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Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 107-114
23-28 27-31 29-19 28-36
Position#30
Record18-47
FormWLLLL
Points / game108.0
Allowed / game114.2
vs
Position#25
Record19-46
FormLWLWW
Points / game110.7
Allowed / game117.8
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves
05 Jan 2027
HOU v MIN
upcoming
04 Nov 2026
HOU v MIN
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
HOU132
MIN136
16 Jan 2026
HOU110
MIN105
21 Feb 2025
HOU121
MIN115
27 Dec 2024
HOU112
MIN113
05 Jan 2024
HOU95
MIN122
23 Jan 2023
HOU119
MIN114
08 Jan 2023
HOU96
MIN104
03 Apr 2022
HOU132
MIN139
09 Jan 2022
HOU123
MIN141
27 Apr 2021
HOU107
MIN114
10 Mar 2020
HOU117
MIN111
11 Jan 2020
HOU139
MIN109
17 Mar 2019
HOU117
MIN102
25 Apr 2018
HOU122
MIN104
18 Apr 2018
HOU102
MIN82
15 Apr 2018
HOU104
MIN101
23 Feb 2018
HOU120
MIN102
18 Jan 2018
HOU116
MIN98
12 Apr 2017
HOU123
MIN118
25 Feb 2017
HOU142
MIN130
18 Mar 2016
HOU116
MIN111
13 Jan 2016
HOU107
MIN104
27 Mar 2015
HOU120
MIN110
23 Feb 2015
HOU113
MIN102
20 Mar 2014
HOU129
MIN106
23 Nov 2013
HOU112
MIN101
15 Mar 2013
HOU108
MIN100
17 Feb 2012
HOU98
MIN111
30 Jan 2012
HOU108
MIN120
08 Feb 2011
HOU108
MIN112
07 Nov 2010
HOU120
MIN94
13 Jan 2010
HOU120
MIN114
20 Mar 2009
HOU107
MIN88
07 Feb 2009
HOU107
MIN90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
109-126
109
126
-17
103avg 98
A10/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
109-125
109
125
-16
101avg 98
A11/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
120-126
120
126
-6
123avg 98
A13/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
124-132
124
132
-8
108avg 98
H15/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
99-128
99
128
-29
85avg 98
H17/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
114-110
114
110
+4
111avg 98
A18/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
91-113
91
113
-22
79avg 98
A20/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
89-112
89
112
-23
67avg 98
H22/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
104-109
104
109
-5
95avg 98
H24/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
116-129
116
129
-13
108avg 98
A25/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-26
10-41
37-27
26-32
30-32
18-33
32-29
29-31
29-38
29-43
30-22
32-23
24-33
31-42
39-31
30-26
28-35
21-34
30-31
20-28
28-28
25-31
32-18
29-33
28-30
27-24
19-35
17-24
27-34
16-27
20-30
26-21
36-37
25-28
19-11
24-33
26-36
24-36
32-30
34-27
228.5Avg total
107.5Scored
121.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)108.0114.2222.3-6.228%
Season at home (32)106.5112.8219.3-6.428%
Season away (33)109.6115.6225.2-6.027%
Last 10 (10)107.5121.0228.5-13.510%
Last 5 (5)102.8114.6217.4-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)106.4120.3226.7-13.99%
vs Similar ◀ (7)107.3111.0218.3-3.729%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#16
L
136-145 OT
136
145
-9
126avg 100
A09/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
121-117
121
117
+4
117avg 100
H12/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
97-127
97
127
-30
78avg 100
H13/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
105-130
105
130
-25
90avg 100
H14/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
119-111
119
111
+8
119avg 100
H17/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
105-124
105
124
-19
93avg 100
A19/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
134-120
134
120
+14
138avg 100
A21/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
125-128
125
128
-3
119avg 100
A22/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
101-96
101
96
+5
83avg 100
A25/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
105-104
105
104
+1
104avg 100
H27/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-25
27-32
31-35
27-32
29-26
37-29
25-32
30-30
25-33
27-40
22-31
23-23
19-24
25-37
35-45
26-24
26-37
35-24
27-32
31-18
26-29
27-43
16-32
36-20
39-43
35-31
25-29
35-17
34-44
25-26
39-25
27-33
26-40
26-18
30-16
19-22
17-33
32-14
34-23
22-34
235.0Avg total
114.8Scored
120.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)110.7117.8228.4-7.129%
Season at home (32)107.2114.6221.8-7.434%
Season away (33)114.0120.8234.8-6.824%
Last 10 (10)114.8120.2235.0-5.450%
Last 5 (5)114.0114.4228.4-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)113.8120.0233.8-6.236%
vs Similar ◀ (7)114.7121.0235.7-6.343%
vs Weaker (1)103.0112.0215.0-9.00%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: -11.3-11.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.3+2.3
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: -11.3-11.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.3+2.3
Houston RocketsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
46-67
46
67
-21
A10/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A11/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
58-81
58
81
-23
A13/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
55-75
55
75
-20
H15/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
49-69
49
69
-20
H17/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A18/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A20/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
43-61
43
61
-18
H22/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H24/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
50-72
50
72
-22
A25/04
NBA
118.6Avg total
51.8Scored
66.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.962.5116.4-8.620%-
Last 30 at home (18)53.363.1116.4-9.811%-
Last 30 away (12)54.861.6116.4-6.833%-
Last 10 (10)51.866.8118.6-15.010%-
