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Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 21 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 116-106
35-26 22-33 35-25 24-22
Position#1
Record33-12
FormLWWWW
Points / game117.6
Allowed / game107.6
vs
Position#22
Record20-25
FormWWLLL
Points / game109.6
Allowed / game109.6
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Dallas Mavericks
29 Mar 2027
MIL v DAL
upcoming
31 Mar 2026
MIL123
DAL99
05 Mar 2025
MIL137
DAL107
18 Nov 2023
MIL132
DAL125
27 Nov 2022
MIL124
DAL115
03 Apr 2022
MIL112
DAL118
15 Jan 2021
MIL112
DAL109
14 Dec 2020
MIL112
DAL128
12 Dec 2020
MIL102
DAL112
16 Dec 2019
MIL116
DAL120
21 Jan 2019
MIL116
DAL106
08 Dec 2017
MIL109
DAL102
02 Apr 2017
MIL105
DAL109
08 Jan 2016
MIL96
DAL95
03 Dec 2014
MIL105
DAL107
09 Nov 2013
MIL83
DAL91
12 Mar 2013
MIL108
DAL115
01 Jan 2011
MIL99
DAL87
16 Nov 2009
MIL113
DAL115
21 Jan 2009
MIL133
DAL99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
121-98
121
98
+23
122avg 107
H02/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
144-112
144
112
+32
144avg 107
H05/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
116-123
116
123
-7
113avg 107
H06/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
114-102
114
102
+12
104avg 107
H08/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
116-109
116
109
+7
111avg 107
A10/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
106-113
106
113
-7
98avg 107
A12/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
133-114
133
114
+19
124avg 107
A13/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
124-86
124
86
+38
124avg 107
H16/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
111-101
111
101
+10
111avg 107
A17/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
118-108
118
108
+10
114avg 107
A20/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-27
33-25
24-21
29-25
43-14
33-29
42-36
26-33
34-27
23-29
25-35
34-32
32-34
26-28
25-24
31-16
26-29
28-31
38-23
24-26
26-40
21-17
35-28
24-28
35-32
29-23
31-29
38-30
30-23
39-22
24-18
31-23
28-20
22-25
41-28
20-28
33-24
26-22
28-36
31-26
226.9Avg total
120.3Scored
106.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)117.6107.6225.2+10.073%
Season at home (24)120.6106.0226.6+14.783%
Season away (21)114.2109.5223.7+4.762%
Last 10 (10)120.3106.6226.9+13.780%
Last 5 (5)118.4104.4222.8+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)105.0109.0214.0-4.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)117.1106.3223.4+10.878%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
102-122
102
122
-20
99avg 97
A01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
122-84
122
84
+38
122avg 97
A03/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
93-114
93
114
-21
79avg 97
A05/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
100-106
100
106
-6
94avg 97
A06/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
97-107
97
107
-10
83avg 97
H08/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
104-94
104
94
+10
98avg 97
H10/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
119-115
119
115
+4
105avg 97
A12/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
114-119
114
119
-5
103avg 97
H14/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
101-105
101
105
-4
90avg 97
H17/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
99-111
99
111
-12
87avg 97
A20/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-32
22-28
32-32
27-30
42-26
23-15
29-24
28-19
23-34
28-24
17-26
25-30
26-31
25-28
19-28
30-19
33-25
34-29
13-32
17-21
26-26
20-24
32-19
26-25
28-26
33-24
24-28
34-37
29-25
25-37
34-30
26-27
35-20
21-25
24-30
21-30
23-24
19-34
27-26
30-27
212.8Avg total
105.1Scored
107.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)109.6109.6219.2+0.044%
Season at home (22)111.8106.0217.8+5.873%
Season away (23)107.4113.0220.4-5.617%
Last 10 (10)105.1107.7212.8-2.630%
Last 5 (5)107.4108.8216.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)109.5112.3221.8-2.838%
vs Similar (14)109.9109.4219.3+0.443%
vs Weaker (3)102.3100.0202.3+2.367%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
Milwaukee BucksDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
68-52
68
52
+16
H02/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
76-43
76
43
+33
H05/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H06/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
58-62
58
62
-4
H08/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A10/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A12/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
64-55
64
55
+9
A13/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
69-45
69
45
+24
H16/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A17/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A20/01
NBA
112.3Avg total
60.2Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.152.8110.9+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)61.854.2116.0+7.662%-
Last 30 away (14)53.851.2105.0+2.671%-
Last 10 (10)60.252.1112.3+8.170%-
Last 5 (5)57.849.6107.4+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)53.054.0107.0-1.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)58.652.7111.3+6.067%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#18
