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Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 112-116
37-33 28-40 25-14 22-29
Position#21
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#1
Record-
FormLWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Oklahoma City Thunder
28 Nov 2026
MIL v OKC
upcoming
21 Jan 2026
MIL102
OKC122
14 Oct 2025
MIL112
OKC116
16 Mar 2025
MIL105
OKC121
17 Dec 2024
MIL97
OKC81
24 Mar 2024
MIL118
OKC93
05 Nov 2022
MIL108
OKC94
19 Nov 2021
MIL96
OKC89
19 Feb 2021
MIL98
OKC85
28 Feb 2020
MIL133
OKC86
10 Apr 2019
MIL116
OKC127
31 Oct 2017
MIL91
OKC110
02 Jan 2017
MIL98
OKC94
06 Mar 2016
MIL96
OKC104
11 Nov 2014
MIL85
OKC78
16 Nov 2013
MIL79
OKC92
30 Mar 2013
MIL99
OKC109
09 Apr 2012
MIL89
OKC109
20 Nov 2010
MIL81
OKC82
02 Jan 2010
MIL103
OKC97
11 Apr 2009
MIL115
OKC98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
111-107
111
107
+4
106avg 107
A07/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
110-103
110
103
+7
105avg 107
H09/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
136-111
136
111
+25
129avg 107
H11/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
125-119
125
119
+6
117avg 107
A11/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
140-133 OT
140
133
+7
138avg 107
H13/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
98-117
98
117
-19
81avg 107
A19/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
115-123
115
123
-8
109avg 107
A22/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
117-101
117
101
+16
114avg 107
H26/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
103-129
103
129
-26
88avg 107
H28/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
118-119 OT
118
119
-1
112avg 107
A29/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-31
30-22
23-25
30-29
23-28
22-28
25-34
40-13
21-26
41-28
38-31
36-26
35-36
33-29
30-32
27-22
43-25
28-30
27-37
25-31
25-33
18-34
33-26
22-24
30-40
30-28
27-31
28-24
26-26
21-31
39-18
31-26
24-30
28-33
32-38
19-28
30-13
17-28
28-34
28-28
233.5Avg total
117.3Scored
116.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)117.3116.2233.5+1.160%
Last 5 (5)110.2117.8228.0-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)102.5116.5219.0-14.00%
vs Similar (23)117.9115.5233.4+2.457%
vs Weaker (5)122.4112.4234.8+10.080%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
101-143
101
143
-42
83avg 109
A25/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
128-126
128
126
+2
112avg 109
A27/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
124-94
124
94
+30
121avg 109
H29/05
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
110-111
110
111
-1
84avg 109
H06/06
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
123-107
123
107
+16
119avg 109
H09/06
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
107-116
107
116
-9
96avg 109
A12/06
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
111-104
111
104
+7
99avg 109
A14/06
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
120-109
120
109
+11
107avg 109
H17/06
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
91-108
91
108
-17
80avg 109
A20/06
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
103-91
103
91
+12
86avg 109
H23/06
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-34
27-38
29-35
31-36
37-30
28-27
25-28
38-41
26-9
39-23
23-30
36-32
29-20
28-25
28-31
25-35
26-20
33-21
34-33
30-33
32-24
28-40
29-20
18-32
34-35
23-25
23-27
31-17
32-22
27-23
28-34
33-30
25-28
17-36
18-26
31-18
25-22
22-26
34-20
22-23
222.7Avg total
111.8Scored
110.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)111.8110.9222.7+0.960%
Last 5 (5)106.4105.6212.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)116.3108.1224.4+8.270%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -0.2-0.2
Milwaukee BucksOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A07/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H09/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H11/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
68-65
68
65
+3
A11/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H13/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
43-67
43
67
-24
A19/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A22/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H26/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
52-63
52
63
-11
H28/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A29/04
NBA
113.2Avg total
55.3Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.459.1116.5-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.559.5117.0-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)57.258.8116.0-1.647%-
Last 10 (10)55.357.9113.2-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)49.859.2109.0-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)46.557.5104.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (23)57.860.1117.9-2.335%-
vs Weaker (5)59.855.4115.2+4.4100%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
41-72
41
72
-31
A25/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
65-57
65
57
+8
A27/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
65-32
65
32
+33
H29/05
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H06/06
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H09/06
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A12/06
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A14/06
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H17/06
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
42-64
42
64
-22
A20/06
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H23/06
NBA
108.0Avg total
55.2Scored
52.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.255.2114.4+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)61.850.9112.7+10.975%-
Last 30 away (14)56.260.1116.3-3.950%-
Last 10 (10)55.252.8108.0+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)53.056.2109.2-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)59.255.2114.4+4.063%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 117.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.927.1
54.3%
54.8%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.615.3
39.6%
35.8%45.9
🏀 Free throws23.817.2
72.3%
78.1%17.2
They take 88.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 111.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.927.3
50.6%
54.8%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.5
35.7%
35.8%34.5
🏀 Free throws27.522.7
82.5%
78.1%22.7
They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LLWLLWWWWW
Oklahoma City Thunder
WLWWLWLWWL
#21
League position
#1
+1.3
Net rating
+0.9
115.5
Offensive rating
111.3
114.2
Defensive rating
110.4
56.6%
Effective FG%
51.7%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
11.6%
Turnover %
13.0%
21.4%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
39.6%
3-point %
35.7%
61.8%
Assist %
49.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 111.3Defence114.2 · 110.4Shooting56.6% · 51.7%3-point %39.6% · 35.7%Ball care11.6% · 13.0%Off. rebounds21.4% · 25.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/25AIndiana Pacers118-119 OT
28/04/25HIndiana Pacers103-129
26/04/25HIndiana Pacers117-101
22/04/25AIndiana Pacers115-123
19/04/25AIndiana Pacers98-117
13/04/25HDetroit Pistons140-133 OT
11/04/25ADetroit Pistons125-119
11/04/25HNew Orleans Pelicans136-111
09/04/25HMinnesota Timberwolves110-103
07/04/25ANew Orleans Pelicans111-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/06/25HIndiana Pacers103-91
20/06/25AIndiana Pacers91-108
17/06/25HIndiana Pacers120-109
14/06/25AIndiana Pacers111-104
12/06/25AIndiana Pacers107-116
09/06/25HIndiana Pacers123-107
06/06/25HIndiana Pacers110-111
29/05/25HMinnesota Timberwolves124-94
27/05/25AMinnesota Timberwolves128-126
25/05/25AMinnesota Timberwolves101-143

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks37282522112
Oklahoma City Thunder33401429116
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