Last 5 (5)52.462.2114.6-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)52.864.2117.0-11.417%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)57.756.9114.6+0.929%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#16
W
66-57
66
57
+9
A09/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
66-55
66
55
+11
H12/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
52-73
52
73
-21
H13/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
44-61
44
61
-17
H14/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
D
61-61
61
61
+0
H17/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
53-72
53
72
-19
A19/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
D
74-74
74
74
+0
A21/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A22/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A25/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H27/04
NBA
120.4Avg total
57.6Scored
62.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.162.0118.1-5.813%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.858.9111.7-6.113%-
Last 30 away (15)59.565.1124.5-5.613%-
Last 10 (10)57.662.8120.4-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)57.464.2121.6-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)56.261.4117.5-5.218%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)56.964.6121.4-7.70%-
vs Weaker (1)50.057.0107.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 107.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.727.1
54.5%
52.8%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.812.6
32.5%
36.6%37.8
🏀 Free throws21.015.5
73.8%
77.7%15.5
They take 88.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 114.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.925.4
54.2%
52.8%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.814.9
36.5%
36.6%44.7
🏀 Free throws25.119.3
76.9%
77.7%19.3
They take 87.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
LLLLWLLLLL
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWLWLWLLWL
#30
League position
#25
-13.1
Net rating
-5.2
104.5
Offensive rating
110.4
117.6
Defensive rating
115.6
52.0%
Effective FG%
54.4%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
58.0%
15.0%
Turnover %
13.7%
21.8%
Off. rebound %
20.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.5%
3-point %
36.5%
61.5%
Assist %
64.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 110.4Defence117.6 · 115.6Shooting52.0% · 54.4%3-point %32.5% · 36.5%Ball care15.0% · 13.7%Off. rebounds21.8% · 20.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/21ADenver Nuggets116-129
24/04/21HLos Angeles Clippers104-109
22/04/21HUtah Jazz89-112
20/04/21AMiami Heat91-113
18/04/21AOrlando Magic114-110
17/04/21HDenver Nuggets99-128
15/04/21HIndiana Pacers124-132
13/04/21APhoenix Suns120-126
11/04/21AGolden State Warriors109-125
10/04/21ALos Angeles Clippers109-126
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/21HUtah Jazz105-104
25/04/21AUtah Jazz101-96
22/04/21ASacramento Kings125-128
21/04/21ASacramento Kings134-120
19/04/21ALos Angeles Clippers105-124
17/04/21HMiami Heat119-111
14/04/21HMilwaukee Bucks105-130
13/04/21HBrooklyn Nets97-127
12/04/21HChicago Bulls121-117
09/04/21ABoston Celtics136-145 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL28%
HomeWLLLL28%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653233
Win %28%28%27%
Points / game108.0106.5109.6
Allowed / game114.2112.8115.6
Point differential-6.2-6.4-6.0
Avg total222.3219.3225.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%16%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)33% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %2%0%3%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW29%
HomeWLLWW34%
AwayLLWLW24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653233
Win %29%34%24%
Points / game110.7107.2114.0
Allowed / game117.8114.6120.8
Point differential-7.1-7.4-6.8
Avg total228.4221.8234.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%9%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (24)50% (10)43% (14)
Overtime %8%6%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz64471773%116.3107.0+9.4
2 Brooklyn Nets64442069%118.6113.7+4.9
3 Philadelphia 76ers63422167%113.2108.7+4.5
4 Phoenix Suns65432266%113.7108.8+4.9
5 Denver Nuggets64422266%115.7109.7+6.0
6 Los Angeles Clippers66432365%113.9108.5+5.4
7 Los Angeles Lakers65402562%109.8106.0+3.8
8 Milwaukee Bucks64382659%118.8113.2+5.5
9 New York Knicks66372956%106.5104.0+2.5
10 Dallas Mavericks63352856%112.0110.1+1.8
11 Atlanta Hawks66363055%113.2111.5+1.7
12 Memphis Grizzlies64343053%114.0112.4+1.7
13 Portland Trail Blazers65343152%114.1115.1-1.0
14 Golden State Warriors64333152%113.0112.9+0.1
15 Miami Heat64333152%106.3107.2-0.9
16 Boston Celtics64323250%111.4110.4+1.0
17 San Antonio Spurs63313249%110.4111.6-1.2
18 Charlotte Hornets65313448%110.0111.3-1.4
19 New Orleans Pelicans63293446%115.2114.5+0.7
20 Indiana Pacers64293545%113.6114.5-0.9
21 Chicago Bulls65293645%111.4112.2-0.7
22 Washington Wizards64283644%114.2117.5-3.3
23 Toronto Raptors65283743%111.6111.0+0.6
24 Sacramento Kings65273842%114.3118.5-4.2
25 Cleveland Cavaliers65234235%103.7110.8-7.0
26 Oklahoma City Thunder65224334%105.7114.7-9.0
27 Detroit Pistons66214532%106.6109.9-3.4
28 Orlando Magic65204531%104.9113.0-8.1
29 Minnesota Timberwolves65194629%110.7117.8-7.1
30 Houston Rockets65184728%108.0114.2-6.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets23272928107
Minnesota Timberwolves28311936114
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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