PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

McNeese State vs TX A&M Commerce Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 67-51
22-27 45-24
Position#20
Record18-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game64.4
vs
Position#363
Record3-21
FormLLWLL
Points / game64.4
Allowed / game78.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · McNeese State v TX A&M Commerce
10 Feb 2025
MCNE67
TX A51
05 Feb 2024
MCNE77
TX A51
07 Jan 2023
MCNE80
TX A82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

McNeese State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
TX A&M Commerce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

McNeese StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#198
W
92-69
92
69
+23
A07/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H11/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
W
75-59
75
59
+16
A14/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H18/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H20/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
93-63
93
63
+30
A25/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
W
74-73
74
73
+1
A28/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A01/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H04/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
65-50
65
50
+15
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-32
49-37
39-33
41-38
39-20
36-39
35-24
40-40
43-26
36-33
40-26
53-37
35-37
39-36
28-35
35-36
30-33
37-32
25-15
40-35
140.7Avg total
76.3Scored
64.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.464.4140.8+12.075%
Season at home (14)78.863.2142.0+15.686%
Season away (10)73.166.1139.2+7.060%
Last 10 (10)76.364.4140.7+11.990%
Last 5 (5)72.464.4136.8+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)66.071.3137.3-5.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)80.163.5143.6+16.588%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#122
L
61-83
61
83
-22
H07/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A11/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A14/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
L
73-131
73
131
-58
H18/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H20/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
58-61 OT
58
61
-3
A26/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A28/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H01/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H04/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
24-38
37-45
24-38
43-37
27-26
28-31
33-33
40-98
36-33
32-43
27-23
25-29
34-44
38-35
27-23
45-27
27-41
39-37
37-33
28-48
142.8Avg total
65.7Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)64.478.1142.5-13.712%
Season at home (10)66.378.6144.9-12.330%
Season away (14)63.177.7140.8-14.60%
Last 10 (10)65.777.1142.8-11.410%
Last 5 (5)66.669.8136.4-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)63.675.5139.1-12.012%
vs Similar (5)69.286.4155.6-17.240%
vs Weaker (1)98.085.0183.0+13.0100%
This opponent (McNeese State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.6+7.61st half: -3.6-3.62nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: -7.5-7.5
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.6+7.61st half: -3.6-3.62nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: -7.5-7.5
McNeese StateTX A&M Commerce
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
McNeese StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#198
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A07/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H11/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
W
39-20
39
20
+19
A14/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H18/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H20/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A25/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A28/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A01/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H04/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
25-15
25
15
+10
H08/02
NCAA
63.8Avg total
35.7Scored
28.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.429.065.4+7.473%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.827.265.0+10.689%-
Last 30 away (12)34.331.866.1+2.650%-
Last 10 (10)35.728.163.8+7.670%-
Last 5 (5)31.629.260.8+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)30.333.764.0-3.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)37.927.965.8+10.083%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#122
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H07/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A11/01
NCAA
UTRGV
#186
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A14/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H18/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H20/01
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
27-23
27
23
+4
A26/01
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H01/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H04/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A08/02
NCAA
62.8Avg total
29.6Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.336.665.9-7.327%-
Last 30 at home (12)28.635.163.7-6.525%-
Last 30 away (18)29.837.667.4-7.828%-
Last 10 (10)29.633.262.8-3.650%-
Last 5 (5)30.432.863.2-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)28.636.965.5-8.329%-
vs Similar (5)28.834.663.4-5.80%-
vs Weaker (1)50.040.090.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (McNeese State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
McNeese State wins
2
TX A&M Commerce wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HNorthwestern St.65-50
04/02/25HIncarnate Word67-65
01/02/25ANicholls State63-71
28/01/25ATexas A&M-CC74-73
25/01/25AUTRGV93-63
20/01/25HStephen F. Austin79-59
18/01/25HLamar75-64
14/01/25AHouston Christian75-59
11/01/25HNicholls State80-71
07/01/25ANorthwestern St.92-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25ANicholls State65-81
04/02/25HTexas A&M-CC66-78
01/02/25HNorthwestern St.72-50
28/01/25AStephen F. Austin72-79
26/01/25ALamar58-61 OT
20/01/25HSE Louisiana68-76
18/01/25HNew Orleans73-131
14/01/25AUTRGV55-57
11/01/25ANorthwestern St.67-75
07/01/25HNicholls State61-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

McNeese State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241410
Win %75%86%60%
Points / game76.478.873.1
Allowed / game64.463.266.1
Point differential+12.0+15.6+7.0
Avg total140.8142.0139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL12%
HomeLLLWL30%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241014
Win %12%30%0%
Points / game64.466.363.1
Allowed / game78.178.677.7
Point differential-13.7-12.3-14.6
Avg total142.5144.9140.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State2418675%76.464.4+12.0
2 Nicholls State2415962%74.369.2+5.1
3 SE Louisiana2415962%72.568.8+3.8
4 Texas A&M-CC25151060%78.869.3+9.4
5 Lamar24141058%72.067.7+4.4
6 UTRGV24131154%77.272.7+4.5
7 Incarnate Word24111346%75.169.8+5.2
8 Stephen F. Austin24111346%66.065.7+0.2
9 Northwestern St.24111346%68.968.9-0.0
10 Houston Christian24111346%68.570.8-2.3
11 New Orleans2442017%70.283.2-12.9
12 TX A&M Commerce2432112%64.478.1-13.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
McNeese State224567
TX A&M Commerce272451
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.