Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Jul 2016

Tip-off: 02:00

Final 64-83

15-19 18-17 18-21 13-26

Position-

Record-

FormLWLWL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Miami Heat

Dallas Mavericks 🏆

Position-

Record-

FormLWLLL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

NBA - Las Vegas Summer League

Other2016

Meetings · Miami Heat v Dallas Mavericks

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Dallas Mavericks winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami Heat USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormHeat

Date

Competition

Charlotte Hornets

88-90

-2

80avg 91

H28/04

NBA

Charlotte Hornets

97-90

86avg 91

A30/04

NBA

Charlotte Hornets

106-73

106

+33

105avg 91

H01/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

102-96 OT

102

87avg 91

A04/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

92-96 OT

-4

83avg 91

A06/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

91-95

-4

76avg 91

H07/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

94-87 OT

81avg 91

H10/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

91-99

-8

78avg 91

A12/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

103-91

103

+12

90avg 91

H14/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

89-116

116

-27

76avg 91

A15/05

NBA

25-28

22-21

24-16

17-25

27-24

32-26

16-20

22-20

29-18

25-24

29-11

23-20

18-18

23-25

27-20

22-27

19-29

22-19

24-15

21-23

19-23

21-26

28-19

23-27

25-21

19-14

16-27

23-21

18-28

27-27

17-20

29-24

21-20

32-24

29-28

21-19

24-25

23-28

31-33

11-30

188.6Avg total

95.3Scored

93.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	95.3	93.3	188.6	+2.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	93.6	97.6	191.2	-4.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	105.0	106.5	211.5	-1.5	50%
vs Similar (23)	99.6	96.3	195.8	+3.3	52%
vs Weaker (5)	111.8	105.0	216.8	+6.8	80%

Dallas Mavericks USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMavericks

Date

Competition

Houston Rockets

#19

88-86

78avg 91

H07/04

NBA

Memphis Grizzlies

#17

103-93

103

+10

101avg 91

H09/04

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

91-98

-7

83avg 91

A10/04

NBA

Utah Jazz

#18

101-92

101

94avg 91

A12/04

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

91-96

-5

82avg 91

H14/04

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

70-108

108

-38

45avg 91

A17/04

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

85-84

70avg 91

A19/04

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

102-131

102

131

-29

90avg 91

H21/04

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

108-119

108

119

-11

100avg 91

H24/04

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

104-118

104

118

-14

95avg 91

A26/04

NBA

18-22

34-22

18-27

18-15

18-21

28-28

28-19

29-25

21-23

26-26

12-27

32-22

22-20

28-26

21-18

30-28

27-20

25-14

15-31

24-31

11-26

22-33

18-34

19-15

24-20

21-23

14-19

26-22

21-27

27-31

30-39

24-34

18-33

30-24

31-32

29-30

24-35

37-33

22-25

21-25

196.8Avg total

94.3Scored

102.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	94.3	102.5	196.8	-8.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	93.8	112.0	205.8	-18.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	97.8	111.3	209.2	-13.5	8%
vs Similar (18)	105.9	101.8	207.7	+4.1	67%
vs Weaker	no games

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Miami HeatDallas Mavericks

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.7	23.4	50.2	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	27.8	24.4	52.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.7	22.5	48.1	+3.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	23.4	45.9	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	23.4	44.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	26.0	22.5	48.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	25.5	23.0	48.4	+2.5	57%	-
vs Weaker (5)	32.8	26.0	58.8	+6.8	80%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.3	26.7	51.0	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.2	27.3	52.6	-2.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.2	26.0	49.2	-2.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	24.7	45.1	-4.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	28.2	47.8	-8.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	24.2	29.4	53.7	-5.2	25%	-
vs Similar (18)	24.3	24.9	49.2	-0.6	39%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.4	25.2	50.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	26.8	24.2	51.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.0	26.3	50.3	-2.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	23.4	48.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	23.8	48.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	30.0	27.5	57.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	24.9	25.6	50.5	-0.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (5)	26.0	22.6	48.6	+3.4	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	27.0	26.0	53.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	27.9	26.2	54.1	+1.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	25.9	25.9	51.8	+0.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.8	26.0	53.8	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.4	28.8	56.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	26.8	27.1	53.9	-0.2	42%	-
vs Similar (18)	27.1	25.3	52.4	+1.8	39%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Charlotte Hornets

