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Crvena zvezda vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 83-89
18-24 30-17 21-22 14-26
Position#1
Record20-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game71.3
vs
Position#4
Record13-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game82.7
EuropeABA LeagueRound 24· Beogradska arena
Domestic2023
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Mega Basket
25 Oct 2025
CZV94
MEG73
17 Mar 2025
CZV81
MEG72
03 May 2024
CZV103
MEG73
25 Mar 2024
CZV83
MEG89
18 Feb 2023
CZV96
MEG79
18 Dec 2022
CZV92
MEG58
14 Jun 2022
CZV88
MEG66
10 Jun 2022
CZV114
MEG78
19 Feb 2022
CZV72
MEG53
01 Nov 2021
CZV81
MEG67
13 Jun 2021
CZV77
MEG65
09 Jun 2021
CZV98
MEG69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Cacak 94
#4
W
87-52
87
52
+35
85avg 81
A16/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#2
W
85-79
85
79
+6
81avg 81
H17/02
Korac cup
Bayern
#15
L
66-74
66
74
-8
53avg 81
A01/03
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#13
W
102-66
102
66
+36
109avg 81
A03/03
ABA League
Monaco
#3
L
80-98
80
98
-18
78avg 81
A07/03
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
110-57
110
57
+53
118avg 81
H10/03
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
75avg 81
H14/03
Euroleague
Cibona
#12
W
82-59
82
59
+23
85avg 81
A17/03
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
76-89
76
89
-13
73avg 81
H20/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
94-79
94
79
+15
102avg 81
H22/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
20-8
29-14
23-15
15-18
28-26
25-19
17-16
19-20
8-12
19-21
20-21
21-23
26-13
31-14
24-16
17-25
21-21
22-23
20-29
31-11
25-16
25-17
29-13
21-17
26-14
14-22
19-31
21-14
21-16
20-20
20-9
20-29
21-22
15-19
20-19
21-23
27-19
26-23
20-14
159.9Avg total
86.2Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)88.771.3160.0+17.587%
Season at home (11)91.464.4155.7+27.0100%
Season away (12)86.377.6163.9+8.875%
Last 10 (10)86.273.7159.9+12.560%
Last 5 (5)88.473.6162.0+14.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.382.3157.7-7.033%
vs Similar (12)84.181.7165.8+2.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.469.9157.4+17.571%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
94-78
94
78
+16
103avg 79
A08/01
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
86-72
86
72
+14
80avg 79
H14/01
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
80-112
80
112
-32
76avg 79
A22/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
72-92
72
92
-20
62avg 79
H28/01
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
71-74
71
74
-3
55avg 79
A06/02
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
101-87
101
87
+14
101avg 79
H11/02
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#3
L
92-100
92
100
-8
87avg 79
H15/02
Korac cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
106-91
106
91
+15
105avg 79
A03/03
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
80-76
80
76
+4
80avg 79
H11/03
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
W
88-79
88
79
+9
85avg 79
H17/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-18
13-20
25-21
26-19
23-18
23-14
22-18
18-22
26-25
13-34
23-26
18-27
20-19
14-31
18-18
20-24
17-17
14-23
21-16
19-18
26-27
24-21
22-17
29-22
15-26
23-31
30-29
24-14
27-29
25-20
27-22
27-20
20-17
20-21
24-17
16-21
22-23
18-29
24-19
24-8
173.1Avg total
87.0Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)85.882.7168.4+3.157%
Season at home (12)87.083.3170.3+3.767%
Season away (11)84.581.9166.4+2.545%
Last 10 (10)87.086.1173.1+0.960%
Last 5 (5)93.486.6180.0+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)79.892.2172.0-12.420%
vs Similar (8)82.883.2166.0-0.538%
vs Weaker (16)88.478.2166.6+10.175%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.6+2.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.6+2.6
Crvena zvezdaMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cacak 94
#4
W
35-23
35
23
+12
A16/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H17/02
Korac cup
Bayern
#15
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A01/03
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#13
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A03/03
ABA League
Monaco
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A07/03
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
56-27
56
27
+29
H10/03
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H14/03
Euroleague
Cibona
#12
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A17/03
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H20/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H22/03
