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Mega Bemax vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 82-80
14-21 23-15 16-22 29-22
Position#7
Record8-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Position#10
Record6-9
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game87.4
EuropeABA LeagueRound 16
Domestic2018
Meetings · Mega Bemax v Mornar Bar
19 Jan 2019
MBE82
MBA80
07 Oct 2017
MBE91
MBA70
21 Dec 2016
MBE60
MBA53
19 Nov 2016
MBE93
MBA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Bemax winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BemaxLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H03/11
ABA League
Zadar
#11
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A09/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A18/11
ABA League
Cibona
#8
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H24/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
85-91
85
91
-6
A10/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H15/12
ABA League
Igokea
#9
W
93-88
93
88
+5
H22/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
L
89-106
89
106
-17
A28/12
ABA League
Cedevita
#2
L
101-107 OT
101
107
-6
H05/01
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#13
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A13/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
20-22
20-23
19-12
15-27
22-14
18-24
29-15
24-27
11-20
15-21
19-14
15-18
22-22
27-22
18-18
31-21
20-20
18-30
16-20
15-20
10-22
22-22
21-14
16-23
26-17
31-23
20-25
22-31
32-30
21-13
14-32
17-33
21-20
24-12
28-25
20-15
23-20
18-26
17-30
170.7Avg total
82.3Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.584.5167.9-1.053%
Season at home (7)84.081.7165.7+2.357%
Season away (8)83.086.9169.9-3.950%
Last 10 (10)82.388.4170.7-6.130%
Last 5 (5)85.894.0179.8-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.988.6167.5-9.718%
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.982.9168.8+3.080%
vs Weaker (9)88.776.2164.9+12.478%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#6
L
76-111
76
111
-35
A21/11
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
L
97-103
97
103
-6
H26/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A08/12
ABA League
Frankfurt
#16
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H12/12
Eurocup
Cedevita
#2
L
102-103
102
103
-1
H15/12
ABA League
Rytas
#11
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A19/12
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H23/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H29/12
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A05/01
ABA League
Zadar
#11
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H13/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-31
26-31
13-26
22-23
23-27
19-27
27-19
28-30
23-14
18-15
23-24
20-29
26-25
16-21
15-18
26-23
27-25
26-19
33-34
16-25
15-17
22-14
17-20
13-20
18-16
20-22
25-22
17-15
21-20
25-15
12-28
28-14
14-18
15-20
24-17
20-20
22-25
25-14
25-22
17-20
170.2Avg total
83.7Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)84.187.4171.5-3.340%
Season at home (8)90.889.5180.2+1.250%
Season away (7)76.685.0161.6-8.429%
Last 10 (10)83.786.5170.2-2.840%
Last 5 (5)79.075.8154.8+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)80.792.0172.7-11.320%
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.182.1165.1+1.057%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -1.2-1.2
Mega BemaxMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BemaxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#4
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H03/11
ABA League
Zadar
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A09/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A18/11
ABA League
Cibona
#8
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A10/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H15/12
ABA League
Igokea
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H22/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A28/12
ABA League
Cedevita
#2
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H05/01
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A13/01
ABA League
84.3Avg total
39.7Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.084.1+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.542.584.0-0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)42.841.584.3+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)39.744.684.3-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.446.286.6-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.345.583.8-7.39%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.041.584.5+1.560%-
vs Weaker (9)46.038.184.1+7.978%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#6
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A21/11
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H26/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A08/12
ABA League
Frankfurt
#16
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H12/12
Eurocup
Cedevita
#2
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H15/12
ABA League
Rytas
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A19/12
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#13
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H23/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H29/12
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A05/01
ABA League
Zadar
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H13/01
ABA League
83.2Avg total
41.6Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.144.485.5-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.644.588.1-0.938%-
Last 30 away (14)38.344.282.5-5.936%-
Last 10 (10)41.641.683.2+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.436.275.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)41.547.388.8-5.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.441.181.5-0.643%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Bemaxtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Bemax: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.5
51.5%
51.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.26.9
28.5%
33.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws30.219.9
65.9%
72.5%19.9
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.0
52.1%
51.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.3
36.0%
33.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.614.2
65.7%
72.5%14.2
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Bemax
LLLWLLWLWL
Mornar Bar
WLWWLLLWLL
#7
League position
#10
-6.9
Net rating
-3.4
100.4
Offensive rating
108.7
107.3
Defensive rating
112.1
48.1%
Effective FG%
52.9%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
18.0%
Turnover %
15.9%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.49
Free-throw rate
0.33
28.5%
3-point %
36.0%
69.7%
Assist %
56.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 108.7Defence107.3 · 112.1Shooting48.1% · 52.9%3-point %28.5% · 36.0%Ball care18.0% · 15.9%Off. rebounds28.9% · 30.3%Free throws0.49 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Mega Bemax   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mega Bemax wins
2
Mornar Bar wins
Mega Bemaxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/19APetrol Olimpija78-91
05/01/19HCedevita101-107 OT
28/12/18AFMP Beograd89-106
22/12/18HIgokea93-88
15/12/18HCrvena zvezda68-78
10/12/18ABuducnost85-91
24/11/18HCibona82-80
18/11/18AKK Krka Novo mesto69-82
09/11/18AZadar84-80
03/11/18HPartizan74-81
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/19HZadar89-81
05/01/19APartizan73-75
29/12/18HKK Krka Novo mesto86-77
23/12/18HPetrol Olimpija80-75
19/12/18ARytas67-71
15/12/18HCedevita102-103
12/12/18HFrankfurt83-87
08/12/18AFMP Beograd84-82
26/11/18HIgokea97-103
21/11/18AUnicaja76-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Bemax
ABA League 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL53%
HomeLWLWL57%
AwayWLLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %53%57%50%
Points / game83.584.083.0
Allowed / game84.581.786.9
Point differential-1.0+2.3-3.9
Avg total167.9165.7169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %13%29%0%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW40%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayWLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %40%50%29%
Points / game84.190.876.6
Allowed / game87.489.585.0
Point differential-3.3+1.2-8.4
Avg total171.5180.2161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda16160100%85.768.9+16.8
2 Cedevita1511473%88.981.9+7.0
3 Buducnost1510567%80.974.5+6.4
4 Partizan1610662%82.278.2+4.0
5 Mega Bemax158753%83.584.5-1.0
6 Mornar Bar156940%84.187.4-3.3
7 Cibona156940%77.382.5-5.3
8 FMP Beograd1661038%80.183.5-3.4
9 Igokea1661038%83.687.7-4.1
10 Petrol Olimpija1551033%79.982.5-2.6
11 Zadar1651131%82.986.9-3.9
12 KK Krka Novo mesto1641225%72.382.9-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Bemax1423162982
Mornar Bar2115222280
← all games of the day
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