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Melbourne United vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 08:30
Projected 101-88
Projected total 189.0
Final 120-92
29-17 33-31 21-25 37-19
Position#3
Record6-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game96.5
Allowed / game90.8
Melbourne United 🏆
Australia
Vs
86%
14%
■ MELB 86%■ BRIS 14%
Pythia win probability
Brisbane Bullets
Australia
Position#6
Record6-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game95.2
Allowed / game97.4
AustraliaNBLRound 8· John Cain Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets
06 Dec 2026
MELB v BRIS
upcoming
07 Nov 2026
MELB120
BRIS92
21 Jan 2026
MELB98
BRIS66
15 Nov 2025
MELB99
BRIS93
08 Dec 2024
MELB114
BRIS122
10 Dec 2023
MELB103
BRIS68
15 Oct 2023
MELB89
BRIS78
10 Dec 2022
MELB104
BRIS88
16 Apr 2022
MELB88
BRIS79
05 Mar 2022
MELB95
BRIS83
12 Apr 2021
MELB98
BRIS89
07 Mar 2021
MELB88
BRIS96
29 Dec 2019
MELB96
BRIS102
24 Nov 2019
MELB108
BRIS94
10 Dec 2018
MELB74
BRIS90
18 Nov 2018
MELB102
BRIS94
03 Feb 2018
MELB69
BRIS61
26 Dec 2017
MELB69
BRIS68
26 Dec 2016
MELB97
BRIS59
20 Oct 2016
MELB78
BRIS70
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Melbourne United host Brisbane Bullets on 7 November 2026 in the NBL, and the Pythia model names United as the clear favourite, giving them an 87% chance of victory largely because of their 6-5 record, 96.5 points per game and 90.8 allowed per game, placing them third in the league, while Bullets also sit 6-5 but average 95.2 points and allow 97.4, a fourth-place position. United have gone 2-3 at home, scoring 95.6 and conceding 92.8, yet their last five games include wins over the Breakers, Taipans and Sydney, with a 94-74, 113-97 and 105-95 scoreline respectively, showing a recent upward trend; Bullets are 2-3 on the road, 89.6 points and 93.2 allowed, and their recent five include a 109-104 win over Perth, a 96-89 win away at Adelaide and a 85-107 loss to the Taipans. Historically United have dominated the rivalry, winning nine of ten meetings and most recently defeating Bullets 98-66 on 21 January 2026. Pythia projects a 100-87 score, 187.7 total points, with a 55% chance of United covering the -11.5 line and a 36% chance of the over on the 193.5 total, while the game carries a 3% overtime probability. The Bullets' last home win over Perth on 4 November 2026 suggests they will fight hard, but United's recent form and head-to-head advantage keep the contest firmly in their favour.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon
85.9%fair 1.16
Best odds1.18
Implied84.1%
Edge+1.8pp
Brisbane Bullets winLost
14.1%fair 7.10
Best odds6.04
Implied15.9%
Edge-1.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 05 Nov 14:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#8
W
86-61
86
61
+25
78avg 82
A24/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
82-84
82
84
-2
69avg 82
A01/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
95-107
95
107
-12
82avg 82
H03/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
96-91
96
91
+5
93avg 82
A07/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
W
104-99
104
99
+5
102avg 82
A10/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
L
89-91
89
91
-2
81avg 82
H18/10
NBL
Perth
#7
L
102-103
102
103
-1
96avg 82
A23/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
105-95
105
95
+10
93avg 82
H25/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
113-97
113
97
+16
109avg 82
A31/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
94-74
94
74
+20
no box
H02/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
29-21
24-22
17-4
14-23
21-29
19-16
28-16
14-18
32-29
35-25
14-35
31-21
25-17
20-21
20-32
17-30
28-23
29-21
30-25
27-21
16-35
22-22
24-13
26-25
22-21
31-31
23-26
32-31
24-20
21-13
28-31
26-33
25-21
34-19
28-24
28-19
15-20
27-16
24-19
186.8Avg total
96.6Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)96.590.8187.3+5.655%
Season at home (5)95.692.8188.4+2.840%
Season away (6)97.289.2186.3+8.067%
Last 10 (10)96.690.2186.8+6.460%
Last 5 (5)100.692.0192.6+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)90.094.5184.5-4.50%
vs Similar (8)87.593.8181.2-6.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)91.887.2179.1+4.655%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
103-95
103
95
+8
98avg 73
H25/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
78-93
78
93
-15
66avg 73
A30/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
99-109 OT
99
109
-10
91avg 73
H03/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
