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Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Feb 2016
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 90-93
21-21 25-26 19-27 25-19
Position#16
Record28-23
FormWLWWL
Points / game100.6
Allowed / game101.0
Dallas Mavericks
USA
vs
Miami Heat 🏆
USA
Position#8
Record27-22
FormWWWWL
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game96.0
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Miami Heat
29 Dec 2026
DAL v MIA
upcoming
03 Dec 2025
DAL118
MIA108
13 Feb 2025
DAL118
MIA113
07 Mar 2024
DAL114
MIA108
20 Jan 2023
DAL115
MIA90
02 Nov 2021
DAL110
MIA125
01 Jan 2021
DAL93
MIA83
14 Dec 2019
DAL118
MIA122
13 Feb 2019
DAL101
MIA112
29 Jan 2018
DAL88
MIA95
27 Feb 2017
DAL96
MIA89
03 Feb 2016
DAL90
MIA93
09 Nov 2014
DAL96
MIA105
18 Feb 2014
DAL106
MIA117
20 Dec 2012
DAL95
MIA110
25 Dec 2011
DAL94
MIA105
09 Jun 2011
DAL112
MIA103
07 Jun 2011
DAL86
MIA83
05 Jun 2011
DAL86
MIA88
27 Nov 2010
DAL106
MIA95
20 Feb 2010
DAL97
MIA91
01 Apr 2009
DAL98
MIA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
83-112
83
112
-29
72avg 89
A18/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
118-113 OT
118
113
+5
110avg 89
H19/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
W
106-94 OT
106
94
+12
88avg 89
H21/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
106-109
106
109
-3
94avg 89
H23/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
104-115
104
115
-11
91avg 89
A24/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
92-90
92
90
+2
82avg 89
A27/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
107-127
107
127
-20
93avg 89
A28/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
91-79
91
79
+12
87avg 89
H30/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
91-78
91
78
+13
80avg 89
H01/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
97-112
97
112
-15
74avg 89
A02/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
20-32
20-32
27-34
29-16
23-23
18-33
28-26
23-33
26-16
15-18
25-22
25-27
31-21
18-37
32-24
29-36
29-14
27-34
19-31
32-25
24-33
21-20
15-12
22-32
26-24
29-39
30-32
25-18
26-21
20-16
20-24
21-23
30-22
17-24
23-9
15-27
31-26
27-33
24-26
202.4Avg total
99.5Scored
102.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)100.6101.0201.6-0.455%
Season at home (23)102.998.5201.3+4.465%
Season away (28)98.8103.1201.9-4.446%
Last 10 (10)99.5102.9202.4-3.450%
Last 5 (5)95.697.2192.8-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)99.7107.8207.4-8.111%
vs Similar ◀ (16)100.6100.6201.2+0.062%
vs Weaker (5)99.491.8191.2+7.6100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
98-95
98
95
+3
94avg 88
A16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
74-99
74
99
-25
62avg 88
A18/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
79-91
79
91
-12
64avg 88
H20/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
87-106
87
106
-19
83avg 88
A21/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
81-101
81
101
-20
65avg 88
A23/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
89-84
89
84
+5
83avg 88
A26/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
102-98
102
98
+4
99avg 88
A27/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
107-103
107
103
+4
104avg 88
A30/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
105-87
105
87
+18
100avg 88
H31/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
102-115
102
115
-13
99avg 88
A03/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
26-31
30-16
22-17
18-24
24-20
16-31
16-24
18-19
21-30
18-26
22-16
22-26
15-25
27-30
23-25
20-31
24-29
23-20
14-21
18-23
31-24
12-21
28-16
24-29
27-28
26-16
25-25
33-28
22-20
26-35
26-20
27-17
20-17
28-28
30-25
31-31
24-29
25-27
22-28
190.3Avg total
92.4Scored
97.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)96.096.0192.0+0.155%
Season at home (25)98.895.2194.0+3.664%
Season away (24)93.196.8189.9-3.746%
Last 10 (10)92.497.9190.3-5.550%
Last 5 (5)101.097.4198.4+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)88.5105.0193.5-16.50%
vs Similar ◀ (17)95.196.8191.9-1.747%
vs Weaker (11)97.597.5195.0-0.164%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -7.4-7.4Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -7.4-7.4Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
Dallas MavericksMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A18/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H19/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H21/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H23/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A24/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A27/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A28/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H30/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H01/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A02/02
NBA
98.6Avg total
50.3Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.849.399.1+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.146.998.9+5.267%-
Last 30 away (15)47.551.799.3-4.233%-
Last 10 (10)50.348.398.6+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)50.450.2100.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)46.750.697.2-3.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)50.449.199.5+1.250%-
vs Weaker (5)53.647.6101.2+6.080%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#22
L
46-62
46
62
-16
