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Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 116-120
22-36 34-23 20-27 40-34
Position#1
Record29-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game121.2
Allowed / game107.2
vs
Position#13
Record19-11
FormWWLWL
Points / game116.5
Allowed / game108.1
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Dallas Mavericks
29 Mar 2027
MIL v DAL
upcoming
31 Mar 2026
MIL123
DAL99
05 Mar 2025
MIL137
DAL107
18 Nov 2023
MIL132
DAL125
27 Nov 2022
MIL124
DAL115
14 Jul 2022
MIL100
DAL89
03 Apr 2022
MIL112
DAL118
15 Oct 2021
MIL103
DAL114
15 Jan 2021
MIL112
DAL109
14 Dec 2020
MIL112
DAL128
12 Dec 2020
MIL102
DAL112
16 Dec 2019
MIL116
DAL120
21 Jan 2019
MIL116
DAL106
08 Jul 2018
MIL78
DAL81
08 Dec 2017
MIL109
DAL102
02 Apr 2017
MIL105
DAL109
08 Oct 2016
MIL88
DAL74
08 Jan 2016
MIL96
DAL95
03 Dec 2014
MIL105
DAL107
09 Nov 2013
MIL83
DAL91
12 Mar 2013
MIL108
DAL115
01 Jan 2011
MIL99
DAL87
16 Nov 2009
MIL113
DAL115
21 Jan 2009
MIL133
DAL99
10 Oct 2008
MIL79
DAL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
111-102
111
102
+9
H28/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
119-110
119
110
+9
A30/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
137-96
137
96
+41
H01/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
W
132-88
132
88
+44
H03/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
127-103
127
103
+24
A05/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
W
119-91
119
91
+28
H07/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#19
W
110-101
110
101
+9
H10/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
127-112
127
112
+15
H12/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
127-114
127
114
+13
A14/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
125-108
125
108
+17
H15/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-17
27-42
21-23
30-20
38-29
29-18
32-42
20-21
32-25
34-24
35-26
36-21
33-15
39-30
28-17
32-26
22-24
37-24
33-24
35-31
30-15
22-28
35-19
32-29
31-20
21-20
28-33
30-28
35-20
34-26
36-40
22-26
35-29
29-33
26-33
37-19
26-20
43-31
33-28
23-29
225.9Avg total
123.4Scored
102.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)121.2107.2228.4+13.991%
Season at home (16)123.1105.8228.9+17.294%
Season away (16)119.3108.7228.0+10.688%
Last 10 (10)123.4102.5225.9+20.9100%
Last 5 (5)121.6105.2226.8+16.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)117.0109.0226.0+8.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)121.3107.1228.5+14.292%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#10
W
137-123
137
123
+14
A24/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
99-114
99
114
-15
H27/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
120-113
120
113
+7
A30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
114-100
114
100
+14
A01/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
118-97
118
97
+21
A04/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
W
121-114
121
114
+7
H05/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
130-84
130
84
+46
H07/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
106-110
106
110
-4
H09/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
122-111
122
111
+11
A13/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#6
L
118-122 OT
118
122
-4
H15/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
45-29
33-31
27-35
32-28
27-34
19-28
31-31
22-21
31-25
22-25
36-39
31-24
25-30
34-32
35-17
20-21
24-24
35-29
25-22
34-22
30-25
23-31
27-28
41-30
31-28
33-24
40-14
26-18
27-36
19-30
32-26
28-18
34-29
31-29
30-27
27-26
23-37
27-36
31-18
31-21
227.3Avg total
118.5Scored
108.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)116.5108.1224.5+8.463%
Season at home (16)115.6105.7221.3+9.956%
Season away (14)117.4110.8228.2+6.671%
Last 10 (10)118.5108.8227.3+9.770%
Last 5 (5)119.4108.2227.6+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)111.0118.0229.0-7.00%
vs Similar (15)113.8105.9219.7+7.967%
vs Weaker (14)119.7109.7229.4+10.064%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +10.1+10.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +6.3+6.3
Milwaukee BucksDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
60-59
60
59
+1
H28/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
67-47
67
47
+20
A30/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#23
W
66-49
66
49
+17
H01/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#26
W
72-45
72
45
+27
H03/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A05/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H07/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#19
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H10/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
69-46
69
46
+23
H12/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A14/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
69-51
69
51
+18
H15/12
NBA
112.0Avg total
63.0Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.751.7111.4+8.080%-
Last 30 at home (15)62.050.5112.5+11.587%-
Last 30 away (15)57.552.9110.3+4.673%-
Last 10 (10)63.049.0112.0+14.0100%-
