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Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Feb 2016
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 101-89
18-26 28-23 26-21 29-19
Position#9
Record34-25
FormWLWLW
Points / game106.2
Allowed / game102.2
vs
Position#8
Record32-25
FormLWWWL
Points / game97.1
Allowed / game96.9
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Miami Heat
02 Apr 2027
BOS v MIA
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
BOS v MIA
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
BOS98
MIA96
19 Dec 2025
BOS129
MIA116
02 Apr 2025
BOS103
MIA124
02 Dec 2024
BOS108
MIA89
01 May 2024
BOS118
MIA84
24 Apr 2024
BOS101
MIA111
21 Apr 2024
BOS114
MIA94
27 Oct 2023
BOS119
MIA111
29 May 2023
BOS84
MIA103
25 May 2023
BOS110
MIA97
19 May 2023
BOS105
MIA111
17 May 2023
BOS116
MIA123
02 Dec 2022
BOS116
MIA120
30 Nov 2022
BOS134
MIA121
27 May 2022
BOS103
MIA111
23 May 2022
BOS102
MIA82
21 May 2022
BOS103
MIA109
30 Mar 2022
BOS98
MIA106
31 Jan 2022
BOS122
MIA92
11 May 2021
BOS121
MIA129
09 May 2021
BOS124
MIA130
25 Sep 2020
BOS121
MIA108
17 Sep 2020
BOS101
MIA106
15 Sep 2020
BOS114
MIA117
04 Dec 2019
BOS112
MIA93
01 Apr 2019
BOS110
MIA105
21 Jan 2019
BOS107
MIA99
20 Dec 2017
BOS89
MIA90
26 Mar 2017
BOS112
MIA108
30 Dec 2016
BOS117
MIA114
13 Apr 2016
BOS98
MIA88
27 Feb 2016
BOS101
MIA89
25 Mar 2015
BOS86
MIA93
01 Feb 2015
BOS75
MIA83
19 Mar 2014
BOS101
MIA96
18 Mar 2013
BOS103
MIA105
27 Jan 2013
BOS100
MIA98
07 Jun 2012
BOS79
MIA98
03 Jun 2012
BOS93
MIA91
01 Jun 2012
BOS101
MIA91
24 Apr 2012
BOS78
MIA66
01 Apr 2012
BOS91
MIA72
09 May 2011
BOS90
MIA98
07 May 2011
BOS97
MIA81
13 Feb 2011
BOS85
MIA82
26 Oct 2010
BOS88
MIA80
27 Apr 2010
BOS96
MIA86
20 Apr 2010
BOS106
MIA77
17 Apr 2010
BOS85
MIA76
03 Feb 2010
BOS107
MIA102
10 Apr 2009
BOS105
MIA98
18 Mar 2009
BOS112
MIA108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#24
W
97-89
97
89
+8
85avg 97
A03/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
102-95
102
95
+7
95avg 97
H04/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
104-103
104
103
+1
95avg 97
A06/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
128-119
128
119
+9
132avg 97
H07/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
111-112
111
112
-1
109avg 97
A10/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
139-134 OT
139
134
+5
135avg 97
H11/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
93-111
93
111
-18
74avg 97
A20/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
121-101
121
101
+20
117avg 97
A21/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
L
122-124
122
124
-2
112avg 97
A23/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
112-107
112
107
+5
102avg 97
H26/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
24-25
25-18
27-24
27-16
29-20
22-24
24-35
20-32
23-17
22-24
39-30
46-37
28-21
21-29
33-32
30-26
24-27
20-40
37-19
33-37
38-27
27-27
24-31
24-26
25-28
23-29
21-28
35-17
29-32
27-29
30-23
23-31
30-28
31-34
38-31
35-25
27-27
26-21
24-34
222.4Avg total
112.9Scored
109.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)106.2102.2208.3+4.058%
Season at home (28)106.4101.0207.4+5.464%
Season away (31)106.0103.2209.2+2.752%
Last 10 (10)112.9109.5222.4+3.470%
Last 5 (5)117.4115.4232.8+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)108.3106.4214.6+1.964%
vs Weaker (19)109.3104.4213.6+4.958%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
105-87
105
87
+18
100avg 89
H31/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
102-115
102
115
-13
99avg 89
A03/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
93-90
93
90
+3
83avg 89
A04/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
98-95
98
95
+3
85avg 89
A06/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
93-100
93
100
-7
81avg 89
H07/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
101-119
101
119
-18
95avg 89
H10/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
115-111
115
111
+4
109avg 89
A20/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
114-94
114
94
+20
111avg 89
H21/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
W
101-93 OT
101
93
+8
88avg 89
H23/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
112-118
112
118
-6
102avg 89
H25/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
20-17
28-28
30-25
31-31
24-29
25-27
22-28
21-21
26-25
27-19
19-25
25-31
22-16
20-26
31-22
19-15
26-31
20-27
28-27
24-20
23-34
28-31
26-34
22-19
30-33
27-29
36-30
30-19
29-25
23-24
32-26
15-25
26-19
29-25
18-19
30-21
25-30
28-29
29-38
205.6Avg total
103.4Scored
102.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)97.196.9193.9+0.256%
Season at home (30)99.796.8196.5+2.960%
Season away (27)94.197.0191.1-2.952%
Last 10 (10)103.4102.2205.6+1.260%
Last 5 (5)108.6107.0215.6+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)97.5111.8209.2-14.20%
vs Similar ◀ (17)97.996.2194.2+1.765%
vs Weaker (9)96.497.6194.0-1.156%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
Boston CelticsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#24
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A03/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H04/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A06/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H07/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A10/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H11/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A20/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#22
W
64-49
64
49
+15
A21/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A23/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H26/02
NBA
109.2Avg total
57.1Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.550.2105.7+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.250.2110.4+9.985%-
