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New Zealand Breakers vs Perth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 89-85
24-18 17-21 27-19 21-27
Position#9
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Position#3
Record2-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game90.8
AustraliaNBLRound 5· Spark Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Perth
03 Jan 2027
NEW v PERT
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
NEW 91
PERT99
27 Sep 2025
NEW 78
PERT89
05 Jan 2025
NEW 86
PERT96
19 Oct 2024
NEW 89
PERT85
07 Jan 2024
NEW 102
PERT108
04 Jan 2023
NEW 97
PERT94
03 Dec 2022
NEW 84
PERT92
14 Mar 2022
NEW 102
PERT104
01 May 2021
NEW 86
PERT84
13 Apr 2021
NEW 79
PERT85
03 Nov 2019
NEW 79
PERT84
06 Jan 2019
NEW 97
PERT84
23 Nov 2018
NEW 93
PERT98
01 Dec 2017
NEW 73
PERT89
09 Nov 2017
NEW 88
PERT84
22 Jan 2017
NEW 86
PERT82
15 Dec 2016
NEW 69
PERT57
04 Mar 2016
NEW 72
PERT68
02 Dec 2015
NEW 99
PERT78
13 Nov 2015
NEW 88
PERT80
29 Jan 2015
NEW 90
PERT79
11 Dec 2014
NEW 77
PERT66
13 Dec 2013
NEW 62
PERT71
24 Oct 2013
NEW 89
PERT96
07 Apr 2013
NEW 79
PERT67
01 Feb 2013
NEW 98
PERT81
05 Oct 2012
NEW 72
PERT93
24 Apr 2012
NEW 79
PERT73
12 Apr 2012
NEW 104
PERT98
02 Feb 2012
NEW 83
PERT77
13 Apr 2011
NEW 99
PERT83
07 Apr 2011
NEW 78
PERT101
17 Feb 2011
NEW 82
PERT79
20 Oct 2010
NEW 96
PERT94
10 Dec 2009
NEW 100
PERT106
12 Nov 2009
NEW 83
PERT74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
W
89-78
89
78
+11
81avg 79
A04/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
88-85
88
85
+3
81avg 79
H09/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
81-94
81
94
-13
65avg 79
A11/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
103-87
103
87
+16
96avg 79
H16/02
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
70-76
70
76
-6
56avg 79
A18/02
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
83-76
83
76
+7
74avg 79
A28/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
85-88
85
88
-3
78avg 79
A04/03
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
91-87
91
87
+4
88avg 79
H21/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
81-79
81
79
+2
69avg 79
H29/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
73-84
73
84
-11
61avg 79
A17/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
25-23
25-24
18-15
18-21
23-21
27-19
20-24
22-27
17-28
16-23
26-16
26-21
29-19
20-23
28-24
14-17
21-20
12-21
23-18
15-22
23-25
22-13
23-16
17-31
25-11
21-24
22-22
24-19
27-15
21-18
19-35
11-21
22-15
27-23
21-20
13-17
20-22
17-19
23-26
167.8Avg total
84.4Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.783.3165.0-1.767%
Season at home (2)86.083.0169.0+3.0100%
Season away (1)73.084.0157.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)84.483.4167.8+1.060%
Last 5 (5)82.682.8165.4-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)87.489.3176.7-1.957%
vs Similar (17)87.886.6174.4+1.253%
vs Weaker (6)89.387.3176.7+2.033%
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
92-108
92
108
-16
74avg 82
A15/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
72-86
72
86
-14
54avg 82
A17/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
89-81
89
81
+8
85avg 82
H08/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
94-102
94
102
-8
80avg 82
A11/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
84-100
84
100
-16
71avg 82
H13/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
106-98
106
98
+8
99avg 82
H20/09
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
87-88
87
88
-1
84avg 82
H27/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
68-97
68
97
-29
51avg 82
H04/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
79-84 OT
79
84
-5
66avg 82
A06/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
90-87
90
87
+3
74avg 82
A10/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
24-32
21-28
21-24
22-22
10-25
16-17
24-22
24-24
22-19
16-15
27-23
29-21
23-26
21-27
21-28
19-21
24-31
21-25
20-23
29-17
24-27
27-21
26-33
11-27
29-16
18-24
29-21
22-31
19-33
13-19
14-14
23-9
13-21
17-17
18-24
29-23
19-18
27-26
15-20
179.2Avg total
86.1Scored
93.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.090.8176.8-4.840%
Season at home (3)87.094.3181.3-7.333%
Season away (2)84.585.5170.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)86.193.1179.2-7.030%
Last 5 (5)86.090.8176.8-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)91.395.4186.7-4.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)96.485.6182.0+10.883%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.7-1.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.7-1.7
New Zealand BreakersPerth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A04/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H09/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A11/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H16/02
