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Melbourne United vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 114-122
28-28 29-29 30-31 27-34
Position#2
Record12-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game95.8
Allowed / game87.0
Melbourne United
Australia
vs
Brisbane Bullets 🏆
Australia
Position#8
Record5-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game91.9
Allowed / game93.9
AustraliaNBLRound 11· John Cain Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets
06 Dec 2026
MELB v BRIS
upcoming
07 Nov 2026
MELB v BRIS
upcoming
21 Jan 2026
MELB98
BRIS66
15 Nov 2025
MELB99
BRIS93
08 Dec 2024
MELB114
BRIS122
10 Dec 2023
MELB103
BRIS68
15 Oct 2023
MELB89
BRIS78
10 Dec 2022
MELB104
BRIS88
16 Apr 2022
MELB88
BRIS79
05 Mar 2022
MELB95
BRIS83
12 Apr 2021
MELB98
BRIS89
07 Mar 2021
MELB88
BRIS96
29 Dec 2019
MELB96
BRIS102
24 Nov 2019
MELB108
BRIS94
10 Dec 2018
MELB74
BRIS90
18 Nov 2018
MELB102
BRIS94
03 Feb 2018
MELB69
BRIS61
26 Dec 2017
MELB69
BRIS68
26 Dec 2016
MELB97
BRIS59
20 Oct 2016
MELB78
BRIS70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Bullets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#5
L
84-93
84
93
-9
75avg 86
H20/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
92-87
92
87
+5
88avg 86
A24/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
106-63
106
63
+43
108avg 86
H27/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
87-83
87
83
+4
75avg 86
H31/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
79-113
79
113
-34
60avg 86
H04/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
120-103
120
103
+17
120avg 86
A07/11
NBL
Perth
#3
W
106-97
106
97
+9
103avg 86
H09/11
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
113-93
113
93
+20
109avg 86
H17/11
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
101-98
101
98
+3
102avg 86
H01/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
97-70
97
70
+27
90avg 86
A05/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
25-32
20-18
21-27
18-21
22-16
19-21
33-29
23-12
31-18
30-19
22-14
21-20
25-23
20-21
21-19
13-25
18-30
21-29
27-29
24-20
28-25
33-26
35-32
31-29
20-36
32-12
23-20
29-22
30-24
26-27
28-20
27-28
38-21
14-26
22-23
28-24
18-19
24-7
27-20
188.5Avg total
98.5Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)95.887.0182.8+8.875%
Season at home (10)95.889.9185.7+5.970%
Season away (6)95.782.2177.8+13.583%
Last 10 (10)98.590.0188.5+8.580%
Last 5 (5)107.492.2199.6+15.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.087.0179.0+5.0100%
vs Similar (12)91.587.2178.7+4.358%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)97.589.4186.9+8.171%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Sydney
#4
L
82-91
82
91
-9
70avg 78
H05/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
87-85
87
85
+2
80avg 78
A12/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
84-73
84
73
+11
80avg 78
H17/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
79-87
79
87
-8
66avg 78
H26/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
92-88
92
88
+4
76avg 78
A02/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
103-120
103
120
-17
90avg 78
H07/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
92-95
92
95
-3
84avg 78
A15/11
NBL
Perth
#3
W
105-84
105
84
+21
98avg 78
H17/11
NBL
Perth
#3
L
89-117
89
117
-28
73avg 78
A29/11
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
102-83
102
83
+19
94avg 78
H06/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
10-25
28-28
27-16
18-23
27-26
23-17
19-19
17-13
22-20
19-17
26-23
9-20
23-22
30-17
17-28
23-18
18-26
23-29
28-15
20-24
25-28
26-33
32-35
31-20
15-23
14-25
32-27
25-26
22-13
27-26
31-19
24-31
22-32
13-28
30-26
34-24
19-23
22-17
27-19
183.8Avg total
91.5Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)91.993.9185.8-2.042%
Season at home (6)92.589.7182.2+2.850%
Season away (6)91.398.2189.5-6.833%
Last 10 (10)91.592.3183.8-0.850%
Last 5 (5)98.299.8198.0-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)88.598.2186.7-9.831%
vs Similar (16)89.788.4178.1+1.350%
vs Weaker (1)95.083.0178.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +4.2+4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +4.2+4.2
Melbourne UnitedBrisbane Bullets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#5
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H20/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A24/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H27/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H31/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H04/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A07/11
NBL
Perth
#3
L
51-65
51
65
-14
H09/11
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H17/11
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
65-49
65
49
+16
H01/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A05/12
NBL
94.8Avg total
48.7Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.346.094.2+2.363%-
Last 30 at home (18)50.347.097.3+3.361%-
Last 30 away (12)45.244.489.7+0.867%-