Euroleague
78.6Avg total
42.4Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.337.680.9+5.660%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.636.683.2+10.076%-
Last 30 away (13)38.939.077.9-0.138%-
Last 10 (10)42.436.278.6+6.260%-
Last 5 (5)46.836.283.0+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.341.376.7-6.00%-
vs Similar (12)44.237.882.1+6.467%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.436.881.1+7.664%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A08/01
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H14/01
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A22/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H28/01
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A06/02
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H11/02
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#3
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H15/02
Korac cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A03/03
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H11/03
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H17/03
ABA League
87.6Avg total
41.3Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.184.3+0.163%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.341.084.3+2.369%-
Last 30 away (14)40.943.484.4-2.557%-
Last 10 (10)41.346.387.6-5.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.048.892.8-4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.845.482.2-8.620%-
vs Similar (8)41.142.283.4-1.150%-
vs Weaker (16)44.740.184.8+4.688%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.922.9
63.8%
54.3%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.2
31.8%
34.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.615.0
76.5%
73.8%15.0
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.324.1
61.3%
54.3%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.3
33.0%
34.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws23.316.5
70.8%
73.8%16.5
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WLWLWLWLWW
Mega Basket
WWWLWLLLWW
#1
League position
#4
+17.4
Net rating
+1.9
118.8
Offensive rating
111.5
101.4
Defensive rating
109.5
57.1%
Effective FG%
57.1%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
15.3%
Turnover %
18.8%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.38
31.8%
3-point %
33.0%
70.7%
Assist %
65.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence118.8 · 111.5Defence101.4 · 109.5Shooting57.1% · 57.1%3-point %31.8% · 33.0%Ball care15.3% · 18.8%Off. rebounds30.6% · 28.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Crvena zvezda wins
1
Mega Basket wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/24HVirtus Bologna94-79
20/03/24HPanathinaikos76-89
17/03/24ACibona82-59
14/03/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv80-84
10/03/24HKK Krka Novo mesto110-57
07/03/24AMonaco80-98
03/03/24AMornar Bar102-66
01/03/24ABayern66-74
17/02/24HPartizan85-79
16/02/24ACacak 9487-52
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24HStudentski Centar88-79
11/03/24HCibona80-76
03/03/24AKK Krka Novo mesto106-91
15/02/24HVojvodina Novi Sad92-100
11/02/24HMornar Bar101-87
06/02/24AZadar71-74
28/01/24HBuducnost72-92
22/01/24APartizan80-112
14/01/24HFMP Beograd86-72
08/01/24ABorac Mozzart94-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW87%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %87%100%75%
Points / game88.791.486.3
Allowed / game71.364.477.6
Point differential+17.5+27.0+8.8
Avg total160.0155.7163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%82%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mega Basket
ABA League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLWLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %57%67%45%
Points / game85.887.084.5
Allowed / game82.783.381.9
Point differential+3.1+3.7+2.5
Avg total168.4170.3166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%42%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2320387%88.771.3+17.5
2 Partizan2418675%92.575.4+17.2
3 Buducnost2418675%84.676.4+8.2
4 Cedevita Olimpija2415962%85.884.2+1.7
5 Zadar24141058%79.375.8+3.5
6 Mega Basket23131057%85.882.7+3.1
7 Igokea24121250%78.581.5-2.9
8 Studentski Centar24111346%85.485.6-0.2
9 Split24111346%76.579.5-3.0
10 Cibona2491538%78.884.0-5.2
11 Borac Mozzart2491538%78.584.1-5.5
12 FMP Beograd2481633%76.984.5-7.6
13 Mornar Bar2451921%77.090.0-13.0
14 KK Krka Novo mesto2442017%74.487.3-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda1830211483
Mega Basket2417222689
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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