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Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 20 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 127-128 (OT)
25-24 29-31 36-28 26-33 11-12
Position#5
Record35-24
FormLWWWL
Points / game118.6
Allowed / game113.4
Milwaukee Bucks
USA
vs
Phoenix Suns 🏆
USA
Position#3
Record40-20
FormWWWWL
Points / game113.8
Allowed / game108.2
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns
18 Dec 2026
MIL v PHX
upcoming
10 Mar 2026
MIL114
PHX129
01 Apr 2025
MIL133
PHX123
17 Mar 2024
MIL140
PHX129
26 Feb 2023
MIL104
PHX101
06 Mar 2022
MIL132
PHX122
20 Jul 2021
MIL105
PHX98
14 Jul 2021
MIL109
PHX103
11 Jul 2021
MIL120
PHX100
19 Apr 2021
MIL127
PHX128
02 Feb 2020
MIL129
PHX108
23 Nov 2018
MIL114
PHX116
22 Jan 2018
MIL109
PHX105
26 Feb 2017
MIL100
PHX96
30 Mar 2016
MIL105
PHX94
06 Jan 2015
MIL96
PHX102
29 Jan 2014
MIL117
PHX126
08 Jan 2013
MIL108
PHX99
07 Feb 2012
MIL105
PHX107
04 Mar 2011
MIL88
PHX102
03 Apr 2010
MIL107
PHX98
08 Nov 2008
MIL96
PHX104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
112-97
112
97
+15
109avg 111
A01/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
127-109
127
109
+18
125avg 111
A03/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
129-128
129
128
+1
no box
A04/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
121-122
121
122
-1
115avg 111
A07/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
101-116
101
116
-15
82avg 111
A09/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
119-127
119
127
-8
106avg 111
H10/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
124-87
124
87
+37
123avg 111
A11/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
130-105
130
105
+25
122avg 111
A14/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
120-109
120
109
+11
113avg 111
A15/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
115-128
115
128
-13
106avg 111
H18/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-30
33-19
32-26
23-22
34-21
26-32
37-20
30-36
31-28
30-29
38-34
30-37
26-28
24-25
38-30
33-39
31-29
25-26
28-25
17-36
27-32
28-34
26-34
38-27
32-19
25-19
28-29
39-20
24-19
37-25
45-35
24-26
33-29
31-23
30-30
26-27
31-35
28-34
30-31
26-28
232.6Avg total
119.8Scored
112.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)118.6113.4232.0+5.259%
Season at home (29)118.1112.5230.7+5.662%
Season away (30)119.1114.3233.4+4.857%
Last 10 (10)119.8112.8232.6+7.060%
Last 5 (5)121.6111.2232.8+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)108.8109.7218.4-0.956%
vs Weaker (21)121.0114.8235.8+6.367%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
121-116
121
116
+5
117avg 109
H01/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
140-103
140
103
+37
143avg 109
H03/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
133-130
133
130
+3
128avg 109
A06/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
117-113 OT
117
113
+4
107avg 109
H08/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
103-113
103
113
-10
98avg 109
A09/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
134-106
134
106
+28
129avg 109
H11/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
126-120
126
120
+6
120avg 109
H13/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
106-86
106
86
+20
107avg 109
H14/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
122-114
122
114
+8
121avg 109
H16/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
85-111
85
111
-26
70avg 109
H18/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-37
28-21
27-28
27-30
43-13
30-37
30-26
37-27
34-34
36-26
31-32
32-38
20-21
31-19
26-38
25-24
23-27
33-27
25-29
22-30
27-29
30-26
44-24
33-27
38-29
43-29
22-30
23-32
26-34
30-16
27-22
23-14
33-28
34-37
28-29
27-20
19-28
26-36
23-23
17-24
229.9Avg total
118.7Scored
111.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (60)113.8108.2222.0+5.567%
Season at home (34)115.9108.1223.9+7.868%
Season away (26)111.0108.5219.5+2.565%
Last 10 (10)118.7111.2229.9+7.580%
Last 5 (5)114.6107.4222.0+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)117.3106.2223.6+11.178%
vs Weaker (21)117.7109.3227.0+8.476%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
Milwaukee BucksPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
57-49
57
49
+8
A01/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
60-53
60
53
+7
A03/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A04/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A07/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A09/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
55-66
55
66
-11
H10/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
57-38
57
38
+19
A11/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A14/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
64-52
64
52
+12
A15/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H18/04
NBA
111.6Avg total
58.0Scored
53.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.755.3114.0+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)60.858.4119.2+2.456%-
Last 30 away (14)56.251.9108.1+4.464%-
Last 10 (10)58.053.6111.6+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)59.253.8113.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)54.253.1107.3+1.156%-
vs Weaker (21)60.656.3116.9+4.362%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H01/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
73-50
73
50
+23
H03/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A06/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H08/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A09/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H11/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
