Brisbane Bullets vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	87.4	89.7	177.1	-2.3	43%
Season at home (3)	81.7	83.7	165.3	-2.0	33%
Season away (4)	91.8	94.2	186.0	-2.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	87.7	90.4	178.1	-2.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	84.8	169.6	+0.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	85.5	93.0	178.5	-7.5	38%
vs Similar (14)	88.6	88.3	176.9	+0.4	50%
vs Weaker (3)	92.0	90.3	182.3	+1.7	67%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormUnited

Date

Competition

South East Melbourne

96-84

+12

92avg 84

A26/09

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

72-81

-9

46avg 84

A28/09

NBL

Perth

97-68

+29

95avg 84

A04/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

#10

88-101

101

-13

72avg 84

H06/10

NBL

Adelaide

106-79

106

+27

104avg 84

H13/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

84-93

-9

75avg 84

H20/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

92-87

88avg 84

A24/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

#10

106-63

106

+43

108avg 84

H27/10

NBL

Sydney

87-83

75avg 84

H31/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

79-113

113

-34

60avg 84

H04/11

NBL

21-28

25-12

21-20

29-24

14-20

19-24

16-17

23-20

31-22

33-19

19-13

14-14

27-23

27-35

17-22

17-21

24-29

34-23

21-8

27-19

18-16

25-32

20-18

21-27

18-21

22-16

19-21

33-29

23-12

31-18

30-19

22-14

21-20

25-23

20-21

21-19

13-25

18-30

21-29

27-29

175.9Avg total

90.7Scored

85.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	90.5	84.6	175.1	+5.8	64%
Season at home (7)	91.1	87.3	178.4	+3.9	57%
Season away (4)	89.2	80.0	169.2	+9.2	75%
Last 10 (10)	90.7	85.2	175.9	+5.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	89.6	87.8	177.4	+1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	92.0	87.0	179.0	+5.0	100%
vs Similar (12)	89.8	86.9	176.8	+2.9	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	93.2	90.0	183.2	+3.2	59%

This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Brisbane BulletsMelbourne United

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	21.8	42.2	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	22.2	42.7	-1.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	22.6	41.5	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	19.2	36.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.5	21.5	41.1	-2.0	46%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.4	22.1	42.5	-1.8	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	24.3	21.0	45.3	+3.3	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	22.1	44.5	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.1	21.6	45.7	+2.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	22.5	43.2	-1.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	21.6	42.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	23.2	22.3	45.6	+0.9	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.1	21.9	44.0	+0.1	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.6	23.8	47.5	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	22.3	45.7	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.8	25.2	49.0	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	24.8	47.3	-2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	23.8	43.8	-3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	23.3	23.5	46.8	-0.2	46%	-
vs Similar (14)	23.6	24.5	48.1	-0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	25.3	22.0	47.3	+3.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	23.3	46.8	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.5	24.1	48.7	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	22.4	44.9	+0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.9	23.2	49.1	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	23.8	48.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	16.0	38.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.4	21.9	44.3	+0.5	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	24.4	24.6	49.1	-0.2	47%	-

Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

44-50

-6

A03/02

NBL

Adelaide

52-44

H09/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

40-55

-15

A16/02

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

34-51

-17

A21/09

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

60-59

A27/09

NBL

Sydney

27-47

-20

H05/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

45-49

-4

A12/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

39-33

H17/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

32-42

-10

H26/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

#10

41-44

-3

A02/11

NBL

88.8Avg total

41.4Scored

47.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	45.6	89.6	-1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.8	43.5	87.3	+0.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.2	47.4	91.7	-3.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	47.4	88.8	-6.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	43.0	79.8	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	42.8	45.1	87.9	-2.2	62%	-
vs Similar (14)	43.9	46.6	90.6	-2.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	49.7	43.0	92.7	+6.7	67%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

South East Melbourne

46-40

A26/09

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

33-44

-11

A28/09

NBL

Perth

64-41

+23

A04/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

#10

54-58

-4

H06/10

NBL

Adelaide

58-52

H13/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

43-48

-5

H20/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

40-37

A24/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

#10

54-30

+24

H27/10

NBL

Sydney

46-43

H31/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

31-55

-24

H04/11

NBL

91.7Avg total

46.9Scored

44.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.9	45.3	91.3	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	48.7	45.7	94.4	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.2	44.9	88.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.9	44.8	91.7	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	42.6	85.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	40.0	37.0	77.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (12)	45.7	44.2	89.9	+1.4	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	46.5	46.6	93.1	-0.1	41%	-

This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	22.2	44.2	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	21.6	43.8	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	22.7	44.5	-0.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	21.4	44.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	21.6	46.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	22.5	24.6	47.2	-2.1	31%	-
vs Similar (14)	22.2	19.3	41.5	+2.9	71%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.3	25.3	43.7	-7.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	19.9	42.5	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	19.3	42.5	+4.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	20.6	42.5	+1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.8	39.2	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.6	43.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.1	19.4	41.5	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.2	20.2	43.4	+2.9	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	22.7	44.4	-1.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	21.2	43.4	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	24.1	45.2	-2.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	21.6	44.9	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	20.2	43.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	20.2	23.3	43.5	-3.2	23%	-
vs Similar (14)	22.5	22.4	44.9	+0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	24.0	22.0	46.0	+2.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	22.7	45.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	22.5	43.9	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.5	22.8	46.3	+0.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	21.6	45.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	23.6	48.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	33.0	29.0	62.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.1	23.2	45.3	-1.2	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.0	21.9	43.9	+0.1	53%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	44.9	88.5	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.3	42.9	87.1	+1.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.0	46.8	89.8	-3.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.3	43.0	89.3	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.0	41.8	89.8	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	42.7	47.9	90.6	-5.2	15%	-
vs Similar (14)	44.7	41.6	86.4	+3.1	64%	-
vs Weaker (3)	42.3	47.3	89.7	-5.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.0	42.6	87.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.6	41.8	86.4	+2.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.4	43.4	88.8	+2.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	40.4	84.2	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	45.2	92.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	52.0	50.0	102.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (12)	44.2	42.7	86.8	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	45.2	42.1	87.3	+3.1	65%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 86.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	48.9	23.2	47.4%	52.3%	46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.2	8.3	35.8%	35.1%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	20.0	15.2	76.0%	74.7%	15.2

