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Mega Basket vs FMP Beograd Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 79-84
19-26 25-18 16-11 19-29
Position#8
Record9-12
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game91.1
vs
Position#10
Record8-12
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game87.2
EuropeABA LeagueRound 6· Hala sportova Ranko
Domestic2025
Meetings · Mega Basket v FMP Beograd
28 Mar 2026
MEG79
FBE84
18 May 2025
MEG81
FBE86
29 Sep 2024
MEG83
FBE80
14 Jan 2024
MEG86
FBE72
04 Jun 2023
MEG72
FBE75
08 Jan 2023
MEG77
FBE72
24 Oct 2021
MEG82
FBE89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Mega Basket
4.1out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.6
85.6▲ 1.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 89.0
85.8▼ 3.2
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 58%
57%▼ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 16.9
15.8▼ 1.1
🔥 Form · FMP Beograd
4.5out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.2
89.4▲ 5.2
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.7
86.2▲ 1.5
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
59%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 15.9
17.8▲ 1.9
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vienna Basket
#17
W
100-98
100
98
+2
H05/01
ABA League
KK Bosna
#11
L
83-94
83
94
-11
A18/01
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A24/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#4
W
107-102
107
102
+5
H01/02
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
89-94
89
94
-5
H08/02
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#10
L
87-102
87
102
-15
A15/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#16
W
90-76
90
76
+14
H09/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
95-77
95
77
+18
H15/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A19/03
ABA League
Split
#18
L
74-96
74
96
-22
A22/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
20-23
26-29
24-20
17-27
18-33
25-15
23-19
20-27
23-24
17-16
26-10
29-29
28-33
23-26
27-14
23-25
16-21
25-23
25-25
17-32
18-19
28-25
24-26
26-19
21-14
23-23
20-20
26-28
20-16
22-21
27-12
21-22
20-24
29-14
12-18
17-25
15-24
19-21
23-26
178.7Avg total
89.3Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.691.1176.8-5.543%
Season at home (10)92.389.5181.8+2.870%
Season away (11)79.592.6172.2-13.118%
Last 10 (10)89.389.4178.7-0.160%
Last 5 (5)85.685.8171.4-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.493.8174.2-13.58%
vs Similar ◀ (14)90.186.4176.5+3.871%
vs Weaker (3)80.785.0165.7-4.367%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#7
L
65-93
65
93
-28
A03/01
ABA League
Split
#18
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A12/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A15/01
ABA League
Dubai
#1
L
82-98
82
98
-16
A26/01
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#15
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H02/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#16
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A08/02
ABA League
Mega Basket
#8
W
102-87
102
87
+15
H15/02
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A07/03
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
101-106
101
106
-5
A13/03
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
W
98-89
98
89
+9
A22/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-27
19-28
14-18
19-20
23-20
18-18
23-14
21-24
19-26
14-21
11-16
27-18
26-30
13-21
25-22
18-25
23-18
21-24
11-20
18-20
18-19
16-16
19-16
20-21
32-17
19-18
25-28
26-24
15-18
17-22
13-17
28-20
28-22
25-33
25-24
23-27
30-21
22-23
20-20
26-25
168.4Avg total
82.3Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.087.2172.2-2.240%
Season at home (9)86.386.3172.7+0.044%
Season away (11)83.887.9171.7-4.136%
Last 10 (10)82.386.1168.4-3.840%
Last 5 (5)89.486.2175.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)85.697.0182.6-11.40%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.482.9164.3-1.443%
vs Weaker (9)89.680.8170.3+8.878%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
Mega BasketFMP Beograd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vienna Basket
#17
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H05/01
ABA League
KK Bosna
#11
L
35-60
35
60
-25
A18/01
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A24/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#4
L
57-62
57
62
-5
H01/02
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H08/02
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#10
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A15/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#16
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H09/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H15/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A19/03
ABA League
Split
#18
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A22/03
ABA League
91.6Avg total
