PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 114-123
23-26 42-32 30-32 19-33
Position#30
Record8-16
FormWWWWW
Points / game105.5
Allowed / game111.5
vs
Position#5
Record16-10
FormWLWWL
Points / game110.3
Allowed / game106.6
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Milwaukee Bucks
16 Dec 2026
HOU v MIL
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
HOU119
MIL113
25 Feb 2025
HOU100
MIL97
06 Jan 2024
HOU112
MIL108
11 Dec 2022
HOU97
MIL92
10 Dec 2021
HOU114
MIL123
29 Apr 2021
HOU143
MIL136
02 Aug 2020
HOU120
MIL116
24 Oct 2019
HOU111
MIL117
09 Jan 2019
HOU109
MIL116
16 Dec 2017
HOU115
MIL111
18 Jan 2017
HOU111
MIL92
22 Jan 2016
HOU102
MIL98
06 Feb 2015
HOU117
MIL111
18 Jan 2014
HOU114
MIL104
27 Feb 2013
HOU107
MIL110
25 Jan 2012
HOU99
MIL105
17 Jan 2011
HOU93
MIL84
18 Jan 2010
HOU101
MIL98
31 Dec 2008
HOU85
MIL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
89-101
89
101
-12
71avg 98
A18/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
L
99-106
99
106
-7
90avg 98
A20/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
90-108
90
108
-18
76avg 98
A23/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
118-113
118
113
+5
116avg 98
H25/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
146-143 OT
146
143
+3
142avg 98
H28/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
102-89
102
89
+13
101avg 98
H30/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
114-110
114
110
+4
111avg 98
A02/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
118-116
118
116
+2
111avg 98
H04/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
118-108
118
108
+10
113avg 98
H06/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
114-104
114
104
+10
105avg 98
H09/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
22-31
23-27
25-21
21-13
26-34
26-25
26-34
21-22
26-30
16-34
27-22
30-32
25-32
35-18
28-31
43-30
30-41
37-28
25-36
28-23
18-14
26-23
30-29
24-26
29-34
20-21
41-29
31-24
23-32
30-27
34-33
28-26
29-23
37-36
24-23
30-23
37-29
23-21
24-31
220.6Avg total
110.8Scored
109.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)105.5111.5217.1-6.033%
Season at home (12)109.4110.3219.8-0.958%
Season away (12)101.7112.8214.4-11.18%
Last 10 (10)110.8109.8220.6+1.070%
Last 5 (5)113.2105.4218.6+7.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)109.0118.3227.3-9.322%
vs Similar (7)106.1103.3209.4+2.957%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#29
W
117-108
117
108
+9
117avg 108
H21/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
123-92
123
92
+31
119avg 108
H23/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
114-93
114
93
+21
113avg 108
H25/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
120-109
120
109
+11
123avg 108
A27/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
118-100
118
100
+18
117avg 108
A28/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
127-125
127
125
+2
120avg 108
H02/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
93-97
93
97
-4
78avg 108
A03/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
124-102
124
102
+22
123avg 108
H05/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
W
112-104
112
104
+8
107avg 108
H07/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
104-113
104
113
-9
89avg 108
A09/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-24
26-26
34-21
21-37
36-16
41-20
28-20
18-36
32-26
32-26
24-22
26-19
27-16
31-31
32-26
30-36
26-26
26-21
39-27
27-26
25-41
35-27
37-27
30-30
23-26
17-22
28-25
25-24
34-23
35-29
36-24
19-26
24-24
32-26
32-28
24-26
26-24
25-20
26-39
27-30
219.5Avg total
115.2Scored
104.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)110.3106.6216.8+3.762%
Season at home (13)111.0104.2215.2+6.869%
Season away (13)109.5109.0218.5+0.554%
Last 10 (10)115.2104.3219.5+10.980%
Last 5 (5)112.0108.2220.2+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (21)110.3109.9220.2+0.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)111.998.1210.0+13.889%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -4.3-4.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -4.3-4.3
Houston RocketsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A18/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A20/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A23/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
55-64
55
64
-9
H25/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H28/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H30/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A02/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H04/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H06/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
67-52
67
52
+15
H09/12
NBA
108.1Avg total
54.0Scored
54.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.758.6113.3-3.937%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.754.9110.6+0.854%-
Last 30 away (17)53.961.4115.3-7.524%-
Last 10 (10)54.054.1108.1-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)55.450.8106.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)55.760.9116.7-5.235%-
