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Melbourne United vs Perth Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 07 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 06:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record8-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game98.3
Allowed / game91.9
Melbourne United
Australia
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
5.5/10
Above normal
Perth
Australia
Position#6
Record7-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game95.7
Allowed / game97.8
AustraliaNBLRound 20· John Cain Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Melbourne United v Perth
07 Feb 2027
MELB v PERT
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
MELB98
PERT87
04 Mar 2025
MELB113
PERT112
27 Feb 2025
MELB105
PERT93
09 Nov 2024
MELB106
PERT97
23 Dec 2023
MELB109
PERT103
06 Nov 2023
MELB95
PERT102
31 Oct 2022
MELB94
PERT77
10 Mar 2022
MELB87
PERT97
12 Feb 2022
MELB93
PERT87
25 Jun 2021
MELB81
PERT76
20 Jun 2021
MELB83
PERT74
05 May 2021
MELB69
PERT82
20 Feb 2021
MELB85
PERT89
07 Feb 2021
MELB75
PERT71
29 Jan 2020
MELB77
PERT67
20 Oct 2019
MELB93
PERT95
17 Mar 2019
MELB84
PERT97
10 Mar 2019
MELB92
PERT74
17 Feb 2019
MELB81
PERT70
17 Dec 2018
MELB82
PERT65
16 Feb 2018
MELB97
PERT85
19 Nov 2017
MELB59
PERT91
12 Feb 2017
MELB94
PERT96
23 Oct 2016
MELB69
PERT72
27 Dec 2015
MELB92
PERT87
29 Oct 2015
MELB75
PERT73
28 Dec 2014
MELB80
PERT81
23 Nov 2014
MELB91
PERT76
02 Feb 2014
MELB57
PERT81
20 Oct 2013
MELB71
PERT75
17 Feb 2013
MELB79
PERT83
21 Oct 2012
MELB65
PERT74
23 Mar 2012
MELB71
PERT72
18 Nov 2011
MELB87
PERT82
19 Nov 2010
MELB84
PERT93
24 Oct 2010
MELB66
PERT91
06 Feb 2010
MELB78
PERT84
20 Jan 2010
MELB100
PERT86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Perth win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#5
W
96-91
96
91
+5
93avg 82
A07/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
104-99
104
99
+5
102avg 82
A10/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
89-91
89
91
-2
81avg 82
H18/10
NBL
Perth
#6
L
102-103
102
103
-1
96avg 82
A23/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
105-95
105
95
+10
93avg 82
H25/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
113-97
113
97
+16
109avg 82
A31/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
94-74
94
74
+20
no box
H02/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
120-92
120
92
+28
no box
H07/11
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
93-101
93
101
-8
no box
A12/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
102-95
102
95
+7
no box
H14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-21
25-17
20-21
20-32
17-30
28-23
29-21
30-25
27-21
16-35
22-22
24-13
26-25
22-21
31-31
23-26
32-31
24-20
21-13
28-31
26-33
25-21
34-19
28-24
28-19
15-20
27-16
24-19
29-17
33-31
21-25
37-19
10-27
25-32
27-21
31-21
30-22
34-17
23-29
15-27
195.6Avg total
101.8Scored
93.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)98.391.9190.2+6.457%
Season at home (7)100.093.0193.0+7.057%
Season away (7)96.690.9187.4+5.757%
Last 10 (10)101.893.8195.6+8.070%
Last 5 (5)104.491.8196.2+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.097.0191.0-3.00%
vs Similar (6)84.887.5172.3-2.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)93.688.3181.9+5.257%
This opponent (Perth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#10
W
92-88
92
88
+4
88avg 82
H02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
100-84
100
84
+16
75avg 82
H10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
81-102
81
102
-21
73avg 82
A17/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
103-102
103
102
+1
95avg 82
H23/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
91-99
91
99
-8
81avg 82
H28/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
98-105
98
105
-7
84avg 82
H31/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
104-109
104
109
-5
no box
A04/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
92-100
92
100
-8
no box
H08/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
98-92
98
92
+6
no box
H12/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
111-100 OT
111
100
+11
no box
H14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
22-22
22-21
22-21
21-22
20-16
29-28
30-18
21-31
22-21
20-24
18-26
25-26
21-22
31-31
26-23
17-33
25-26
28-21
21-19
19-24
25-27
25-27
29-27
22-37
21-26
25-18
36-28
27-31
21-22
17-24
27-23
19-21
24-27
26-16
29-28
26-30
24-18
19-18
23-26
195.1Avg total
97.0Scored
98.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)95.797.8193.5-2.154%
Season at home (11)96.396.4192.6-0.164%
Season away (2)92.5105.5198.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)97.098.1195.1-1.150%
Last 5 (5)100.6101.2201.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)90.998.7189.6-7.929%
vs Similar (14)93.092.3185.3+0.757%
vs Weaker (9)99.987.2187.1+12.789%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.2+2.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.2+2.2
Melbourne UnitedPerth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#5
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A07/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A10/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H18/10
NBL
Perth
#6
