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Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 129-116
36-26 36-24 30-32 27-34
Position#6
Record40-22
FormWWWWL
Points / game115.5
Allowed / game109.8
vs
Position#30
Record18-46
FormLWLLL
Points / game107.9
Allowed / game114.0
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets
20 Nov 2026
DEN v HOU
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
DEN129
HOU93
20 Dec 2025
DEN101
HOU115
15 Dec 2025
DEN128
HOU125
15 Jan 2025
DEN108
HOU128
08 Dec 2023
DEN106
HOU114
29 Nov 2023
DEN134
HOU124
30 Nov 2022
DEN120
HOU100
28 Nov 2022
DEN129
HOU113
04 Mar 2022
DEN116
HOU101
06 Nov 2021
DEN95
HOU94
24 Apr 2021
DEN129
HOU116
28 Dec 2020
DEN124
HOU111
26 Jan 2020
DEN117
HOU110
20 Nov 2019
DEN105
HOU95
01 Feb 2019
DEN136
HOU122
13 Nov 2018
DEN99
HOU109
25 Feb 2018
DEN114
HOU119
18 Mar 2017
DEN105
HOU109
02 Dec 2016
DEN110
HOU128
14 Dec 2015
DEN114
HOU108
13 Nov 2015
DEN107
HOU98
07 Mar 2015
DEN100
HOU114
17 Dec 2014
DEN111
HOU115
09 Apr 2014
DEN123
HOU116
06 Apr 2013
DEN132
HOU114
30 Jan 2013
DEN118
HOU110
15 Apr 2012
DEN101
HOU86
06 Feb 2012
DEN90
HOU99
07 Feb 2011
DEN103
HOU108
03 Jan 2011
DEN113
HOU106
16 Dec 2009
DEN111
HOU101
09 Mar 2009
DEN95
HOU97
30 Nov 2008
DEN104
HOU94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
134-119
134
119
+15
137avg 108
H07/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
106-96
106
96
+10
101avg 108
H08/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
121-119
121
119
+2
128avg 108
H10/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
87-105
87
105
-18
76avg 108
H11/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
107-116
107
116
-9
100avg 108
A13/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
123-106
123
106
+17
123avg 108
H15/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
128-99
128
99
+29
121avg 108
A17/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
W
139-137 OT
139
137
+2
136avg 108
H20/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
106-105
106
105
+1
99avg 108
A22/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
97-118
97
118
-21
84avg 108
A24/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-32
37-24
33-30
25-33
30-32
24-18
27-24
25-22
36-26
25-24
35-33
25-36
27-16
24-29
28-29
8-31
32-33
29-23
22-43
24-17
26-31
34-18
36-30
27-27
35-28
34-21
31-30
28-20
27-35
29-25
31-35
29-21
35-36
25-21
22-27
24-21
24-30
26-24
24-32
23-32
226.8Avg total
114.8Scored
112.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)115.5109.8225.3+5.665%
Season at home (32)117.3109.9227.2+7.469%
Season away (30)113.5109.7223.2+3.760%
Last 10 (10)114.8112.0226.8+2.870%
Last 5 (5)118.6113.0231.6+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)109.8108.9218.7+0.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)118.9109.6228.5+9.382%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
102-93
102
93
+9
92avg 98
H08/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
109-126
109
126
-17
103avg 98
A10/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
109-125
109
125
-16
101avg 98
A11/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
120-126
120
126
-6
123avg 98
A13/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
124-132
124
132
-8
108avg 98
H15/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
99-128
99
128
-29
85avg 98
H17/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
114-110
114
110
+4
111avg 98
A18/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
91-113
91
113
-22
79avg 98
A20/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
89-112
89
112
-23
67avg 98
H22/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
104-109
104
109
-5
95avg 98
H24/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
23-19
28-22
27-29
36-26
10-41
37-27
26-32
30-32
18-33
32-29
29-31
29-38
29-43
30-22
32-23
24-33
31-42
39-31
30-26
28-35
21-34
30-31
20-28
28-28
25-31
32-18
29-33
28-30
27-24
19-35
17-24
27-34
16-27
20-30
26-21
36-37
25-28
19-11
24-33
223.5Avg total
106.1Scored
117.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)107.9114.0221.9-6.128%
Season at home (32)106.5112.8219.3-6.428%
Season away (32)109.4115.2224.6-5.828%
Last 10 (10)106.1117.4223.5-11.320%
Last 5 (5)99.4114.4213.8-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)106.2120.0226.2-13.89%
vs Similar (7)107.3111.0218.3-3.729%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: -9.7-9.7Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: -9.7-9.7Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
Denver NuggetsHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
76-56
76
56
+20
H07/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H08/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H10/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H11/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A13/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H15/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
69-49
69
49
+20
A17/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H20/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A22/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A24/04
NBA
112.4Avg total
59.8Scored
52.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.454.1112.5+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.554.0111.5+3.556%-
Last 30 away (14)59.454.1113.6+5.364%-
