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Melbourne United vs Cairns Taipans Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 05:30
Final 106-63
23-12 31-18 30-19 22-14
Position#2
Record5-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#10
Record3-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game92.5
AustraliaNBLRound 6· John Cain Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans
13 Jan 2027
MELB v CAIR
upcoming
23 Dec 2026
MELB v CAIR
upcoming
03 Oct 2026
MELB95
CAIR107
07 Jan 2026
MELB92
CAIR93
12 Oct 2025
MELB95
CAIR60
27 Oct 2024
MELB106
CAIR63
06 Oct 2024
MELB88
CAIR101
03 Dec 2023
MELB103
CAIR115
23 Dec 2022
MELB84
CAIR81
20 Oct 2022
MELB77
CAIR81
18 Apr 2022
MELB92
CAIR80
14 Jan 2017
MELB92
CAIR85
18 Nov 2016
MELB84
CAIR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cairns Taipans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
88-86
88
86
+2
74avg 84
A28/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
81-83
81
83
-2
68avg 84
H31/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
88-79
88
79
+9
86avg 84
H19/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
96-84
96
84
+12
92avg 84
A26/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
72-81
72
81
-9
46avg 84
A28/09
NBL
Perth
#3
W
97-68
97
68
+29
95avg 84
A04/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
88-101
88
101
-13
72avg 84
H06/10
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
106-79
106
79
+27
104avg 84
H13/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
84-93
84
93
-9
75avg 84
H20/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
92-87
92
87
+5
88avg 84
A24/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
24-19
26-27
21-20
31-26
13-18
19-15
18-24
23-20
22-23
27-16
16-20
21-28
25-12
21-20
29-24
14-20
19-24
16-17
23-20
31-22
33-19
19-13
14-14
27-23
27-35
17-22
17-21
24-29
34-23
21-8
27-19
18-16
25-32
20-18
21-27
18-21
22-16
19-21
33-29
173.3Avg total
89.2Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)90.484.0174.4+6.462%
Season at home (4)91.588.0179.5+3.550%
Season away (4)89.280.0169.2+9.275%
Last 10 (10)89.284.1173.3+5.160%
Last 5 (5)93.485.6179.0+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.087.0179.0+5.0100%
vs Similar (12)91.788.6180.2+3.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)94.889.9184.7+4.965%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
L
88-117
88
117
-29
72avg 80
A10/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
97-88
97
88
+9
90avg 80
H16/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
75-102
75
102
-27
49avg 80
H21/09
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
101-97
101
97
+4
96avg 80
H28/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
90-78
90
78
+12
88avg 80
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
101-88
101
88
+13
95avg 80
A06/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
87-90
87
90
-3
80avg 80
H10/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
73-99
73
99
-26
58avg 80
A13/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
75-87
75
87
-12
66avg 80
H19/10
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
93-99 OT
93
99
-6
93avg 80
A25/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-30
27-27
15-22
16-38
28-15
29-20
20-19
20-34
21-26
24-28
15-18
15-30
28-32
30-22
19-23
24-20
27-21
26-16
18-24
19-17
23-27
35-27
22-17
21-17
23-29
18-19
26-27
20-15
18-28
21-25
18-23
16-23
24-17
14-23
20-19
17-28
27-21
32-22
14-22
15-23
182.5Avg total
88.0Scored
94.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.992.5179.4-5.638%
Season at home (5)85.690.8176.4-5.240%
Season away (3)89.095.3184.3-6.333%
Last 10 (10)88.094.5182.5-6.540%
Last 5 (5)85.892.6178.4-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)89.295.3184.5-6.128%
vs Similar (10)90.992.9183.8-2.060%
vs Weaker (2)86.083.0169.0+3.050%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -6.2-6.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -6.2-6.2
Melbourne UnitedCairns Taipans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A28/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H31/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H19/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A26/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A28/09
NBL
Perth
#3
W
64-41
64
41
+23
A04/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H06/10
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H13/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H20/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A24/10
NBL
91.4Avg total
46.8Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.045.792.7+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.746.496.1+3.357%-
Last 30 away (16)44.645.089.6-0.444%-
Last 10 (10)46.844.691.4+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)51.847.299.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.037.077.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (12)45.344.890.2+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)48.646.895.4+1.847%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A10/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H16/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H21/09
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H28/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H04/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A06/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H10/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A13/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H19/10
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
59-43
59
43
+16
A25/10
NBL
98.0Avg total
50.5Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.948.495.2-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.447.191.5-2.735%-
Last 30 away (13)50.150.0100.1+0.146%-
Last 10 (10)50.547.598.0+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)47.047.694.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)47.848.396.2-0.539%-
vs Similar (10)45.649.094.6-3.440%-
vs Weaker (2)44.545.590.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.222.0
50.9%
52.3%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.0
33.7%
35.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.814.6
73.7%
74.7%14.6
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.420.4
48.1%
52.3%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.6
37.2%
35.1%31.8
🏀 Free throws19.714.6
74.1%
74.7%14.6
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Melbourne United
WLWLWLWWLW
Cairns Taipans
LLLLWWWLWL
#2
League position
#10
+5.7
Net rating
-7.8
109.8
Offensive rating
107.7
104.1
Defensive rating
115.5
50.8%
Effective FG%
51.2%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
14.3%
Turnover %
15.5%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.7%
3-point %
37.2%
57.2%
Assist %
55.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 107.7Defence104.1 · 115.5Shooting50.8% · 51.2%3-point %33.7% · 37.2%Ball care14.3% · 15.5%Off. rebounds29.7% · 26.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Melbourne United   ■ Cairns Taipans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/24AIllawarra Hawks92-87
20/10/24HSouth East Melbourne84-93
13/10/24HAdelaide106-79
06/10/24HCairns Taipans88-101
04/10/24APerth97-68
28/09/24ATasmania JackJumpers72-81
26/09/24ASouth East Melbourne96-84
19/09/24HTasmania JackJumpers88-79
31/03/24HTasmania JackJumpers81-83
28/03/24ATasmania JackJumpers88-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/24AAdelaide93-99 OT
19/10/24HIllawarra Hawks75-87
13/10/24ASydney73-99
10/10/24HPerth87-90
06/10/24AMelbourne United101-88
04/10/24HTasmania JackJumpers90-78
28/09/24HAdelaide101-97
21/09/24HIllawarra Hawks75-102
16/02/24HMelbourne United97-88
10/02/24APerth88-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game90.491.589.2
Allowed / game84.088.080.0
Point differential+6.4+3.5+9.2
Avg total174.4179.5169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cairns Taipans
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%40%33%
Points / game86.985.689.0
Allowed / game92.590.895.3
Point differential-5.6-5.2-6.3
Avg total179.4176.4184.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %12%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks86275%97.886.5+11.2
2 New Zealand Breakers64267%81.585.3-3.8
3 Melbourne United85362%90.484.0+6.4
4 Adelaide85362%91.292.1-0.9
5 Sydney95456%89.085.8+3.2
6 Perth73443%86.089.6-3.6
7 Cairns Taipans83538%86.992.5-5.6
8 Tasmania JackJumpers83538%78.684.2-5.6
9 Brisbane Bullets62433%86.790.0-3.3
10 South East Melbourne82625%86.587.1-0.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne United23313022106
Cairns Taipans1218191463
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