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Ludwigsburg vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 83-79
21-18 14-20 22-18 26-23
Position#26
Record2-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#33
Record5-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game75.6
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 6· Arena Ludwigsburg
European cup2023
Meetings · Ludwigsburg v AEK Athens
20 Dec 2023
LUD83
AAT79
16 Nov 2016
LUD72
AAT67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ludwigsburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LudwigsburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#15
W
96-77
96
77
+19
92avg 73
H05/11
BBL
Sassari
#37
L
79-89
79
89
-10
62avg 73
H07/11
Champions League
Bamberg
#11
W
102-90
102
90
+12
90avg 73
A12/11
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
84-92
84
92
-8
72avg 73
A19/11
BBL
Sassari
#37
W
97-80
97
80
+17
94avg 73
A22/11
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#2
W
87-79
87
79
+8
73avg 73
H26/11
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
104-76
104
76
+28
109avg 73
A28/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
75-72
75
72
+3
62avg 73
A02/12
BBL
Szczecin
#38
L
60-80
60
80
-20
40avg 73
A06/12
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
78-81
78
81
-3
66avg 73
H17/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-22
24-25
25-14
16-16
24-23
14-22
21-23
20-21
25-28
27-21
29-18
21-23
11-20
16-19
32-29
25-24
24-18
30-23
21-11
22-28
19-21
28-13
21-29
19-16
17-28
37-18
23-12
27-18
20-21
14-15
23-17
18-19
12-22
14-20
17-11
17-27
17-22
21-27
23-12
17-20
167.8Avg total
86.2Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.482.2161.6-2.840%
Season at home (2)80.583.5164.0-3.050%
Season away (3)78.781.3160.0-2.733%
Last 10 (10)86.281.6167.8+4.660%
Last 5 (5)80.877.6158.4+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.085.4161.4-9.420%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.379.5161.8+2.854%
vs Weaker (11)87.683.2170.8+4.564%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Aris
#8
L
64-75
64
75
-11
50avg 77
A29/10
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
103-88
103
88
+15
104avg 77
H04/11
Basket League
Szczecin
#38
W
86-77
86
77
+9
83avg 77
A08/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
93-74
93
74
+19
96avg 77
H13/11
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
85-86
85
86
-1
76avg 77
A20/11
Basket League
Szczecin
#38
W
86-64
86
64
+22
79avg 77
H22/11
Champions League
PAOK
#10
W
90-70
90
70
+20
87avg 77
H25/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
95-100
95
100
-5
92avg 77
A02/12
Basket League
Sassari
#37
W
110-79
110
79
+31
119avg 77
H05/12
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
91-89
91
89
+2
78avg 77
H09/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
9-9
20-21
20-23
34-26
25-15
27-20
17-27
19-19
21-17
22-16
24-25
27-26
24-21
24-11
18-16
18-25
19-23
29-15
19-23
17-16
19-10
25-22
25-16
17-25
19-20
28-8
26-17
18-26
22-33
27-19
28-22
31-18
24-17
26-24
29-20
24-22
25-23
16-22
26-22
170.5Avg total
90.3Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.875.6165.4+14.2100%
Season at home (3)93.374.0167.3+19.3100%
Season away (2)84.578.0162.5+6.5100%
Last 10 (10)90.380.2170.5+10.170%
Last 5 (5)94.480.4174.8+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.684.6161.3-8.018%
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.780.1160.8+0.660%
vs Weaker (9)93.276.7169.9+16.689%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +2.1+2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +2.1+2.1
LudwigsburgAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#15
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H05/11
BBL
Sassari
#37
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H07/11
Champions League
Bamberg
#11
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A12/11
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A19/11
BBL
Sassari
#37
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A22/11
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#2
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H26/11
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A28/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A02/12
BBL
Szczecin
#38
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A06/12
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H17/12
BBL
85.3Avg total
42.5Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.383.0+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.541.785.2+1.846%-
Last 30 away (17)40.440.981.3-0.647%-
Last 10 (10)42.542.885.3-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.481.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.239.074.2-3.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.039.680.6+1.454%-
vs Weaker (11)45.244.990.1+0.345%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#8
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A29/10
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H04/11
Basket League
Szczecin
#38
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A08/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H13/11
