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Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Feb 2016
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 114-94
30-19 29-25 23-24 32-26
Position#8
Record30-24
FormWWLLW
Points / game96.4
Allowed / game96.6
Miami Heat 🏆
USA
vs
Washington Wizards
USA
Position#15
Record25-28
FormLWLWW
Points / game102.6
Allowed / game104.7
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Miami Heat v Washington Wizards
03 Dec 2026
MIA v WAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
MIA152
WAS136
10 Mar 2026
MIA150
WAS129
13 Apr 2025
MIA118
WAS119
03 Mar 2025
MIA106
WAS90
10 Mar 2024
MIA108
WAS110
03 Nov 2023
MIA121
WAS114
25 Nov 2022
MIA110
WAS107
23 Nov 2022
MIA113
WAS105
28 Dec 2021
MIA119
WAS112
18 Nov 2021
MIA112
WAS97
05 Feb 2021
MIA122
WAS95
03 Feb 2021
MIA100
WAS103
22 Jan 2020
MIA134
WAS129
06 Dec 2019
MIA112
WAS103
04 Jan 2019
MIA115
WAS109
10 Nov 2018
MIA110
WAS116
10 Mar 2018
MIA129
WAS102
15 Nov 2017
MIA93
WAS102
12 Apr 2017
MIA110
WAS102
12 Dec 2016
MIA112
WAS101
20 Feb 2016
MIA114
WAS94
07 Dec 2015
MIA103
WAS114
19 Dec 2014
MIA103
WAS105
29 Oct 2014
MIA107
WAS95
10 Mar 2014
MIA99
WAS90
03 Nov 2013
MIA103
WAS93
06 Jan 2013
MIA99
WAS71
15 Dec 2012
MIA102
WAS72
21 Apr 2012
MIA84
WAS86
25 Feb 2011
MIA121
WAS113
29 Nov 2010
MIA105
WAS94
27 Nov 2009
MIA84
WAS94
10 Nov 2009
MIA90
WAS76
28 Jan 2009
MIA93
WAS71
14 Nov 2008
MIA97
WAS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
89-84
89
84
+5
83avg 88
A26/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
102-98
102
98
+4
99avg 88
A27/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
107-103
107
103
+4
104avg 88
A30/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
105-87
105
87
+18
100avg 88
H31/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
102-115
102
115
-13
99avg 88
A03/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
93-90
93
90
+3
83avg 88
A04/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
98-95
98
95
+3
85avg 88
A06/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
93-100
93
100
-7
81avg 88
H07/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
101-119
101
119
-18
95avg 88
H10/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
115-111
115
111
+4
109avg 88
A20/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
31-24
12-21
28-16
24-29
27-28
26-16
25-25
33-28
22-20
26-35
26-20
27-17
20-17
28-28
30-25
31-31
24-29
25-27
22-28
21-21
26-25
27-19
19-25
25-31
22-16
20-26
31-22
19-15
26-31
20-27
28-27
24-20
23-34
28-31
26-34
22-19
30-33
27-29
36-30
200.7Avg total
100.5Scored
100.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)96.496.6193.0-0.256%
Season at home (27)98.796.2194.9+2.459%
Season away (27)94.197.0191.1-2.952%
Last 10 (10)100.5100.2200.7+0.370%
Last 5 (5)100.0103.0203.0-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)92.7109.7202.3-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)97.397.7195.1-0.456%
vs Weaker (9)96.497.6194.0-1.156%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#22
L
113-117
113
117
-4
100avg 90
H29/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
123-122
123
122
+1
121avg 90
A31/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
98-114
98
114
-16
80avg 90
A02/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
121-134
121
134
-13
109avg 90
H04/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
106-94
106
94
+12
95avg 90
H06/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
104-108
104
108
-4
94avg 90
A07/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
111-108
111
108
+3
103avg 90
A10/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
92-99
92
99
-7
78avg 90
A12/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
103-89
103
89
+14
92avg 90
H19/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
98-86
98
86
+12
97avg 90
H20/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
29-35
21-27
34-26
28-32
31-30
31-26
33-34
26-36
26-28
24-28
22-22
28-43
32-31
32-29
29-31
38-18
22-29
22-25
24-22
25-25
33-23
17-30
29-30
35-21
28-29
20-33
28-25
27-18
19-37
24-14
22-30
28-23
21-19
27-26
27-21
29-15
26-25
28-21
15-25
214.0Avg total
106.9Scored
107.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)102.6104.7207.3-2.147%
Season at home (29)103.3104.4207.8-1.145%
Season away (24)101.7105.0206.8-3.350%
Last 10 (10)106.9107.1214.0-0.250%
Last 5 (5)101.698.0199.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)104.0118.2222.2-14.20%
vs Similar ◀ (23)102.9101.7204.6+1.257%
vs Weaker (2)108.595.0203.5+13.5100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
Miami HeatWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A26/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A27/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A30/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H31/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A03/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#16
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A04/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A06/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H07/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H10/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A20/02
NBA
98.6Avg total
49.5Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.448.897.2-0.440%-
Last 30 at home (12)48.247.595.7+0.742%-
Last 30 away (18)48.649.798.2-1.139%-
Last 10 (10)49.549.198.6+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)47.649.096.6-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)47.751.399.0-3.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)48.848.897.6+0.144%-
vs Weaker (9)47.848.095.8-0.244%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#22
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H29/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A31/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A02/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