91-97
91
97
-6
80avg 73
A08/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
W
115-105
115
105
+10
116avg 73
H15/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
85-106
85
106
-21
68avg 73
A21/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
98-81
98
81
+17
92avg 73
A24/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
85-107
85
107
-22
75avg 73
H29/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
96-89
96
89
+7
95avg 73
A01/11
NBL
Perth
#7
W
109-104
109
104
+5
no box
H04/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
25-24
23-24
30-29
34-23
10-20
14-29
20-21
23-17
24-23
18-34
26-17
17-23
33-24
22-27
19-23
30-24
26-31
34-29
25-21
15-22
29-34
20-28
21-22
25-16
30-19
14-27
29-19
21-23
21-34
19-21
24-29
30-17
20-26
26-23
20-23
37-22
26-21
18-25
28-36
194.5Avg total
95.9Scored
98.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)95.297.4192.5-2.255%
Season at home (6)99.8100.8200.7-1.067%
Season away (5)89.693.2182.8-3.640%
Last 10 (10)95.998.6194.5-2.750%
Last 5 (5)94.697.4192.0-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)80.699.5180.1-19.014%
vs Similar (8)91.192.2183.4-1.150%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 190Actual: Over 190
Over 190
46.9%
@ 1.65-9.7pp
Under 190
53.1%
@ 2.15+9.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.65
Marathon Be
1.50
Under
Bet365
2.15
Over/Under 195 · main lineActual: Over 195
Over 195
34.8%
@ 2.10-15.4pp
Under 195
65.2%
@ 1.92+15.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.10
1xBet
1.91
Pinnacle
1.90
Marathon Be
1.89
Under
Pinnacle
1.92
Marathon Be
1.89
1xBet
1.83
Bet365
1.72
Over/Under 200Actual: Over 200
Over 200
24.3%
@ 2.65-11.1pp
Under 200
75.7%
@ 1.52+11.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.65
Under
Marathon Be
1.52
Bet365
1.45

📊 3. Team Totals

Melbourne United total 99.5Actual: Melbourne United over 99.5
Over 99.5
54.6%
@ 1.58-7.6pp
Under 99.5
45.4%
@ 2.52+7.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.58
1xBet
1.47
Betano
1.44
Under
Betano
2.52
1xBet
2.42
Bet365
2.22
Melbourne United total 103.5 · main lineActual: Melbourne United over 103.5
Over 103.5
38.7%
@ 1.90-10.7pp
Under 103.5
61.3%
@ 1.86+10.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.90
Marathon Be
1.88
Betano
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.80
Melbourne United total 107.5Actual: Melbourne United over 107.5
Over 107.5
24.6%
@ 2.70-9.9pp
Under 107.5
75.4%
@ 1.41+9.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.70
Betano
2.65
Under
Bet365
1.41
Betano
1.40
Brisbane Bullets total 87.5Actual: Brisbane Bullets over 87.5
Over 87.5
52.6%
@ 1.50-9.9pp
Under 87.5
47.4%
@ 2.55+9.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.44
Under
Betano
2.55
1xBet
2.35
Brisbane Bullets total 91.5 · main lineActual: Brisbane Bullets over 91.5
Over 91.5
37.2%
@ 1.95-12.4pp
Under 91.5
62.8%
@ 1.89+12.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
BetVictor
1.88
1xBet
1.86
Marathon Be
1.85
Betano
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.89
1xBet
1.86
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Brisbane Bullets total 95.5Actual: Brisbane Bullets under 95.5
Over 95.5
23.8%
@ 2.57-11.8pp
Under 95.5
76.2%
@ 1.42+11.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.57
Under
Betano
1.42

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Melbourne United -15Actual: Melbourne United -15
MELB -15
39.9%
@ 2.45+1.6pp
BRIS +15
60.1%
@ 1.52-1.6pp
Best 5 market prices
MELB
Bet365
2.45
BRIS
Bet365
1.52
Marathon Be
1.50
Spread Melbourne United -12 · main lineActual: Melbourne United -12
MELB -12
50.9%
@ 1.95+1.6pp
BRIS +12
49.1%
@ 1.88-1.6pp
Best 5 market prices
MELB
Marathon Be
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
BRIS
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Spread Melbourne United -9Actual: Melbourne United -9
MELB -9
62.0%
@ 1.60+2.0pp
BRIS +9
38.0%
@ 2.37-2.0pp
Best 5 market prices
MELB
Bet365
1.60
Marathon Be
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.58
BRIS
Pinnacle
2.37
Bet365
2.25
Marathon Be
2.21
1xBet
2.21

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
Melbourne UnitedBrisbane Bullets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#8
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A24/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A01/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H03/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A07/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A10/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H18/10
