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Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 88-74
20-19 22-13 25-27 21-15
Position#14
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game91.0
vs
Position#24
Record1-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game98.5
Allowed / game102.0
USANBA· Kohl Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Dallas Mavericks
29 Mar 2027
MIL v DAL
upcoming
31 Mar 2026
MIL123
DAL99
05 Mar 2025
MIL137
DAL107
18 Nov 2023
MIL132
DAL125
27 Nov 2022
MIL124
DAL115
14 Jul 2022
MIL100
DAL89
03 Apr 2022
MIL112
DAL118
15 Oct 2021
MIL103
DAL114
15 Jan 2021
MIL112
DAL109
14 Dec 2020
MIL112
DAL128
12 Dec 2020
MIL102
DAL112
16 Dec 2019
MIL116
DAL120
21 Jan 2019
MIL116
DAL106
08 Jul 2018
MIL78
DAL81
08 Dec 2017
MIL109
DAL102
02 Apr 2017
MIL105
DAL109
08 Oct 2016
MIL88
DAL74
08 Jan 2016
MIL96
DAL95
03 Dec 2014
MIL105
DAL107
09 Nov 2013
MIL83
DAL91
12 Mar 2013
MIL108
DAL115
01 Jan 2011
MIL99
DAL87
16 Nov 2009
MIL113
DAL115
21 Jan 2009
MIL133
DAL99
10 Oct 2008
MIL79
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#8
L
109-124
109
124
-15
A08/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
109-108 OT
109
108
+1
A10/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
98-107
98
107
-9
A11/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
92-97
92
97
-5
H14/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#11
W
81-75
81
75
+6
A08/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
NBA D-League
#10
L
86-91
86
91
-5
A10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A11/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Houston Rockets
#16
L
89-92
89
92
-3
A15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Chicago Bulls
#17
W
93-91
93
91
+2
A04/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-30
23-35
22-36
29-23
29-23
33-22
14-25
22-28
22-32
22-26
29-27
25-22
20-37
26-25
24-16
22-19
24-20
24-21
16-17
17-17
21-19
28-26
19-22
18-24
18-14
20-24
25-27
18-20
17-17
18-19
8-24
21-21
20-23
24-15
22-26
23-28
25-21
30-21
19-25
19-24
185.3Avg total
90.2Scored
95.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)93.091.0184.0+2.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)93.091.0184.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.295.1185.3-4.930%
Last 5 (5)82.688.0170.6-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)91.7101.7193.5-10.013%
vs Similar ◀ (14)100.498.0198.4+2.457%
vs Weaker (1)109.0108.0217.0+1.0100%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Blue
#9
L
94-96
94
96
-2
A07/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Charlotte Hornets
#5
W
97-92
97
92
+5
H08/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Miami Heat
#13
W
83-64
83
64
+19
A10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
69-80
69
80
-11
H11/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Boston Celtics
#22
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Chicago Bulls
#1
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H16/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
102-116
102
116
-14
A02/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
95-88
95
88
+7
H04/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-29
30-27
17-20
19-20
19-27
20-27
30-18
28-20
19-15
17-18
21-18
26-13
15-20
6-16
28-18
20-26
14-19
22-18
17-26
29-25
17-17
19-18
24-8
21-21
15-19
14-19
23-25
21-23
20-14
23-15
18-20
19-25
22-21
24-37
32-28
24-30
23-26
25-12
26-23
21-27
170.4Avg total
85.6Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)98.5102.0200.5-3.550%
Season at home (1)95.088.0183.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)102.0116.0218.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)85.684.8170.4+0.850%
Last 5 (5)86.285.6171.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)90.2102.2192.4-11.98%
vs Similar ◀ (14)95.892.7188.5+3.179%
vs Weaker (4)84.280.5164.8+3.850%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
Milwaukee BucksDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#8
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A08/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
62-45
62
45
+17
A10/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A11/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
46-62
46
62
-16
H14/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#11
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A08/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
NBA D-League
#10
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A11/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Houston Rockets
#16
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Chicago Bulls
#17
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A04/10
NBA
94.9Avg total
47.9Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.051.8100.8-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.455.6105.1-6.238%-
Last 30 away (14)48.447.595.9+0.943%-