Last 30 away (17)52.050.1102.1+1.953%-
Last 10 (10)57.152.1109.2+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)59.855.6115.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)53.651.3104.9+2.464%-
vs Weaker (19)56.649.5106.2+7.168%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H31/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A03/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A04/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A06/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H07/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H10/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A20/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H21/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H23/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H25/02
NBA
97.3Avg total
49.5Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.347.996.2+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (12)47.845.293.1+2.650%-
Last 30 away (18)48.649.798.2-1.139%-
Last 10 (10)49.547.897.3+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)50.849.099.8+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)49.551.2100.8-1.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)48.247.195.3+1.247%-
vs Weaker (9)47.848.095.8-0.244%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 112.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.333.9
51.9%
49.0%67.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.5
33.5%
35.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.719.6
82.7%
75.5%19.6
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 103.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀69%
🏀🏀🏀12%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers71.4 pts a game · 69% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers72.135.7
49.5%
49.0%71.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.04.2
28.0%
35.3%12.6
🏀 Free throws26.819.4
72.4%
75.5%19.4
They take 87.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 17% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WLWLWLWWWW
Miami Heat
LWWWLLWWLW
#9
League position
#8
+3.3
Net rating
+1.2
108.7
Offensive rating
103.4
105.5
Defensive rating
102.2
51.4%
Effective FG%
48.2%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
13.2%
Turnover %
12.7%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.5%
3-point %
28.0%
63.4%
Assist %
52.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 103.4Defence105.5 · 102.2Shooting51.4% · 48.2%3-point %33.5% · 28.0%Ball care13.2% · 12.7%Off. rebounds24.0% · 25.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Boston Celtics wins
6
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/16HMilwaukee Bucks112-107
23/02/16AMinnesota Timberwolves122-124
21/02/16ADenver Nuggets121-101
20/02/16AUtah Jazz93-111
11/02/16HLos Angeles Clippers139-134 OT
10/02/16AMilwaukee Bucks111-112
07/02/16HSacramento Kings128-119
06/02/16ACleveland Cavaliers104-103
04/02/16HDetroit Pistons102-95
03/02/16ANew York Knicks97-89
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/16HGolden State Warriors112-118
23/02/16HIndiana Pacers101-93 OT
21/02/16HWashington Wizards114-94
20/02/16AAtlanta Hawks115-111
10/02/16HSan Antonio Spurs101-119
07/02/16HLos Angeles Clippers93-100
06/02/16ACharlotte Hornets98-95
04/02/16ADallas Mavericks93-90
03/02/16AHouston Rockets102-115
31/01/16HAtlanta Hawks105-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW58%
HomeWWWWW64%
AwayWLLWL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games592831
Win %58%64%52%
Points / game106.2106.4106.0
Allowed / game102.2101.0103.2
Point differential+4.0+5.4+2.7
Avg total208.3207.4209.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%29%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won37% (19)50% (8)27% (11)
Overtime %5%7%3%
Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL56%
HomeLLWWL60%
AwayWLWWW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games573027
Win %56%60%52%
Points / game97.199.794.1
Allowed / game96.996.897.0
Point differential+0.2+2.9-2.9
Avg total193.9196.5191.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%30%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (14)83% (6)88% (8)
Overtime %7%10%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors5752591%115.3103.9+11.5
2 San Antonio Spurs5849984%105.192.4+12.6
3 Cleveland Cavaliers57411672%103.096.9+6.0
4 Oklahoma City Thunder58411771%109.8102.5+7.4
5 Toronto Raptors57391868%102.497.6+4.8
6 Los Angeles Clippers58382066%105.0100.3+4.6
7 Memphis Grizzlies57342360%98.999.4-0.5
8 Boston Celtics59342558%106.2102.2+4.0
9 Miami Heat57322556%97.196.9+0.2
10 Atlanta Hawks59322754%102.5100.1+2.4
11 Indiana Pacers58312753%102.4100.3+2.1
12 Charlotte Hornets57302753%101.9100.9+1.1
13 Chicago Bulls57302753%101.7102.3-0.6
14 Dallas Mavericks59312853%101.7102.3-0.6
15 Portland Trail Blazers58302852%103.5102.5+1.0
16 Detroit Pistons58292950%101.6100.7+0.9
17 Houston Rockets58292950%105.6106.8-1.2
18 Utah Jazz57282949%98.197.1+1.0
19 Washington Wizards57273047%102.6104.5-1.9
20 Orlando Magic57253244%100.3101.8-1.6
21 Sacramento Kings57243342%107.1109.2-2.2
22 New York Knicks60253542%99.4101.7-2.3
23 Milwaukee Bucks58243441%98.7103.0-4.3
24 New Orleans Pelicans57233440%102.7105.6-2.8
25 Denver Nuggets59233639%100.8104.1-3.2
26 Minnesota Timberwolves58184031%100.9104.6-3.7
27 Brooklyn Nets58164228%97.0103.7-6.7
28 Phoenix Suns58144424%100.5107.6-7.1
29 Los Angeles Lakers60114918%97.5107.2-9.7
30 Philadelphia 76ers5885014%95.8106.4-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics18282629101
Miami Heat2623211989
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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