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Perth vs South East Melbourne Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 106-98
29-17 24-27 27-21 26-33
Position#3
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Perth 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#5
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
AustraliaNBLRound 1· Mayberry V.
Other2024-25
Meetings · Perth v South East Melbourne
02 Oct 2026
PERT92
SOUT88
19 Sep 2026
PERT79
SOUT100
28 Jan 2026
PERT101
SOUT93
18 Dec 2025
PERT76
SOUT77
11 Feb 2025
PERT122
SOUT105
31 Jan 2025
PERT100
SOUT99
15 Nov 2024
PERT97
SOUT84
20 Sep 2024
PERT106
SOUT98
13 Jan 2024
PERT100
SOUT79
17 Nov 2022
PERT103
SOUT96
28 Oct 2022
PERT90
SOUT91
24 Apr 2022
PERT100
SOUT102
03 Mar 2021
PERT93
SOUT92
29 Jan 2021
PERT89
SOUT90
24 Jan 2021
PERT88
SOUT76
17 Jan 2020
PERT97
SOUT71
25 Oct 2019
PERT110
SOUT79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South East Melbourne winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Sydney
#7
W
104-98
104
98
+6
96avg 82
A21/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
77-95
77
95
-18
63avg 82
H25/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
103-91
103
91
+12
99avg 82
A27/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
78-89
78
89
-11
71avg 82
H04/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
117-88
117
88
+29
112avg 82
H10/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
92-108
92
108
-16
74avg 82
A15/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
72-86
72
86
-14
54avg 82
A17/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
89-81
89
81
+8
85avg 82
H08/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
94-102
94
102
-8
80avg 82
A11/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
84-100
84
100
-16
71avg 82
H13/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-20
24-37
22-21
24-20
21-28
14-27
20-16
22-24
29-17
30-29
20-23
24-22
16-21
23-25
24-25
15-18
30-30
27-27
22-15
38-16
26-24
24-32
21-28
21-24
22-22
10-25
16-17
24-22
24-24
22-19
16-15
27-23
29-21
23-26
21-27
21-28
19-21
24-31
21-25
20-23
184.8Avg total
91.0Scored
93.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)91.093.8184.8-2.840%
Last 5 (5)86.295.4181.6-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)91.195.4186.5-4.241%
vs Weaker (13)95.986.9182.8+9.077%
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South East MelbourneAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMelbourne
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
83-95
83
95
-12
70avg 73
A30/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
78-116
78
116
-38
58avg 73
A05/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
79-100
79
100
-21
69avg 73
A13/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
85-110
85
110
-25
69avg 73
H17/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
75-106
75
106
-31
64avg 73
A20/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
104-98
104
98
+6
92avg 73
H25/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
91-103
91
103
-12
76avg 73
H27/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
83-99
83
99
-16
70avg 73
A03/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
67-94
67
94
-27
50avg 73
H10/02
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
67-122
67
122
-55
45avg 73
H17/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-32
19-25
25-15
16-23
15-24
21-29
23-33
19-30
19-28
20-28
22-14
18-30
23-34
17-34
20-19
25-23
10-25
27-27
26-25
12-29
36-27
25-27
21-14
22-30
17-29
29-30
23-20
22-24
17-26
27-31
15-31
24-11
19-24
11-25
14-25
23-20
14-34
25-29
17-29
11-30
185.5Avg total
81.2Scored
104.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.2104.3185.5-23.110%
Last 5 (5)82.4103.2185.6-20.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)87.396.6183.9-9.334%
vs Similar ◀ (1)99.0106.0205.0-7.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -9.0-9.0Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: -6.4-6.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -5.8-5.8
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -9.0-9.0Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: -6.4-6.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -5.8-5.8
PerthSouth East Melbourne
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#7
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A21/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H25/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A27/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H04/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H10/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A15/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A17/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H08/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A11/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H13/03
NBL
97.7Avg total
47.1Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.746.393.0+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.844.790.5+1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)47.647.995.5-0.353%-
Last 10 (10)47.150.697.7-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)44.649.093.6-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)45.149.494.5-4.429%-
vs Weaker (13)48.842.291.1+6.677%-
This opponent (South East Melbourne) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South East MelbourneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A30/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A05/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A13/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
40-68
40
68
-28
H17/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A20/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H25/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H27/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A03/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H10/02
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
39-63
39
63
-24
H17/02
NBL
98.2Avg total
41.4Scored
56.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.750.395.0-5.627%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.150.695.7-5.533%-
Last 30 away (15)44.350.094.3-5.720%-
Last 10 (10)41.456.898.2-15.410%-
Last 5 (5)44.056.4100.4-12.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)44.550.494.9-5.924%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)51.047.098.0+4.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.025.7
52.4%
52.3%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.26.1
27.5%
35.1%18.3
🏀 Free throws26.620.3
76.3%
74.7%20.3
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
South East Melbournetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

South East Melbourne: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.521.3
44.8%
52.3%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.2
28.3%
35.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.316.0
75.1%
74.7%16.0
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
LLWLLWLWLW
South East Melbourne
LLLLWLLLLL
#3
League position
#5
-3.4
Net rating
-28.7
109.5
Offensive rating
98.3
112.9
Defensive rating
126.9
48.9%
Effective FG%
44.0%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
59.2%
12.6%
Turnover %
15.8%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.29
27.5%
3-point %
28.3%
51.3%
Assist %
46.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 98.3Defence112.9 · 126.9Shooting48.9% · 44.0%3-point %27.5% · 28.3%Ball care12.6% · 15.8%Off. rebounds26.4% · 31.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Perth   ■ South East Melbourne
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Perth wins
5
South East Melbourne wins
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/24HTasmania JackJumpers84-100
11/03/24ATasmania JackJumpers94-102
08/03/24HTasmania JackJumpers89-81
17/02/24ATasmania JackJumpers72-86
15/02/24AIllawarra Hawks92-108
10/02/24HCairns Taipans117-88
04/02/24HNew Zealand Breakers78-89
27/01/24ASouth East Melbourne103-91
25/01/24HIllawarra Hawks77-95
21/01/24ASydney104-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HSydney67-122
10/02/24HTasmania JackJumpers67-94
03/02/24AMelbourne United83-99
27/01/24HPerth91-103
25/01/24HSydney104-98
20/01/24ANew Zealand Breakers75-106
17/01/24HAdelaide85-110
13/01/24APerth79-100
05/01/24AIllawarra Hawks78-116
30/12/23ABrisbane Bullets83-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
South East Melbourne
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United110100%88.079.0+9.0
2 Tasmania JackJumpers1010%79.088.0-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth29242726106
South East Melbourne1727213398
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