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Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 126-108
53-33 19-36 22-19 32-20
Position#17
Record4-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game122.4
Allowed / game117.6
vs
Position#14
Record3-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game120.4
Allowed / game120.4
USANBA· Kaseya Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Miami Heat v Charlotte Hornets
02 Feb 2027
MIA v CHA
upcoming
27 Dec 2026
MIA v CHA
upcoming
07 Nov 2025
MIA126
CHA108
28 Oct 2025
MIA144
CHA117
23 Mar 2025
MIA122
CHA105
10 Mar 2025
MIA102
CHA105
14 Jan 2024
MIA104
CHA87
13 Dec 2023
MIA115
CHA104
12 Nov 2022
MIA132
CHA115
10 Nov 2022
MIA117
CHA112
05 Apr 2022
MIA144
CHA115
29 Oct 2021
MIA114
CHA99
01 Feb 2021
MIA121
CHA129
11 Mar 2020
MIA98
CHA109
25 Nov 2019
MIA117
CHA100
17 Mar 2019
MIA93
CHA75
20 Oct 2018
MIA112
CHA113
27 Jan 2018
MIA95
CHA91
01 Dec 2017
MIA105
CHA100
08 Mar 2017
MIA108
CHA101
28 Oct 2016
MIA91
CHA97
01 May 2016
MIA106
CHA73
27 Apr 2016
MIA88
CHA90
20 Apr 2016
MIA115
CHA103
17 Apr 2016
MIA123
CHA91
17 Mar 2016
MIA106
CHA109
28 Oct 2015
MIA104
CHA94
07 Apr 2015
MIA105
CHA100
23 Nov 2014
MIA94
CHA93
23 Apr 2014
MIA101
CHA97
20 Apr 2014
MIA99
CHA88
03 Mar 2014
MIA124
CHA107
01 Dec 2013
MIA99
CHA98
24 Mar 2013
MIA109
CHA77
04 Feb 2013
MIA99
CHA94
13 Apr 2012
MIA105
CHA82
01 Jan 2012
MIA129
CHA90
08 Apr 2011
MIA112
CHA103
19 Nov 2010
MIA95
CHA87
20 Mar 2010
MIA77
CHA71
02 Jan 2010
MIA97
CHA107
08 Feb 2009
MIA96
CHA92
08 Dec 2008
MIA100
CHA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Charlotte Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
83-103
83
103
-20
70avg 103
H06/07
California Classic
Golden State Warriors
#3
W
93-79
93
79
+14
92avg 103
A08/07
California Classic
Orlando Magic
#13
L
121-125
121
125
-4
114avg 103
A22/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
146-114
146
114
+32
147avg 103
A25/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
115-107
115
107
+8
113avg 103
H26/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
144-117
144
117
+27
139avg 103
H28/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
101-107
101
107
-6
93avg 103
A31/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
120-130
120
130
-10
115avg 103
A03/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
120-119
120
119
+1
119avg 103
A04/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
112-122
112
122
-10
103avg 103
A06/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
18-25
24-25
21-27
23-22
25-14
22-21
23-22
39-38
26-31
26-21
30-35
44-25
42-22
28-29
32-38
24-27
33-27
31-27
27-26
37-34
39-26
29-28
39-29
31-33
27-26
14-28
29-20
36-43
27-34
35-25
22-28
32-30
34-41
37-24
17-24
33-36
27-32
26-33
26-21
227.8Avg total
115.5Scored
112.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)122.4117.6240.0+4.850%
Season at home (2)129.5112.0241.5+17.5100%
Season away (6)120.0119.5239.5+0.533%
Last 10 (10)115.5112.3227.8+3.250%
Last 5 (5)119.4119.0238.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)103.1114.8217.9-11.722%
vs Similar ◀ (12)116.0113.2229.2+2.850%
vs Weaker (9)118.898.2217.0+20.689%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
L
94-130
94
130
-36
81avg 98
A11/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
86-93
86
93
-7
69avg 98
A13/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
136-117
136
117
+19
136avg 98
H22/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
121-125
121
125
-4
116avg 98
A25/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
139-113
139
113
+26
138avg 98
A26/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
117-144
117
144
-27
107avg 98
A28/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
107-123
107
123
-16
102avg 98
H30/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
105-122
105
122
-17
96avg 98
H01/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
126-103
126
103
+23
126avg 98
H02/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
112-116
112
116
-4
106avg 98
A05/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
28-29
22-37
19-39
15-33
28-21
25-15
18-24
38-32
39-28
34-37
25-20
29-36
29-25
38-25
25-39
31-30
20-32
44-26
44-25
34-37
26-39
28-29
29-39
31-38
27-33
27-21
22-31
31-25
25-25
18-36
31-36
39-25
32-23
33-38
22-17
30-33
29-28
34-26
19-29
232.9Avg total
114.3Scored
118.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)120.4120.4240.8+0.038%
Season at home (4)118.5116.2234.8+2.250%
Season away (4)122.2124.5246.8-2.225%
Last 10 (10)114.3118.6232.9-4.330%
Last 5 (5)113.4121.6235.0-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)105.5120.4225.8-14.916%
vs Similar ◀ (6)106.3115.8222.2-9.533%
vs Weaker (5)126.8114.8241.6+12.060%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -4.5-4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -4.5-4.5
Miami HeatCharlotte Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H06/07
California Classic
Golden State Warriors
#3
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A08/07
California Classic
Orlando Magic
#13
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A22/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
86-47
86
47
+39
A25/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H26/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
76-60
76
60
+16
H28/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A31/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A03/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A04/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A06/11