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A23/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H25/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A31/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H02/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H07/11
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A12/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
64-39
64
39
+25
H14/11
NBL
98.6Avg total
50.3Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.845.492.2+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.143.891.9+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)45.447.292.6-1.836%-
Last 10 (10)50.348.398.6+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)51.047.898.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.056.0104.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (6)45.545.090.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)47.145.092.2+2.152%-
This opponent (Perth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#10
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A17/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H23/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
42-59
42
59
-17
H28/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H31/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A04/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H08/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H12/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H14/11
NBL
95.4Avg total
44.8Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.247.994.0-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (20)46.045.891.8+0.250%-
Last 30 away (10)46.552.198.6-5.630%-
Last 10 (10)44.850.695.4-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)45.652.698.2-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)44.150.494.6-6.314%-
vs Similar (14)46.248.995.1-2.643%-
vs Weaker (9)47.744.392.0+3.367%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 96.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.026.1
56.7%
56.4%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.3
32.3%
34.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws26.219.6
74.8%
74.0%19.6
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.3
53.7%
56.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.9
34.9%
34.2%32.7
🏀 Free throws16.614.0
84.3%
74.0%14.0
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Melbourne United
WLWWWWLLWW
Perth
WWLLLLWLWW
#3
League position
#6
+4.9
Net rating
-8.1
100.1
Offensive rating
97.4
95.2
Defensive rating
105.5
53.8%
Effective FG%
53.1%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
13.3%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.3%
3-point %
34.9%
55.8%
Assist %
64.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 97.4Defence95.2 · 105.5Shooting53.8% · 53.1%3-point %32.3% · 34.9%Ball care13.3% · 13.7%Free throws0.37 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Melbourne United   ■ Perth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Melbourne United wins
4
Perth wins
DateGameScore
23/10/26Perth v Melbourne United103-102
07/03/26Perth v Melbourne United95-77
25/01/26Perth v Melbourne United73-74
04/12/25Perth v Melbourne United96-84
23/11/25Melbourne United v Perth98-87
04/03/25Melbourne United v Perth113-112
01/03/25Perth v Melbourne United96-89
27/02/25Melbourne United v Perth105-93
22/01/25Perth v Melbourne United93-99
09/11/24Melbourne United v Perth106-97
Melbourne Unitedlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSouth East Melbourne102-95
12/11/26AAdelaide93-101
07/11/26HBrisbane Bullets120-92
02/11/26HNew Zealand Breakers94-74
31/10/26ACairns Taipans113-97
25/10/26HSydney105-95
23/10/26APerth102-103
18/10/26HIllawarra Hawks89-91
10/10/26ASouth East Melbourne104-99
07/10/26AAdelaide96-91
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HIllawarra Hawks111-100 OT
12/11/26HTasmania JackJumpers98-92
08/11/26HCairns Taipans92-100
04/11/26ABrisbane Bullets104-109
31/10/26HIllawarra Hawks98-105
28/10/26HSydney91-99
23/10/26HMelbourne United103-102
17/10/26ASydney81-102
10/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers100-84
02/10/26HSouth East Melbourne92-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW57%
HomeLWWWW57%
AwayWWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%57%57%
Points / game98.3100.096.6
Allowed / game91.993.090.9
Point differential+6.4+7.0+5.7
Avg total190.2193.0187.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Perth
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW54%
HomeLLLWW64%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13112
Win %54%64%0%
Points / game95.796.392.5
Allowed / game97.896.4105.5
Point differential-2.1-0.1-13.0
Avg total193.5192.6198.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %8%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney139469%98.689.7+8.9
2 Tasmania JackJumpers139469%94.790.4+4.3
3 Melbourne United148657%98.391.9+6.4
4 Cairns Taipans148657%92.495.9-3.6
5 Adelaide137654%92.992.5+0.5
6 Perth137654%95.797.8-2.1
7 Brisbane Bullets146843%94.499.2-4.9
8 New Zealand Breakers145936%90.691.4-0.8
9 Illawarra Hawks1551033%97.5104.7-7.3
10 South East Melbourne134931%97.998.1-0.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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