60-74
60
74
-14
H04/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H06/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A07/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
63-50
63
50
+13
A10/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#23
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A12/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H19/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H20/02
NBA
110.6Avg total
56.0Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.852.2106.0+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (18)53.351.9105.2+1.456%-
Last 30 away (12)54.552.7107.2+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)56.054.6110.6+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)54.247.0101.2+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)52.062.8114.8-10.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)54.050.2104.2+3.761%-
vs Weaker (2)56.048.5104.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 100.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀69%
🏀🏀🏀13%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers69.6 pts a game · 69% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.634.8
51.5%
49.0%69.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.14.5
29.8%
35.3%13.5
🏀 Free throws23.417.4
74.4%
75.5%17.4
They take 82.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 18% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 106.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.730.6
52.1%
49.0%61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.5
37.3%
35.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws23.517.1
72.8%
75.5%17.1
They take 84.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Feb 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WLLWWLWWWW
Washington Wizards
WWLWLWLLWL
#8
League position
#15
+0.3
Net rating
-0.8
103.0
Offensive rating
106.7
102.7
Defensive rating
107.5
50.2%
Effective FG%
53.3%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
13.7%
Turnover %
12.1%
20.5%
Off. rebound %
15.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.8%
3-point %
37.3%
56.5%
Assist %
62.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 106.7Defence102.7 · 107.5Shooting50.2% · 53.3%3-point %29.8% · 37.3%Ball care13.7% · 12.1%Off. rebounds20.5% · 15.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Miami Heat wins
7
Washington Wizards wins
DateGameScore
21/01/16Washington Wizards v Miami Heat106-87
03/01/16Washington Wizards v Miami Heat75-97
08/12/15Miami Heat v Washington Wizards103-114
07/03/15Washington Wizards v Miami Heat99-97
20/12/14Miami Heat v Washington Wizards103-105
02/12/14Washington Wizards v Miami Heat107-86
29/10/14Miami Heat v Washington Wizards107-95
14/04/14Washington Wizards v Miami Heat114-93
10/03/14Miami Heat v Washington Wizards99-90
16/01/14Washington Wizards v Miami Heat114-97
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/16AAtlanta Hawks115-111
10/02/16HSan Antonio Spurs101-119
07/02/16HLos Angeles Clippers93-100
06/02/16ACharlotte Hornets98-95
04/02/16ADallas Mavericks93-90
03/02/16AHouston Rockets102-115
31/01/16HAtlanta Hawks105-87
30/01/16AMilwaukee Bucks107-103
27/01/16ABrooklyn Nets102-98
26/01/16AChicago Bulls89-84
Washington Wizardslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/16HDetroit Pistons98-86
19/02/16HUtah Jazz103-89
12/02/16AMilwaukee Bucks92-99
10/02/16ANew York Knicks111-108
07/02/16ACharlotte Hornets104-108
06/02/16HPhiladelphia 76ers106-94
04/02/16HGolden State Warriors121-134
02/02/16AOklahoma City Thunder98-114
31/01/16AHouston Rockets123-122
29/01/16HDenver Nuggets113-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeLLWLL59%
AwayWLWWW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542727
Win %56%59%52%
Points / game96.498.794.1
Allowed / game96.696.297.0
Point differential-0.2+2.4-2.9
Avg total193.0194.9191.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%30%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (14)83% (6)88% (8)
Overtime %6%7%4%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW47%
HomeLLWWW45%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532924
Win %47%45%50%
Points / game102.6103.3101.7
Allowed / game104.7104.4105.0
Point differential-2.1-1.1-3.3
Avg total207.3207.8206.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%24%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (16)43% (7)67% (9)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors5348591%115.3103.6+11.7
2 San Antonio Spurs5546984%104.992.4+12.5
3 Cleveland Cavaliers53391474%102.996.9+6.0
4 Oklahoma City Thunder55401573%109.9101.9+8.0
5 Los Angeles Clippers54361867%104.7100.5+4.2
6 Toronto Raptors53351866%101.997.7+4.2
7 Memphis Grizzlies54322259%98.499.1-0.8
8 Boston Celtics56322457%105.5101.7+3.8
9 Miami Heat54302456%96.496.6-0.2
10 Atlanta Hawks56312555%102.699.9+2.6
11 Indiana Pacers54292554%102.5100.3+2.3
12 Charlotte Hornets54282652%102.0100.8+1.2
13 Chicago Bulls54282652%101.4102.1-0.7
14 Dallas Mavericks56292752%100.9101.8-1.0
15 Portland Trail Blazers55282751%103.1102.0+1.1
16 Utah Jazz54272750%97.996.5+1.4
17 Houston Rockets56282850%105.2106.7-1.5
18 Detroit Pistons55272849%101.5100.9+0.6
19 Washington Wizards53252847%102.6104.7-2.1
20 Orlando Magic53242945%99.6100.9-1.3
21 Sacramento Kings54233143%107.2109.1-1.9
22 New York Knicks56233341%99.1101.4-2.3
23 Denver Nuggets55223340%100.7103.7-3.0
24 Milwaukee Bucks55223340%98.1102.8-4.7
25 New Orleans Pelicans54213339%102.5105.2-2.8
26 Minnesota Timberwolves55173831%100.5104.2-3.7
27 Brooklyn Nets55154027%96.5103.5-7.0
28 Phoenix Suns55144125%100.5106.9-6.4
29 Los Angeles Lakers56114520%96.8106.4-9.6
30 Philadelphia 76ers5484615%95.5105.6-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat30292332114
Washington Wizards1925242694
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