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Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 118-93
25-22 23-25 34-17 36-29
Position#8
Record44-24
FormLWWLW
Points / game120.2
Allowed / game117.0
vs
Position#2
Record49-20
FormLWWWW
Points / game120.7
Allowed / game112.9
USANBA· Fiserv Forum (Milwaukee)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Oklahoma City Thunder
28 Nov 2026
MIL v OKC
upcoming
21 Jan 2026
MIL102
OKC122
16 Mar 2025
MIL105
OKC121
17 Dec 2024
MIL97
OKC81
24 Mar 2024
MIL118
OKC93
05 Nov 2022
MIL108
OKC94
19 Nov 2021
MIL96
OKC89
19 Feb 2021
MIL98
OKC85
28 Feb 2020
MIL133
OKC86
10 Apr 2019
MIL116
OKC127
31 Oct 2017
MIL91
OKC110
02 Jan 2017
MIL98
OKC94
06 Mar 2016
MIL96
OKC104
11 Nov 2014
MIL85
OKC78
16 Nov 2013
MIL79
OKC92
30 Mar 2013
MIL99
OKC109
09 Apr 2012
MIL89
OKC109
20 Nov 2010
MIL81
OKC82
02 Jan 2010
MIL103
OKC97
11 Apr 2009
MIL115
OKC98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
113-97
113
97
+16
104avg 112
A02/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
113-106
113
106
+7
109avg 112
H05/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
90-125
90
125
-35
71avg 112
A07/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
122-123
122
123
-1
115avg 112
A09/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
124-117
124
117
+7
118avg 112
A10/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
94-129
94
129
-35
84avg 112
A13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
114-105
114
105
+9
116avg 112
H15/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
140-129
140
129
+11
137avg 112
H17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
119-122
119
122
-3
112avg 112
A20/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
115-108
115
108
+7
107avg 112
H22/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-24
25-20
24-28
31-25
25-35
23-20
25-26
40-25
32-40
26-38
23-15
9-32
30-27
33-40
27-29
32-27
29-33
30-29
32-23
33-32
30-38
26-37
22-20
16-34
24-29
29-32
27-22
34-22
39-36
43-24
27-34
31-35
28-33
28-36
27-32
36-21
26-19
34-25
21-25
34-39
230.5Avg total
114.4Scored
116.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)120.2117.0237.2+3.365%
Season at home (33)122.4115.5237.9+6.982%
Season away (35)118.2118.4236.6-0.249%
Last 10 (10)114.4116.1230.5-1.760%
Last 5 (5)116.4118.6235.0-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)119.0122.0241.0-3.00%
vs Similar (20)113.0115.3228.3-2.455%
vs Weaker (9)118.4108.8227.2+9.767%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
118-110
118
110
+8
100avg 113
A04/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
104-116
104
116
-12
87avg 113
A05/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
128-120
128
120
+8
127avg 113
A07/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
107-100
107
100
+7
103avg 113
H09/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
124-93
124
93
+31
127avg 113
H10/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
111-121
111
121
-10
99avg 113
H13/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
126-119
126
119
+7
119avg 113
H15/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
118-112
118
112
+6
113avg 113
A17/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
119-107
119
107
+12
115avg 113
H21/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
123-103
123
103
+20
116avg 113
A22/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
38-28
23-33
29-25
25-25
18-27
29-37
32-27
32-27
33-30
32-30
31-33
27-29
20-28
30-16
30-27
38-24
26-19
38-25
22-25
17-22
29-36
41-36
24-27
33-27
32-36
30-24
31-32
29-27
27-27
35-24
27-34
31-25
22-29
29-26
37-27
28-35
35-21
26-22
34-25
227.9Avg total
117.8Scored
110.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)120.7112.9233.6+7.971%
Season at home (35)122.7111.3234.0+11.480%
Season away (34)118.7114.5233.2+4.262%
Last 10 (10)117.8110.1227.9+7.780%
Last 5 (5)119.4112.4231.8+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)103.896.8200.5+7.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)121.4114.6236.0+6.873%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
Milwaukee BucksOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A02/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H05/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
58-78
58
78
-20
A07/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A09/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A10/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
56-75
56
75
-19
A13/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
53-61
53
61
-8
H15/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
82-60
82
60
+22
H17/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
56-69
56
69
-13
A20/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
60-44
60
44
+16
H22/03
NBA
120.8Avg total
59.3Scored
61.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.557.1116.6+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (12)60.452.3112.8+8.167%-
Last 30 away (18)58.860.3119.2-1.539%-
Last 10 (10)59.361.5120.8-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)61.461.8123.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)56.069.0125.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (20)58.059.3117.3-1.240%-
