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Crvena zvezda vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 May 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 103-73
27-20 25-13 26-22 25-18
Position#1
Record24-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Position#4
Record18-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game82.5
EuropeABA LeagueABA League - Semi-finals· Beogradska arena
Domestic2023
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Mega Basket
25 Oct 2025
CZV94
MEG73
17 Mar 2025
CZV81
MEG72
03 May 2024
CZV103
MEG73
25 Mar 2024
CZV83
MEG89
18 Feb 2023
CZV96
MEG79
18 Dec 2022
CZV92
MEG58
14 Jun 2022
CZV88
MEG66
10 Jun 2022
CZV114
MEG78
19 Feb 2022
CZV72
MEG53
01 Nov 2021
CZV81
MEG67
13 Jun 2021
CZV77
MEG65
09 Jun 2021
CZV98
MEG69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
76-89
76
89
-13
73avg 81
H20/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
94-79
94
79
+15
102avg 81
H22/03
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#4
L
83-89
83
89
-6
69avg 81
H25/03
ABA League
Real Madrid
#1
L
94-101
94
101
-7
86avg 81
A29/03
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#9
W
94-76
94
76
+18
100avg 81
H01/04
ABA League
Olympiacos
#4
L
86-89
86
89
-3
86avg 81
H04/04
Euroleague
Split
#8
W
92-73
92
73
+19
94avg 81
A07/04
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
55-100
55
100
-45
47avg 81
A11/04
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
78avg 81
H15/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
W
92-77
92
77
+15
88avg 81
A22/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
21-22
15-19
20-19
21-23
27-19
26-23
20-14
18-24
30-17
21-22
14-26
21-20
26-24
28-28
19-29
30-18
17-16
27-21
20-21
14-23
25-19
25-21
22-26
25-19
24-18
17-19
26-17
11-15
20-30
13-31
11-24
15-21
15-19
19-24
34-17
29-12
28-22
21-20
14-23
170.3Avg total
84.9Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)88.872.7161.4+16.186%
Season at home (14)90.468.1158.5+22.293%
Season away (14)87.177.2164.4+9.979%
Last 10 (10)84.985.4170.3-0.550%
Last 5 (5)81.684.0165.6-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)85.393.0178.3-7.70%
vs Similar (11)79.883.3163.1-3.536%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.170.9159.1+17.280%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#13
W
101-87
101
87
+14
101avg 81
H11/02
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#3
L
92-100
92
100
-8
87avg 81
H15/02
Korac cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
106-91
106
91
+15
105avg 81
A03/03
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
80-76
80
76
+4
80avg 81
H11/03
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
W
88-79
88
79
+9
85avg 81
H17/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
W
89-83
89
83
+6
60avg 81
A25/03
ABA League
Split
#8
W
92-78
92
78
+14
87avg 81
H31/03
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
92-78
92
78
+14
96avg 81
A06/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
119-98
119
98
+21
118avg 81
H15/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
85-71
85
71
+14
77avg 81
A21/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
24-21
22-17
29-22
15-26
23-31
30-29
24-14
27-29
25-20
27-22
27-20
20-17
20-21
24-17
16-21
22-23
18-29
24-19
24-8
24-18
17-30
22-21
26-14
22-25
27-17
25-19
18-17
23-17
24-28
20-15
25-18
27-23
30-29
37-22
25-24
22-22
23-19
21-19
19-11
178.5Avg total
94.4Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)87.582.5170.0+5.064%
Season at home (14)89.684.0173.6+5.671%
Season away (14)85.480.9166.3+4.457%
Last 10 (10)94.484.1178.5+10.390%
Last 5 (5)95.481.6177.0+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)81.390.7172.0-9.333%
vs Similar (7)88.685.0173.6+3.657%
vs Weaker (16)88.279.1167.4+9.175%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +6.4+6.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +6.4+6.4
Crvena zvezdaMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H20/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H22/03
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#4
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H25/03
ABA League
Real Madrid
#1
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A29/03
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#9
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H01/04
ABA League
Olympiacos
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H04/04
Euroleague
Split
#8
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A07/04
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A11/04
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#9
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H15/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