NBL
Perth
#7
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A23/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H25/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A31/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H02/11
NBL
93.9Avg total
46.8Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 98.5
Last 30 (30)46.246.092.2+0.247%27%
Last 30 at home (15)46.243.990.1+2.360%20%
Last 30 away (15)46.348.194.3-1.833%33%
Last 10 (10)46.847.193.9-0.350%30%
Last 5 (5)48.249.297.4-1.060%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)49.050.599.5-1.550%50%
vs Similar (8)45.848.694.4-2.938%38%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.144.590.7+1.650%20%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H25/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A30/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H03/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A08/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H15/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A21/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A24/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
42-57
42
57
-15
H29/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A01/11
NBL
Perth
#7
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H04/11
NBL
96.2Avg total
50.1Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 98.5
Last 30 (30)43.248.892.0-5.640%23%
Last 30 at home (16)45.148.293.4-3.144%31%
Last 30 away (14)41.049.590.5-8.536%14%
Last 10 (10)50.146.196.2+4.080%40%
Last 5 (5)50.846.897.6+4.060%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)42.250.392.5-8.136%23%
vs Similar (8)46.044.890.8+1.250%25%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Melbourne United win
MELB win
no forecast
@ 1.30
BRIS win
no forecast
@ 4.10
1st half Spread Melbourne United -6.5 · main lineActual: Melbourne United -6.5
MELB -6.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
BRIS +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Over/Under 98.5 · main lineActual: Over 98.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.95
Under
no forecast
@ 1.92
Melbourne United 1st half total 52 · main lineActual: Melbourne United over 52
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.95
Brisbane Bullets 1st half total 45.5 · main lineActual: Brisbane Bullets over 45.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.95
1st half: MELB + total 98.5
MELB & over
no forecast
@ 2.65
MELB & under
no forecast
@ 2.50
1st half: Draw + total 98.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 31.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half: BRIS + total 98.5
BRIS & over
no forecast
@ 6.75
BRIS & under
no forecast
@ 6.50
1st half Over/Under 97Actual: Over 97
Over
no forecast
@ 1.79
Under
no forecast
@ 2.05
1st half Spread Melbourne United -7.5Actual: Melbourne United -7.5
MELB -7.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
BRIS +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.78
1st half Spread Melbourne United -5.5Actual: Melbourne United -5.5
MELB -5.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
BRIS +5.5
no forecast
@ 2.07
1st half Over/Under 100.5Actual: Over 100.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.20
Under
no forecast
@ 1.67
1st half Over/Under 95.5Actual: Over 95.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.60
Under
no forecast
@ 2.25
1st half Spread Melbourne United -8.5Actual: Melbourne United -8.5
MELB -8.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
BRIS +8.5
no forecast
@ 1.65
1st half Spread Melbourne United -4.5Actual: Melbourne United -4.5
MELB -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
BRIS +4.5
no forecast
@ 2.30
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Melbourne United (regulation)
MELB
no forecast
@ 1.33
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
BRIS
no forecast
@ 4.05

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
MELB win + total 194.5
🔒 Pro
BRIS win + total 194.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: MELB leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: BRIS leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (MELB:BRIS): MELB wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 197.570.3%1.63
Marathon Bet
1.70
BetVictor
1.65
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Bet365
1.57		+13.8ppLost
Under 198.572.3%1.57
Marathon Bet
1.63
BetVictor
1.58
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.52		-+13.7ppLost
Under 19871.7%1.60
Marathon Bet
1.66
Bet365
