PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 143-136
29-38 36-35 39-25 39-38
Position#30
Record18-48
FormLLLLL
Points / game108.0
Allowed / game114.2
vs
Position#5
Record38-26
FormLWWLW
Points / game118.8
Allowed / game113.2
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Milwaukee Bucks
16 Dec 2026
HOU v MIL
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
HOU119
MIL113
25 Feb 2025
HOU100
MIL97
06 Jan 2024
HOU112
MIL108
11 Dec 2022
HOU97
MIL92
10 Dec 2021
HOU114
MIL123
29 Apr 2021
HOU143
MIL136
02 Aug 2020
HOU120
MIL116
24 Oct 2019
HOU111
MIL117
09 Jan 2019
HOU109
MIL116
16 Dec 2017
HOU115
MIL111
18 Jan 2017
HOU111
MIL92
22 Jan 2016
HOU102
MIL98
06 Feb 2015
HOU117
MIL111
18 Jan 2014
HOU114
MIL104
27 Feb 2013
HOU107
MIL110
25 Jan 2012
HOU99
MIL105
17 Jan 2011
HOU93
MIL84
18 Jan 2010
HOU101
MIL98
31 Dec 2008
HOU85
MIL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
109-125
109
125
-16
101avg 98
A11/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
120-126
120
126
-6
123avg 98
A13/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
124-132
124
132
-8
108avg 98
H15/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
99-128
99
128
-29
85avg 98
H17/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
114-110
114
110
+4
111avg 98
A18/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
91-113
91
113
-22
79avg 98
A20/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
89-112
89
112
-23
67avg 98
H22/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
104-109
104
109
-5
95avg 98
H24/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
116-129
116
129
-13
108avg 98
A25/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
107-114
107
114
-7
100avg 98
H28/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-32
18-33
32-29
29-31
29-38
29-43
30-22
32-23
24-33
31-42
39-31
30-26
28-35
21-34
30-31
20-28
28-28
25-31
32-18
29-33
28-30
27-24
19-35
17-24
27-34
16-27
20-30
26-21
36-37
25-28
19-11
24-33
26-36
24-36
32-30
34-27
23-28
27-31
29-19
28-36
227.1Avg total
107.3Scored
119.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)108.0114.2222.3-6.227%
Season at home (33)106.5112.9219.4-6.427%
Season away (33)109.6115.6225.2-6.027%
Last 10 (10)107.3119.8227.1-12.510%
Last 5 (5)101.4115.4216.8-14.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)107.4119.7227.1-12.39%
vs Similar (8)107.2111.4218.6-4.125%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
119-127
119
127
-8
106avg 111
H10/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
124-87
124
87
+37
123avg 111
A11/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
130-105
130
105
+25
122avg 111
A14/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
120-109
120
109
+11
113avg 111
A15/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
115-128
115
128
-13
106avg 111
H18/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
127-128 OT
127
128
-1
114avg 111
H20/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
124-117
124
117
+7
127avg 111
H22/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
132-94
132
94
+38
132avg 111
H24/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
104-111
104
111
-7
95avg 111
A25/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
114-104
114
104
+10
110avg 111
A27/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-32
28-34
26-34
38-27
32-19
25-19
28-29
39-20
24-19
37-25
45-35
24-26
33-29
31-23
30-30
26-27
31-35
28-34
30-31
26-28
25-24
29-31
36-28
26-33
40-26
37-34
31-27
16-30
26-17
24-23
36-23
46-31
29-26
22-17
27-27
26-41
33-28
29-17
25-35
27-24
231.9Avg total
120.9Scored
111.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)118.8113.2232.0+5.559%
Season at home (32)119.0112.6231.6+6.562%
Season away (32)118.5113.8232.3+4.656%
Last 10 (10)120.9111.0231.9+9.960%
Last 5 (5)120.2110.8231.0+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)112.8110.5223.3+2.254%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)124.2115.6239.9+8.676%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -8.6-8.6Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: -8.6-8.6Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
Houston RocketsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A11/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
58-81
58
81
-23
A13/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
55-75
55
75
-20
H15/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
49-69
49
69
-20
H17/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A18/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A20/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
43-61
43
61
-18
H22/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H24/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
50-72
50
72
-22
A25/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H28/04
NBA
118.2Avg total
52.2Scored
66.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.462.4116.7-8.020%-
Last 30 at home (18)54.162.9116.9-8.811%-
Last 30 away (12)54.861.6116.4-6.833%-
Last 10 (10)52.266.0118.2-13.810%-
Last 5 (5)51.862.2114.0-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)53.564.3117.8-10.818%-
vs Similar (8)56.857.1113.9-0.425%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
55-66