47-49

-2

H28/04

NBA

Charlotte Hornets

59-50

A30/04

NBA

Charlotte Hornets

54-42

+12

H01/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

41-43

-2

A04/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

41-48

-7

A06/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

40-49

-9

H07/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

44-35

H10/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

45-55

-10

A12/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

53-44

H14/05

NBA

Toronto Raptors

47-53

-6

A15/05

NBA

93.9Avg total

47.1Scored

46.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	52.1	48.7	100.8	+3.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	54.6	48.6	103.2	+6.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	49.7	48.7	98.4	+0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.1	46.8	93.9	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	47.2	93.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	56.0	50.0	106.0	+6.0	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	50.3	48.6	98.9	+1.8	43%	-
vs Weaker (5)	58.8	48.6	107.4	+10.2	100%	-

Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Houston Rockets

#19

52-44

H07/04

NBA

Memphis Grizzlies

#17

46-49

-3

H09/04

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers

47-49

-2

A10/04

NBA

Utah Jazz

#18

50-46

A12/04

NBA

San Antonio Spurs

52-34

+18

H14/04

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

33-59

-26

A17/04

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

45-43

A19/04

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

48-58

-10

H21/04

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

48-57

-9

H24/04

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder

61-68

-7

A26/04

NBA

98.9Avg total

48.2Scored

50.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	51.3	52.7	104.0	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	53.2	53.5	106.7	-0.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	49.1	51.9	101.0	-2.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.2	50.7	98.9	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	57.0	104.0	-10.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	51.1	56.5	107.6	-5.4	25%	-
vs Similar (18)	51.4	50.2	101.7	+1.2	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	23.4	47.5	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	27.1	22.1	49.2	+5.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	24.8	45.8	-3.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	20.9	45.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	25.4	49.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	24.5	29.0	53.5	-4.5	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	23.9	22.0	45.9	+1.9	61%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.6	27.8	52.4	-3.2	20%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	26.2	49.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.8	26.3	51.1	-1.5	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.8	26.1	47.9	-4.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	27.1	48.0	-6.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	29.8	52.8	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	21.2	28.9	50.1	-7.8	17%	-
vs Similar (18)	24.9	24.4	49.3	+0.5	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.4	25.1	49.5	-0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.6	24.9	50.5	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	25.3	48.5	-2.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	23.6	44.8	-2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	24.2	45.6	-2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	24.5	27.5	52.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (23)	24.0	24.8	48.9	-0.8	57%	-
vs Weaker (5)	25.8	25.6	51.4	+0.2	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.6	25.8	52.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.8	27.5	53.2	-1.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	27.6	23.9	51.5	+3.6	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.2	24.7	49.9	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	25.2	49.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	25.6	25.9	51.5	-0.3	42%	-
vs Similar (18)	27.3	25.8	53.1	+1.5	72%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.4	48.6	97.0	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	52.7	47.0	99.7	+5.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.1	50.1	94.3	-6.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.3	44.5	89.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	49.6	95.2	-4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	49.0	56.5	105.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar (23)	48.0	46.8	94.8	+1.1	52%	-
vs Weaker (5)	50.4	53.4	103.8	-3.0	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	50.0	52.0	102.0	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	50.6	53.8	104.4	-3.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	49.4	50.0	99.4	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.1	51.8	97.9	-5.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	55.0	101.8	-8.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	46.8	54.8	101.6	-8.1	17%	-
vs Similar (18)	52.2	50.2	102.3	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 95.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀64%

🏀🏀🏀19%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 64% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 19% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	62.8	30.6	48.7%	-	61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	18.3	6.0	32.8%	-	18.0
🏀 Free throws	20.4	16.1	78.9%	-	16.1

