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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-86
26-21 23-24 18-20 21-21
Position#1
Record12-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game72.1
vs
Position#9
Record3-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game89.8
LithuaniaLKL· Zalgirio Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis
16 May 2027
ZAL v NEV
upcoming
20 Dec 2026
ZAL v NEV
upcoming
17 May 2026
ZAL98
NEV80
25 Jan 2026
ZAL88
NEV73
29 Apr 2025
ZAL105
NEV88
12 Jan 2025
ZAL88
NEV86
02 May 2024
ZAL102
NEV78
10 Dec 2023
ZAL102
NEV98
13 May 2023
ZAL90
NEV71
30 Apr 2023
ZAL95
NEV89
23 Oct 2022
ZAL93
NEV75
23 Oct 2021
ZAL102
NEV77
30 Apr 2020
ZAL v NEV
upcoming
11 Jan 2020
ZAL89
NEV84
20 Jan 2019
ZAL82
NEV79
03 Oct 2018
ZAL81
NEV68
25 May 2018
ZAL84
NEV69
12 May 2018
ZAL95
NEV70
29 Apr 2018
ZAL91
NEV72
07 Jan 2018
ZAL94
NEV68
22 Jan 2017
ZAL80
NEV59
02 Jan 2017
ZAL89
NEV62
13 Apr 2016
ZAL95
NEV73
30 Nov 2015
ZAL82
NEV88
21 Apr 2015
ZAL92
NEV53
13 Oct 2014
ZAL79
NEV52
09 Mar 2014
ZAL95
NEV56
15 Apr 2013
ZAL94
NEV51
10 Dec 2011
ZAL81
NEV60
14 Mar 2011
ZAL104
NEV70
07 Feb 2010
ZAL80
NEV74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#8
W
92-83
92
83
+9
82avg 81
A12/12
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
W
91-75
91
75
+16
93avg 81
H15/12
LKL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
86-66
86
66
+20
84avg 81
A17/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
72-78
72
78
-6
68avg 81
H20/12
Euroleague
Siauliai
#8
W
107-88
107
88
+19
99avg 81
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
78-95
78
95
-17
70avg 81
A26/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
128-67
128
67
+61
132avg 81
A29/12
LKL
Olympiacos
#2
L
85-92
85
92
-7
83avg 81
H02/01
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
86avg 81
A05/01
LKL
Real Madrid
#8
L
64-83
64
83
-19
52avg 81
H10/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
30-19
18-22
20-23
25-14
23-23
21-20
22-18
24-10
21-20
24-16
17-20
16-21
20-22
17-13
19-22
34-19
23-26
21-22
29-21
19-26
19-24
18-21
22-24
29-11
33-17
34-19
32-20
22-18
30-22
19-27
14-25
24-24
19-22
25-15
21-24
26-15
8-20
12-20
18-28
170.4Avg total
89.2Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)91.872.1163.9+19.786%
Season at home (6)88.064.2152.2+23.8100%
Season away (8)94.678.0172.6+16.675%
Last 10 (10)89.281.2170.4+8.060%
Last 5 (5)88.884.4173.2+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.074.8149.8+0.250%
vs Similar (12)77.180.2157.3-3.242%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)93.171.8164.8+21.392%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
L
74-83
74
83
-9
64avg 79
H16/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
L
85-89
85
89
-4
76avg 79
A27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
82-93
82
93
-11
69avg 79
A01/12
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
101-102
101
102
-1
97avg 79
H04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
W
93-87
93
87
+6
90avg 79
H07/12
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
109-88
109
88
+21
104avg 79
A11/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
69-89
69
89
-20
53avg 79
A14/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
79-78
79
78
+1
73avg 79
H23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
W
106-90
106
90
+16
112avg 79
H29/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
102-103
102
103
-1
97avg 79
A05/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
26-31
16-16
14-18
19-21
21-19
19-21
26-28
16-23
18-24
17-26
31-20
25-14
29-22
23-31
24-35
23-18
30-16
17-21
23-32
24-22
24-24
34-23
27-19
21-24
16-20
17-23
15-22
17-23
21-20
20-14
21-21
24-22
30-25
23-10
29-33
23-29
22-26
38-19
19-29
180.2Avg total
90.0Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)86.089.8175.8-3.821%
Season at home (9)84.788.9173.6-4.222%
Season away (5)88.491.4179.8-3.020%
Last 10 (10)90.090.2180.2-0.240%
Last 5 (5)93.089.6182.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)85.091.5176.5-6.538%
vs Similar (15)89.989.7179.6+0.340%
vs Weaker (7)90.984.6175.4+6.357%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -2.8-2.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -2.8-2.8
Zalgiris KaunasNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#8
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A12/12
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H15/12
