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Melbourne United vs Brisbane Bullets Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 06 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 04:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record8-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game98.3
Allowed / game91.9
Melbourne United
Australia
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
6.9/10
Above normal
Brisbane Bullets
Australia
Position#7
Record6-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game99.2
AustraliaNBLRound 11· John Cain Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets
06 Dec 2026
MELB v BRIS
upcoming
07 Nov 2026
MELB120
BRIS92
21 Jan 2026
MELB98
BRIS66
15 Nov 2025
MELB99
BRIS93
08 Dec 2024
MELB114
BRIS122
10 Dec 2023
MELB103
BRIS68
15 Oct 2023
MELB89
BRIS78
10 Dec 2022
MELB104
BRIS88
16 Apr 2022
MELB88
BRIS79
05 Mar 2022
MELB95
BRIS83
12 Apr 2021
MELB98
BRIS89
07 Mar 2021
MELB88
BRIS96
29 Dec 2019
MELB96
BRIS102
24 Nov 2019
MELB108
BRIS94
10 Dec 2018
MELB74
BRIS90
18 Nov 2018
MELB102
BRIS94
03 Feb 2018
MELB69
BRIS61
26 Dec 2017
MELB69
BRIS68
26 Dec 2016
MELB97
BRIS59
20 Oct 2016
MELB78
BRIS70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Bullets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#5
W
96-91
96
91
+5
93avg 81
A07/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
104-99
104
99
+5
102avg 81
A10/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
89-91
89
91
-2
81avg 81
H18/10
NBL
Perth
#6
L
102-103
102
103
-1
96avg 81
A23/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
105-95
105
95
+10
93avg 81
H25/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
113-97
113
97
+16
109avg 81
A31/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
94-74
94
74
+20
no box
H02/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
120-92
120
92
+28
no box
H07/11
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
93-101
93
101
-8
no box
A12/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
102-95
102
95
+7
no box
H14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-21
25-17
20-21
20-32
17-30
28-23
29-21
30-25
27-21
16-35
22-22
24-13
26-25
22-21
31-31
23-26
32-31
24-20
21-13
28-31
26-33
25-21
34-19
28-24
28-19
15-20
27-16
24-19
29-17
33-31
21-25
37-19
10-27
25-32
27-21
31-21
30-22
34-17
23-29
15-27
195.6Avg total
101.8Scored
93.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)98.391.9190.2+6.457%
Season at home (7)100.093.0193.0+7.057%
Season away (7)96.690.9187.4+5.757%
Last 10 (10)101.893.8195.6+8.070%
Last 5 (5)104.491.8196.2+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.097.0191.0-3.00%
vs Similar (6)84.887.5172.3-2.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)93.688.3181.9+5.257%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
91-97
91
97
-6
80avg 74
A08/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
115-105
115
105
+10
116avg 74
H15/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
85-106
85
106
-21
68avg 74
A21/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
98-81
98
81
+17
92avg 74
A24/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
85-107
85
107
-22
75avg 74
H29/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
96-89
96
89
+7
95avg 74
A01/11
NBL
Perth
#6
W
109-104
109
104
+5
no box
H04/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
92-120
92
120
-28
no box
A07/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
no box
A13/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
92-104
92
104
-12
no box
H15/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
33-24
22-27
19-23
30-24
26-31
34-29
25-21
15-22
29-34
20-28
21-22
25-16
30-19
14-27
29-19
21-23
21-34
19-21
24-29
30-17
20-26
26-23
20-23
37-22
26-21
18-25
28-36
17-29
31-33
25-21
19-37
24-14
16-26
22-20
17-19
26-21
26-29
14-29
26-25
196.0Avg total
95.3Scored
100.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)94.499.2193.6-4.943%
Season at home (7)98.7101.3200.0-2.657%
Season away (7)90.097.1187.1-7.129%
Last 10 (10)95.3100.7196.0-5.440%
Last 5 (5)95.8102.2198.0-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)83.0100.0183.0-17.017%
vs Similar (7)91.693.3184.9-1.743%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -2.6-2.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -2.6-2.6
Melbourne UnitedBrisbane Bullets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#5
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A07/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A10/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H18/10
NBL
Perth
#6
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A23/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H25/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A31/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H02/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H07/11
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A12/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
64-39
64
39
+25
H14/11
NBL
98.6Avg total
50.3Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.845.492.2+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.143.891.9+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)45.447.292.6-1.836%-
