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Melbourne United vs Perth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 106-97
31-29 20-36 32-12 23-20
Position#2
Record8-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Position#3
Record5-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game91.4
AustraliaNBLRound 8· John Cain Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Melbourne United v Perth
07 Feb 2027
MELB v PERT
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
MELB98
PERT87
04 Mar 2025
MELB113
PERT112
27 Feb 2025
MELB105
PERT93
09 Nov 2024
MELB106
PERT97
23 Dec 2023
MELB109
PERT103
06 Nov 2023
MELB95
PERT102
31 Oct 2022
MELB94
PERT77
10 Mar 2022
MELB87
PERT97
12 Feb 2022
MELB93
PERT87
25 Jun 2021
MELB81
PERT76
20 Jun 2021
MELB83
PERT74
05 May 2021
MELB69
PERT82
20 Feb 2021
MELB85
PERT89
07 Feb 2021
MELB75
PERT71
29 Jan 2020
MELB77
PERT67
20 Oct 2019
MELB93
PERT95
17 Mar 2019
MELB84
PERT97
10 Mar 2019
MELB92
PERT74
17 Feb 2019
MELB81
PERT70
17 Dec 2018
MELB82
PERT65
16 Feb 2018
MELB97
PERT85
19 Nov 2017
MELB59
PERT91
12 Feb 2017
MELB94
PERT96
23 Oct 2016
MELB69
PERT72
27 Dec 2015
MELB92
PERT87
29 Oct 2015
MELB75
PERT73
28 Dec 2014
MELB80
PERT81
23 Nov 2014
MELB91
PERT76
02 Feb 2014
MELB57
PERT81
20 Oct 2013
MELB71
PERT75
17 Feb 2013
MELB79
PERT83
21 Oct 2012
MELB65
PERT74
23 Mar 2012
MELB71
PERT72
18 Nov 2011
MELB87
PERT82
19 Nov 2010
MELB84
PERT93
24 Oct 2010
MELB66
PERT91
06 Feb 2010
MELB78
PERT84
20 Jan 2010
MELB100
PERT86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
72-81
72
81
-9
46avg 85
A28/09
NBL
Perth
#3
W
97-68
97
68
+29
95avg 85
A04/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
88-101
88
101
-13
72avg 85
H06/10
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
106-79
106
79
+27
104avg 85
H13/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
84-93
84
93
-9
75avg 85
H20/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
92-87
92
87
+5
88avg 85
A24/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
106-63
106
63
+43
108avg 85
H27/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
87-83
87
83
+4
75avg 85
H31/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
79-113
79
113
-34
60avg 85
H04/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
120-103
120
103
+17
120avg 85
A07/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
19-24
16-17
23-20
31-22
33-19
19-13
14-14
27-23
27-35
17-22
17-21
24-29
34-23
21-8
27-19
18-16
25-32
20-18
21-27
18-21
22-16
19-21
33-29
23-12
31-18
30-19
22-14
21-20
25-23
20-21
21-19
13-25
18-30
21-29
27-29
24-20
28-25
33-26
35-32
180.2Avg total
93.1Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)92.986.2179.1+6.867%
Season at home (7)91.187.3178.4+3.957%
Season away (5)95.484.6180.0+10.880%
Last 10 (10)93.187.1180.2+6.060%
Last 5 (5)96.889.8186.6+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.087.0179.0+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (12)89.886.9176.8+2.950%
vs Weaker (17)95.690.5186.1+5.265%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#5
W
106-98
106
98
+8
99avg 83
H20/09
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
87-88
87
88
-1
84avg 83
H27/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
68-97
68
97
-29
51avg 83
H04/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
79-84 OT
79
84
-5
66avg 83
A06/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
90-87
90
87
+3
74avg 83
A10/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
85-89
85
89
-4
79avg 83
A19/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
87-84
87
84
+3
76avg 83
H25/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
113-105
113
105
+8
112avg 83
H01/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
76-100
76
100
-24
61avg 83
A03/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
88-82
88
82
+6
80avg 83
H07/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
24-27
27-21
26-33
11-27
29-16
18-24
29-21
22-31
19-33
13-19
14-14
23-9
13-21
17-17
18-24
29-23
19-18
27-26
15-20
18-24
21-17
19-27
27-21
21-21
20-23
24-16
22-24
39-31
23-22
27-30
24-22
23-35
21-19
16-27
16-19
27-27
20-24
21-14
20-17
179.3Avg total
87.9Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)87.991.4179.3-3.550%
Season at home (6)91.592.3183.8-0.867%
Season away (4)82.590.0172.5-7.525%
Last 10 (10)87.991.4179.3-3.550%
Last 5 (5)89.892.0181.8-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)113.0105.0218.0+8.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (18)89.496.1185.6-6.739%
vs Weaker (11)96.786.0182.7+10.782%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
Melbourne UnitedPerth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A28/09
NBL
Perth
#3
W
64-41
64
41
+23
A04/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H06/10