Last 10 (10)48.746.194.8+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)54.649.6104.2+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.037.077.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (12)48.545.994.4+2.667%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)48.646.595.1+2.159%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#4
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H05/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A12/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H17/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H26/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A02/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H07/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A15/11
NBL
Perth
#3
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H17/11
NBL
Perth
#3
L
46-63
46
63
-17
A29/11
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H06/12
NBL
88.0Avg total
42.1Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.547.091.4-2.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.644.488.0-0.860%-
Last 30 away (15)45.349.594.9-4.240%-
Last 10 (10)42.145.988.0-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)47.448.896.2-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)43.348.091.3-4.746%-
vs Similar (16)44.646.491.1-1.850%-
vs Weaker (1)57.042.099.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 97.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.9
51.2%
52.3%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.413.3
41.0%
35.1%39.9
🏀 Free throws22.317.6
78.9%
74.7%17.6
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.123.9
48.7%
52.3%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.8
37.0%
35.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.116.3
77.3%
74.7%16.3
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Melbourne United
WWWWWLWWWL
Brisbane Bullets
WLWLLWLWWL
#2
League position
#8
+10.2
Net rating
-0.5
121.3
Offensive rating
111.9
111.1
Defensive rating
112.4
55.9%
Effective FG%
50.9%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
13.4%
Turnover %
16.5%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
41.0%
3-point %
37.0%
66.3%
Assist %
48.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence121.3 · 111.9Defence111.1 · 112.4Shooting55.9% · 50.9%3-point %41.0% · 37.0%Ball care13.4% · 16.5%Off. rebounds29.3% · 35.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Melbourne United   ■ Brisbane Bullets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Melbourne United wins
0
Brisbane Bullets wins
DateGameScore
07/11/24Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United103-120
26/01/24Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United77-93
10/12/23Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets103-68
15/10/23Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets89-78
14/01/23Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United91-101
01/01/23Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United86-99
10/12/22Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets104-88
16/04/22Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets88-79
05/03/22Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets95-83
26/01/22Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United82-84
Melbourne Unitedlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/24ANew Zealand Breakers97-70
01/12/24HSydney101-98
17/11/24HAdelaide113-93
09/11/24HPerth106-97
07/11/24ABrisbane Bullets120-103
04/11/24HNew Zealand Breakers79-113
31/10/24HSydney87-83
27/10/24HCairns Taipans106-63
24/10/24AIllawarra Hawks92-87
20/10/24HSouth East Melbourne84-93
Brisbane Bulletslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/24HAdelaide102-83
29/11/24APerth89-117
17/11/24HPerth105-84
15/11/24ATasmania JackJumpers92-95
07/11/24HMelbourne United103-120
02/11/24ACairns Taipans92-88
26/10/24HTasmania JackJumpers79-87
17/10/24HNew Zealand Breakers84-73
12/10/24ASouth East Melbourne87-85
05/10/24HSydney82-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWLWWW70%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %75%70%83%
Points / game95.895.895.7
Allowed / game87.089.982.2
Point differential+8.8+5.9+13.5
Avg total182.8185.7177.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%30%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW42%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game91.992.591.3
Allowed / game93.989.798.2
Point differential-2.0+2.8-6.8
Avg total185.8182.2189.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1612475%95.887.0+8.8
2 Illawarra Hawks149564%98.790.1+8.6
3 Sydney169756%87.683.3+4.3
4 Perth168850%94.295.7-1.4
5 New Zealand Breakers147750%84.989.4-4.6
6 South East Melbourne157847%88.285.9+2.3
7 Tasmania JackJumpers157847%80.183.2-3.1
8 Adelaide136746%88.893.6-4.8
9 Brisbane Bullets125742%91.993.9-2.0
10 Cairns Taipans1531220%83.292.7-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne United28293027114
Brisbane Bullets28293134122
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