W
57-34
57
34
+23
A22/04
ABA League
84.7Avg total
43.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.538.181.5+5.463%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.138.283.3+6.967%-
Last 30 away (12)41.037.978.9+3.158%-
Last 10 (10)43.741.084.7+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.680.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.345.788.0-3.333%-
vs Similar (11)41.938.980.8+3.055%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.136.181.1+9.073%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#13
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H11/02
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#3
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H15/02
Korac cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A03/03
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H11/03
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H17/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A25/03
ABA League
Split
#8
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H31/03
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A06/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H15/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A21/04
ABA League
93.1Avg total
45.9Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.343.585.8-1.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.243.087.2+1.267%-
Last 30 away (15)40.344.084.3-3.753%-
Last 10 (10)45.947.293.1-1.370%-
Last 5 (5)47.845.693.4+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.545.883.3-8.317%-
vs Similar (7)42.644.987.4-2.343%-
vs Weaker (16)44.241.285.4+3.088%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.0
54.5%
54.3%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.5
38.0%
34.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws17.213.0
75.6%
73.8%13.0
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 94.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.826.3
61.4%
54.3%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.4
35.6%
34.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws26.819.2
71.6%
73.8%19.2
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WWLWLWLLWL
Mega Basket
WWWWWWWWLW
#1
League position
#4
+0.1
Net rating
+14.3
113.4
Offensive rating
120.0
113.2
Defensive rating
105.7
55.6%
Effective FG%
58.8%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
18.3%
Turnover %
15.6%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.42
38.0%
3-point %
35.6%
73.4%
Assist %
60.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 120.0Defence113.2 · 105.7Shooting55.6% · 58.8%3-point %38.0% · 35.6%Ball care18.3% · 15.6%Off. rebounds33.7% · 31.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Crvena zvezda wins
2
Mega Basket wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/24AStudentski Centar92-77
15/04/24HStudentski Centar83-81
11/04/24AAnadolu Efes55-100
07/04/24ASplit92-73
04/04/24HOlympiacos86-89
01/04/24HStudentski Centar94-76
29/03/24AReal Madrid94-101
25/03/24HMega Basket83-89
22/03/24HVirtus Bologna94-79
20/03/24HPanathinaikos76-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24ACedevita Olimpija85-71
15/04/24HCedevita Olimpija119-98
06/04/24AIgokea92-78
31/03/24HSplit92-78
25/03/24ACrvena zvezda89-83
17/03/24HStudentski Centar88-79
11/03/24HCibona80-76
03/03/24AKK Krka Novo mesto106-91
15/02/24HVojvodina Novi Sad92-100
11/02/24HMornar Bar101-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWLWW93%
AwayLWWWW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %86%93%79%
Points / game88.890.487.1
Allowed / game72.768.177.2
Point differential+16.1+22.2+9.9
Avg total161.4158.5164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%71%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mega Basket
ABA League 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayLWWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %64%71%57%
Points / game87.589.685.4
Allowed / game82.584.080.9
Point differential+5.0+5.6+4.4
Avg total170.0173.6166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2824486%88.872.7+16.1
2 Partizan2923679%93.075.8+17.2
3 Buducnost2921872%84.676.6+8.0
4 Mega Basket28181064%87.582.5+5.0
5 Cedevita Olimpija28161257%85.985.3+0.6
6 Zadar28141450%78.378.1+0.1
7 Igokea28131546%78.882.6-3.8
8 Split26111542%76.480.4-4.0
9 Studentski Centar28111739%84.486.3-1.9
10 Borac Mozzart26101638%79.483.9-4.5
11 FMP Beograd26101638%78.284.4-6.3
12 Cibona2691735%78.284.2-6.0
13 Mornar Bar2662023%77.890.3-12.5
14 KK Krka Novo mesto2652119%75.487.5-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda27252625103
Mega Basket2013221873
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