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Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 108-101
18-22 36-32 27-32 27-15
Position#13
Record34-38
FormLWLWW
Points / game102.5
Allowed / game101.5
vs
Position#20
Record31-39
FormLWLWW
Points / game103.5
Allowed / game103.8
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Miami Heat v Charlotte Hornets
02 Feb 2027
MIA v CHA
upcoming
27 Dec 2026
MIA v CHA
upcoming
07 Nov 2025
MIA126
CHA108
28 Oct 2025
MIA144
CHA117
23 Mar 2025
MIA122
CHA105
10 Mar 2025
MIA102
CHA105
14 Jan 2024
MIA104
CHA87
13 Dec 2023
MIA115
CHA104
10 Oct 2023
MIA113
CHA109
12 Nov 2022
MIA132
CHA115
10 Nov 2022
MIA117
CHA112
05 Apr 2022
MIA144
CHA115
29 Oct 2021
MIA114
CHA99
11 Oct 2021
MIA104
CHA103
01 Feb 2021
MIA121
CHA129
11 Mar 2020
MIA98
CHA109
25 Nov 2019
MIA117
CHA100
17 Mar 2019
MIA93
CHA75
20 Oct 2018
MIA112
CHA113
08 Jul 2018
MIA90
CHA94
27 Jan 2018
MIA95
CHA91
01 Dec 2017
MIA105
CHA100
09 Oct 2017
MIA109
CHA106
08 Mar 2017
MIA108
CHA101
28 Oct 2016
MIA91
CHA97
01 May 2016
MIA106
CHA73
27 Apr 2016
MIA88
CHA90
20 Apr 2016
MIA115
CHA103
17 Apr 2016
MIA123
CHA91
17 Mar 2016
MIA106
CHA109
28 Oct 2015
MIA104
CHA94
04 Oct 2015
MIA77
CHA90
07 Apr 2015
MIA105
CHA100
23 Nov 2014
MIA94
CHA93
23 Apr 2014
MIA101
CHA97
20 Apr 2014
MIA99
CHA88
03 Mar 2014
MIA124
CHA107
01 Dec 2013
MIA99
CHA98
11 Oct 2013
MIA86
CHA75
24 Mar 2013
MIA109
CHA77
04 Feb 2013
MIA99
CHA94
13 Apr 2012
MIA105
CHA82
01 Jan 2012
MIA129
CHA90
08 Apr 2011
MIA112
CHA103
19 Nov 2010
MIA95
CHA87
18 Oct 2010
MIA96
CHA102
20 Mar 2010
MIA77
CHA71
02 Jan 2010
MIA97
CHA107
08 Feb 2009
MIA96
CHA92
08 Dec 2008
MIA100
CHA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Charlotte Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
109-117
109
117
-8
A12/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
107-116
107
116
-9
H14/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
117-109
117
109
+8
A16/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
W
108-90
108
90
+18
A25/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
113-95
113
95
+18
H26/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
89-96
89
96
-7
A28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
125-98
125
98
+27
H02/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
99-110
99
110
-11
A04/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
120-92
120
92
+28
H05/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
106-98
106
98
+8
A07/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-27
21-27
28-30
33-33
28-36
29-24
30-27
20-29
34-28
24-17
30-28
29-36
25-24
38-25
24-17
21-24
18-23
35-31
30-25
30-16
31-22
23-33
15-23
20-18
37-27
27-17
24-30
37-24
25-33
28-27
20-25
26-25
35-35
32-16
34-24
19-17
29-22
33-30
27-19
17-27
211.4Avg total
109.3Scored
102.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)102.5101.5204.0+1.047%
Season at home (35)105.8101.3207.1+4.551%
Season away (37)99.4101.8201.1-2.443%
Last 10 (10)109.3102.1211.4+7.260%
Last 5 (5)107.898.8206.6+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)100.0104.5204.5-4.550%
vs Similar ◀ (15)108.599.3207.8+9.180%
vs Weaker (13)105.5104.8210.3+0.654%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
102-107
102
107
-5
H11/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
99-105
99
105
-6
H14/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
85-90
85
90
-5
A16/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
108-114 OT
108
114
-6
A24/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
99-85
99
85
+14
A25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
121-124 OT
121
124
-3
A27/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
109-104
109
104
+5
A01/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
103-120
103
120
-17
A03/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
W
112-102
112
102
+10
A05/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
100-88
100
88
+12
H07/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-29
24-24
19-24
32-30
22-31
25-17
25-32
27-25
20-31
21-13
34-14
10-32
28-23
34-27
23-20
15-30
24-19
27-21
28-18
20-27
24-32
27-27
29-25
33-29
27-31
31-24
22-27
29-22
32-28
26-33
33-33
12-26
31-23
30-29
29-27
22-23
27-16
31-21
16-29
26-22
207.7Avg total
103.8Scored
103.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)103.5103.8207.3-0.344%
Season at home (33)104.0101.0205.0+3.158%
Season away (37)103.0106.3209.3-3.332%
Last 10 (10)103.8103.9207.7-0.140%
Last 5 (5)109.0107.6216.6+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)101.6113.8215.4-12.20%
vs Similar ◀ (19)105.8105.0210.8+0.832%
vs Weaker (6)104.5107.2211.7-2.750%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -4.0-4.0
Miami HeatCharlotte Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A12/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H14/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A16/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
W
63-49
63
49
+14
A25/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H26/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
64-44
64
44
+20
H02/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A04/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
67-51
67
51
+16
H05/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A07/03
NBA
110.3Avg total
57.9Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.153.5109.6+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.651.9109.5+5.762%-
Last 30 away (17)54.954.8109.7+0.241%-
