
Offensive rating
94.6
105.8
Defensive rating
104.5
48.6%
Effective FG%
52.0%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
13.9%
Turnover %
18.3%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.8%
3-point %
30.6%
63.4%
Assist %
51.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.4 · 94.6Defence105.8 · 104.5Shooting48.6% · 52.0%3-point %29.8% · 30.6%Ball care13.9% · 18.3%Off. rebounds29.1% · 24.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Gargzdai wins
5
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
10/12/25Gargzdai v Nevezis90-74
16/11/25Gargzdai v Nevezis86-79
03/11/25Nevezis v Gargzdai94-87
08/10/25Nevezis v Gargzdai72-94
04/12/23Nevezis v Gargzdai92-80
16/10/23Gargzdai v Nevezis97-84
02/04/23Gargzdai v Nevezis73-87
19/12/22Nevezis v Gargzdai99-92
29/10/22Gargzdai v Nevezis71-73
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/26AJonava90-95
15/02/26HZalgiris Kaunas63-69
08/02/26ASiauliai73-83
01/02/26ALietkabelis79-70
10/01/26HRytas82-78
03/01/26AJonava82-75
27/12/25AJuventus78-104
13/12/25HNeptunas87-104
10/12/25HNevezis90-74
07/12/25AZalgiris Kaunas71-108
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26HZalgiris Kaunas67-91
14/02/26HJonava88-85 OT
07/02/26HLietkabelis81-80
25/01/26AZalgiris Kaunas73-88
17/01/26ANeptunas67-87
10/01/26ANeptunas82-113
03/01/26ASiauliai95-98
28/12/25HLietkabelis77-69
23/12/25HNeptunas76-87
14/12/25HJonava83-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL37%
HomeLWLWL44%
AwayLWWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %37%44%30%
Points / game81.683.380.1
Allowed / game87.483.191.3
Point differential-5.8+0.2-11.2
Avg total169.1166.4171.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%22%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevezis
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL32%
HomeLWWWL45%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %32%45%12%
Points / game81.381.281.4
Allowed / game90.286.794.9
Point differential-8.9-5.5-13.5
Avg total171.4167.9176.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1918195%89.774.4+15.3
2 Rytas1912763%91.883.7+8.1
3 Neptunas1811761%95.691.7+3.9
4 Siauliai1911858%87.688.6-1.0
5 Lietkabelis1991047%83.882.3+1.6
6 Juventus1981142%87.488.3-0.9
7 Gargzdai1971237%81.687.4-5.8
8 Nevezis1961332%81.390.2-8.9
9 Jonava1931616%85.297.2-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai2319222488
Nevezis3017231181
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