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Crvena zvezda vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 94-73
23-18 28-15 26-21 17-19
Position#4
Record1-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Position#8
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game97.7
EuropeABA LeagueRound 4· Beogradska arena
Domestic2025
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Mega Basket
25 Oct 2025
CZV94
MEG73
17 Mar 2025
CZV81
MEG72
03 May 2024
CZV103
MEG73
25 Mar 2024
CZV83
MEG89
18 Feb 2023
CZV96
MEG79
18 Dec 2022
CZV92
MEG58
14 Jun 2022
CZV88
MEG66
10 Jun 2022
CZV114
MEG78
19 Feb 2022
CZV72
MEG53
01 Nov 2021
CZV81
MEG67
13 Jun 2021
CZV77
MEG65
09 Jun 2021
CZV98
MEG69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
67-89
67
89
-22
no box
H24/09
VTB Super Cup
Dubai
#4
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
A25/09
VTB Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
82-92
82
92
-10
75avg 82
H30/09
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
L
88-97
88
97
-9
82avg 82
A02/10
Euroleague
Zadar
#9
L
79-85
79
85
-6
67avg 82
H06/10
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#4
W
86-81
86
81
+5
84avg 82
A10/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
88-79
88
79
+9
82avg 82
H14/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
90-75
90
75
+15
88avg 82
H17/10
Euroleague
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
101-87
101
87
+14
99avg 82
H20/10
ABA League
Baskonia
#18
W
90-72
90
72
+18
86avg 82
H23/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-30
20-17
16-17
12-25
22-19
22-22
15-20
23-19
20-22
21-23
22-24
19-23
28-24
27-26
16-27
17-20
21-27
16-16
16-19
26-23
25-17
18-13
13-18
30-33
23-27
22-12
12-19
31-21
20-25
23-14
24-14
23-22
34-19
20-25
30-25
17-18
21-20
19-23
32-15
18-14
169.0Avg total
85.3Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)90.086.0176.0+4.050%
Season at home (2)90.086.0176.0+4.050%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.383.7169.0+1.660%
Last 5 (5)91.078.8169.8+12.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.085.8164.8-6.833%
vs Similar (12)86.589.2175.8-2.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)91.877.8169.6+14.183%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Cibona
#16
W
88-83
88
83
+5
81avg 77
A21/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
83-81
83
81
+2
72avg 77
H28/04
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
82-89
82
89
-7
78avg 77
A04/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
80-96
80
96
-16
68avg 77
A11/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
87-92
87
92
-5
82avg 77
H16/05
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
81-86
81
86
-5
56avg 77
H18/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
73-77
73
77
-4
52avg 77
A21/05
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
81-117
81
117
-36
74avg 77
A05/10
ABA League
KK Bosna
#11
W
106-88
106
88
+18
103avg 77
H12/10
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
L
81-88
81
88
-7
76avg 77
A17/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
27-24
10-11
31-21
21-18
28-19
13-24
21-20
23-34
16-20
19-22
24-13
18-29
16-23
28-24
18-20
21-19
17-30
31-15
18-28
16-24
19-24
22-24
24-14
14-17
27-24
14-21
18-15
17-29
19-33
22-29
23-26
28-23
28-30
26-20
24-15
24-19
19-28
24-20
14-21
173.9Avg total
84.2Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)89.397.7187.0-8.333%
Season at home (1)106.088.0194.0+18.0100%
Season away (2)81.0102.5183.5-21.50%
Last 10 (10)84.289.7173.9-5.530%
Last 5 (5)84.491.2175.6-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.790.3170.0-10.59%
vs Similar (10)82.884.6167.4-1.860%
vs Weaker (8)90.679.9170.5+10.875%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
Crvena zvezdaMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H24/09
VTB Super Cup
Dubai
#4
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A25/09
VTB Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H30/09
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A02/10
Euroleague
Zadar
#9
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H06/10
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#4
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A10/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H14/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H17/10
Euroleague
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H20/10
ABA League
Baskonia
#18
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H23/10