NBA
120.9Avg total
61.7Scored
59.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.555.3112.8+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.853.3106.1-0.564%-
Last 30 away (16)61.657.1118.8+4.550%-
Last 10 (10)61.759.2120.9+2.540%-
Last 5 (5)64.667.0131.6-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)51.458.0109.4-6.644%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)60.658.8119.4+1.842%-
vs Weaker (9)59.448.0107.4+11.489%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A11/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A13/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
77-60
77
60
+17
H22/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A25/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A26/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
60-76
60
76
-16
A28/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
58-71
58
71
-13
H30/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H01/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
71-48
71
48
+23
H02/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A05/11
NBA
118.3Avg total
58.6Scored
59.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.858.8112.6-5.023%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.860.4116.1-4.636%-
Last 30 away (16)52.057.4109.4-5.412%-
Last 10 (10)58.659.7118.3-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)60.861.2122.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)51.359.3110.6-8.111%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)53.857.5111.3-3.750%-
vs Weaker (5)63.258.4121.6+4.840%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 115.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.228.7
57.2%
54.8%57.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.012.9
37.9%
35.8%38.7
🏀 Free throws24.119.2
79.7%
78.1%19.2
They take 84.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 113.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.225.5
52.9%
54.8%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.614.7
37.1%
35.8%44.1
🏀 Free throws24.018.8
78.3%
78.1%18.8
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWLLWWWLWL
Charlotte Hornets
LWLLLWLWLL
#17
League position
#14
+3.1
Net rating
-4.6
111.5
Offensive rating
111.6
108.4
Defensive rating
116.2
57.1%
Effective FG%
54.2%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
16.1%
Turnover %
15.8%
20.6%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.9%
3-point %
37.1%
64.4%
Assist %
65.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 111.6Defence108.4 · 116.2Shooting57.1% · 54.2%3-point %37.9% · 37.1%Ball care16.1% · 15.8%Off. rebounds20.6% · 28.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Charlotte Hornets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Miami Heat wins
2
Charlotte Hornets wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/25ADenver Nuggets112-122
04/11/25ALos Angeles Clippers120-119
03/11/25ALos Angeles Lakers120-130
31/10/25ASan Antonio Spurs101-107
28/10/25HCharlotte Hornets144-117
26/10/25HNew York Knicks115-107
25/10/25AMemphis Grizzlies146-114
22/10/25AOrlando Magic121-125
08/07/25AGolden State Warriors93-79
06/07/25HLos Angeles Lakers83-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/25ANew Orleans Pelicans112-116
02/11/25HUtah Jazz126-103
01/11/25HMinnesota Timberwolves105-122
30/10/25HOrlando Magic107-123
28/10/25AMiami Heat117-144
26/10/25AWashington Wizards139-113
25/10/25APhiladelphia 76ers121-125
22/10/25HBrooklyn Nets136-117
13/04/25ABoston Celtics86-93
11/04/25ABoston Celtics94-130

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game122.4129.5120.0
Allowed / game117.6112.0119.5
Point differential+4.8+17.5+0.5
Avg total240.0241.5239.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL38%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game120.4118.5122.2
Allowed / game120.4116.2124.5
Point differential+0.0+2.2-2.2
Avg total240.8234.8246.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder98189%122.2110.7+11.6
2 Chicago Bulls76186%120.4115.6+4.9
3 Detroit Pistons97278%116.7110.8+5.9
4 Los Angeles Lakers97278%119.6116.6+3.0
5 San Antonio Spurs86275%118.2109.6+8.6
6 Denver Nuggets75271%124.6113.6+11.0
7 Cleveland Cavaliers96367%119.9114.8+5.1
8 Houston Rockets85362%122.9112.9+10.0
9 New York Knicks85362%118.9113.6+5.2
10 Philadelphia 76ers85362%123.2119.2+4.0
11 Portland Trail Blazers85362%120.4117.8+2.6
12 Milwaukee Bucks85362%119.9119.1+0.8
13 Toronto Raptors95456%119.2115.7+3.6
14 Golden State Warriors95456%117.4115.3+2.1
15 Miami Heat84450%122.4117.6+4.8
16 Minnesota Timberwolves84450%116.5118.2-1.8
17 Orlando Magic94544%117.0116.8+0.2
18 Phoenix Suns94544%116.7118.2-1.6
19 Atlanta Hawks94544%114.4116.4-2.0
20 Boston Celtics104640%113.0110.7+2.3
21 Charlotte Hornets83538%120.4120.4+0.0
22 Sacramento Kings83538%116.9120.4-3.5
23 Utah Jazz83538%114.0118.0-4.0
24 Los Angeles Clippers83538%110.5115.1-4.6
25 Memphis Grizzlies93633%114.8120.8-6.0
26 Dallas Mavericks82625%106.2113.8-7.5
27 New Orleans Pelicans82625%107.9120.8-12.9
28 Indiana Pacers81712%111.6119.5-7.9
29 Brooklyn Nets91811%111.3124.6-13.2
30 Washington Wizards91811%112.2130.3-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat53192232126
Charlotte Hornets33361920108
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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