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Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 101-104 (OT)
12-13 26-26 21-24 38-34 4-7
Position#18
Record16-21
FormWLLWL
Points / game111.4
Allowed / game111.5
vs
Position#1
Record24-13
FormLLWLW
Points / game112.7
Allowed / game110.8
USANBA· Scotiabank Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Milwaukee Bucks
06 Feb 2027
TOR v MIL
upcoming
23 Nov 2026
TOR v MIL
upcoming
04 Nov 2025
TOR128
MIL100
24 Oct 2025
TOR116
MIL122
06 Jan 2025
TOR104
MIL128
15 Nov 2023
TOR112
MIL128
01 Nov 2023
TOR130
MIL111
09 Apr 2023
TOR121
MIL105
04 Jan 2023
TOR101
MIL104
02 Dec 2021
TOR97
MIL93
27 Jan 2021
TOR108
MIL115
03 Apr 2020
TOR v MIL
upcoming
25 Feb 2020
TOR97
MIL108
21 May 2019
TOR v MIL
upcoming
19 May 2019
TOR118
MIL112
31 Jan 2019
TOR92
MIL105
09 Dec 2018
TOR99
MIL104
23 Feb 2018
TOR119
MIL122
01 Jan 2018
TOR131
MIL127
24 Apr 2017
TOR118
MIL93
18 Apr 2017
TOR106
MIL100
15 Apr 2017
TOR83
MIL97
27 Jan 2017
TOR102
MIL86
12 Dec 2016
TOR122
MIL100
11 Dec 2015
TOR90
MIL83
01 Nov 2015
TOR106
MIL87
02 Feb 2015
TOR75
MIL82
21 Nov 2014
TOR124
MIL82
14 Apr 2014
TOR110
MIL100
13 Jan 2014
TOR116
MIL94
13 Jan 2013
TOR96
MIL107
11 Mar 2012
TOR99
MIL105
08 Feb 2012
TOR99
MIL105
30 Mar 2011
TOR98
MIL104
28 Jan 2011
TOR110
MIL116
22 Jan 2010
TOR101
MIL96
25 Mar 2009
TOR115
MIL106
30 Jan 2009
TOR85
MIL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
123-124
123
124
-1
111avg 99
H15/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
116-119
116
119
-3
100avg 99
H17/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
110-126
110
126
-16
94avg 99
H18/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
94avg 99
A20/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
113-106
113
106
+7
94avg 99
A22/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
118-107
118
107
+11
115avg 99
A24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
113-124
113
124
-11
106avg 99
H28/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
106-119
106
119
-13
90avg 99
H30/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
113-104
113
104
+9
100avg 99
H31/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
114-122
114
122
-8
101avg 99
A03/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
31-36
32-29
29-36
29-19
33-33
22-36
32-31
26-36
28-32
26-34
30-24
23-22
23-35
32-21
21-21
28-27
35-26
24-27
26-26
39-31
30-22
29-25
20-29
29-27
27-33
26-37
31-27
20-30
23-27
32-36
31-26
33-24
20-27
33-28
27-25
33-29
24-37
33-25
24-31
228.2Avg total
112.7Scored
115.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)111.4111.5222.9-0.143%
Season at home (19)112.5110.8223.3+1.758%
Season away (18)110.2112.3222.4-2.128%
Last 10 (10)112.7115.5228.2-2.830%
Last 5 (5)112.8115.2228.0-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)110.0116.0226.0-6.00%
vs Similar ◀ (24)110.5112.7223.1-2.238%
vs Weaker (5)118.4112.0230.4+6.460%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
101-142
101
142
-41
80avg 106
A16/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
123-97
123
97
+26
126avg 106
H18/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
128-119
128
119
+9
127avg 106
A20/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
106-114
106
114
-8
98avg 106
A22/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
100-118
100
118
-18
88avg 106
A24/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
118-139
118
139
-21
108avg 106
A25/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
113-119 OT
113
119
-6
92avg 106
A29/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
123-114
123
114
+9
123avg 106
H31/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
95-118
95
118
-23
78avg 106
H02/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
123-113
123
113
+10
115avg 106
H04/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-33
23-37
30-47
30-25
27-22
29-25
36-36
31-14
30-27
36-34
34-29
28-29
20-35
22-25
35-33
29-21
29-36
18-24
28-25
25-33
28-36
33-26
25-38
32-39
32-28
23-29
27-22
24-27
33-34
17-27
39-22
34-31
17-34
33-34
20-20
25-30
32-28
29-21
29-36
33-28
232.3Avg total
113.0Scored
119.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)112.7110.8223.5+2.065%
Season at home (20)117.5109.2226.7+8.380%
Season away (17)107.1112.6219.7-5.547%
Last 10 (10)113.0119.3232.3-6.340%
Last 5 (5)114.4120.6235.0-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)114.5115.4229.9-0.955%
vs Weaker (8)107.4105.6213.0+1.862%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +1.4+1.4
Toronto RaptorsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H15/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H17/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
54-68
54
68
-14
H18/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A20/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A22/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
69-53
69
53
+16
A24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H28/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H30/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H31/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
57-66
57
66
-9
A03/01
NBA
114.1Avg total
56.5Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.656.5113.0+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.653.9110.5+2.767%-
Last 30 away (15)56.559.1115.6-2.540%-