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A18/02
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A28/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A04/03
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H21/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H29/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A17/10
NBL
82.4Avg total
41.3Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.543.788.2+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.441.587.9+4.957%-
Last 30 away (16)42.845.688.4-2.838%-
Last 10 (10)41.341.182.4+0.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.679.0-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)43.043.686.6-0.643%-
vs Similar (17)44.243.988.1+0.441%-
vs Weaker (6)46.843.390.2+3.567%-
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A15/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A17/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H08/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A11/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H13/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H20/09
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H27/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
41-64
41
64
-23
H04/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A06/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A10/10
NBL
90.8Avg total
44.1Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.046.993.8+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.446.993.3-0.644%-
Last 30 away (14)47.646.894.4+0.957%-
Last 10 (10)44.146.790.8-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.488.0-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)45.750.195.8-4.433%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)48.842.090.8+6.875%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.622.6
53.1%
52.3%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.4
32.6%
35.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.413.0
70.7%
74.7%13.0
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.922.7
49.5%
52.3%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.7
28.5%
35.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws22.416.8
75.0%
74.7%16.8
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New Zealand Breakers
LWWLWLWLWW
Perth
WLLLWLLWLL
#9
League position
#3
+1.0
Net rating
-8.2
106.2
Offensive rating
103.1
105.2
Defensive rating
111.3
51.5%
Effective FG%
47.0%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
15.7%
Turnover %
14.1%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.6%
3-point %
28.5%
51.0%
Assist %
50.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 103.1Defence105.2 · 111.3Shooting51.5% · 47.0%3-point %32.6% · 28.5%Ball care15.7% · 14.1%Off. rebounds27.1% · 26.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ New Zealand Breakers   ■ Perth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
New Zealand Breakers wins
8
Perth wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/24ABrisbane Bullets73-84
29/09/24HSouth East Melbourne81-79
21/09/24HBrisbane Bullets91-87
04/03/24AIllawarra Hawks85-88
28/02/24ASydney83-76
18/02/24AAdelaide70-76
16/02/24HBrisbane Bullets103-87
11/02/24AMelbourne United81-94
09/02/24HIllawarra Hawks88-85
04/02/24APerth89-78
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/24ACairns Taipans90-87
06/10/24ATasmania JackJumpers79-84 OT
04/10/24HMelbourne United68-97
27/09/24HSydney87-88
20/09/24HSouth East Melbourne106-98
13/03/24HTasmania JackJumpers84-100
11/03/24ATasmania JackJumpers94-102
08/03/24HTasmania JackJumpers89-81
17/02/24ATasmania JackJumpers72-86
15/02/24AIllawarra Hawks92-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game81.786.073.0
Allowed / game83.383.084.0
Point differential-1.7+3.0-11.0
Avg total165.0169.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Perth
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game86.087.084.5
Allowed / game90.894.385.5
Point differential-4.8-7.3-1.0
Avg total176.8181.3170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %20%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks54180%104.088.6+15.4
2 Sydney75271%89.784.6+5.1
3 Melbourne United64267%91.282.0+9.2
4 New Zealand Breakers32167%81.783.3-1.7
5 Adelaide63350%92.395.2-2.8
6 Cairns Taipans63350%87.892.3-4.5
7 Brisbane Bullets52340%88.290.6-2.4
8 Perth52340%86.090.8-4.8
9 Tasmania JackJumpers62433%78.286.3-8.2
10 South East Melbourne5050%85.892.6-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
New Zealand Breakers2417272189
Perth1821192785
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