They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 90.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.9	20.2	50.6%	52.3%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.7	11.6	34.4%	35.1%	34.8
🏀 Free throws	19.5	14.9	76.4%	74.7%	14.9

They take 73.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.2	24.4	56.5%	52.3%	48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	8.5	31.6%	35.1%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	19.8	15.5	78.3%	74.7%	15.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	48.1	22.8	47.4%	52.3%	45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	8.0	32.0%	35.1%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	20.7	15.1	72.9%	74.7%	15.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	48.8	24.0	49.1%	52.3%	47.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.4	7.1	31.7%	35.1%	21.3
🏀 Free throws	23.0	17.5	76.1%	74.7%	17.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.2	23.4	51.7%	52.3%	46.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	10.1	35.4%	35.1%	30.2
🏀 Free throws	19.6	13.9	70.8%	74.7%	13.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.2	24.0	54.2%	52.3%	47.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	8.2	32.3%	35.1%	24.7
🏀 Free throws	22.6	17.2	76.0%	74.7%	17.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.8	22.8	47.6%	52.3%	45.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	8.6	35.0%	35.1%	25.9
🏀 Free throws	20.9	15.0	72.0%	74.7%	15.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Brisbane Bullets

WLWWLLLLWL

Melbourne United

LWWWLWLWLW

League position

-4.1

Net rating

+6.7

108.3

Offensive rating

111.3

112.5

Defensive rating

104.6

49.4%

Effective FG%

51.1%

53.0%

Opp. effective FG%

47.6%

16.3%

Turnover %

13.8%

34.4%

Off. rebound %

29.4%

0.28

Free-throw rate

0.26

35.8%

3-point %

34.4%

51.1%

Assist %

60.7%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Brisbane Bullets ■ Melbourne United

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Brisbane Bullets wins

Melbourne United wins

Date	Game	Score
26/01/24	Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United	77-93
10/12/23	Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets	103-68
15/10/23	Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets	89-78
14/01/23	Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United	91-101
01/01/23	Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United	86-99
10/12/22	Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets	104-88
16/04/22	Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets	88-79
05/03/22	Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets	95-83
26/01/22	Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United	82-84
24/05/21	Brisbane Bullets v Melbourne United	88-99

Brisbane Bulletslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/11/24	A	Cairns Taipans	92-88
26/10/24	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	79-87
17/10/24	H	New Zealand Breakers	84-73
12/10/24	A	South East Melbourne	87-85
05/10/24	H	Sydney	82-91
27/09/24	A	Illawarra Hawks	101-113
21/09/24	A	New Zealand Breakers	87-91
16/02/24	A	New Zealand Breakers	87-103
09/02/24	H	Adelaide	102-84
03/02/24	A	Illawarra Hawks	76-89

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/11/24	H	New Zealand Breakers	79-113
31/10/24	H	Sydney	87-83
27/10/24	H	Cairns Taipans	106-63
24/10/24	A	Illawarra Hawks	92-87
20/10/24	H	South East Melbourne	84-93
13/10/24	H	Adelaide	106-79
06/10/24	H	Cairns Taipans	88-101
04/10/24	A	Perth	97-68
28/09/24	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	72-81
26/09/24	A	South East Melbourne	96-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brisbane Bullets

NBL 2024-25

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	43%
Home	LWL	33%
Away	LLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	43%	33%	50%
Points / game	87.4	81.7	91.8
Allowed / game	89.7	83.7	94.2
Point differential	-2.3	-2.0	-2.5
Avg total	177.1	165.3	186.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	-	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Melbourne United

NBL 2024-25

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	64%
Home	WLWWL	57%
Away	WLWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	7	4
Win %	64%	57%	75%
Points / game	90.5	91.1	89.2
Allowed / game	84.6	87.3	80.0
Point differential	+5.8	+3.9	+9.2
Avg total	175.1	178.4	169.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	29%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	New Zealand Breakers	8	6	2	75%	88.9	84.1	+4.8
2	Illawarra Hawks	9	6	3	67%	98.6	89.4	+9.1
3	Melbourne United	11	7	4	64%	90.5	84.6	+5.8
4	Adelaide	9	5	4	56%	90.2	94.0	-3.8
5	Sydney	11	6	5	55%	88.4	83.5	+4.8
6	Perth	9	4	5	44%	87.9	92.4	-4.6
7	Brisbane Bullets	7	3	4	43%	87.4	89.7	-2.3
8	South East Melbourne	10	4	6	40%	87.1	85.0	+2.1
9	Tasmania JackJumpers	10	3	7	30%	76.6	84.1	-7.5
10	Cairns Taipans	10	3	7	30%	84.6	93.8	-9.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Brisbane Bullets	20	25	26	32	103
Melbourne United	24	28	33	35	120

← all games of the day

Brisbane Bullets vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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