Last 10 (10)47.947.094.9+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.884.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)47.153.7100.7-6.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)50.150.4100.4-0.357%-
vs Weaker (1)62.045.0107.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Blue
#9
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A07/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Charlotte Hornets
#5
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H08/07
NBA Orlando Summer League
Miami Heat
#13
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Toronto Raptors
#2
L
21-36
21
36
-15
H11/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Boston Celtics
#22
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H14/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Chicago Bulls
#1
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H16/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A02/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H04/10
NBA
80.6Avg total
39.2Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.947.191.9-2.247%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.443.687.0-0.246%-
Last 30 away (17)46.049.795.7-3.747%-
Last 10 (10)39.241.480.6-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.439.680.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)43.850.994.8-7.117%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)46.246.092.2+0.264%-
vs Weaker (4)43.239.282.5+4.075%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 98.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀67%
🏀🏀🏀16%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.2 pts a game · 67% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.333.1
49.9%
50.2%66.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.35.4
31.2%
35.7%16.2
🏀 Free throws22.416.4
73.2%
77.0%16.4
They take 83.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 21% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 94.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.326.1
48.1%
50.2%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.7
32.3%
35.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws23.216.6
71.6%
77.0%16.6
They take 81.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WLLLLWLLWL
Dallas Mavericks
WLWLWLLWWL
#14
League position
#24
-7.0
Net rating
-10.8
100.7
Offensive rating
101.2
107.7
Defensive rating
112.0
49.3%
Effective FG%
48.2%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
15.6%
Turnover %
12.0%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
21.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.2%
3-point %
32.3%
63.1%
Assist %
58.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 101.2Defence107.7 · 112.0Shooting49.3% · 48.2%3-point %31.2% · 32.3%Ball care15.6% · 12.0%Off. rebounds24.4% · 21.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/16AChicago Bulls93-91
15/07/16AHouston Rockets89-92
14/07/16ADallas Mavericks64-81
11/07/16AMemphis Grizzlies81-85
10/07/16ANBA D-League86-91
08/07/16ACleveland Cavaliers81-75
14/04/16HIndiana Pacers92-97
11/04/16AOrlando Magic98-107
10/04/16APhiladelphia 76ers109-108 OT
08/04/16ABoston Celtics109-124
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/16HCharlotte Hornets95-88
02/10/16ANew Orleans Pelicans102-116
16/07/16HGolden State Warriors80-74
15/07/16AChicago Bulls73-86
14/07/16HMilwaukee Bucks81-64
12/07/16HBoston Celtics82-88
11/07/16HToronto Raptors69-80
10/07/16AMiami Heat83-64
08/07/16HCharlotte Hornets97-92
07/07/16AOrlando Blue94-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game93.0-93.0
Allowed / game91.0-91.0
Point differential+2.0-+2.0
Avg total184.0-184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game98.595.0102.0
Allowed / game102.088.0116.0
Point differential-3.5+7.0-14.0
Avg total200.5183.0218.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets110100%130.0103.0+27.0
2 Atlanta Hawks110100%104.083.0+21.0
3 Miami Heat110100%106.095.0+11.0
4 Cleveland Cavaliers220100%112.5103.5+9.0
5 Portland Trail Blazers220100%106.599.5+7.0
6 Denver Nuggets220100%104.5101.5+3.0
7 Milwaukee Bucks110100%93.091.0+2.0
8 Golden State Warriors32167%106.089.3+16.7
9 Boston Celtics32167%100.090.0+10.0
10 Indiana Pacers32167%111.0108.3+2.7
11 Los Angeles Lakers21150%100.092.5+7.5
12 New Orleans Pelicans21150%106.0107.5-1.5
13 Utah Jazz21150%96.598.5-2.0
14 Washington Wizards21150%110.0112.5-2.5
15 Dallas Mavericks21150%98.5102.0-3.5
16 New York Knicks21150%109.5114.0-4.5
17 Brooklyn Nets21150%99.5105.0-5.5
18 Memphis Grizzlies21150%92.5100.5-8.0
19 Los Angeles Clippers21150%89.5109.0-19.5
20 Chicago Bulls31233%106.7104.3+2.3
21 Toronto Raptors31233%100.3101.7-1.3
22 Phoenix Suns31233%100.0101.7-1.7
23 Philadelphia 76ers31233%105.3107.3-2.0
24 San Antonio Spurs1010%86.091.0-5.0
25 Detroit Pistons1010%94.0101.0-7.0
26 Orlando Magic2020%99.5109.5-10.0
27 Charlotte Hornets3030%88.7102.0-13.3
28 Sacramento Kings2020%90.0104.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks2022252188
Dallas Mavericks1913271574
← all games of the day
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