vs Similar (7)51.151.0102.1+0.143%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#29
W
62-50
62
50
+12
H21/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
77-36
77
36
+41
H23/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H25/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
58-47
58
47
+11
A27/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A28/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
60-68
60
68
-8
H02/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#10
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A03/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
69-52
69
52
+17
H05/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#14
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H07/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A09/12
NBA
108.3Avg total
58.9Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.552.0108.5+4.573%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.152.2111.3+6.969%-
Last 30 away (14)53.651.8105.4+1.879%-
Last 10 (10)58.949.4108.3+9.580%-
Last 5 (5)55.252.4107.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (21)54.553.8108.3+0.762%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)61.347.8109.1+13.6100%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 110.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.524.6
55.3%
53.1%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.915.1
36.0%
35.3%45.3
🏀 Free throws22.416.3
72.8%
77.4%16.3
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 115.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.726.9
54.1%
53.1%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.714.4
38.2%
35.3%43.2
🏀 Free throws24.218.2
75.2%
77.4%18.2
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WWWWWWWLLL
Milwaukee Bucks
LWWLWWWWWW
#30
League position
#5
+1.0
Net rating
+10.8
108.3
Offensive rating
114.2
107.3
Defensive rating
103.4
54.7%
Effective FG%
55.5%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
14.8%
Turnover %
14.5%
20.5%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.0%
3-point %
38.2%
64.2%
Assist %
58.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 114.2Defence107.3 · 103.4Shooting54.7% · 55.5%3-point %36.0% · 38.2%Ball care14.8% · 14.5%Off. rebounds20.5% · 26.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Houston Rockets wins
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/21HBrooklyn Nets114-104
06/12/21HNew Orleans Pelicans118-108
04/12/21HOrlando Magic118-116
02/12/21AOklahoma City Thunder114-110
30/11/21HOklahoma City Thunder102-89
28/11/21HCharlotte Hornets146-143 OT
25/11/21HChicago Bulls118-113
23/11/21ABoston Celtics90-108
20/11/21ANew York Knicks99-106
18/11/21AOklahoma City Thunder89-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/21AMiami Heat104-113
07/12/21HCleveland Cavaliers112-104
05/12/21HMiami Heat124-102
03/12/21AToronto Raptors93-97
02/12/21HCharlotte Hornets127-125
28/11/21AIndiana Pacers118-100
27/11/21ADenver Nuggets120-109
25/11/21HDetroit Pistons114-93
23/11/21HOrlando Magic123-92
21/11/21HOrlando Magic117-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW33%
HomeWWWWW58%
AwayLLLLW8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %33%58%8%
Points / game105.5109.4101.7
Allowed / game111.5110.3112.8
Point differential-6.0-0.9-11.1
Avg total217.1219.8214.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeWWWWW69%
AwayLWWLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %62%69%54%
Points / game110.3111.0109.5
Allowed / game106.6104.2109.0
Point differential+3.7+6.8+0.5
Avg total216.8215.2218.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%31%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors2521484%113.2100.3+12.9
2 Phoenix Suns2420483%111.4105.0+6.4
3 Utah Jazz2518772%115.0104.4+10.6
4 Brooklyn Nets2618869%109.1105.8+3.3
5 Chicago Bulls2617965%108.9105.2+3.7
6 Milwaukee Bucks26161062%110.3106.6+3.7
7 Miami Heat26151158%107.2104.5+2.7
8 Memphis Grizzlies26151158%110.3110.0+0.3
9 Washington Wizards26151158%106.0106.8-0.8
10 Cleveland Cavaliers26141254%105.0102.0+2.9
11 Los Angeles Clippers26141254%106.0104.6+1.4
12 Philadelphia 76ers26141254%106.7106.4+0.3
13 Charlotte Hornets28151354%115.8116.3-0.5
14 Atlanta Hawks26131350%110.8108.7+2.2
15 Boston Celtics26131350%108.7107.2+1.5
16 Los Angeles Lakers26131350%111.3112.8-1.5
17 Denver Nuggets25121348%104.7105.2-0.6
18 Dallas Mavericks25121348%103.8105.6-1.8
19 Toronto Raptors26121446%104.3104.6-0.2
20 New York Knicks26121446%106.2107.2-1.1
21 Minnesota Timberwolves25111444%107.8108.8-0.9
22 Indiana Pacers28121643%108.1106.1+2.0
23 Sacramento Kings26111542%111.5113.9-2.3
24 Portland Trail Blazers26111542%108.2111.0-2.8
25 San Antonio Spurs2491538%108.2108.4-0.1
26 Houston Rockets2481633%105.5111.5-6.0
27 Oklahoma City Thunder2481633%99.3108.0-8.8
28 New Orleans Pelicans2772026%103.7110.4-6.7
29 Orlando Magic2652119%101.5112.3-10.7
30 Detroit Pistons2442017%99.8109.2-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets23423019114
Milwaukee Bucks26323233123
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.