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Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 109-102
22-25 27-29 28-24 32-24
Position#17
Record14-13
FormWWWLW
Points / game102.6
Allowed / game104.4
vs
Position#25
Record11-20
FormLLWWL
Points / game100.8
Allowed / game102.5
USANBA· BMO Harris Bradley Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Dallas Mavericks
29 Mar 2027
MIL v DAL
upcoming
31 Mar 2026
MIL123
DAL99
05 Mar 2025
MIL137
DAL107
18 Nov 2023
MIL132
DAL125
27 Nov 2022
MIL124
DAL115
14 Jul 2022
MIL100
DAL89
03 Apr 2022
MIL112
DAL118
15 Oct 2021
MIL103
DAL114
15 Jan 2021
MIL112
DAL109
14 Dec 2020
MIL112
DAL128
12 Dec 2020
MIL102
DAL112
16 Dec 2019
MIL116
DAL120
21 Jan 2019
MIL116
DAL106
08 Jul 2018
MIL78
DAL81
08 Dec 2017
MIL109
DAL102
02 Apr 2017
MIL105
DAL109
08 Oct 2016
MIL88
DAL74
08 Jan 2016
MIL96
DAL95
03 Dec 2014
MIL105
DAL107
09 Nov 2013
MIL83
DAL91
12 Mar 2013
MIL108
DAL115
01 Jan 2011
MIL99
DAL87
16 Nov 2009
MIL113
DAL115
21 Jan 2009
MIL133
DAL99
10 Oct 2008
MIL79
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
99-95
99
95
+4
H16/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
L
79-111
79
111
-32
A19/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
88-99
88
99
-11
H21/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
113-107 OT
113
107
+6
A23/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
L
108-121
108
121
-13
A26/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
112-87
112
87
+25
A29/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
W
103-91
103
91
+12
A01/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
109-104
109
104
+5
H03/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
100-111
100
111
-11
A05/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
104-100
104
100
+4
H07/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
15-18
34-21
24-33
24-33
20-23
17-26
18-29
19-27
27-20
20-26
22-26
33-23
21-21
30-31
21-30
30-31
27-33
28-31
23-26
32-26
29-11
31-22
20-28
33-21
27-24
27-21
16-25
33-25
30-27
25-24
21-28
26-34
23-28
32-26
19-23
30-27
30-24
16-25
28-24
204.1Avg total
101.5Scored
102.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)102.6104.4207.0-1.952%
Season at home (13)99.5101.8201.4-2.362%
Season away (14)105.4106.9212.2-1.543%
Last 10 (10)101.5102.6204.1-1.160%
Last 5 (5)105.698.6204.2+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)85.596.8182.2-11.20%
vs Similar ◀ (20)100.0103.9203.9-4.045%
vs Weaker (6)110.3103.5213.8+6.883%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
L
87-111
87
111
-24
H18/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#17
W
111-79
111
79
+32
H19/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
102-110 OT
102
110
-8
H21/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
95-94
95
94
+1
A23/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
97-81
97
81
+16
H26/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
108-115
108
115
-7
A28/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
104-109
104
109
-5
H30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
108-82
108
82
+26
H02/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
122-105
122
105
+17
H05/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
90-97
90
97
-7
A07/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
26-19
17-31
15-37
33-24
23-20
26-17
29-18
22-34
27-19
28-16
19-27
12-27
27-29
35-16
21-22
25-24
27-13
26-18
19-26
23-21
30-25
22-31
33-38
27-21
20-27
29-32
28-29
24-17
35-21
27-28
22-16
39-23
25-24
29-35
29-23
26-24
31-23
16-23
17-27
200.7Avg total
102.4Scored
98.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)100.8102.5203.2-1.735%
Season at home (18)103.2100.2203.4+3.044%
Season away (13)97.4105.5202.9-8.223%
Last 10 (10)102.498.3200.7+4.150%
Last 5 (5)106.4101.6208.0+4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)98.0106.8204.8-8.810%
vs Similar ◀ (18)101.8102.2204.0-0.444%
vs Weaker (2)103.082.0185.0+21.050%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -6.0-6.0Q4: -3.1-3.1
Milwaukee BucksDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#19
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H16/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A19/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H21/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#30
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A23/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
L
57-64
57
64
-7
A26/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
61-37
61
37
+24
A29/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
W
60-45
60
45
+15
A01/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H03/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A05/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H07/12
NBA
103.4Avg total
53.5Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.752.2103.9-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.650.599.1-1.938%-
Last 30 away (14)55.254.1109.4+1.143%-
Last 10 (10)53.549.9103.4+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)58.649.4108.0+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.049.092.0-6.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)51.253.2104.4-2.035%-
