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Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 105-100
22-30 28-19 29-26 26-25
Position#16
Record13-14
FormWWWLL
Points / game99.8
Allowed / game103.4
vs
Position#20
Record10-15
FormWWLLL
Points / game104.9
Allowed / game106.2
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Miami Heat v Charlotte Hornets
02 Feb 2027
MIA v CHA
upcoming
27 Dec 2026
MIA v CHA
upcoming
07 Nov 2025
MIA126
CHA108
28 Oct 2025
MIA144
CHA117
23 Mar 2025
MIA122
CHA105
10 Mar 2025
MIA102
CHA105
14 Jan 2024
MIA104
CHA87
13 Dec 2023
MIA115
CHA104
10 Oct 2023
MIA113
CHA109
12 Nov 2022
MIA132
CHA115
10 Nov 2022
MIA117
CHA112
05 Apr 2022
MIA144
CHA115
29 Oct 2021
MIA114
CHA99
11 Oct 2021
MIA104
CHA103
01 Feb 2021
MIA121
CHA129
11 Mar 2020
MIA98
CHA109
25 Nov 2019
MIA117
CHA100
17 Mar 2019
MIA93
CHA75
20 Oct 2018
MIA112
CHA113
08 Jul 2018
MIA90
CHA94
27 Jan 2018
MIA95
CHA91
01 Dec 2017
MIA105
CHA100
09 Oct 2017
MIA109
CHA106
08 Mar 2017
MIA108
CHA101
28 Oct 2016
MIA91
CHA97
01 May 2016
MIA106
CHA73
27 Apr 2016
MIA88
CHA90
20 Apr 2016
MIA115
CHA103
17 Apr 2016
MIA123
CHA91
17 Mar 2016
MIA106
CHA109
28 Oct 2015
MIA104
CHA94
04 Oct 2015
MIA77
CHA90
07 Apr 2015
MIA105
CHA100
23 Nov 2014
MIA94
CHA93
23 Apr 2014
MIA101
CHA97
20 Apr 2014
MIA99
CHA88
03 Mar 2014
MIA124
CHA107
01 Dec 2013
MIA99
CHA98
11 Oct 2013
MIA86
CHA75
24 Mar 2013
MIA109
CHA77
04 Feb 2013
MIA99
CHA94
13 Apr 2012
MIA105
CHA82
01 Jan 2012
MIA129
CHA90
08 Apr 2011
MIA112
CHA103
19 Nov 2010
MIA95
CHA87
18 Oct 2010
MIA96
CHA102
20 Mar 2010
MIA77
CHA71
02 Jan 2010
MIA97
CHA107
08 Feb 2009
MIA96
CHA92
08 Dec 2008
MIA100
CHA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Charlotte Hornets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#6
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A11/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
103-112
103
112
-9
A12/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
93-102
93
102
-9
H16/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
91-88
91
88
+3
A18/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
95-120
95
120
-25
H19/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
104-98
104
98
+6
H23/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
W
109-97
109
97
+12
A25/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
100-93
100
93
+7
A26/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#8
L
97-108
97
108
-11
A29/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
L
86-115
86
115
-29
A30/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
12-27
20-8
27-17
29-31
29-24
23-28
22-29
19-30
30-31
25-10
19-31
26-17
24-12
16-28
25-31
27-29
28-29
13-32
27-30
27-16
27-25
25-22
25-35
28-24
30-24
23-22
28-27
7-13
38-29
19-19
36-32
24-35
25-40
25-18
23-15
22-33
22-32
20-23
22-27
196.9Avg total
96.2Scored
100.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)99.8103.4203.2-3.648%
Season at home (12)103.2105.1208.3-1.858%
Season away (15)97.1102.0199.1-4.940%
Last 10 (10)96.2100.7196.9-4.550%
Last 5 (5)99.2102.2201.4-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)86.396.7183.0-10.333%
vs Similar ◀ (21)100.0104.8204.8-4.938%
vs Weaker (6)102.095.0197.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#24
L
113-118
113
118
-5
A08/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
87-90
87
90
-3
A11/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#8
L
107-115
107
115
-8
H16/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
120-123
120
123
-3
A18/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
102-87
102
87
+15
H19/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
W
118-102
118
102
+16
H21/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
129-124 OT
129
124
+5
H23/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#8
L
99-100
99
100
-1
A25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
86-106
86
106
-20
H26/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
113-126
113
126
-13
A30/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
41-32
28-26
25-25
19-35
26-11
31-30
19-23
11-26
30-36
37-25
17-27
23-27
27-26
33-34
32-23
28-40
25-24
30-22
18-25
29-16
26-24
29-28
29-28
34-22
25-26
30-33
29-29
30-26
28-27
29-27
25-29
17-17
15-14
14-26
29-32
28-34
25-32
27-39
33-22
28-33
216.5Avg total
107.4Scored
109.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)104.9106.2211.1-1.340%
Season at home (12)109.2105.4214.7+3.867%
Season away (13)100.8106.9207.8-6.115%
Last 10 (10)107.4109.1216.5-1.730%
Last 5 (5)109.0111.6220.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)103.0117.5220.5-14.50%
vs Similar ◀ (23)101.3105.2206.4-3.930%
vs Weaker (5)113.2108.8222.0+4.460%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -2.9-2.9
Miami HeatCharlotte Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#6
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A11/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A12/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
49-61
49
61
-12
H16/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
50-29
50
29
+21
A18/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H19/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H23/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A25/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A26/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#8
L
49-75
49
75
-26
A29/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
L
44-65
44
65
-21
A30/11
NBA
102.2Avg total
49.9Scored
52.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.951.9102.8-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.950.8101.7+0.136%-
