PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 126-106
25-24 38-26 34-26 29-30
Position#5
Record19-13
FormWLWLL
Points / game110.0
Allowed / game107.3
vs
Position#30
Record10-21
FormWLLWL
Points / game106.8
Allowed / game113.5
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Houston Rockets
28 Oct 2026
MIL100
HOU132
09 Nov 2025
MIL115
HOU122
18 Nov 2024
MIL101
HOU100
17 Dec 2023
MIL128
HOU119
22 Oct 2022
MIL125
HOU105
22 Dec 2021
MIL126
HOU106
07 May 2021
MIL141
HOU133
26 Mar 2019
MIL108
HOU94
07 Mar 2018
MIL99
HOU110
23 Jan 2017
MIL127
HOU114
29 Feb 2016
MIL128
HOU121
29 Nov 2014
MIL103
HOU117
08 Feb 2014
MIL95
HOU101
04 Jan 2013
MIL101
HOU115
10 Dec 2010
MIL97
HOU91
17 Feb 2010
MIL99
HOU127
09 Feb 2009
MIL124
HOU112
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
93-97
93
97
-4
78avg 108
A03/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
124-102
124
102
+22
123avg 108
H05/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
W
112-104
112
104
+8
107avg 108
H07/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
104-113
104
113
-9
89avg 108
A09/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
123-114
123
114
+9
116avg 108
A11/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
112-97
112
97
+15
108avg 108
A12/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
103-117
103
117
-14
93avg 108
A14/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
114-99
114
99
+15
104avg 108
H16/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
112-116 OT
112
116
-4
90avg 108
A18/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
90-119
90
119
-29
75avg 108
H19/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
17-22
28-25
25-24
34-23
35-29
36-24
19-26
24-24
32-26
32-28
24-26
26-24
25-20
26-39
27-30
26-23
32-42
32-30
33-19
26-16
35-32
32-31
19-18
30-21
20-30
24-34
29-32
33-33
25-20
29-34
27-12
28-21
21-31
28-25
26-26
20-34
31-28
18-31
21-26
216.5Avg total
108.7Scored
107.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)110.0107.3217.3+2.859%
Season at home (15)109.8104.8214.6+5.067%
Season away (17)110.2109.5219.7+0.853%
Last 10 (10)108.7107.8216.5+0.950%
Last 5 (5)106.2109.6215.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)108.2110.3218.5-2.242%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)113.199.6212.7+13.591%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#29
W
118-116
118
116
+2
111avg 98
H04/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
118-108
118
108
+10
113avg 98
H06/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
114-104
114
104
+10
105avg 98
H09/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
L
114-123
114
123
-9
106avg 98
H11/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
106-113
106
113
-7
101avg 98
A12/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
132-126
132
126
+6
122avg 98
A14/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
89-124
89
124
-35
76avg 98
A16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
L
103-116
103
116
-13
101avg 98
H17/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
116-107
116
107
+9
109avg 98
A18/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
118-133
118
133
-15
115avg 98
A21/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
23-32
30-27
34-33
28-26
29-23
37-36
24-23
30-23
37-29
23-21
24-31
23-26
42-32
30-32
19-33
29-40
18-23
30-23
29-27
28-38
30-31
30-32
44-25
16-35
22-34
25-31
26-24
30-39
21-18
31-27
21-32
38-30
24-19
26-26
28-32
26-35
28-38
29-32
35-28
229.8Avg total
112.8Scored
117.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)106.8113.5220.3-6.732%
Season at home (14)109.3111.6220.9-2.450%
Season away (17)104.8115.1219.8-10.318%
Last 10 (10)112.8117.0229.8-4.250%
Last 5 (5)111.6121.2232.8-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)106.6116.6223.2-10.023%
vs Similar (8)107.4103.8211.1+3.662%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
Milwaukee BucksHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A03/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
69-52
69
52
+17
H05/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H07/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A09/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A11/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
61-48
61
48
+13
A12/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A14/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H16/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A18/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
51-62
51
62
-11
H19/12
NBA
106.8Avg total
54.3Scored
52.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.551.8108.4+4.770%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.653.4113.0+6.371%-
Last 30 away (16)53.850.5104.3+3.369%-
Last 10 (10)54.352.5106.8+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)53.853.2107.0+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)54.153.0107.1+1.158%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)60.749.8110.5+10.991%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#29