vs Weaker (6)59.251.0110.2+8.267%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#13
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H18/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#17
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H19/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H21/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A23/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H26/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A28/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
59-38
59
38
+21
H02/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H05/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A07/12
NBA
99.0Avg total
53.1Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.050.5101.4+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)52.448.5100.9+3.953%-
Last 30 away (13)49.153.1102.2-4.046%-
Last 10 (10)53.145.999.0+7.270%-
Last 5 (5)56.045.2101.2+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)50.249.9100.1+0.340%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)51.851.4103.2+0.356%-
vs Weaker (2)47.544.592.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 101.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.630.4
53.7%
51.0%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.2
32.3%
36.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws26.219.1
72.9%
76.5%19.1
They take 78.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 102.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.726.6
50.5%
51.0%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.011.8
36.9%
36.1%35.4
🏀 Free throws18.113.8
76.2%
76.5%13.8
They take 84.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WLWWWLWLLW
Dallas Mavericks
LWWLLWWLWL
#17
League position
#25
-1.1
Net rating
+4.2
106.0
Offensive rating
105.8
107.1
Defensive rating
101.6
52.2%
Effective FG%
52.3%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
12.9%
Turnover %
12.0%
18.7%
Off. rebound %
16.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.21
32.3%
3-point %
36.9%
52.4%
Assist %
60.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 105.8Defence107.1 · 101.6Shooting52.2% · 52.3%3-point %32.3% · 36.9%Ball care12.9% · 12.0%Off. rebounds18.7% · 16.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/17HDetroit Pistons104-100
05/12/17ABoston Celtics100-111
03/12/17HSacramento Kings109-104
01/12/17APortland Trail Blazers103-91
29/11/17ASacramento Kings112-87
26/11/17AUtah Jazz108-121
23/11/17APhoenix Suns113-107 OT
21/11/17HWashington Wizards88-99
19/11/17ADallas Mavericks79-111
16/11/17HDetroit Pistons99-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/17ABoston Celtics90-97
05/12/17HDenver Nuggets122-105
02/12/17HLos Angeles Clippers108-82
30/11/17HBrooklyn Nets104-109
28/11/17ASan Antonio Spurs108-115
26/11/17HOklahoma City Thunder97-81
23/11/17AMemphis Grizzlies95-94
21/11/17HBoston Celtics102-110 OT
19/11/17HMilwaukee Bucks111-79
18/11/17HMinnesota Timberwolves87-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW52%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayWLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %52%62%43%
Points / game102.699.5105.4
Allowed / game104.4101.8106.9
Point differential-1.9-2.3-1.5
Avg total207.0201.4212.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL35%
HomeLWLWW44%
AwayWLWLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311813
Win %35%44%23%
Points / game100.8103.297.4
Allowed / game102.5100.2105.5
Point differential-1.7+3.0-8.2
Avg total203.2203.4202.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%28%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics3026487%104.796.9+7.8
2 Houston Rockets2722581%112.6101.8+10.9
3 Golden State Warriors3123874%116.8106.4+10.4
4 Toronto Raptors2718967%111.1103.9+7.3
5 San Antonio Spurs30201067%102.497.7+4.6
6 Cleveland Cavaliers31191261%108.9107.3+1.6
7 Portland Trail Blazers29171259%104.4100.5+3.9
8 Washington Wizards29171259%106.4103.7+2.8
9 Indiana Pacers29171259%107.7106.2+1.5
10 Minnesota Timberwolves29171259%107.7107.4+0.3
11 Denver Nuggets30171357%106.8106.8-0.0
12 Utah Jazz29161355%104.199.4+4.7
13 Detroit Pistons30161453%104.0102.7+1.3
14 Milwaukee Bucks27141352%102.6104.4-1.9
15 Philadelphia 76ers29151452%108.0108.1-0.1
16 New Orleans Pelicans29141548%108.4110.6-2.2
17 Oklahoma City Thunder27131448%101.498.3+3.1
18 Miami Heat30141647%100.0104.4-4.4
19 Brooklyn Nets28131546%109.9110.3-0.4
20 Orlando Magic33141942%105.4108.1-2.6
21 New York Knicks29121741%102.7105.2-2.4
22 Memphis Grizzlies29111838%98.899.9-1.1
23 Charlotte Hornets29111838%104.3106.0-1.7
24 Los Angeles Lakers30111937%104.5108.0-3.5
25 Los Angeles Clippers28101836%105.0107.6-2.7
26 Dallas Mavericks31112035%100.8102.5-1.7
27 Phoenix Suns31102132%107.0115.3-8.2
28 Sacramento Kings3082227%94.6104.6-9.9
29 Atlanta Hawks2972224%101.6106.9-5.3
30 Chicago Bulls3072323%97.5107.4-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks22272832109
Dallas Mavericks25292424102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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