42.5Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.448.390.7-6.030%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.046.092.0+0.057%-
Last 30 away (16)39.250.489.6-11.26%-
Last 10 (10)42.549.191.6-6.630%-
Last 5 (5)40.244.684.8-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.850.289.1-11.48%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)46.046.292.2-0.257%-
vs Weaker (3)40.750.090.7-9.30%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#7
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A03/01
ABA League
Split
#18
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A12/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A15/01
ABA League
Dubai
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A26/01
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H02/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#16
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A08/02
ABA League
Mega Basket
#8
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H15/02
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A07/03
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A13/03
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A22/03
ABA League
85.3Avg total
41.1Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.643.285.8-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.541.986.4+2.664%-
Last 30 away (16)40.944.285.2-3.331%-
Last 10 (10)41.144.285.3-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)44.441.886.2+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.946.989.7-4.029%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.242.783.9-1.550%-
vs Weaker (9)44.641.085.6+3.656%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.721.8
54.9%
54.6%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.1
33.7%
35.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.417.5
74.8%
75.3%17.5
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.1
51.7%
54.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.7
31.8%
35.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws24.218.3
75.6%
75.3%18.3
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
LWWWLLWWLW
FMP Beograd
WLLWWLLLWL
#8
League position
#10
+0.5
Net rating
-4.7
100.8
Offensive rating
96.2
100.4
Defensive rating
100.9
53.1%
Effective FG%
50.2%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
15.8%
Turnover %
15.8%
41.7%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.7%
3-point %
31.8%
55.0%
Assist %
57.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 96.2Defence100.4 · 100.9Shooting53.1% · 50.2%3-point %33.7% · 31.8%Ball care15.8% · 15.8%Off. rebounds41.7% · 25.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Mega Basket   ■ FMP Beograd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Mega Basket wins
6
FMP Beograd wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26ASplit74-96
19/03/26AKK Krka Novo mesto82-78
15/03/26HBorac Mozzart95-77
09/03/26HStudentski Centar90-76
15/02/26AFMP Beograd87-102
08/02/26HSpartak Subotica89-94
01/02/26HCrvena zvezda107-102
24/01/26APerspektiva Ilirija86-77
18/01/26AKK Bosna83-94
05/01/26HVienna Basket100-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26AVienna Basket98-89
13/03/26APerspektiva Ilirija101-106
07/03/26ASpartak Subotica73-77
15/02/26HMega Basket102-87
08/02/26AStudentski Centar73-72
02/02/26HBorac Mozzart73-82
26/01/26ADubai82-98
15/01/26AKK Krka Novo mesto71-81
12/01/26ASplit85-76
03/01/26ACluj-Napoca65-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
ABA League 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL43%
HomeWWLWW70%
AwayLWLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%70%18%
Points / game85.692.379.5
Allowed / game91.189.592.6
Point differential-5.5+2.8-13.1
Avg total176.8181.8172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
FMP Beograd
ABA League 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW40%
HomeWLLLW44%
AwayLWLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %40%44%36%
Points / game85.086.383.8
Allowed / game87.286.387.9
Point differential-2.2+0.0-4.1
Avg total172.2172.7171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)-25% (4)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubai2018290%89.977.0+12.9
2 Partizan2018290%92.580.2+12.2
3 Crvena zvezda2015575%93.185.3+7.8
4 Buducnost2015575%88.580.9+7.6
5 Cedevita Olimpija2012860%88.382.8+5.5
6 Cluj-Napoca2012860%92.789.0+3.7
7 Spartak Subotica2112957%83.381.9+1.5
8 KK Bosna2091145%81.886.2-4.5
9 Igokea2091145%83.088.8-5.8
10 Zadar2191243%81.180.5+0.7
11 Mega Basket2191243%85.691.1-5.5
12 FMP Beograd2081240%85.087.2-2.2
13 Perspektiva Ilirija2181338%83.487.5-4.1
14 Vienna Basket2281436%84.788.9-4.2
15 KK Krka Novo mesto2171433%78.081.3-3.4
16 Borac Mozzart2271532%79.984.9-5.0
17 Studentski Centar2151624%77.882.6-4.8
18 Split2251723%82.592.1-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket1925161979
FMP Beograd2618112984
← all games of the day
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