Last 10 (10)50.348.398.6+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)51.047.898.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.056.0104.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (6)45.545.090.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)47.145.092.2+2.152%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A08/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H15/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A21/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A24/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
42-57
42
57
-15
H29/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A01/11
NBL
Perth
#6
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H04/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
48-62
48
62
-14
A07/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A13/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H15/11
NBL
98.8Avg total
50.0Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.848.792.5-5.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.947.993.8-2.050%-
Last 30 away (14)41.449.791.1-8.429%-
Last 10 (10)50.048.898.8+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)50.647.698.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)42.749.992.6-7.235%-
vs Similar (7)47.344.992.1+2.457%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 96.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.026.1
56.7%
56.4%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.3
32.3%
34.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws26.219.6
74.8%
74.0%19.6
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 93.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.425.6
56.4%
56.4%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.09.7
30.3%
34.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.713.1
70.1%
74.0%13.1
They take 77.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Melbourne United
WLWWWWLLWW
Brisbane Bullets
LLLWWLWLWL
#3
League position
#7
+4.9
Net rating
-2.4
100.1
Offensive rating
94.9
95.2
Defensive rating
97.4
53.8%
Effective FG%
51.9%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
13.3%
Turnover %
15.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.3%
3-point %
30.3%
55.8%
Assist %
59.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 94.9Defence95.2 · 97.4Shooting53.8% · 51.9%3-point %32.3% · 30.3%Ball care13.3% · 15.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Melbourne United   ■ Brisbane Bullets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Melbourne United wins
1
Brisbane Bullets wins
DateGameScore
07/11/26Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets120-92
21/01/26Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets98-66
27/12/25Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United87-92
15/11/25Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets99-93
17/10/25Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United86-95
26/01/25Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United88-115
08/12/24Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets114-122
07/11/24Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United103-120
26/01/24Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United77-93
10/12/23Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets103-68
Melbourne Unitedlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSouth East Melbourne102-95
12/11/26AAdelaide93-101
07/11/26HBrisbane Bullets120-92
02/11/26HNew Zealand Breakers94-74
31/10/26ACairns Taipans113-97
25/10/26HSydney105-95
23/10/26APerth102-103
18/10/26HIllawarra Hawks89-91
10/10/26ASouth East Melbourne104-99
07/10/26AAdelaide96-91
Brisbane Bulletslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HTasmania JackJumpers92-104
13/11/26ANew Zealand Breakers90-94 OT
07/11/26AMelbourne United92-120
04/11/26HPerth109-104
01/11/26AAdelaide96-89
29/10/26HCairns Taipans85-107
24/10/26AIllawarra Hawks98-81
21/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers85-106
15/10/26HSouth East Melbourne115-105
08/10/26ACairns Taipans91-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW57%
HomeLWWWW57%
AwayWWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%57%57%
Points / game98.3100.096.6
Allowed / game91.993.090.9
Point differential+6.4+7.0+5.7
Avg total190.2193.0187.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeLWLWL57%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%57%29%
Points / game94.498.790.0
Allowed / game99.2101.397.1
Point differential-4.9-2.6-7.1
Avg total193.6200.0187.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %14%14%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney139469%98.689.7+8.9
2 Tasmania JackJumpers139469%94.790.4+4.3
3 Melbourne United148657%98.391.9+6.4
4 Cairns Taipans148657%92.495.9-3.6
5 Adelaide137654%92.992.5+0.5
6 Perth137654%95.797.8-2.1
7 Brisbane Bullets146843%94.499.2-4.9
8 New Zealand Breakers145936%90.691.4-0.8
9 Illawarra Hawks1551033%97.5104.7-7.3
10 South East Melbourne134931%97.998.1-0.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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