55
66
-11
H10/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
57-38
57
38
+19
A11/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A14/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
64-52
64
52
+12
A15/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H18/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H20/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
77-60
77
60
+17
H22/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H24/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A25/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
62-45
62
45
+17
A27/04
NBA
110.2Avg total
59.0Scored
51.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.754.4114.1+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)62.257.9120.1+4.360%-
Last 30 away (15)57.350.8108.1+6.573%-
Last 10 (10)59.051.2110.2+7.870%-
Last 5 (5)58.848.6107.4+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)55.452.0107.4+3.462%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)63.156.2119.2+6.971%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 107.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.627.9
55.1%
52.8%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.212.1
31.7%
36.6%36.3
🏀 Free throws20.515.2
74.1%
77.7%15.2
They take 88.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 120.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.330.0
55.2%
52.8%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.515.0
39.0%
36.6%45.0
🏀 Free throws20.815.9
76.4%
77.7%15.9
They take 92.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
LLLLLWLLLL
Milwaukee Bucks
WLWWLLWWWL
#30
League position
#5
-12.1
Net rating
+9.5
103.5
Offensive rating
115.6
115.6
Defensive rating
106.1
51.9%
Effective FG%
56.6%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
15.2%
Turnover %
13.0%
21.1%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.22
31.7%
3-point %
39.0%
60.0%
Assist %
58.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 115.6Defence115.6 · 106.1Shooting51.9% · 56.6%3-point %31.7% · 39.0%Ball care15.2% · 13.0%Off. rebounds21.1% · 23.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Houston Rockets wins
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/21HMinnesota Timberwolves107-114
25/04/21ADenver Nuggets116-129
24/04/21HLos Angeles Clippers104-109
22/04/21HUtah Jazz89-112
20/04/21AMiami Heat91-113
18/04/21AOrlando Magic114-110
17/04/21HDenver Nuggets99-128
15/04/21HIndiana Pacers124-132
13/04/21APhoenix Suns120-126
11/04/21AGolden State Warriors109-125
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/21ACharlotte Hornets114-104
25/04/21AAtlanta Hawks104-111
24/04/21HPhiladelphia 76ers132-94
22/04/21HPhiladelphia 76ers124-117
20/04/21HPhoenix Suns127-128 OT
18/04/21HMemphis Grizzlies115-128
15/04/21AAtlanta Hawks120-109
14/04/21AMinnesota Timberwolves130-105
11/04/21AOrlando Magic124-87
10/04/21HCharlotte Hornets119-127

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeLLLLL27%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663333
Win %27%27%27%
Points / game108.0106.5109.6
Allowed / game114.2112.9115.6
Point differential-6.2-6.4-6.0
Avg total222.3219.4225.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%15%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)33% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %2%0%3%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW59%
HomeLLLWW62%
AwayWWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643232
Win %59%62%56%
Points / game118.8119.0118.5
Allowed / game113.2112.6113.8
Point differential+5.5+6.5+4.6
Avg total232.0231.6232.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%44%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)80% (5)33% (9)
Overtime %3%3%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz65481774%116.9106.9+10.0
2 Brooklyn Nets65452069%118.8113.7+5.1
3 Philadelphia 76ers64432167%113.4108.2+5.2
4 Phoenix Suns66442267%113.7108.7+5.0
5 Denver Nuggets65432266%115.7109.7+6.0
6 Los Angeles Clippers67432464%113.7108.5+5.2
7 Los Angeles Lakers66402661%109.7106.1+3.6
8 Milwaukee Bucks64382659%118.8113.2+5.5
9 Dallas Mavericks65372857%112.3109.9+2.4
10 New York Knicks67382957%106.6103.8+2.8
11 Atlanta Hawks67363154%112.8111.7+1.1
12 Portland Trail Blazers66353153%114.4115.0-0.6
13 Memphis Grizzlies65343152%114.0112.6+1.3
14 Miami Heat65343152%106.4107.3-0.8
15 Boston Celtics65333251%111.5110.4+1.2
16 Golden State Warriors65333251%112.8113.2-0.4
17 San Antonio Spurs64313348%110.4111.7-1.2
18 Charlotte Hornets66313547%110.0111.5-1.5
19 New Orleans Pelicans64293545%115.2114.5+0.7
20 Indiana Pacers65293645%113.6114.7-1.2
21 Washington Wizards65293645%114.2117.3-3.1
22 Chicago Bulls66293744%111.2112.2-1.0
23 Toronto Raptors65283743%111.6111.0+0.6
24 Sacramento Kings66273941%114.2119.0-4.8
25 Cleveland Cavaliers66234335%103.7110.8-7.0
26 Oklahoma City Thunder65224334%105.7114.7-9.0
27 Orlando Magic66214532%105.0112.9-7.9
28 Detroit Pistons67214631%106.5110.0-3.5
29 Minnesota Timberwolves66204630%110.7117.6-6.9
30 Houston Rockets66184827%108.0114.2-6.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets29363939143
Milwaukee Bucks38352538136
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.