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Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 May 2016
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 106-73
29-18 25-24 29-11 23-20
Position#9
Record55-41
FormWLLLW
Points / game99.6
Allowed / game97.9
vs
Position#7
Record58-38
FormLWWWL
Points / game102.4
Allowed / game99.6
USANBANBA - Quarter-finals
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Miami Heat v Charlotte Hornets
02 Feb 2027
MIA v CHA
upcoming
27 Dec 2026
MIA v CHA
upcoming
07 Nov 2025
MIA126
CHA108
28 Oct 2025
MIA144
CHA117
23 Mar 2025
MIA122
CHA105
10 Mar 2025
MIA102
CHA105
14 Jan 2024
MIA104
CHA87
13 Dec 2023
MIA115
CHA104
10 Oct 2023
MIA113
CHA109
12 Nov 2022
MIA132
CHA115
10 Nov 2022
MIA117
CHA112
05 Apr 2022
MIA144
CHA115
29 Oct 2021
MIA114
CHA99
11 Oct 2021
MIA104
CHA103
01 Feb 2021
MIA121
CHA129
11 Mar 2020
MIA98
CHA109
25 Nov 2019
MIA117
CHA100
17 Mar 2019
MIA93
CHA75
20 Oct 2018
MIA112
CHA113
08 Jul 2018
MIA90
CHA94
27 Jan 2018
MIA95
CHA91
01 Dec 2017
MIA105
CHA100
09 Oct 2017
MIA109
CHA106
08 Mar 2017
MIA108
CHA101
28 Oct 2016
MIA91
CHA97
01 May 2016
MIA106
CHA73
27 Apr 2016
MIA88
CHA90
20 Apr 2016
MIA115
CHA103
17 Apr 2016
MIA123
CHA91
17 Mar 2016
MIA106
CHA109
28 Oct 2015
MIA104
CHA94
04 Oct 2015
MIA77
CHA90
07 Apr 2015
MIA105
CHA100
23 Nov 2014
MIA94
CHA93
23 Apr 2014
MIA101
CHA97
20 Apr 2014
MIA99
CHA88
03 Mar 2014
MIA124
CHA107
01 Dec 2013
MIA99
CHA98
11 Oct 2013
MIA86
CHA75
24 Mar 2013
MIA109
CHA77
04 Feb 2013
MIA99
CHA94
13 Apr 2012
MIA105
CHA82
01 Jan 2012
MIA129
CHA90
08 Apr 2011
MIA112
CHA103
19 Nov 2010
MIA95
CHA87
18 Oct 2010
MIA96
CHA102
20 Mar 2010
MIA77
CHA71
02 Jan 2010
MIA97
CHA107
08 Feb 2009
MIA96
CHA92
08 Dec 2008
MIA100
CHA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Charlotte Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
L
109-112
109
112
-3
A08/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
118-96
118
96
+22
H10/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
W
99-93
99
93
+6
A12/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
88-98
88
98
-10
A14/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
123-91
123
91
+32
H17/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
115-103
115
103
+12
H20/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
80-96
80
96
-16
A23/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A25/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
88-90
88
90
-2
H28/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
97-90
97
90
+7
A30/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
28-34
25-26
29-33
31-28
25-21
33-20
29-27
19-17
31-33
21-19
28-24
35-13
27-25
5-25
21-35
41-22
26-28
30-24
26-17
29-29
43-31
19-18
24-25
28-29
16-20
14-26
22-21
26-19
13-29
22-21
24-20
25-28
22-21
24-16
17-25
27-24
32-26
16-20
22-20
196.0Avg total
100.2Scored
95.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (96)99.697.9197.5+1.757%
Season at home (48)102.997.6200.5+5.367%
Season away (48)96.398.2194.5-1.948%
Last 10 (10)100.295.8196.0+4.450%
Last 5 (5)93.093.6186.6-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)88.0112.0200.0-24.00%
vs Similar ◀ (20)105.399.3204.7+6.060%
vs Weaker (9)108.4100.7209.1+7.878%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
113-99
113
99
+14
H08/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
L
98-113
98
113
-15
A10/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
114-100
114
100
+14
A11/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
117-103
117
103
+14
H14/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
L
91-123
91
123
-32
A17/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
L
103-115
103
115
-12
A20/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
W
96-80
96
80
+16
H23/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
W
89-85
89
85
+4
H25/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
W
90-88
90
88
+2
A28/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
L
90-97
90
97
-7
H30/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
25-18
34-21
29-35
27-28
21-27
26-31
24-27
24-28
39-13
31-31
20-28
38-22
28-28
20-29
31-24
22-41
28-26
24-30
17-26
29-29
31-43
18-19
25-24
29-28
20-16
26-14
21-22
19-26
29-13
21-22
20-24
28-25
21-22
16-24
25-17
24-27
26-32
20-16
20-22
200.4Avg total
100.1Scored
100.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (96)102.499.6201.9+2.860%
Season at home (47)104.297.8202.0+6.374%
Season away (49)100.7101.2201.9-0.547%
Last 10 (10)100.1100.3200.4-0.260%
Last 5 (5)93.693.0186.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)91.088.0179.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (17)103.1102.5205.6+0.659%
vs Weaker (12)109.098.2207.2+10.883%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
Miami HeatCharlotte Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#20
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A08/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H10/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A12/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
62-38
62
38
+24
A14/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
67-50
67
50
+17
H17/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H20/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A23/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A25/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H28/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A30/04
NBA
104.7Avg total
55.1Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.250.0104.2+4.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.950.9107.9+6.064%-
Last 30 away (16)51.849.2101.0+2.550%-
Last 10 (10)55.149.6104.7+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)52.251.2103.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.056.0103.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)54.550.6105.1+3.850%-