Last 5 (5)61.248.4109.6+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)61.548.5110.0+13.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)59.552.2111.7+7.377%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#10
W
78-60
78
60
+18
A24/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
46-62
46
62
-16
H27/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A01/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A04/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H05/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H07/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#21
L
46-66
46
66
-20
H09/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#25
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A13/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#6
L
50-73
50
73
-23
H15/12
NBA
116.5Avg total
57.3Scored
59.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.355.2114.5+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.854.3112.1+3.550%-
Last 30 away (14)61.156.1117.2+4.964%-
Last 10 (10)57.359.2116.5-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)55.661.0116.6-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)55.061.0116.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (15)58.755.9114.5+2.853%-
vs Weaker (14)60.454.0114.4+6.464%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 123.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.431.4
58.8%
52.3%62.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.514.6
40.0%
35.7%43.8
🏀 Free throws22.816.8
73.7%
77.2%16.8
They take 89.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 118.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.426.2
55.3%
52.3%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.015.5
36.0%
35.7%46.5
🏀 Free throws24.819.6
79.0%
77.2%19.6
They take 90.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWWWWWWWW
Dallas Mavericks
LWLWWWWWLW
#1
League position
#13
+20.0
Net rating
+9.5
117.8
Offensive rating
115.7
97.9
Defensive rating
106.2
59.3%
Effective FG%
54.7%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
12.8%
Turnover %
11.4%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
40.0%
3-point %
36.0%
61.5%
Assist %
57.1%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence117.8 · 115.7Defence97.9 · 106.2Shooting59.3% · 54.7%3-point %40.0% · 36.0%Ball care12.8% · 11.4%Off. rebounds21.6% · 23.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)100% · 70%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/19HCleveland Cavaliers125-108
14/12/19AMemphis Grizzlies127-114
12/12/19HNew Orleans Pelicans127-112
10/12/19HOrlando Magic110-101
07/12/19HLos Angeles Clippers119-91
05/12/19ADetroit Pistons127-103
03/12/19HNew York Knicks132-88
01/12/19HCharlotte Hornets137-96
30/11/19ACleveland Cavaliers119-110
28/11/19HAtlanta Hawks111-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/19HMiami Heat118-122 OT
13/12/19ADetroit Pistons122-111
09/12/19HSacramento Kings106-110
07/12/19HNew Orleans Pelicans130-84
05/12/19HMinnesota Timberwolves121-114
04/12/19ANew Orleans Pelicans118-97
01/12/19ALos Angeles Lakers114-100
30/11/19APhoenix Suns120-113
27/11/19HLos Angeles Clippers99-114
24/11/19AHouston Rockets137-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %91%94%88%
Points / game121.2123.1119.3
Allowed / game107.2105.8108.7
Point differential+13.9+17.2+10.6
Avg total228.4228.9228.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%62%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL63%
HomeLWWLL56%
AwayWWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %63%56%71%
Points / game116.5115.6117.4
Allowed / game108.1105.7110.8
Point differential+8.4+9.9+6.6
Avg total224.5221.3228.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)20% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks3229391%121.2107.2+13.9
2 Los Angeles Lakers3327682%112.2103.8+8.4
3 Boston Celtics2821775%110.8101.6+9.2
4 Miami Heat3123874%112.7106.2+6.5
5 Denver Nuggets2921872%106.8101.2+5.6
6 Philadelphia 76ers3223972%108.9102.9+6.0
7 Indiana Pacers31211068%110.6105.1+5.5
8 Toronto Raptors30201067%112.1106.9+5.2
9 Houston Rockets31201165%120.5115.5+5.0
10 Los Angeles Clippers31201165%112.7108.0+4.7
11 Dallas Mavericks30191163%116.5108.1+8.4
12 Brooklyn Nets29161355%111.1111.0+0.0
13 Utah Jazz30151550%108.0109.4-1.4
14 Orlando Magic32151747%103.0103.6-0.6
15 Sacramento Kings30141647%106.5108.2-1.6
16 Phoenix Suns29131645%114.6113.6+1.0
17 Detroit Pistons32141844%108.7109.8-1.1
18 Oklahoma City Thunder28121643%107.0107.8-0.8
19 San Antonio Spurs30121840%110.7115.0-4.3
20 Charlotte Hornets34132138%104.4110.4-6.0
21 Minnesota Timberwolves29111838%114.2118.4-4.2
22 Portland Trail Blazers30111937%112.0114.6-2.6
23 Chicago Bulls33122136%105.8107.4-1.5
24 Washington Wizards29101934%116.7119.6-2.8
25 Memphis Grizzlies29101934%109.4116.0-6.6
26 New Orleans Pelicans32112134%114.8119.8-5.0
27 New York Knicks3172423%101.5110.7-9.2
28 Atlanta Hawks3272522%106.1116.8-10.7
29 Golden State Warriors3372621%105.5114.0-8.6
30 Cleveland Cavaliers3062420%102.4114.3-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks22342040116
Dallas Mavericks36232734120
← all games of the day
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