vs Weaker (9)63.051.0114.0+12.078%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
66-52
66
52
+14
A04/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A05/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
65-57
65
57
+8
A07/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H09/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
64-43
64
43
+21
H10/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H13/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H15/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A17/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H21/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A22/03
NBA
111.4Avg total
56.8Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.656.8116.4+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.254.9113.1+3.350%-
Last 30 away (16)60.858.4119.2+2.362%-
Last 10 (10)56.854.6111.4+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)56.657.0113.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)50.248.899.0+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)61.058.0119.0+3.058%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 114.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.225.1
54.3%
54.4%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.415.4
39.1%
36.3%46.2
🏀 Free throws22.118.0
81.4%
78.2%18.0
They take 85.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 117.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.331.4
56.8%
54.4%62.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.413.0
36.7%
36.3%39.0
🏀 Free throws19.516.0
82.1%
78.2%16.0
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WLWWLWLLWW
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWWLWWWLW
#8
League position
#2
-1.7
Net rating
+7.6
116.6
Offensive rating
116.7
118.3
Defensive rating
109.1
56.3%
Effective FG%
56.1%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
10.9%
Turnover %
11.2%
19.5%
Off. rebound %
22.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.21
39.1%
3-point %
36.7%
62.0%
Assist %
59.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence116.6 · 116.7Defence118.3 · 109.1Shooting56.3% · 56.1%3-point %39.1% · 36.7%Ball care10.9% · 11.2%Off. rebounds19.5% · 22.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/24HBrooklyn Nets115-108
20/03/24ABoston Celtics119-122
17/03/24HPhoenix Suns140-129
15/03/24HPhiladelphia 76ers114-105
13/03/24ASacramento Kings94-129
10/03/24ALos Angeles Clippers124-117
09/03/24ALos Angeles Lakers122-123
07/03/24AGolden State Warriors90-125
05/03/24HLos Angeles Clippers113-106
02/03/24AChicago Bulls113-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/24AToronto Raptors123-103
21/03/24HUtah Jazz119-107
17/03/24AMemphis Grizzlies118-112
15/03/24HDallas Mavericks126-119
13/03/24HIndiana Pacers111-121
10/03/24HMemphis Grizzlies124-93
09/03/24HMiami Heat107-100
07/03/24APortland Trail Blazers128-120
05/03/24ALos Angeles Lakers104-116
04/03/24APhoenix Suns118-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW65%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayLLWLL49%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683335
Win %65%82%49%
Points / game120.2122.4118.2
Allowed / game117.0115.5118.4
Point differential+3.3+6.9-0.2
Avg total237.2237.9236.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%36%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won59% (17)100% (7)30% (10)
Overtime %4%6%3%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693534
Win %71%80%62%
Points / game120.7122.7118.7
Allowed / game112.9111.3114.5
Point differential+7.9+11.4+4.2
Avg total233.6234.0233.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%51%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)57% (7)57% (7)
Overtime %4%6%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics70571381%121.3109.2+12.0
2 Oklahoma City Thunder69492071%120.7112.9+7.9
3 Denver Nuggets71502170%114.6110.1+4.5
4 Minnesota Timberwolves70482269%113.1106.5+6.7
5 Milwaukee Bucks68442465%120.2117.0+3.3
6 Los Angeles Clippers70442663%116.5112.7+3.8
7 New Orleans Pelicans69432662%116.0110.0+6.0
8 New York Knicks69422761%111.6107.2+4.4
9 Cleveland Cavaliers71432861%112.6109.5+3.1
10 Phoenix Suns70422860%117.5114.4+3.1
11 Sacramento Kings69412859%117.8116.2+1.6
12 Orlando Magic71422959%110.8108.8+2.1
13 Dallas Mavericks70412959%118.6117.0+1.6
14 Indiana Pacers69383155%122.8120.7+2.1
15 Philadelphia 76ers71393255%114.5112.1+2.3
16 Miami Heat71393255%109.6108.9+0.7
17 Los Angeles Lakers68363253%117.2117.9-0.7
18 Golden State Warriors69363352%118.5116.9+1.6
19 Houston Rockets70353550%114.3112.7+1.6
20 Chicago Bulls71343748%112.1113.9-1.8
21 Atlanta Hawks70313944%119.2120.7-1.6
22 Utah Jazz71294241%116.8120.9-4.1
23 Brooklyn Nets71264537%111.1113.8-2.7
24 Memphis Grizzlies71244734%105.9112.6-6.6
25 Toronto Raptors71234832%113.1118.1-5.0
26 Portland Trail Blazers71195227%107.8115.9-8.1
27 Charlotte Hornets70175324%106.4116.9-10.5
28 San Antonio Spurs71155621%112.0119.5-7.6
29 Washington Wizards71135818%113.7123.7-9.9
30 Detroit Pistons71125917%111.3120.1-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks25233436118
Oklahoma City Thunder2225172993
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