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Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 124-102
34-23 35-29 36-24 19-26
Position#5
Record14-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game109.9
Allowed / game106.6
vs
Position#4
Record14-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game108.0
Allowed / game103.7
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Miami Heat
12 Mar 2027
MIL v MIA
upcoming
28 Jan 2027
MIL v MIA
upcoming
24 Feb 2026
MIL128
MIA117
23 Feb 2025
MIL120
MIA113
23 Jan 2025
MIL125
MIA96
13 Feb 2024
MIL97
MIA123
30 Oct 2023
MIL122
MIA114
26 Apr 2023
MIL126
MIA128
19 Apr 2023
MIL138
MIA122
16 Apr 2023
MIL117
MIA130
24 Feb 2023
MIL128
MIA99
04 Feb 2023
MIL123
MIA115
02 Mar 2022
MIL120
MIA119
04 Dec 2021
MIL124
MIA102
24 May 2021
MIL132
MIA98
22 May 2021
MIL109
MIA107
15 May 2021
MIL122
MIA108
08 Sep 2020
MIL94
MIA103
02 Sep 2020
MIL114
MIA116
31 Aug 2020
MIL104
MIA115
06 Aug 2020
MIL130
MIA116
26 Oct 2019
MIL126
MIA131
22 Mar 2019
MIL116
MIA87
15 Jan 2019
MIL124
MIA86
17 Jan 2018
MIL101
MIA106
08 Feb 2017
MIL88
MIA106
13 Jan 2017
MIL116
MIA108
09 Mar 2016
MIL114
MIA108
29 Jan 2016
MIL103
MIA107
24 Mar 2015
MIL89
MIA88
05 Dec 2014
MIL109
MIA85
29 Mar 2014
MIL67
MIA88
28 Apr 2013
MIL77
MIA88
25 Apr 2013
MIL91
MIA104
15 Mar 2013
MIL94
MIA107
29 Dec 2012
MIL104
MIA85
13 Feb 2012
MIL96
MIA114
01 Feb 2012
MIL105
MIA97
07 Jan 2011
MIL95
MIA101
06 Dec 2010
MIL78
MIA88
26 Mar 2010
MIL74
MIA87
30 Jan 2010
MIL95
MIA84
14 Jan 2009
MIL99
MIA102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
100-120
100
120
-20
86avg 108
A14/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
109-102
109
102
+7
103avg 108
H18/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
96-89
96
89
+7
90avg 108
H20/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
117-108
117
108
+9
117avg 108
H21/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
123-92
123
92
+31
119avg 108
H23/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
114-93
114
93
+21
113avg 108
H25/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
120-109
120
109
+11
123avg 108
A27/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
118-100
118
100
+18
117avg 108
A28/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
127-125
127
125
+2
120avg 108
H02/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
93-97
93
97
-4
78avg 108
A03/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-32
20-26
33-31
23-31
30-32
34-21
21-30
24-19
34-24
24-23
22-21
16-21
36-24
26-26
34-21
21-37
36-16
41-20
28-20
18-36
32-26
32-26
24-22
26-19
27-16
31-31
32-26
30-36
26-26
26-21
39-27
27-26
25-41
35-27
37-27
30-30
23-26
17-22
28-25
25-24
215.2Avg total
111.7Scored
103.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)109.9106.6216.5+3.361%
Season at home (11)109.7104.4214.1+5.464%
Season away (12)110.0108.7218.7+1.358%
Last 10 (10)111.7103.5215.2+8.280%
Last 5 (5)114.4104.8219.2+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (21)109.9111.0221.0-1.152%
vs Weaker (9)111.998.1210.0+13.889%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
103-90
103
90
+13
98avg 102
A16/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
113-98
113
98
+15
108avg 102
H18/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
112-97
112
97
+15
109avg 102
H19/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
L
100-103
100
103
-3
90avg 102
A21/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
100-92
100
92
+8
98avg 102
A24/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
101-113
101
113
-12
96avg 102
A25/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
107-104
107
104
+3
94avg 102
A28/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
111-120
111
120
-9
104avg 102
H30/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
85-111
85
111
-26
65avg 102
H02/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
113-104
113
104
+9
108avg 102
A04/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
20-19
31-24
29-23
21-34
26-18
34-18
32-28
21-19
26-21
36-30
29-27
25-26
18-15
32-30
25-32
20-25
26-28
21-23
33-16
27-30
35-24
20-32
19-27
27-20
22-26
23-28
35-30
23-32
20-31
35-32
33-25
16-31
27-30
20-26
22-24
32-25
30-30
30-26
21-23
207.7Avg total
104.5Scored
103.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)108.0103.7211.6+4.361%
Season at home (9)108.3102.2210.6+6.167%
Season away (14)107.7104.6212.3+3.157%
Last 10 (10)104.5103.2207.7+1.360%
Last 5 (5)103.4110.4213.8-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)101.0115.0216.0-14.017%
vs Similar ◀ (12)109.8106.7216.4+3.158%
vs Weaker (12)107.2100.9208.1+6.267%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +2.3+2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +2.3+2.3
Milwaukee BucksMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A14/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H18/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H20/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
62-50
62
50
+12
H21/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
77-36
77
36
+41
H23/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H25/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
58-47
58
47
+11
A27/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A28/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
60-68
60
68
-8
H02/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A03/12
NBA
108.5Avg total
57.9Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.452.3107.7+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.652.4111.0+6.364%-