Last 10 (10)59.852.6112.4+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)59.053.8112.8+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)58.054.5112.5+3.554%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)58.753.7112.4+5.065%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H08/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
46-67
46
67
-21
A10/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A11/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
58-81
58
81
-23
A13/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
55-75
55
75
-20
H15/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
49-69
49
69
-20
H17/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A18/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A20/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
43-61
43
61
-18
H22/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H24/04
NBA
115.3Avg total
51.5Scored
63.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.262.3116.6-8.120%-
Last 30 at home (18)53.363.1116.4-9.811%-
Last 30 away (12)55.661.2116.8-5.633%-
Last 10 (10)51.563.8115.3-12.320%-
Last 5 (5)52.261.6113.8-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)53.264.0117.2-10.817%-
vs Similar (7)57.756.9114.6+0.929%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.130.9
55.1%
52.8%61.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.511.9
35.5%
36.6%35.7
🏀 Free throws20.617.3
84.0%
77.7%17.3
They take 89.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 106.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.926.6
53.3%
52.8%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.212.8
32.7%
36.6%38.4
🏀 Free throws19.814.5
73.2%
77.7%14.5
They take 89.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWWWWLLWWW
Houston Rockets
LLLWLLLLLW
#6
League position
#30
+2.8
Net rating
-11.1
114.1
Offensive rating
104.0
111.3
Defensive rating
115.1
54.4%
Effective FG%
51.4%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
13.7%
Turnover %
14.6%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
22.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.22
35.5%
3-point %
32.7%
64.0%
Assist %
60.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 104.0Defence111.3 · 115.1Shooting54.4% · 51.4%3-point %35.5% · 32.7%Ball care13.7% · 14.6%Off. rebounds27.3% · 22.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Denver Nuggets wins
5
Houston Rockets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/21AGolden State Warriors97-118
22/04/21APortland Trail Blazers106-105
20/04/21HMemphis Grizzlies139-137 OT
17/04/21AHouston Rockets128-99
15/04/21HMiami Heat123-106
13/04/21AGolden State Warriors107-116
11/04/21HBoston Celtics87-105
10/04/21HSan Antonio Spurs121-119
08/04/21HSan Antonio Spurs106-96
07/04/21HDetroit Pistons134-119
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/21HLos Angeles Clippers104-109
22/04/21HUtah Jazz89-112
20/04/21AMiami Heat91-113
18/04/21AOrlando Magic114-110
17/04/21HDenver Nuggets99-128
15/04/21HIndiana Pacers124-132
13/04/21APhoenix Suns120-126
11/04/21AGolden State Warriors109-125
10/04/21ALos Angeles Clippers109-126
08/04/21HDallas Mavericks102-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL65%
HomeWWLWW69%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games623230
Win %65%69%60%
Points / game115.5117.3113.5
Allowed / game109.8109.9109.7
Point differential+5.6+7.4+3.7
Avg total225.3227.2223.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%47%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (18)50% (10)62% (8)
Overtime %10%12%7%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL28%
HomeWLLLL28%
AwayLLLWL28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643232
Win %28%28%28%
Points / game107.9106.5109.4
Allowed / game114.0112.8115.2
Point differential-6.1-6.4-5.8
Avg total221.9219.3224.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%16%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)33% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %2%0%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz63471675%116.5107.0+9.6
2 Brooklyn Nets62422068%118.5113.8+4.7
3 Phoenix Suns63422167%113.6108.5+5.1
4 Los Angeles Clippers65432266%114.1108.4+5.7
5 Philadelphia 76ers62412166%113.1109.0+4.1
6 Denver Nuggets62402265%115.5109.8+5.6
7 Los Angeles Lakers64392561%109.7106.0+3.7
8 Milwaukee Bucks62372560%119.1113.4+5.7
9 New York Knicks65372857%106.5103.8+2.7
10 Dallas Mavericks62352756%112.0110.1+2.0
11 Atlanta Hawks64352955%113.7111.8+1.9
12 Memphis Grizzlies62332953%114.2112.2+2.0
13 Miami Heat63333052%106.3107.2-0.8
14 Portland Trail Blazers63333052%113.8115.0-1.2
15 Boston Celtics62323052%111.5110.0+1.5
16 Golden State Warriors63323151%112.9112.9+0.0
17 San Antonio Spurs62303248%109.8111.1-1.2
18 Charlotte Hornets63303348%109.8111.4-1.6
19 New Orleans Pelicans62283445%115.1114.7+0.5
20 Indiana Pacers62283445%113.3114.2-0.9
21 Chicago Bulls64283644%111.5112.3-0.9
22 Washington Wizards62273544%113.6117.2-3.5
23 Toronto Raptors63273643%111.8111.2+0.6
24 Sacramento Kings63263741%114.4118.7-4.3
25 Cleveland Cavaliers63234037%103.8110.6-6.9
26 Oklahoma City Thunder63214233%105.7114.6-8.8
27 Orlando Magic63204332%104.8112.7-7.9
28 Detroit Pistons65204531%106.7110.3-3.6
29 Houston Rockets64184628%107.9114.0-6.1
30 Minnesota Timberwolves64184628%110.8118.0-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets36363027129
Houston Rockets26243234116
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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