81-58
81
58
+23
H13/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H14/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H16/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
45-64
45
64
-19
H18/04
NBA
117.7Avg total
62.3Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.553.9114.4+6.677%-
Last 30 at home (18)62.654.6117.1+8.089%-
Last 30 away (12)57.352.9110.2+4.458%-
Last 10 (10)62.355.4117.7+6.990%-
Last 5 (5)61.258.4119.6+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)61.348.2109.6+13.1100%-
vs Weaker (21)60.156.3116.4+3.867%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 119.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.529.6
53.3%
52.8%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.914.7
39.8%
36.6%44.1
🏀 Free throws20.016.3
81.5%
77.7%16.3
They take 92.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 118.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.031.1
57.6%
52.8%62.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.813.6
39.1%
36.6%40.8
🏀 Free throws19.915.7
78.9%
77.7%15.7
They take 88.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LWWWLLLWWW
Phoenix Suns
LWWWWLWWWW
#5
League position
#3
+6.5
Net rating
+7.4
114.4
Offensive rating
117.3
107.8
Defensive rating
109.9
55.9%
Effective FG%
58.0%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
13.3%
Turnover %
11.8%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
21.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.22
39.8%
3-point %
39.1%
56.2%
Assist %
62.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 117.3Defence107.8 · 109.9Shooting55.9% · 58.0%3-point %39.8% · 39.1%Ball care13.3% · 11.8%Off. rebounds23.6% · 21.6%Free throws0.22 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Milwaukee Bucks wins
4
Phoenix Suns wins
DateGameScore
11/02/21Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks125-124
08/03/20Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks140-131
02/02/20Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns129-108
05/03/19Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks114-105
24/11/18Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns114-116
23/01/18Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns109-105
23/11/17Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks107-113 OT
26/02/17Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns100-96
05/02/17Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks112-137
31/03/16Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns105-94
Milwaukee Buckslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/21HMemphis Grizzlies115-128
15/04/21AAtlanta Hawks120-109
14/04/21AMinnesota Timberwolves130-105
11/04/21AOrlando Magic124-87
10/04/21HCharlotte Hornets119-127
09/04/21ADallas Mavericks101-116
07/04/21AGolden State Warriors121-122
04/04/21ASacramento Kings129-128
03/04/21APortland Trail Blazers127-109
01/04/21ALos Angeles Lakers112-97
Phoenix Sunslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/21HSan Antonio Spurs85-111
16/04/21HSacramento Kings122-114
14/04/21HMiami Heat106-86
13/04/21HHouston Rockets126-120
11/04/21HWashington Wizards134-106
09/04/21ALos Angeles Clippers103-113
08/04/21HUtah Jazz117-113 OT
06/04/21AHouston Rockets133-130
03/04/21HOklahoma City Thunder140-103
01/04/21HChicago Bulls121-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL59%
HomeWLLLL62%
AwayLLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games592930
Win %59%62%57%
Points / game118.6118.1119.1
Allowed / game113.4112.5114.3
Point differential+5.2+5.6+4.8
Avg total232.0230.7233.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%45%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)100% (4)33% (9)
Overtime %2%0%3%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWWWL68%
AwayLWWWL65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games603426
Win %67%68%65%
Points / game113.8115.9111.0
Allowed / game108.2108.1108.5
Point differential+5.5+7.8+2.5
Avg total222.0223.9219.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%35%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (21)33% (12)56% (9)
Overtime %8%9%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz60451575%117.0107.5+9.5
2 Philadelphia 76ers59411869%113.3108.2+5.1
3 Brooklyn Nets59401968%118.7113.7+5.0
4 Phoenix Suns60402067%113.8108.2+5.5
5 Los Angeles Clippers62402265%114.1108.4+5.7
6 Denver Nuggets59382164%115.5109.3+6.2
7 Los Angeles Lakers61392264%110.2105.8+4.4
8 Milwaukee Bucks59352459%118.6113.4+5.2
9 Portland Trail Blazers60332755%113.8115.0-1.2
10 New York Knicks62342855%105.7103.5+2.2
11 Memphis Grizzlies59322754%113.7111.4+2.3
12 Dallas Mavericks59322754%111.8110.3+1.6
13 Atlanta Hawks61332854%113.4111.8+1.7
14 Boston Celtics60312952%111.8110.4+1.4
15 Miami Heat59302951%106.3107.7-1.4
16 Golden State Warriors61313051%112.8113.0-0.2
17 Charlotte Hornets60293148%110.4111.7-1.3
18 San Antonio Spurs58273147%110.3111.8-1.5
19 New Orleans Pelicans59273246%114.7114.7+0.0
20 Chicago Bulls61273444%111.8112.7-0.9
21 Indiana Pacers59263344%113.5114.4-0.9
22 Toronto Raptors61263543%111.9111.2+0.7
23 Sacramento Kings61253641%114.0118.3-4.3
24 Washington Wizards59243541%113.2117.5-4.3
25 Cleveland Cavaliers61223936%103.5110.8-7.3
26 Oklahoma City Thunder60213935%105.5114.1-8.6
27 Orlando Magic61204133%105.0112.3-7.3
28 Detroit Pistons62204232%106.7110.0-3.3
29 Houston Rockets61184330%108.6114.1-5.6
30 Minnesota Timberwolves61164526%110.3118.1-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Milwaukee Bucks2529362611127
Phoenix Suns2431283312128
← all games of the day
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