1.55		---+13.5ppLost
Under 199.574.3%1.52
Marathon Bet
1.56
BetVictor
1.53
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.48		-+13.2ppLost
Brisbane Bullets under 96.579.0%1.40
Bet365
1.40		----+12.7ppWon
Under 201.578.0%1.42
Marathon Bet
1.45
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40		--+12.2ppLost
Brisbane Bullets under 94.573.1%1.51
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.50		--+12.1ppWon
Brisbane Bullets under 98.583.9%1.29
Bet365
1.29		----+12.0ppWon
Under 200.576.2%1.46
Marathon Bet
1.50
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.43		--+12.0ppLost
Brisbane Bullets under 100.588.0%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+11.8ppWon
Brisbane Bullets under 95.576.2%1.42
Betano
1.42		----+11.8ppWon
Under 20177.6%1.44
Marathon Bet
1.47
Bet365
1.42		---+11.6ppLost
Under 19973.8%1.54
Marathon Bet
1.59
Bet365
1.50		---+11.3ppLost
Under 20075.7%1.48
Marathon Bet
1.52
Bet365
1.45		---+11.1ppLost
Brisbane Bullets under 101.589.7%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+10.8ppWon
Brisbane Bullets under 102.591.2%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+10.7ppWon
Melbourne United under 109.581.3%1.31
Bet365
1.31		----+10.3ppLost
Under 203.581.3%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+10.2ppLost
Melbourne United under 106.572.2%1.47
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.47		---+10.0ppLost
Melbourne United under 107.575.4%1.40
Bet365
1.41
Betano
1.40		---+9.9ppLost
Under 208.588.2%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+8.9ppLost
Brisbane Bullets under 104.593.6%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+8.6ppWon
Under 213.592.9%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+8.5ppWon
Brisbane Bullets under 106.595.5%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+7.9ppWon
Brisbane Bullets under 108.596.8%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+7.8ppWon
Under 218.595.9%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+7.6ppWon
Melbourne United over 82.596.4%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+5.9ppWon
Melbourne United over 81.597.1%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+5.9ppWon
Melbourne United over 83.595.6%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+5.9ppWon
Melbourne United (regulation)84.1%1.16
Marathon Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Betano
1.15		--+5.7ppWon
Melbourne United over 85.593.4%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+5.1ppWon
Melbourne United +8.595.7%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+5.0ppWon
Overtime: no97.1%1.02
Betano
1.02		----+4.9pp-
Brisbane Bullets over 70.596.0%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+4.5ppWon
Melbourne United -478.6%1.26
Bet365
1.26		----+4.5ppWon
Melbourne United -575.6%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+4.4ppWon
Melbourne United over 89.586.7%1.13
Bet365
1.13		----+4.4ppWon
Melbourne United +13.598.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.4ppWon
Melbourne United over 87.590.5%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+4.4ppWon
Melbourne United -3.579.2%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+4.2ppWon
Melbourne United -4.576.3%1.29
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.27		---+4.2ppWon
Melbourne United -5.573.3%1.33
Bet365
1.35
Marathon Bet
1.33
Betano
1.32		--+4.1ppWon
Melbourne United -672.4%1.35
Bet365
1.36
Marathon Bet
1.35		---+3.9ppWon
Melbourne United -1.584.3%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+3.7ppWon
Melbourne United -6.570.1%1.39
Bet365
1.42
Marathon Bet
1.39
Betano
1.38
BetVictor
1.38		-+3.7ppWon
Brisbane Bullets over 72.594.0%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+3.6ppWon
Melbourne United over 91.582.0%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+3.2ppWon
Melbourne United over 92.579.3%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+3.1ppWon
Melbourne United +3.590.5%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+3.0ppWon
Brisbane Bullets over 74.591.3%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+2.3ppWon
Melbourne United win85.9%1.14
1xBet
1.18
WilliamHill
1.17
Marathon Bet
1.16
Pinnacle
1.14
Betano
1.13		+1.8ppWon
Melbourne United over 93.576.3%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+1.6ppWon
Over 168.589.4%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+1.1ppWon
Brisbane Bullets over 76.587.7%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+0.6ppWon