W
65-41
65
41
+24
A03/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A05/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A06/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H08/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H10/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
61-50
61
50
+11
A12/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H14/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H17/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A20/01
NBA
107.3Avg total
53.6Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.555.8112.3+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.653.8111.4+3.857%-
Last 30 away (16)55.657.6113.1-2.038%-
Last 10 (10)53.653.7107.3-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)51.853.0104.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)56.158.8114.8-2.731%-
vs Similar (14)59.254.1113.4+5.171%-
vs Weaker (3)45.750.796.3-5.00%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 120.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.633.6
59.4%
51.7%67.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.912.0
36.5%
35.4%36.0
🏀 Free throws22.617.1
75.7%
76.6%17.1
They take 89.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 105.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.624.4
50.2%
51.7%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.712.5
33.2%
35.4%37.5
🏀 Free throws25.218.8
74.6%
76.6%18.8
They take 86.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWWLWWLWW
Dallas Mavericks
LLLWWLLLWL
#1
League position
#22
+13.1
Net rating
-2.6
114.8
Offensive rating
104.3
101.7
Defensive rating
106.9
57.7%
Effective FG%
50.0%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
12.1%
Turnover %
14.6%
18.3%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.5%
3-point %
33.2%
62.3%
Assist %
58.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 104.3Defence101.7 · 106.9Shooting57.7% · 50.0%3-point %36.5% · 33.2%Ball care12.1% · 14.6%Off. rebounds18.3% · 25.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/19AOrlando Magic118-108
17/01/19AMemphis Grizzlies111-101
16/01/19HMiami Heat124-86
13/01/19AAtlanta Hawks133-114
12/01/19AWashington Wizards106-113
10/01/19AHouston Rockets116-109
08/01/19HUtah Jazz114-102
06/01/19HToronto Raptors116-123
05/01/19HAtlanta Hawks144-112
02/01/19HDetroit Pistons121-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/19AIndiana Pacers99-111
17/01/19HSan Antonio Spurs101-105
14/01/19HGolden State Warriors114-119
12/01/19AMinnesota Timberwolves119-115
10/01/19HPhoenix Suns104-94
08/01/19HLos Angeles Lakers97-107
06/01/19APhiladelphia 76ers100-106
05/01/19ABoston Celtics93-114
03/01/19ACharlotte Hornets122-84
01/01/19AOklahoma City Thunder102-122

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452421
Win %73%83%62%
Points / game117.6120.6114.2
Allowed / game107.6106.0109.5
Point differential+10.0+14.7+4.7
Avg total225.2226.6223.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%67%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)33% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %4%0%10%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL44%
HomeWLWLL73%
AwayWLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452223
Win %44%73%17%
Points / game109.6111.8107.4
Allowed / game109.6106.0113.0
Point differential+0.0+5.8-5.6
Avg total219.2217.8220.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%23%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)75% (8)25% (8)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks45331273%117.6107.6+10.0
2 Toronto Raptors48351373%113.9108.3+5.6
3 Golden State Warriors46321470%118.5111.9+6.5
4 Denver Nuggets45311469%111.3106.2+5.1
5 Indiana Pacers46311567%109.0103.1+5.8
6 Philadelphia 76ers47301764%115.4112.2+3.3
7 Boston Celtics46281861%112.1105.9+6.2
8 Oklahoma City Thunder46281861%113.8109.0+4.8
9 Portland Trail Blazers47281960%112.5110.1+2.4
10 Houston Rockets45261958%112.6110.5+2.1
11 San Antonio Spurs48272156%111.4109.2+2.2
12 Utah Jazz47262155%108.4104.9+3.5
13 Los Angeles Clippers46252154%114.5114.2+0.3
14 Los Angeles Lakers47252253%112.4111.4+1.0
15 Sacramento Kings46242252%114.0115.1-1.1
16 Brooklyn Nets47242351%111.6112.0-0.5
17 Miami Heat44222250%106.1105.8+0.3
18 Charlotte Hornets46222448%112.2111.7+0.5
19 Minnesota Timberwolves46222448%111.6112.0-0.4
20 New Orleans Pelicans46212546%117.4115.8+1.7
21 Dallas Mavericks45202544%109.6109.6+0.0
22 Detroit Pistons45202544%106.6109.1-2.5
23 Washington Wizards45192642%113.2116.5-3.2
24 Memphis Grizzlies46192741%101.0103.8-2.9
25 Orlando Magic46192741%103.9107.9-4.0
26 Atlanta Hawks45143131%109.8117.7-7.9
27 Chicago Bulls47113623%101.1111.1-10.0
28 Phoenix Suns48113723%106.3115.0-8.7
29 New York Knicks45103522%107.2115.7-8.5
30 Cleveland Cavaliers4893919%102.5113.7-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks35223524116
Dallas Mavericks26332522106
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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