They take 81.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 23% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 94.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀27%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 27% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 20% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	50.6	25.3	50.0%	-	50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	8.4	30.9%	-	25.2
🏀 Free throws	25.0	18.5	74.0%	-	18.5

They take 77.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	63.5	27.8	43.8%	-	55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.3	6.7	34.7%	-	20.1
🏀 Free throws	23.4	17.6	75.2%	-	17.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	55.0	28.5	51.8%	-	57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	8.8	34.4%	-	26.4
🏀 Free throws	26.8	19.1	71.3%	-	19.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	63.9	32.9	51.5%	-	65.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	18.4	6.6	36.1%	-	19.9
🏀 Free throws	21.4	16.2	75.6%	-	16.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	56.0	28.5	50.9%	-	57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	9.5	33.8%	-	28.6
🏀 Free throws	21.6	17.1	79.1%	-	17.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	65.0	30.1	46.3%	-	60.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	18.1	6.3	35.1%	-	19.0
🏀 Free throws	24.8	19.3	77.8%	-	19.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	56.0	28.6	51.2%	-	57.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	9.9	35.1%	-	29.7
🏀 Free throws	25.4	18.6	73.5%	-	18.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jul 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Miami Heat

LWLWLLWWWL

Dallas Mavericks

LLLWLLWLWW

+2.1

Net rating

-8.8

100.7

Offensive rating

101.7

98.6

Defensive rating

110.6

48.8%

Effective FG%

48.7%

45.7%

Opp. effective FG%

51.7%

13.4%

Turnover %

13.1%

22.0%

Off. rebound %

21.8%

0.25

Free-throw rate

0.32

32.8%

3-point %

30.9%

41.0%

Assist %

58.5%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Miami Heat ■ Dallas Mavericks

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Miami Heat wins

Dallas Mavericks wins

Date	Game	Score
04/02/16	Dallas Mavericks v Miami Heat	90-93
02/01/16	Miami Heat v Dallas Mavericks	106-82
31/01/15	Miami Heat v Dallas Mavericks	72-93
10/11/14	Dallas Mavericks v Miami Heat	96-105
19/02/14	Dallas Mavericks v Miami Heat	106-117
16/11/13	Miami Heat v Dallas Mavericks	110-104
03/01/13	Miami Heat v Dallas Mavericks	119-109 OT
21/12/12	Dallas Mavericks v Miami Heat	95-110
30/03/12	Miami Heat v Dallas Mavericks	106-85
25/12/11	Dallas Mavericks v Miami Heat	94-105

Miami Heatlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/05/16	A	Toronto Raptors	89-116
14/05/16	H	Toronto Raptors	103-91
12/05/16	A	Toronto Raptors	91-99
10/05/16	H	Toronto Raptors	94-87 OT
07/05/16	H	Toronto Raptors	91-95
06/05/16	A	Toronto Raptors	92-96 OT
04/05/16	A	Toronto Raptors	102-96 OT
01/05/16	H	Charlotte Hornets	106-73
30/04/16	A	Charlotte Hornets	97-90
28/04/16	H	Charlotte Hornets	88-90

Dallas Maverickslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/04/16	A	Oklahoma City Thunder	104-118
24/04/16	H	Oklahoma City Thunder	108-119
21/04/16	H	Oklahoma City Thunder	102-131
19/04/16	A	Oklahoma City Thunder	85-84
17/04/16	A	Oklahoma City Thunder	70-108
14/04/16	H	San Antonio Spurs	91-96
12/04/16	A	Utah Jazz	101-92
10/04/16	A	Los Angeles Clippers	91-98
09/04/16	H	Memphis Grizzlies	103-93
07/04/16	H	Houston Rockets	88-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat

NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2016

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Dallas Mavericks

NBA - Las Vegas Summer League 2016

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Miami Heat	15	18	18	13	64
Dallas Mavericks	19	17	21	26	83

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Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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