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Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 May 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 141-133
34-34 30-29 43-29 34-41
Position#5
Record42-27
FormLWWWW
Points / game119.1
Allowed / game113.8
vs
Position#30
Record19-51
FormLWLLL
Points / game108.2
Allowed / game114.9
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Houston Rockets
28 Oct 2026
MIL100
HOU132
09 Nov 2025
MIL115
HOU122
18 Nov 2024
MIL101
HOU100
17 Dec 2023
MIL128
HOU119
22 Oct 2022
MIL125
HOU105
22 Dec 2021
MIL126
HOU106
07 May 2021
MIL141
HOU133
26 Mar 2019
MIL108
HOU94
07 Mar 2018
MIL99
HOU110
23 Jan 2017
MIL127
HOU114
29 Feb 2016
MIL128
HOU121
29 Nov 2014
MIL103
HOU117
08 Feb 2014
MIL95
HOU101
04 Jan 2013
MIL101
HOU115
10 Dec 2010
MIL97
HOU91
17 Feb 2010
MIL99
HOU127
09 Feb 2009
MIL124
HOU112
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
127-128 OT
127
128
-1
114avg 111
H20/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
124-117
124
117
+7
127avg 111
H22/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
132-94
132
94
+38
132avg 111
H24/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
104-111
104
111
-7
95avg 111
A25/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
114-104
114
104
+10
110avg 111
A27/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
136-143
136
143
-7
127avg 111
A30/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
108-98
108
98
+10
102avg 111
A01/05
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
117-114
117
114
+3
63avg 111
H02/05
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
124-118
124
118
+6
115avg 111
H04/05
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
135-134
135
134
+1
133avg 111
H06/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
29-31
36-28
26-33
40-26
37-34
31-27
16-30
26-17
24-23
36-23
46-31
29-26
22-17
27-27
26-41
33-28
29-17
25-35
27-24
38-29
35-36
25-39
38-39
28-16
24-28
28-19
28-35
28-37
34-22
28-31
27-24
34-33
32-25
26-36
32-24
29-37
42-34
32-24
32-39
238.2Avg total
122.1Scored
116.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)119.1113.8232.9+5.361%
Season at home (35)119.6113.4232.9+6.266%
Season away (34)118.7114.2232.9+4.456%
Last 10 (10)122.1116.1238.2+6.070%
Last 5 (5)124.0121.4245.4+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)115.8110.8226.6+4.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)124.2117.2241.4+6.971%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#28
W
114-110
114
110
+4
111avg 98
A18/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
91-113
91
113
-22
79avg 98
A20/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
89-112
89
112
-23
67avg 98
H22/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
104-109
104
109
-5
95avg 98
H24/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
116-129
116
129
-13
108avg 98
A25/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
107-114
107
114
-7
100avg 98
H28/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
143-136
143
136
+7
134avg 98
H30/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
87-113
87
113
-26
73avg 98
H01/05
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
97-122
97
122
-25
88avg 98
H03/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
115-135
115
135
-20
104avg 98
H06/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
25-31
32-18
29-33
28-30
27-24
19-35
17-24
27-34
16-27
20-30
26-21
36-37
25-28
19-11
24-33
26-36
24-36
32-30
34-27
23-28
27-31
29-19
28-36
29-38
36-35
39-25
39-38
24-22
31-27
12-39
20-25
24-34
20-25
27-34
26-29
30-39
33-36
28-33
24-27
225.6Avg total
106.3Scored
119.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)108.2114.9223.1-6.827%
Season at home (37)106.9114.4221.3-7.427%
Season away (33)109.6115.6225.2-6.027%
Last 10 (10)106.3119.3225.6-13.020%
Last 5 (5)109.8124.0233.8-14.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)108.0120.6228.6-12.612%
vs Similar (6)110.5110.8221.3-0.333%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -2.6-2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -2.6-2.6
Milwaukee BucksHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H20/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
77-60
77
60
+17
H22/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H24/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A25/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
62-45
62
45
+17
A27/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A30/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A01/05
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H02/05
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H04/05
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
D
71-71
71
71
+0
H06/05
NBA
115.8Avg total
61.8Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.154.5114.6+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (14)62.958.2121.1+4.757%-
Last 30 away (16)57.751.2108.9+6.475%-
Last 10 (10)61.854.0115.8+7.880%-
Last 5 (5)64.859.4124.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)57.352.4109.7+4.969%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)62.356.1118.4+6.265%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#28