vs Weaker (9)54.348.0102.3+6.378%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H08/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A10/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
63-41
63
41
+22
A11/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H14/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
L
50-67
50
67
-17
A17/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A20/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H23/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H25/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A28/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#9
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H30/04
NBA
105.0Avg total
53.3Scored
51.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.151.0104.1+2.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.049.9103.9+4.169%-
Last 30 away (14)52.052.3104.3-0.357%-
Last 10 (10)53.351.7105.0+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)51.252.2103.4-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.051.087.0-15.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)54.453.8108.2+0.559%-
vs Weaker (12)52.747.199.8+5.675%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 100.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.8 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.331.4
50.4%
49.0%62.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.07.2
36.0%
35.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.315.8
74.2%
75.5%15.8
They take 82.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 100.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.126.9
47.1%
49.0%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.4
35.1%
35.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws25.821.1
81.8%
75.5%21.1
They take 81.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 May 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WLLLWWLWWL
Charlotte Hornets
LWWWLLWWLW
#9
League position
#7
+4.7
Net rating
-0.2
107.2
Offensive rating
105.3
102.5
Defensive rating
105.5
51.3%
Effective FG%
48.8%
46.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
12.6%
Turnover %
10.7%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
18.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.0%
3-point %
35.1%
47.9%
Assist %
51.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 105.3Defence102.5 · 105.5Shooting51.3% · 48.8%3-point %36.0% · 35.1%Ball care12.6% · 10.7%Off. rebounds26.3% · 18.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Charlotte Hornets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Miami Heat wins
5
Charlotte Hornets wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/16ACharlotte Hornets97-90
28/04/16HCharlotte Hornets88-90
25/04/16ACharlotte Hornets85-89
23/04/16ACharlotte Hornets80-96
20/04/16HCharlotte Hornets115-103
17/04/16HCharlotte Hornets123-91
14/04/16ABoston Celtics88-98
12/04/16ADetroit Pistons99-93
10/04/16HOrlando Magic118-96
08/04/16AOrlando Magic109-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/16HMiami Heat90-97
28/04/16AMiami Heat90-88
25/04/16HMiami Heat89-85
23/04/16HMiami Heat96-80
20/04/16AMiami Heat103-115
17/04/16AMiami Heat91-123
14/04/16HOrlando Magic117-103
11/04/16ABoston Celtics114-100
10/04/16AWashington Wizards98-113
08/04/16HBrooklyn Nets113-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW57%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWLLLW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games964848
Win %57%67%48%
Points / game99.6102.996.3
Allowed / game97.997.698.2
Point differential+1.7+5.3-1.9
Avg total197.5200.5194.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won63% (27)69% (13)57% (14)
Overtime %7%6%8%
Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeWWWWL74%
AwayLWLLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games964749
Win %60%74%47%
Points / game102.4104.2100.7
Allowed / game99.697.8101.2
Point differential+2.8+6.3-0.5
Avg total201.9202.0201.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%38%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (27)67% (15)67% (12)
Overtime %5%6%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors94801485%113.8103.5+10.3
2 San Antonio Spurs93741980%103.192.6+10.5
3 Oklahoma City Thunder93633068%109.8102.3+7.5
4 Toronto Raptors95643167%101.597.3+4.2
5 Cleveland Cavaliers93623167%103.598.4+5.2
6 Los Angeles Clippers94583662%103.7100.1+3.5
7 Charlotte Hornets96583860%102.499.6+2.8
8 Atlanta Hawks95563959%102.098.5+3.5
9 Boston Celtics93543958%104.6101.8+2.8
10 Miami Heat96554157%99.697.9+1.7
11 Indiana Pacers95534256%101.799.8+2.0
12 Portland Trail Blazers95514454%104.6103.8+0.8
13 Chicago Bulls90464451%101.6103.3-1.7
14 Memphis Grizzlies92474551%97.6100.1-2.5
15 Detroit Pistons94474750%101.8101.0+0.7
16 Washington Wizards88444450%104.4104.6-0.2
17 Utah Jazz89434648%97.796.0+1.7
18 Houston Rockets95455047%105.8106.7-0.9
19 Dallas Mavericks94435146%100.9102.9-2.0
20 Orlando Magic89404945%102.0103.3-1.4
21 Sacramento Kings88385043%106.2108.3-2.0
22 Denver Nuggets89375242%101.7104.3-2.6
23 New York Knicks87355240%98.3100.8-2.5
24 Milwaukee Bucks88355340%99.2103.3-4.1
25 New Orleans Pelicans89335637%102.8106.6-3.8
26 Minnesota Timberwolves89315835%101.8105.9-4.1
27 Phoenix Suns88276131%101.0107.0-6.0
28 Brooklyn Nets87236426%98.6105.6-6.9
29 Los Angeles Lakers89197021%97.2106.7-9.5
30 Philadelphia 76ers89127713%97.3107.4-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat29252923106
Charlotte Hornets1824112073
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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