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H04/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H06/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
67-52
67
52
+15
H09/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H11/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#3
L
47-63
47
63
-16
A12/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
58-69
58
69
-11
A14/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
38-69
38
69
-31
A16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H17/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
62-49
62
49
+13
A18/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
54-73
54
73
-19
A21/12
NBA
114.8Avg total
55.3Scored
59.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.557.2110.6-3.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.854.3109.1+0.550%-
Last 30 away (16)52.359.7112.0-7.431%-
Last 10 (10)55.359.5114.8-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)52.663.4116.0-10.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)53.859.5113.3-5.736%-
vs Similar (8)52.550.8103.2+1.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 108.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.626.6
51.6%
53.1%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.213.4
35.1%
35.3%40.2
🏀 Free throws19.615.3
78.1%
77.4%15.3
They take 89.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 112.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.726.4
59.1%
53.1%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.513.9
36.1%
35.3%41.7
🏀 Free throws25.518.3
71.8%
77.4%18.3
They take 83.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LLWLWWLWWL
Houston Rockets
LWLLWLLWWW
#5
League position
#30
+0.9
Net rating
-4.3
109.4
Offensive rating
114.2
108.5
Defensive rating
118.5
52.0%
Effective FG%
56.8%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
14.2%
Turnover %
14.7%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.1%
3-point %
36.1%
53.5%
Assist %
65.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 114.2Defence108.5 · 118.5Shooting52.0% · 56.8%3-point %35.1% · 36.1%Ball care14.2% · 14.7%Off. rebounds27.3% · 24.8%Free throws0.22 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Milwaukee Bucks wins
4
Houston Rockets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/21HCleveland Cavaliers90-119
18/12/21ANew Orleans Pelicans112-116 OT
16/12/21HIndiana Pacers114-99
14/12/21ABoston Celtics103-117
12/12/21ANew York Knicks112-97
11/12/21AHouston Rockets123-114
09/12/21AMiami Heat104-113
07/12/21HCleveland Cavaliers112-104
05/12/21HMiami Heat124-102
03/12/21AToronto Raptors93-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/21AChicago Bulls118-133
18/12/21ADetroit Pistons116-107
17/12/21HNew York Knicks103-116
16/12/21ACleveland Cavaliers89-124
14/12/21AAtlanta Hawks132-126
12/12/21AMemphis Grizzlies106-113
11/12/21HMilwaukee Bucks114-123
09/12/21HBrooklyn Nets114-104
06/12/21HNew Orleans Pelicans118-108
04/12/21HOrlando Magic118-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL59%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLWWLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %59%67%53%
Points / game110.0109.8110.2
Allowed / game107.3104.8109.5
Point differential+2.8+5.0+0.8
Avg total217.3214.6219.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%33%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL32%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayLWLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311417
Win %32%50%18%
Points / game106.8109.3104.8
Allowed / game113.5111.6115.1
Point differential-6.7-2.4-10.3
Avg total220.3220.9219.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns3025583%111.8104.1+7.7
2 Golden State Warriors3125681%111.5101.0+10.5
3 Utah Jazz3021970%115.4105.0+10.4
4 Brooklyn Nets3021970%109.7106.3+3.4
5 Chicago Bulls29191066%109.3106.3+3.1
6 Cleveland Cavaliers32191359%106.8101.4+5.4
7 Miami Heat32191359%107.2103.5+3.8
8 Milwaukee Bucks32191359%110.0107.3+2.8
9 Memphis Grizzlies32191359%110.8108.5+2.2
10 Denver Nuggets29151452%106.8106.5+0.3
11 Los Angeles Clippers31161552%105.5105.3+0.3
12 Philadelphia 76ers31161552%105.7106.5-0.9
13 Washington Wizards31161552%105.6108.1-2.5
14 Boston Celtics32161650%108.4107.1+1.2
15 Dallas Mavericks30151550%104.7104.7+0.0
16 Los Angeles Lakers32161650%109.8111.2-1.4
17 Charlotte Hornets33161748%114.9117.1-2.2
18 Minnesota Timberwolves31151648%108.5108.7-0.2
19 Toronto Raptors29141548%106.4105.2+1.2
20 Atlanta Hawks30141647%111.0109.8+1.3
21 New York Knicks31141745%105.8106.9-1.0
22 Indiana Pacers32131941%107.6107.0+0.6
23 Portland Trail Blazers32131941%108.1111.0-2.9
24 Sacramento Kings32131941%110.8114.3-3.5
25 San Antonio Spurs30121840%109.8109.8+0.0
26 Oklahoma City Thunder29101934%99.2107.8-8.6
27 New Orleans Pelicans32112134%104.6109.6-5.0
28 Houston Rockets31102132%106.8113.5-6.7
29 Orlando Magic3272522%101.4110.9-9.4
30 Detroit Pistons3052517%100.1109.3-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks25383429126
Houston Rockets24262630106
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.