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A20/11
Basket League
Szczecin
#38
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H22/11
Champions League
PAOK
#10
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H25/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A02/12
Basket League
Sassari
#37
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H05/12
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H09/12
Basket League
84.0Avg total
42.7Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.581.6-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.141.485.5+2.865%-
Last 30 away (13)34.941.776.6-6.815%-
Last 10 (10)42.741.384.0+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.085.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.943.279.1-7.318%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.340.682.9+1.750%-
vs Weaker (9)42.940.483.3+2.467%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.818.7
48.2%
51.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.311.3
36.1%
34.9%33.9
🏀 Free throws17.714.0
79.1%
74.5%14.0
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.8
55.2%
51.4%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.6
36.8%
34.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws24.218.1
74.8%
74.5%18.1
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ludwigsburg
LLWWWWLWLW
AEK Athens
WWLWWLWWWL
#26
League position
#33
+5.9
Net rating
+14.1
111.6
Offensive rating
119.8
105.7
Defensive rating
105.7
50.9%
Effective FG%
55.2%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
13.3%
Turnover %
14.7%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.1%
3-point %
36.8%
59.3%
Assist %
64.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 119.8Defence105.7 · 105.7Shooting50.9% · 55.2%3-point %36.1% · 36.8%Ball care13.3% · 14.7%Off. rebounds29.7% · 32.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Ludwigsburg   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ludwigsburg wins
2
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
17/10/23AEK Athens v Ludwigsburg84-79
10/01/17AEK Athens v Ludwigsburg82-72
16/11/16Ludwigsburg v AEK Athens72-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23HSyntainics MBC78-81
06/12/23ASzczecin60-80
02/12/23AHeidelberg75-72
28/11/23AGottingen104-76
26/11/23HAlba Berlin87-79
22/11/23ASassari97-80
19/11/23ABayern84-92
12/11/23ABamberg102-90
07/11/23HSassari79-89
05/11/23HRostock96-77
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HMaroussi91-89
05/12/23HSassari110-79
02/12/23APromitheas95-100
25/11/23HPAOK90-70
22/11/23HSzczecin86-64
20/11/23APanathinaikos85-86
13/11/23HKolossos Rhodes93-74
08/11/23ASzczecin86-77
04/11/23HAS Karditsas103-88
29/10/23AAris64-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ludwigsburg
Champions League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game79.480.578.7
Allowed / game82.283.581.3
Point differential-2.8-3.0-2.7
Avg total161.6164.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
Champions League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.893.384.5
Allowed / game75.674.078.0
Point differential+14.2+19.3+6.5
Avg total165.4167.3162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Athens550100%89.875.6+14.2
2 Murcia65183%86.271.2+15.0
3 Dijon65183%87.773.5+14.2
4 Hapoel Jerusalem65183%85.573.3+12.2
5 Tortona65183%83.380.7+2.7
6 Strasbourg97278%81.277.4+3.8
7 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
8 Rytas64267%84.875.8+9.0
9 Unicaja64267%81.773.7+8.0
10 Tenerife64267%81.773.8+7.8
11 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
12 Cholet96367%81.980.4+1.4
13 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
14 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
15 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
16 Promitheas63350%86.079.2+6.8
17 Bonn63350%82.878.8+4.0
18 Galatasaray63350%85.582.0+3.5
19 Le Mans63350%79.577.2+2.3
20 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
21 Karsiyaka63350%82.581.2+1.3
22 Hapoel Holon63350%77.276.0+1.2
23 Breogan63350%77.076.5+0.5
24 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
25 Darussafaka63350%81.383.3-2.0
26 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
27 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
28 PAOK63350%75.879.7-3.8
29 Peristeri63350%77.282.2-5.0
30 Bursaspor63350%73.278.8-5.7
31 Oostende63350%77.083.2-6.2
32 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
33 Benfica94544%81.778.7+3.0
34 Szczecin52340%78.479.8-1.4
35 Ludwigsburg52340%79.482.2-2.8
36 Oldenburg62433%84.082.5+1.5
37 Tofas62433%88.791.8-3.2
38 VEF Riga62433%71.876.0-4.2
39 Szombathely62433%76.081.3-5.3
40 Sassari51420%82.492.4-10.0
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea6060%72.587.0-14.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Opava6060%72.0102.0-30.0
52 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
53 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ludwigsburg2114222683
AEK Athens1820182379
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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