Last 10 (10)56.557.6114.1-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)55.657.4113.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.056.0118.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)55.656.9112.5-1.346%-
vs Weaker (5)60.254.4114.6+5.880%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
41-70
41
70
-29
A16/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H18/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A20/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
42-60
42
60
-18
A22/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A24/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A25/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A29/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H31/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
50-68
50
68
-18
H02/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H04/01
NBA
112.4Avg total
52.9Scored
59.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.356.7112.9-0.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.659.1118.7+0.664%-
Last 30 away (16)53.354.6107.9-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)52.959.5112.4-6.630%-
Last 5 (5)55.459.4114.8-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)56.958.2115.1-1.355%-
vs Weaker (8)54.552.4106.9+2.162%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 112.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.630.4
52.8%
54.5%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.510.8
34.3%
35.8%32.4
🏀 Free throws23.719.5
82.3%
78.1%19.5
They take 89.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 113.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.228.6
55.9%
54.5%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.312.6
31.3%
35.8%37.8
🏀 Free throws23.718.0
75.9%
78.1%18.0
They take 91.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
LWLLWWLLLL
Milwaukee Bucks
WLWLLLLWWL
#18
League position
#1
-2.8
Net rating
-6.1
114.6
Offensive rating
109.3
117.4
Defensive rating
115.4
52.3%
Effective FG%
51.9%
58.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
10.9%
Turnover %
15.0%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.3%
3-point %
31.3%
53.4%
Assist %
55.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 109.3Defence117.4 · 115.4Shooting52.3% · 51.9%3-point %34.3% · 31.3%Ball care10.9% · 15.0%Off. rebounds26.5% · 29.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Toronto Raptors wins
3
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/23AIndiana Pacers114-122
31/12/22HPhoenix Suns113-104
30/12/22HMemphis Grizzlies106-119
28/12/22HLos Angeles Clippers113-124
24/12/22ACleveland Cavaliers118-107
22/12/22ANew York Knicks113-106
20/12/22APhiladelphia 76ers101-104 OT
18/12/22HGolden State Warriors110-126
17/12/22HBrooklyn Nets116-119
15/12/22HSacramento Kings123-124
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/23HWashington Wizards123-113
02/01/23HWashington Wizards95-118
31/12/22HMinnesota Timberwolves123-114
29/12/22AChicago Bulls113-119 OT
25/12/22ABoston Celtics118-139
24/12/22ABrooklyn Nets100-118
22/12/22ACleveland Cavaliers106-114
20/12/22ANew Orleans Pelicans128-119
18/12/22HUtah Jazz123-97
16/12/22AMemphis Grizzlies101-142

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeLLLLW58%
AwayLLWWL28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %43%58%28%
Points / game111.4112.5110.2
Allowed / game111.5110.8112.3
Point differential-0.1+1.7-2.1
Avg total222.9223.3222.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%26%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)50% (4)14% (7)
Overtime %5%0%11%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW65%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWLLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games372017
Win %65%80%47%
Points / game112.7117.5107.1
Allowed / game110.8109.2112.6
Point differential+2.0+8.3-5.5
Avg total223.5226.7219.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%55%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %5%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics38261268%118.6113.3+5.2
2 Brooklyn Nets37251268%115.2110.8+4.4
3 Memphis Grizzlies37241365%115.9111.0+4.9
4 Milwaukee Bucks37241365%112.7110.8+2.0
5 Denver Nuggets37241365%116.4114.5+1.9
6 Cleveland Cavaliers39251464%111.6106.4+5.2
7 New Orleans Pelicans37231462%117.4113.0+4.5
8 Philadelphia 76ers37231462%112.6108.7+3.9
9 Dallas Mavericks38221658%112.6110.3+2.3
10 Sacramento Kings36201656%117.9116.7+1.3
11 Los Angeles Clippers39211854%109.5109.4+0.1
12 Indiana Pacers39211854%115.8116.1-0.3
13 Portland Trail Blazers36191753%112.9112.0+0.9
14 New York Knicks38201853%114.1111.3+2.8
15 Golden State Warriors38201853%117.1117.5-0.4
16 Miami Heat38201853%109.0109.4-0.4
17 Phoenix Suns39201951%113.5111.2+2.4
18 Utah Jazz40192148%117.2116.6+0.6
19 Atlanta Hawks37172046%115.2116.2-1.0
20 Minnesota Timberwolves38172145%114.7115.8-1.1
21 Washington Wizards39172244%112.1112.7-0.6
22 Toronto Raptors37162143%111.4111.5-0.1
23 Chicago Bulls37162143%114.3115.6-1.3
24 Los Angeles Lakers37162143%116.1117.6-1.5
25 Oklahoma City Thunder38162242%116.1117.1-1.0
26 Orlando Magic38142437%110.2114.0-3.8
27 San Antonio Spurs37122532%111.6121.0-9.4
28 Houston Rockets37102727%109.3115.7-6.4
29 Charlotte Hornets39102926%111.3118.4-7.2
30 Detroit Pistons40103025%111.6118.9-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Toronto Raptors122621384101
Milwaukee Bucks132624347104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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