Last 30 away (16)52.552.3104.8+0.269%-
Last 10 (10)57.950.6108.5+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)54.852.4107.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (21)52.854.3107.1-1.552%-
vs Weaker (9)61.347.8109.1+13.6100%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A16/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H18/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H19/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A21/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A24/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A25/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A28/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
43-63
43
63
-20
H30/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
L
43-61
43
61
-18
H02/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A04/12
NBA
99.3Avg total
48.5Scored
50.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.452.8106.2+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (12)51.849.9101.7+1.858%-
Last 30 away (18)54.454.8109.2-0.356%-
Last 10 (10)48.550.899.3-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)51.855.8107.6-4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)52.058.0110.0-6.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)55.854.2110.0+1.758%-
vs Weaker (12)51.648.9100.5+2.767%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 111.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.426.3
54.3%
53.1%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.513.9
37.1%
35.3%41.7
🏀 Free throws23.717.4
73.4%
77.4%17.4
They take 85.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 104.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.625.0
53.6%
53.1%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.913.1
36.5%
35.3%39.3
🏀 Free throws19.515.2
77.9%
77.4%15.2
They take 82.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LWWWWWWWWL
Miami Heat
WLLWLWLWWW
#5
League position
#4
+8.3
Net rating
+1.4
110.8
Offensive rating
109.8
102.5
Defensive rating
108.4
54.9%
Effective FG%
54.1%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
13.6%
Turnover %
13.2%
22.3%
Off. rebound %
22.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.1%
3-point %
36.5%
59.5%
Assist %
64.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 109.8Defence102.5 · 108.4Shooting54.9% · 54.1%3-point %37.1% · 36.5%Ball care13.6% · 13.2%Off. rebounds22.3% · 22.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Milwaukee Bucks wins
3
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/21AToronto Raptors93-97
02/12/21HCharlotte Hornets127-125
28/11/21AIndiana Pacers118-100
27/11/21ADenver Nuggets120-109
25/11/21HDetroit Pistons114-93
23/11/21HOrlando Magic123-92
21/11/21HOrlando Magic117-108
20/11/21HOklahoma City Thunder96-89
18/11/21HLos Angeles Lakers109-102
14/11/21AAtlanta Hawks100-120
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/21AIndiana Pacers113-104
02/12/21HCleveland Cavaliers85-111
30/11/21HDenver Nuggets111-120
28/11/21AChicago Bulls107-104
25/11/21AMinnesota Timberwolves101-113
24/11/21ADetroit Pistons100-92
21/11/21AWashington Wizards100-103
19/11/21HWashington Wizards112-97
18/11/21HNew Orleans Pelicans113-98
16/11/21AOklahoma City Thunder103-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL61%
HomeWWWWW64%
AwayLLWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %61%64%58%
Points / game109.9109.7110.0
Allowed / game106.6104.4108.7
Point differential+3.3+5.4+1.3
Avg total216.5214.1218.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%27%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Miami Heat
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW61%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLWLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23914
Win %61%67%57%
Points / game108.0108.3107.7
Allowed / game103.7102.2104.6
Point differential+4.3+6.1+3.1
Avg total211.6210.6212.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%56%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %9%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors2219386%113.4100.3+13.0
2 Phoenix Suns2319483%111.6105.1+6.5
3 Brooklyn Nets2216673%109.6105.5+4.0
4 Utah Jazz2215768%114.2104.6+9.5
5 Chicago Bulls2315865%109.5105.1+4.4
6 Miami Heat2314961%108.0103.7+4.3
7 Milwaukee Bucks2314961%109.9106.6+3.3
8 Washington Wizards2314961%106.0106.2-0.2
9 Cleveland Cavaliers23131057%104.4101.7+2.7
10 Memphis Grizzlies22121055%112.0112.8-0.9
11 Charlotte Hornets24131154%114.9115.4-0.5
12 Dallas Mavericks21111052%105.2106.7-1.4
13 Atlanta Hawks23121152%109.9107.5+2.4
14 Boston Celtics23121152%107.3106.0+1.3
15 Los Angeles Clippers23121152%106.2105.0+1.2
16 Philadelphia 76ers23121152%106.1105.1+1.0
17 Denver Nuggets22111150%104.0103.9+0.2
18 Los Angeles Lakers24121250%111.7113.4-1.7
19 Minnesota Timberwolves23111248%107.9107.0+0.9
20 New York Knicks23111248%106.5107.3-0.7
21 Portland Trail Blazers23111248%109.2110.2-1.0
22 Toronto Raptors23101343%104.9105.7-0.9
23 Sacramento Kings2391439%110.0113.4-3.3
24 Indiana Pacers2591636%107.3106.6+0.6
25 San Antonio Spurs2071335%107.5107.7-0.2
26 New Orleans Pelicans2571828%103.2109.8-6.6
27 Houston Rockets2261627%104.6112.0-7.5
28 Oklahoma City Thunder2261627%98.1108.2-10.1
29 Orlando Magic2451921%100.6110.5-9.8
30 Detroit Pistons2241818%98.9108.5-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks34353619124
Miami Heat23292426102
← all games of the day
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