Brisbane Bullets +21.579.4%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+0.5ppLost
Brisbane Bullets +18.571.2%1.31
Bet365
1.32
Betano
1.29		---+0.1ppLost
Brisbane Bullets +1973.3%1.28
Bet365
1.28		----+0.1ppLost
Brisbane Bullets +19.574.1%1.26
Bet365
1.26		----+0.0ppLost
Brisbane Bullets +1870.3%1.33
Bet365
1.33		-----0.1ppLost
Brisbane Bullets over 78.583.2%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----0.6ppWon
Over 173.582.6%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----1.8ppWon
Brisbane Bullets over 80.577.7%1.16
Bet365
1.16		-----1.8ppWon
Brisbane Bullets over 81.574.6%1.20
Bet365
1.20		-----3.2ppWon
Over 178.573.6%1.20
Bet365
1.20		-----4.7ppWon
Brisbane Bullets over 82.571.3%1.22
Bet365
1.22		-----4.9ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 96.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.026.1
56.7%
56.4%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.3
32.3%
34.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws26.219.6
74.8%
74.0%19.6
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 93.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.425.6
56.4%
56.4%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.09.7
30.3%
34.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.713.1
70.1%
74.0%13.1
They take 77.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Melbourne United
WWWLLWWLLW
Brisbane Bullets
WWLWLWLLLW
#3
League position
#6
+4.9
Net rating
-2.4
100.1
Offensive rating
94.9
95.2
Defensive rating
97.4
53.8%
Effective FG%
51.9%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
13.3%
Turnover %
15.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.3%
3-point %
30.3%
55.8%
Assist %
59.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 94.9Defence95.2 · 97.4Shooting53.8% · 51.9%3-point %32.3% · 30.3%Ball care13.3% · 15.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Melbourne United   ■ Brisbane Bullets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Melbourne United wins
1
Brisbane Bullets wins
DateGameScore
21/01/26Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets98-66
27/12/25Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United87-92
15/11/25Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets99-93
17/10/25Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United86-95
26/01/25Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United88-115
08/12/24Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets114-122
07/11/24Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United103-120
26/01/24Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United77-93
10/12/23Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets103-68
15/10/23Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets89-78
Melbourne Unitedlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26HNew Zealand Breakers94-74
31/10/26ACairns Taipans113-97
25/10/26HSydney105-95
23/10/26APerth102-103
18/10/26HIllawarra Hawks89-91
10/10/26ASouth East Melbourne104-99
07/10/26AAdelaide96-91
03/10/26HCairns Taipans95-107
01/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers82-84
24/09/26ASouth East Melbourne86-61
Brisbane Bulletslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/26HPerth109-104
01/11/26AAdelaide96-89
29/10/26HCairns Taipans85-107
24/10/26AIllawarra Hawks98-81
21/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers85-106
15/10/26HSouth East Melbourne115-105
08/10/26ACairns Taipans91-97
03/10/26HTasmania JackJumpers99-109 OT
30/09/26ASydney78-93
25/09/26HIllawarra Hawks103-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW55%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%40%67%
Points / game96.595.697.2
Allowed / game90.892.889.2
Point differential+5.6+2.8+8.0
Avg total187.3188.4186.3
Over 19545%40%50%
Win by 10+36%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW55%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game95.299.889.6
Allowed / game97.4100.893.2
Point differential-2.2-1.0-3.6
Avg total192.5200.7182.8
Over 19536%67%0%
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tasmania JackJumpers118373%94.189.5+4.5
2 Sydney107370%97.988.1+9.8
3 Melbourne United116555%96.590.8+5.6
4 Brisbane Bullets116555%95.297.4-2.2
5 Adelaide126650%92.292.4-0.2
6 Perth105550%94.397.9-3.6
7 Cairns Taipans126650%92.497.4-5.0
8 South East Melbourne104640%96.994.3+2.6
9 New Zealand Breakers124833%89.489.9-0.5
10 Illawarra Hawks134931%95.5103.8-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne United29332137120
Brisbane Bullets1731251992
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