Euroleague
86.2Avg total
44.1Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.841.385.0+2.567%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.140.283.3+2.862%-
Last 30 away (14)44.642.487.0+2.171%-
Last 10 (10)44.142.186.2+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)45.039.084.0+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.043.882.8-4.833%-
vs Similar (12)44.541.886.3+2.775%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.439.484.8+6.075%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#16
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A21/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H28/04
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A04/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A11/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H16/05
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H18/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A21/05
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
36-62
36
62
-26
A05/10
ABA League
KK Bosna
#11
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H12/10
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A17/10
ABA League
91.2Avg total
41.8Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.345.388.6-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.541.886.3+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)42.148.890.9-6.713%-
Last 10 (10)41.849.491.2-7.620%-
Last 5 (5)42.250.292.4-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.648.186.7-9.518%-
vs Similar (10)44.447.491.8-3.030%-
vs Weaker (8)48.041.589.5+6.562%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.6
55.0%
54.6%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.7
33.8%
35.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws24.017.5
72.9%
75.3%17.5
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.9
55.4%
54.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.3
32.9%
35.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws24.618.5
75.2%
75.3%18.5
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WWWWWLLLWL
Mega Basket
LWLLLLLLWW
#4
League position
#8
+2.9
Net rating
-7.0
112.5
Offensive rating
106.4
109.6
Defensive rating
113.4
53.4%
Effective FG%
52.9%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
16.5%
Turnover %
18.8%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.40
33.8%
3-point %
32.9%
65.7%
Assist %
61.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 106.4Defence109.6 · 113.4Shooting53.4% · 52.9%3-point %33.8% · 32.9%Ball care16.5% · 18.8%Off. rebounds29.9% · 27.2%Free throws0.38 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Crvena zvezda wins
1
Mega Basket wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/25HBaskonia90-72
20/10/25HPerspektiva Ilirija101-87
17/10/25HReal Madrid90-75
14/10/25HZalgiris Kaunas88-79
10/10/25AFenerbahce86-81
06/10/25HZadar79-85
02/10/25ABayern88-97
30/09/25HOlimpia Milano82-92
25/09/25ADubai82-80
24/09/25HCSKA Moscow67-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/25AVienna Basket81-88
12/10/25HKK Bosna106-88
05/10/25ACedevita Olimpija81-117
21/05/25AFMP Beograd73-77
18/05/25HFMP Beograd81-86
16/05/25HBuducnost87-92
11/05/25ABuducnost80-96
04/05/25APartizan82-89
28/04/25HStudentski Centar83-81
21/04/25ACibona88-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game90.090.0-
Allowed / game86.086.0-
Point differential+4.0+4.0-
Avg total176.0176.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Mega Basket
ABA League 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game89.3106.081.0
Allowed / game97.788.0102.5
Point differential-8.3+18.0-21.5
Avg total187.0194.0183.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubai330100%83.362.7+20.7
2 Spartak Subotica330100%87.076.3+10.7
3 Igokea220100%89.579.5+10.0
4 Partizan330100%93.087.3+5.7
5 Cedevita Olimpija43175%95.283.2+12.0
6 Buducnost32167%90.783.3+7.3
7 Vienna Basket32167%79.781.3-1.7
8 Crvena zvezda21150%90.086.0+4.0
9 Borac Mozzart21150%66.076.5-10.5
10 Studentski Centar31233%80.381.0-0.7
11 FMP Beograd31233%92.793.7-1.0
12 Cluj-Napoca31233%80.783.7-3.0
13 Perspektiva Ilirija31233%85.389.7-4.3
14 Mega Basket31233%89.397.7-8.3
15 Zadar41325%77.586.5-9.0
16 Split41325%75.885.8-10.0
17 KK Krka Novo mesto3030%77.385.3-8.0
18 KK Bosna3030%87.397.7-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda2328261794
Mega Basket1815211973
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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