Last 10 (10)57.952.4110.3+5.550%-
Last 5 (5)60.052.4112.4+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)50.050.5100.5-0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)57.852.2110.0+5.667%-
vs Weaker (13)55.155.5110.6-0.531%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H11/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H14/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A16/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A24/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A27/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A01/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A03/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A05/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H07/03
NBA
103.7Avg total
53.8Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.553.2105.7-0.840%-
Last 30 at home (13)53.250.5103.6+2.754%-
Last 30 away (17)51.955.4107.3-3.429%-
Last 10 (10)53.849.9103.7+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)57.252.8110.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)50.858.8109.6-8.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)52.552.8105.4-0.337%-
vs Weaker (6)53.749.8103.5+3.850%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 109.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.028.6
50.2%
50.2%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.212.0
39.7%
35.7%36.0
🏀 Free throws20.816.1
77.4%
77.0%16.1
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 103.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.123.3
46.5%
50.2%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.512.9
37.4%
35.7%38.7
🏀 Free throws21.918.5
84.5%
77.0%18.5
They take 84.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWLWLWWWLL
Charlotte Hornets
WWLWLWLLLL
#13
League position
#20
+7.4
Net rating
-0.1
112.5
Offensive rating
105.8
105.1
Defensive rating
105.9
53.4%
Effective FG%
50.4%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
12.7%
Turnover %
11.9%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
18.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
39.7%
3-point %
37.4%
53.4%
Assist %
59.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 105.8Defence105.1 · 105.9Shooting53.4% · 50.4%3-point %39.7% · 37.4%Ball care12.7% · 11.9%Off. rebounds25.7% · 18.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Charlotte Hornets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Miami Heat wins
6
Charlotte Hornets wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/17ACleveland Cavaliers106-98
05/03/17HCleveland Cavaliers120-92
04/03/17AOrlando Magic99-110
02/03/17HPhiladelphia 76ers125-98
28/02/17ADallas Mavericks89-96
26/02/17HIndiana Pacers113-95
25/02/17AAtlanta Hawks108-90
16/02/17AHouston Rockets117-109
14/02/17HOrlando Magic107-116
12/02/17APhiladelphia 76ers109-117
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/17HIndiana Pacers100-88
05/03/17ADenver Nuggets112-102
03/03/17APhoenix Suns103-120
01/03/17ALos Angeles Lakers109-104
27/02/17ALos Angeles Clippers121-124 OT
25/02/17ASacramento Kings99-85
24/02/17ADetroit Pistons108-114 OT
16/02/17AToronto Raptors85-90
14/02/17HPhiladelphia 76ers99-105
11/02/17HLos Angeles Clippers102-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW47%
HomeWLWWW51%
AwayWWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723537
Win %47%51%43%
Points / game102.5105.899.4
Allowed / game101.5101.3101.8
Point differential+1.0+4.5-2.4
Avg total204.0207.1201.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%34%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won41% (17)25% (8)56% (9)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW44%
HomeWLLLW58%
AwayWLWLW32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703337
Win %44%58%32%
Points / game103.5104.0103.0
Allowed / game103.8101.0106.3
Point differential-0.3+3.1-3.3
Avg total207.3205.0209.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won35% (20)44% (9)27% (11)
Overtime %9%3%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors70581283%117.0105.0+12.0
2 San Antonio Spurs68531578%105.897.9+7.9
3 Houston Rockets70482269%115.3108.5+6.8
4 Cleveland Cavaliers68442465%110.0106.5+3.5
5 Boston Celtics71452663%107.6105.0+2.6
6 Utah Jazz70432761%100.195.9+4.2
7 Washington Wizards69422761%108.1105.2+2.9
8 Los Angeles Clippers69412859%106.5104.7+1.9
9 Toronto Raptors69402958%107.3103.8+3.5
10 Memphis Grizzlies70403057%101.9100.7+1.3
11 Atlanta Hawks70393156%103.2103.4-0.2
12 Oklahoma City Thunder68373154%106.1106.2-0.0
13 Indiana Pacers69353451%105.1105.9-0.8
14 Detroit Pistons69343549%101.4101.0+0.4
15 Chicago Bulls71343748%102.5103.0-0.5
16 Miami Heat72343847%102.5101.5+1.0
17 Milwaukee Bucks68323647%103.9104.2-0.3
18 Denver Nuggets71333846%109.9110.4-0.5
19 Portland Trail Blazers69313845%107.5109.5-2.0
20 Charlotte Hornets70313944%103.5103.8-0.3
21 Minnesota Timberwolves69303943%104.4104.0+0.4
22 New York Knicks70304043%106.1108.5-2.5
23 Dallas Mavericks70294141%97.9100.1-2.3
24 Sacramento Kings68274140%102.5105.5-3.0
25 New Orleans Pelicans70264437%103.0106.4-3.4
26 Orlando Magic72264636%99.8105.7-5.9
27 Phoenix Suns70254536%107.4111.9-4.5
28 Philadelphia 76ers70254536%101.2107.8-6.6
29 Los Angeles Lakers72215129%104.2110.6-6.3
30 Brooklyn Nets68125618%105.3114.0-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat18362727108
Charlotte Hornets22323215101
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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