A16/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A18/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H20/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A21/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A23/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A26/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A27/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A30/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H31/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A03/02
NBA
97.7Avg total
46.5Scored
51.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.348.997.1-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (11)48.547.896.4+0.745%-
Last 30 away (19)48.149.597.6-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)46.551.297.7-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)51.449.2100.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.050.098.0-2.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)48.248.796.9-0.553%-
vs Weaker (11)48.548.997.4-0.545%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 99.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.627.1
47.9%
49.0%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.2
33.2%
35.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.517.7
78.7%
75.5%17.7
They take 84.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 92.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀66%
🏀🏀🏀16%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 66% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.530.7
49.9%
49.0%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.75.0
29.9%
35.3%15.0
🏀 Free throws21.416.3
76.2%
75.5%16.3
They take 78.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 21% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
LWWLWLLWWL
Miami Heat
LWWWWLLLLW
#16
League position
#8
-3.5
Net rating
-5.3
103.3
Offensive rating
97.7
106.8
Defensive rating
102.9
48.5%
Effective FG%
48.8%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
11.2%
Turnover %
16.5%
18.9%
Off. rebound %
22.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.2%
3-point %
29.9%
53.4%
Assist %
59.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.3 · 97.7Defence106.8 · 102.9Shooting48.5% · 48.8%3-point %33.2% · 29.9%Ball care11.2% · 16.5%Off. rebounds18.9% · 22.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Dallas Mavericks wins
8
Miami Heat wins
DateGameScore
02/01/16Miami Heat v Dallas Mavericks106-82
31/01/15Miami Heat v Dallas Mavericks72-93
10/11/14Dallas Mavericks v Miami Heat96-105
19/02/14Dallas Mavericks v Miami Heat106-117
16/11/13Miami Heat v Dallas Mavericks110-104
03/01/13Miami Heat v Dallas Mavericks119-109 OT
21/12/12Dallas Mavericks v Miami Heat95-110
30/03/12Miami Heat v Dallas Mavericks106-85
25/12/11Dallas Mavericks v Miami Heat94-105
13/06/11Miami Heat v Dallas Mavericks95-105
Dallas Maverickslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/16AAtlanta Hawks97-112
01/02/16HPhoenix Suns91-78
30/01/16HBrooklyn Nets91-79
28/01/16AGolden State Warriors107-127
27/01/16ALos Angeles Lakers92-90
24/01/16AHouston Rockets104-115
23/01/16HOklahoma City Thunder106-109
21/01/16HMinnesota Timberwolves106-94 OT
19/01/16HBoston Celtics118-113 OT
18/01/16ASan Antonio Spurs83-112
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/16AHouston Rockets102-115
31/01/16HAtlanta Hawks105-87
30/01/16AMilwaukee Bucks107-103
27/01/16ABrooklyn Nets102-98
26/01/16AChicago Bulls89-84
23/01/16AToronto Raptors81-101
21/01/16AWashington Wizards87-106
20/01/16HMilwaukee Bucks79-91
18/01/16AOklahoma City Thunder74-99
16/01/16ADenver Nuggets98-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL55%
HomeWWLWW65%
AwayLLWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512328
Win %55%65%46%
Points / game100.6102.998.8
Allowed / game101.098.5103.1
Point differential-0.4+4.4-4.4
Avg total201.6201.3201.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%35%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (15)29% (7)50% (8)
Overtime %12%17%7%
Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL55%
HomeWWLLW64%
AwayLWWWL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492524
Win %55%64%46%
Points / game96.098.893.1
Allowed / game96.095.296.8
Point differential+0.1+3.6-3.7
Avg total192.0194.0189.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%32%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (11)83% (6)80% (5)
Overtime %6%8%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4945492%115.4102.7+12.7
2 San Antonio Spurs4840883%104.591.2+13.3
3 Oklahoma City Thunder51381375%109.7101.6+8.0
4 Cleveland Cavaliers48351373%102.296.7+5.5
5 Toronto Raptors49331667%101.497.0+4.4
6 Los Angeles Clippers48321667%104.3100.3+4.0
7 Memphis Grizzlies49292059%97.799.0-1.3
8 Boston Celtics51292257%104.6100.3+4.3
9 Atlanta Hawks51292257%102.299.6+2.6
10 Chicago Bulls47262155%101.3101.0+0.2
11 Miami Heat49272255%96.096.0+0.1
12 Dallas Mavericks51282355%100.6101.0-0.4
13 Indiana Pacers49262353%102.9100.1+2.8
14 Detroit Pistons50262452%102.0100.6+1.4
15 Houston Rockets51262551%105.3106.5-1.2
16 Charlotte Hornets49242549%101.7101.2+0.4
17 Portland Trail Blazers50242648%102.1102.1+0.0
18 Utah Jazz47222547%97.996.7+1.2
19 New York Knicks51232845%99.2101.1-1.9
20 Washington Wizards47212645%102.6105.6-3.0
21 Orlando Magic48212744%99.3100.7-1.4
22 Sacramento Kings48212744%106.7108.1-1.4
23 Milwaukee Bucks51203139%98.2103.3-5.1
24 Denver Nuggets49193039%100.4104.0-3.6
25 New Orleans Pelicans47182938%102.6105.1-2.5
26 Minnesota Timberwolves50143628%99.7103.7-4.0
27 Phoenix Suns50143628%100.5106.5-6.0
28 Brooklyn Nets50123824%95.6103.2-7.6
29 Los Angeles Lakers51104120%96.3106.4-10.1
30 Philadelphia 76ers4974214%94.8105.4-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks2125192590
Miami Heat2126271993
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