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H13/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H20/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A24/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H27/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H31/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H04/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A07/11
NBL
92.8Avg total
47.5Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.345.391.7+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.745.794.4+2.960%-
Last 30 away (15)44.044.988.9-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)47.545.392.8+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.642.086.6+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.037.077.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)45.744.289.9+1.458%-
vs Weaker (17)47.246.693.8+0.647%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#5
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H20/09
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H27/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
41-64
41
64
-23
H04/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A06/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A10/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A19/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H25/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H01/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A03/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H07/11
NBL
91.6Avg total
45.1Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.047.894.9-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.148.996.1-1.833%-
Last 30 away (15)46.946.793.7+0.253%-
Last 10 (10)45.146.591.6-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)46.648.695.2-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.053.0115.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)45.050.895.8-5.828%-
vs Weaker (11)49.042.591.5+6.564%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 91.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.6
51.1%
52.3%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.612.1
36.0%
35.1%36.3
🏀 Free throws18.614.2
76.3%
74.7%14.2
They take 73.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.420.5
47.2%
52.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.1
32.9%
35.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.616.0
74.1%
74.7%16.0
They take 74.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Melbourne United
WLWWWLWLWL
Perth
WLWWLWLLLW
#2
League position
#3
+6.8
Net rating
-3.6
112.9
Offensive rating
107.3
106.1
Defensive rating
110.9
52.4%
Effective FG%
48.1%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
14.0%
Turnover %
15.4%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.0%
3-point %
32.9%
60.9%
Assist %
54.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 107.3Defence106.1 · 110.9Shooting52.4% · 48.1%3-point %36.0% · 32.9%Ball care14.0% · 15.4%Off. rebounds29.7% · 33.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Melbourne United   ■ Perth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Melbourne United wins
3
Perth wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/24ABrisbane Bullets120-103
04/11/24HNew Zealand Breakers79-113
31/10/24HSydney87-83
27/10/24HCairns Taipans106-63
24/10/24AIllawarra Hawks92-87
20/10/24HSouth East Melbourne84-93
13/10/24HAdelaide106-79
06/10/24HCairns Taipans88-101
04/10/24APerth97-68
28/09/24ATasmania JackJumpers72-81
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/24HTasmania JackJumpers88-82
03/11/24ASouth East Melbourne76-100
01/11/24HIllawarra Hawks113-105
25/10/24HSydney87-84
19/10/24ANew Zealand Breakers85-89
10/10/24ACairns Taipans90-87
06/10/24ATasmania JackJumpers79-84 OT
04/10/24HMelbourne United68-97
27/09/24HSydney87-88
20/09/24HSouth East Melbourne106-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %67%57%80%
Points / game92.991.195.4
Allowed / game86.287.384.6
Point differential+6.8+3.9+10.8
Avg total179.1178.4180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%29%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Perth
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%67%25%
Points / game87.991.582.5
Allowed / game91.492.390.0
Point differential-3.5-0.8-7.5
Avg total179.3183.8172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %10%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks96367%98.689.4+9.1
2 Melbourne United128467%92.986.2+6.8
3 New Zealand Breakers96367%86.184.0+2.1
4 Sydney127558%87.282.3+4.8
5 Adelaide95456%90.294.0-3.8
6 Perth105550%87.991.4-3.5
7 Brisbane Bullets83538%89.493.5-4.1
8 South East Melbourne114736%85.584.0+1.5
9 Tasmania JackJumpers124833%77.682.8-5.2
10 Cairns Taipans103730%84.693.8-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne United31203223106
Perth2936122097
← all games of the day
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