Last 30 away (16)50.952.8103.8-1.950%-
Last 10 (10)49.952.3102.2-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)50.054.2104.2-4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.756.098.7-13.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)52.152.9105.0-0.743%-
vs Weaker (6)50.846.397.2+4.567%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#24
W
69-58
69
58
+11
A08/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A11/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#8
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H16/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A18/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H19/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H21/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H23/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#8
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H26/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
52-71
52
71
-19
A30/11
NBA
109.8Avg total
55.6Scored
54.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.754.7107.4-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.653.6106.2-1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)52.955.6108.5-2.844%-
Last 10 (10)55.654.2109.8+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)49.655.2104.8-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)49.063.5112.5-14.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)51.953.7105.6-1.748%-
vs Weaker (5)58.056.0114.0+2.040%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 96.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.323.0
47.6%
51.0%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.212.1
36.4%
36.1%36.3
🏀 Free throws18.013.9
77.2%
76.5%13.9
They take 81.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 107.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.928.6
47.7%
51.0%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.3
35.9%
36.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws29.822.3
74.8%
76.5%22.3
They take 85.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LLWWWLWLLW
Charlotte Hornets
LLLWWWLLLL
#16
League position
#20
-4.7
Net rating
-1.7
100.0
Offensive rating
106.9
104.7
Defensive rating
108.6
50.5%
Effective FG%
49.6%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
15.1%
Turnover %
12.2%
18.0%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.4%
3-point %
35.9%
58.4%
Assist %
58.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 106.9Defence104.7 · 108.6Shooting50.5% · 49.6%3-point %36.4% · 35.9%Ball care15.1% · 12.2%Off. rebounds18.0% · 23.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Charlotte Hornets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Miami Heat wins
5
Charlotte Hornets wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/17ANew York Knicks86-115
29/11/17ACleveland Cavaliers97-108
26/11/17AChicago Bulls100-93
25/11/17AMinnesota Timberwolves109-97
23/11/17HBoston Celtics104-98
19/11/17HIndiana Pacers95-120
18/11/17AWashington Wizards91-88
16/11/17HWashington Wizards93-102
12/11/17ADetroit Pistons103-112
11/11/17AUtah Jazz84-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/17AToronto Raptors113-126
26/11/17HSan Antonio Spurs86-106
25/11/17ACleveland Cavaliers99-100
23/11/17HWashington Wizards129-124 OT
21/11/17HMinnesota Timberwolves118-102
19/11/17HLos Angeles Clippers102-87
18/11/17AChicago Bulls120-123
16/11/17HCleveland Cavaliers107-115
11/11/17ABoston Celtics87-90
08/11/17ANew York Knicks113-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL48%
HomeLWLLW58%
AwayWWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %48%58%40%
Points / game99.8103.297.1
Allowed / game103.4105.1102.0
Point differential-3.6-1.8-4.9
Avg total203.2208.3199.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%8%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %40%67%15%
Points / game104.9109.2100.8
Allowed / game106.2105.4106.9
Point differential-1.3+3.8-6.1
Avg total211.1214.7207.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)100% (2)29% (7)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics2723485%104.396.6+7.8
2 Houston Rockets2520580%112.4102.1+10.4
3 Golden State Warriors2719870%117.4107.6+9.9
4 Toronto Raptors2617965%110.6103.5+7.0
5 San Antonio Spurs2617965%102.998.7+4.3
6 Portland Trail Blazers27171063%104.499.4+5.0
7 Detroit Pistons26161062%104.8102.8+2.1
8 Minnesota Timberwolves25151060%108.0107.8+0.2
9 Cleveland Cavaliers27161159%109.0108.3+0.7
10 Washington Wizards26151158%107.8103.8+4.0
11 Denver Nuggets26151158%106.4106.5-0.2
12 Utah Jazz25141156%103.899.8+4.0
13 Indiana Pacers26141254%107.9107.2+0.7
14 Philadelphia 76ers26141254%108.4108.1+0.3
15 Milwaukee Bucks24121250%102.3104.4-2.0
16 Miami Heat27131448%99.8103.4-3.6
17 New Orleans Pelicans25121348%107.0109.6-2.5
18 Brooklyn Nets25111444%110.6111.6-0.9
19 Oklahoma City Thunder23101343%101.898.5+3.3
20 New York Knicks26111542%103.2105.5-2.3
21 Orlando Magic29121741%106.2108.7-2.5
22 Memphis Grizzlies25101540%99.799.8-0.1
23 Charlotte Hornets25101540%104.9106.2-1.3
24 Los Angeles Clippers25101540%105.8107.2-1.5
25 Los Angeles Lakers27101737%104.9107.5-2.6
26 Phoenix Suns2791833%106.7115.6-8.9
27 Dallas Mavericks2891932%100.1103.3-3.1
28 Sacramento Kings2772026%93.8104.5-10.7
29 Atlanta Hawks2662023%101.4106.9-5.5
30 Chicago Bulls2662023%96.6107.5-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat22282926105
Charlotte Hornets30192625100
← all games of the day
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