LKL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A17/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H20/12
Euroleague
Siauliai
#8
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A26/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
62-28
62
28
+34
A29/12
LKL
Olympiacos
#2
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H02/01
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A05/01
LKL
Real Madrid
#8
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H10/01
Euroleague
86.1Avg total
46.9Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.036.278.3+5.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.733.375.0+8.475%-
Last 30 away (14)42.439.682.0+2.943%-
Last 10 (10)46.939.286.1+7.760%-
Last 5 (5)45.839.885.6+6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.835.874.7+3.067%-
vs Similar (12)39.638.277.8+1.342%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)46.134.480.5+11.775%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H16/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A01/12
LKL
Neptunas
#2
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H07/12
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A11/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A14/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H29/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A05/01
LKL
88.8Avg total
44.7Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.945.390.3-0.437%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.245.192.3+2.144%-
Last 30 away (14)42.445.687.9-3.229%-
Last 10 (10)44.744.188.8+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.447.091.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)42.848.090.8-5.212%-
vs Similar (15)45.144.990.0+0.147%-
vs Weaker (7)47.143.190.3+4.043%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.416.0
58.4%
55.6%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.114.1
42.6%
35.9%42.3
🏀 Free throws18.513.9
75.1%
75.0%13.9
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.417.4
52.1%
55.6%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.212.0
39.7%
35.9%36.0
🏀 Free throws26.018.2
70.0%
75.0%18.2
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWLWLWLWWW
Nevezis
LWWLWWLLLL
#1
League position
#9
+10.3
Net rating
-0.8
119.9
Offensive rating
115.6
109.6
Defensive rating
116.4
61.4%
Effective FG%
55.7%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
58.0%
18.6%
Turnover %
17.1%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.41
42.6%
3-point %
39.7%
64.8%
Assist %
70.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence119.9 · 115.6Defence109.6 · 116.4Shooting61.4% · 55.7%3-point %42.6% · 39.7%Ball care18.6% · 17.1%Off. rebounds28.2% · 30.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
0
Nevezis wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/25HReal Madrid64-83
05/01/25ALietkabelis89-85
02/01/25HOlympiacos85-92
29/12/24AJuventus128-67
26/12/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv78-95
23/12/24ASiauliai107-88
20/12/24HLyon-Villeurbanne72-78
17/12/24AAlba Berlin86-66
15/12/24HNeptunas91-75
12/12/24AReal Madrid92-83
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25ABC Wolves102-103
29/12/24HSiauliai106-90
23/12/24HLietkabelis79-78
14/12/24ARytas69-89
11/12/24ASiauliai109-88
07/12/24HMazeikiai93-87
04/12/24HNeptunas101-102
01/12/24ALietkabelis82-93
27/11/24AMazeikiai85-89
16/11/24HNeptunas74-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game91.888.094.6
Allowed / game72.164.278.0
Point differential+19.7+23.8+16.6
Avg total163.9152.2172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%83%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevezis
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL21%
HomeLLLWW22%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %21%22%20%
Points / game86.084.788.4
Allowed / game89.888.991.4
Point differential-3.8-4.2-3.0
Avg total175.8173.6179.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%11%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1412286%91.872.1+19.7
2 Rytas1512380%90.281.9+8.3
3 BC Wolves1411379%92.887.4+5.4
4 Lietkabelis157847%81.181.3-0.2
5 Juventus157847%82.985.7-2.8
6 Jonava157847%87.390.7-3.4
7 Neptunas156940%83.187.6-4.5
8 Siauliai145936%93.699.6-6.1
9 Nevezis1431121%86.089.8-3.8
10 Mazeikiai1531220%83.394.9-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2623182188
Nevezis2124202186
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