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A18/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A20/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
43-61
43
61
-18
H22/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H24/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
50-72
50
72
-22
A25/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H28/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H30/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H01/05
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
L
44-59
44
59
-15
H03/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H06/05
NBA
116.5Avg total
53.9Scored
62.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.262.6117.8-7.523%-
Last 30 at home (20)54.863.5118.3-8.715%-
Last 30 away (10)55.960.9116.8-5.040%-
Last 10 (10)53.962.6116.5-8.720%-
Last 5 (5)55.463.0118.4-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)54.264.1118.3-9.821%-
vs Similar (6)58.856.8115.7+2.033%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 122.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.832.2
56.7%
52.8%64.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.213.8
39.2%
36.6%41.4
🏀 Free throws21.516.3
75.8%
77.7%16.3
They take 92.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 106.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.025.7
53.5%
52.8%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.212.9
32.1%
36.6%38.7
🏀 Free throws22.216.2
73.0%
77.7%16.2
They take 88.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWWLWLWWL
Houston Rockets
LLLWLLLLLW
#5
League position
#30
+5.7
Net rating
-12.6
115.9
Offensive rating
102.6
110.2
Defensive rating
115.2
57.5%
Effective FG%
51.1%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.5%
12.7%
Turnover %
15.0%
21.5%
Off. rebound %
21.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.25
39.2%
3-point %
32.1%
55.4%
Assist %
59.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 102.6Defence110.2 · 115.2Shooting57.5% · 51.1%3-point %39.2% · 32.1%Ball care12.7% · 15.0%Off. rebounds21.5% · 21.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
5
Houston Rockets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/21HWashington Wizards135-134
04/05/21HBrooklyn Nets124-118
02/05/21HBrooklyn Nets117-114
01/05/21AChicago Bulls108-98
30/04/21AHouston Rockets136-143
27/04/21ACharlotte Hornets114-104
25/04/21AAtlanta Hawks104-111
24/04/21HPhiladelphia 76ers132-94
22/04/21HPhiladelphia 76ers124-117
20/04/21HPhoenix Suns127-128 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/21HPhiladelphia 76ers115-135
03/05/21HNew York Knicks97-122
01/05/21HGolden State Warriors87-113
30/04/21HMilwaukee Bucks143-136
28/04/21HMinnesota Timberwolves107-114
25/04/21ADenver Nuggets116-129
24/04/21HLos Angeles Clippers104-109
22/04/21HUtah Jazz89-112
20/04/21AMiami Heat91-113
18/04/21AOrlando Magic114-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW61%
HomeWWWWW66%
AwayWLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693534
Win %61%66%56%
Points / game119.1119.6118.7
Allowed / game113.8113.4114.2
Point differential+5.3+6.2+4.4
Avg total232.9232.9232.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%40%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (16)86% (7)33% (9)
Overtime %3%3%3%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL27%
HomeLWLLL27%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703733
Win %27%27%27%
Points / game108.2106.9109.6
Allowed / game114.9114.4115.6
Point differential-6.8-7.4-6.0
Avg total223.1221.3225.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%14%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)33% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %1%0%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz69511874%116.6106.8+9.8
2 Philadelphia 76ers69482170%113.7108.1+5.6
3 Phoenix Suns70472367%114.0109.2+4.8
4 Denver Nuggets69462367%115.3109.2+6.0
5 Brooklyn Nets69452465%118.4114.1+4.3
6 Los Angeles Clippers70452564%113.5108.2+5.3
7 Milwaukee Bucks69422761%119.1113.8+5.3
8 Los Angeles Lakers70412959%109.3106.3+3.0
9 Dallas Mavericks69402958%112.5110.2+2.3
10 New York Knicks70403057%106.9103.9+3.0
11 Portland Trail Blazers70383254%115.1114.9+0.2
12 Atlanta Hawks72393354%113.2111.9+1.3
13 Miami Heat68363253%107.0107.6-0.6
14 Memphis Grizzlies70363451%113.6112.5+1.1
15 Golden State Warriors70363451%112.9112.6+0.3
16 Boston Celtics69353451%112.2111.0+1.2
17 Charlotte Hornets70333747%109.7111.3-1.6
18 New Orleans Pelicans69323746%115.1114.4+0.7
19 Washington Wizards70323846%115.6117.9-2.3
20 San Antonio Spurs68313746%110.5112.3-1.9
21 Indiana Pacers69313845%114.5115.0-0.5
22 Sacramento Kings70313944%113.8117.9-4.1
23 Chicago Bulls71314044%110.8111.6-0.8
24 Toronto Raptors70294141%111.7111.3+0.4
25 Cleveland Cavaliers70234733%103.9111.9-8.0
26 Orlando Magic70234733%104.7112.8-8.1
27 Oklahoma City Thunder70224831%105.4115.1-9.7
28 Detroit Pistons71224931%106.4109.8-3.4
29 Minnesota Timberwolves69214830%111.7118.2-6.5
30 Houston Rockets70195127%108.2114.9-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks34304334141
Houston Rockets34292941133
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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