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Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 91-97
23-21 34-25 20-27 14-24
Position#13
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game108.0
Allowed / game96.0
vs
Position#20
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game107.0
Allowed / game96.0
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Miami Heat v Charlotte Hornets
02 Feb 2027
MIA v CHA
upcoming
27 Dec 2026
MIA v CHA
upcoming
07 Nov 2025
MIA126
CHA108
28 Oct 2025
MIA144
CHA117
23 Mar 2025
MIA122
CHA105
10 Mar 2025
MIA102
CHA105
14 Jan 2024
MIA104
CHA87
13 Dec 2023
MIA115
CHA104
12 Nov 2022
MIA132
CHA115
10 Nov 2022
MIA117
CHA112
05 Apr 2022
MIA144
CHA115
29 Oct 2021
MIA114
CHA99
01 Feb 2021
MIA121
CHA129
11 Mar 2020
MIA98
CHA109
25 Nov 2019
MIA117
CHA100
17 Mar 2019
MIA93
CHA75
20 Oct 2018
MIA112
CHA113
27 Jan 2018
MIA95
CHA91
01 Dec 2017
MIA105
CHA100
08 Mar 2017
MIA108
CHA101
28 Oct 2016
MIA91
CHA97
01 May 2016
MIA106
CHA73
27 Apr 2016
MIA88
CHA90
20 Apr 2016
MIA115
CHA103
17 Apr 2016
MIA123
CHA91
17 Mar 2016
MIA106
CHA109
28 Oct 2015
MIA104
CHA94
07 Apr 2015
MIA105
CHA100
23 Nov 2014
MIA94
CHA93
23 Apr 2014
MIA101
CHA97
20 Apr 2014
MIA99
CHA88
03 Mar 2014
MIA124
CHA107
01 Dec 2013
MIA99
CHA98
24 Mar 2013
MIA109
CHA77
04 Feb 2013
MIA99
CHA94
13 Apr 2012
MIA105
CHA82
01 Jan 2012
MIA129
CHA90
08 Apr 2011
MIA112
CHA103
19 Nov 2010
MIA95
CHA87
20 Mar 2010
MIA77
CHA71
02 Jan 2010
MIA97
CHA107
08 Feb 2009
MIA96
CHA92
08 Dec 2008
MIA100
CHA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Charlotte Hornets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
97-90
97
90
+7
86avg 92
A30/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
106-73
106
73
+33
105avg 92
H01/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
87avg 92
A04/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
92-96 OT
92
96
-4
83avg 92
A06/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
91-95
91
95
-4
76avg 92
H07/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
94-87 OT
94
87
+7
81avg 92
H10/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
91-99
91
99
-8
78avg 92
A12/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
103-91
103
91
+12
90avg 92
H14/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
89-116
89
116
-27
76avg 92
A15/05
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
108-96
108
96
+12
101avg 92
A26/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
32-26
16-20
22-20
29-18
25-24
29-11
23-20
18-18
23-25
27-20
22-27
19-29
22-19
24-15
21-23
19-23
21-26
28-19
23-27
25-21
19-14
16-27
23-21
18-28
27-27
17-20
29-24
21-20
32-24
29-28
21-19
24-25
23-28
31-33
11-30
23-27
27-26
30-16
28-27
191.2Avg total
97.3Scored
93.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)108.096.0204.0+12.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)108.096.0204.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)97.393.9191.2+3.460%
Last 5 (5)97.097.8194.8-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)105.0106.5211.5-1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (23)99.696.3195.8+3.352%
vs Weaker (5)108.6100.4209.0+8.280%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHornets
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#9
W
114-100
114
100
+14
110avg 92
A11/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
117-103
117
103
+14
118avg 92
H14/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
91-123
91
123
-32
75avg 92
A17/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
103-115
103
115
-12
79avg 92
A20/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
96-80
96
80
+16
83avg 92
H23/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
89-85
89
85
+4
72avg 92
H25/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
90-88
90
88
+2
78avg 92
A28/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
90-97
90
97
-7
72avg 92
H30/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
73-106
73
106
-33
53avg 92
A01/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
107-96
107
96
+11
104avg 92
A27/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
39-13
31-31
20-28
38-22
28-28
20-29
31-24
22-41
28-26
24-30
17-26
29-29
31-43
18-19
25-24
29-28
20-16
26-14
21-22
19-26
29-13
21-22
20-24
28-25
21-22
16-24
25-17
24-27
26-32
20-16
20-22
18-29
24-25
11-29
20-23
32-24
24-17
27-25
24-30
196.3Avg total
97.0Scored
99.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)107.096.0203.0+11.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)107.096.0203.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)97.099.3196.3-2.360%
Last 5 (5)89.894.4184.2-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)97.0100.0197.0-3.050%
vs Similar ◀ (19)101.4102.1203.4-0.758%
vs Weaker (9)107.497.8205.2+9.789%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
Miami HeatCharlotte Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A30/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H01/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A04/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A06/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H07/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H10/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A12/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H14/05
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A15/05
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A26/10
NBA
94.6Avg total
47.4Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.748.4100.0+3.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.947.6101.6+6.364%-
Last 30 away (16)49.749.098.7+0.738%-
Last 10 (10)47.447.294.6+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)47.848.095.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)56.050.0106.0+6.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)50.348.698.9+1.843%-
vs Weaker (5)56.046.8102.8+9.280%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#9
W
63-41
63
41
+22
A11/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H14/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
50-67
50
67
-17
A17/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A20/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H23/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H25/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A28/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H30/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#8
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A01/05
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A27/10
NBA
104.7Avg total
53.3Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.151.1103.3+1.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.150.5103.5+2.667%-
Last 30 away (15)51.251.8103.0-0.653%-
Last 10 (10)53.351.4104.7+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)49.048.097.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.054.593.5-15.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)53.352.8106.2+0.558%-
vs Weaker (9)52.646.899.3+5.878%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 97.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀66%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.0 pts a game · 66% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.632.0
49.5%
50.2%64.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.15.9
32.6%
35.7%17.7
🏀 Free throws20.115.6
77.6%
77.0%15.6
They take 82.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 22% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 97.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.527.9
46.1%
50.2%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.2
33.6%
35.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws23.919.6
82.0%
77.0%19.6
They take 81.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WLWLWLLWWW
Charlotte Hornets
WLLWWWLLWW
#13
League position
#20
+3.6
Net rating
-2.4
102.8
Offensive rating
102.5
99.2
Defensive rating
105.0
49.4%
Effective FG%
47.3%
45.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
13.0%
Turnover %
9.7%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
16.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.6%
3-point %
33.6%
42.2%
Assist %
50.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 102.5Defence99.2 · 105.0Shooting49.4% · 47.3%3-point %32.6% · 33.6%Ball care13.0% · 9.7%Off. rebounds24.3% · 16.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Charlotte Hornets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Miami Heat wins
5
Charlotte Hornets wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/16AOrlando Magic108-96
15/05/16AToronto Raptors89-116
14/05/16HToronto Raptors103-91
12/05/16AToronto Raptors91-99
10/05/16HToronto Raptors94-87 OT
07/05/16HToronto Raptors91-95
06/05/16AToronto Raptors92-96 OT
04/05/16AToronto Raptors102-96 OT
01/05/16HCharlotte Hornets106-73
30/04/16ACharlotte Hornets97-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/16AMilwaukee Bucks107-96
01/05/16AMiami Heat73-106
30/04/16HMiami Heat90-97
28/04/16AMiami Heat90-88
25/04/16HMiami Heat89-85
23/04/16HMiami Heat96-80
20/04/16AMiami Heat103-115
17/04/16AMiami Heat91-123
14/04/16HOrlando Magic117-103
11/04/16ABoston Celtics114-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game108.0-108.0
Allowed / game96.0-96.0
Point differential+12.0-+12.0
Avg total204.0-204.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game107.0-107.0
Allowed / game96.0-96.0
Point differential+11.0-+11.0
Avg total203.0-203.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs220100%115.597.0+18.5
2 Cleveland Cavaliers220100%105.589.5+16.0
3 Atlanta Hawks110100%114.099.0+15.0
4 Miami Heat110100%108.096.0+12.0
5 Charlotte Hornets110100%107.096.0+11.0
6 Los Angeles Clippers110100%114.0106.0+8.0
7 Chicago Bulls110100%105.099.0+6.0
8 Los Angeles Lakers110100%120.0114.0+6.0
9 Oklahoma City Thunder110100%103.097.0+6.0
10 Denver Nuggets110100%107.0102.0+5.0
11 Memphis Grizzlies110100%102.098.0+4.0
12 Toronto Raptors21150%100.092.5+7.5
13 Sacramento Kings21150%103.598.0+5.5
14 Detroit Pistons21150%99.595.5+4.0
15 Brooklyn Nets21150%110.0108.0+2.0
16 Portland Trail Blazers21150%109.5109.0+0.5
17 Indiana Pacers21150%112.0112.0+0.0
18 Boston Celtics21150%110.5111.0-0.5
19 Minnesota Timberwolves1010%98.0102.0-4.0
20 New Orleans Pelicans1010%102.0107.0-5.0
21 Houston Rockets1010%114.0120.0-6.0
22 Philadelphia 76ers1010%97.0103.0-6.0
23 Dallas Mavericks1010%121.0130.0-9.0
24 Utah Jazz1010%104.0113.0-9.0
25 Milwaukee Bucks1010%96.0107.0-11.0
26 Washington Wizards1010%99.0114.0-15.0
27 Orlando Magic2020%89.0108.0-19.0
28 Phoenix Suns1010%94.0113.0-19.0
29 Golden State Warriors1010%100.0129.0-29.0
30 New York Knicks1010%88.0117.0-29.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat2334201491
Charlotte Hornets2125272497
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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