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Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 110-103
23-28 22-28 25-34 40-13
Position#13
Record42-34
FormLWWWW
Points / game115.0
Allowed / game113.1
vs
Position#7
Record46-32
FormWWWWW
Points / game114.0
Allowed / game109.4
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves
23 Dec 2026
MIL v MIN
upcoming
13 Jan 2026
MIL106
MIN139
08 Apr 2025
MIL110
MIN103
08 Feb 2024
MIL105
MIN129
30 Dec 2022
MIL123
MIN114
27 Oct 2021
MIL108
MIN113
23 Feb 2021
MIL139
MIN112
01 Jan 2020
MIL106
MIN104
23 Feb 2019
MIL140
MIN128
28 Dec 2017
MIL102
MIN96
11 Mar 2017
MIL102
MIN95
04 Mar 2016
MIL116
MIN101
09 Jan 2015
MIL98
MIN84
28 Dec 2013
MIL95
MIN117
03 Apr 2013
MIL98
MIN107
27 Dec 2011
MIL98
MIN95
21 Dec 2011
MIL84
MIN85
22 Feb 2011
MIL94
MIN88
23 Jan 2010
MIL127
MIN94
26 Jan 2009
MIL83
MIN90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
118-89
118
89
+29
110avg 107
A21/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
114-108
114
108
+6
106avg 107
A23/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
106-108
106
108
-2
94avg 107
A25/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
117-127
117
127
-10
112avg 107
A27/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
107-116
107
116
-9
101avg 107
H29/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
124-145
124
145
-21
111avg 107
H30/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
133-123
133
123
+10
138avg 107
H01/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
126-113
126
113
+13
126avg 107
A03/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
121-115 OT
121
115
+6
120avg 107
A06/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
111-107
111
107
+4
106avg 107
A07/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-19
23-27
34-23
27-20
17-25
32-36
37-28
28-19
30-25
28-29
20-27
28-27
27-38
37-29
28-33
25-27
19-25
30-35
24-21
34-35
44-37
31-45
17-36
32-27
31-19
29-38
35-26
38-40
25-39
36-20
35-28
30-26
22-30
35-27
24-31
30-23
28-31
30-22
23-25
30-29
232.8Avg total
117.7Scored
115.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)115.0113.1228.0+1.955%
Season at home (37)118.0112.9230.9+5.062%
Season away (39)112.1113.2225.3-1.149%
Last 10 (10)117.7115.1232.8+2.660%
Last 5 (5)123.0120.6243.6+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)102.5116.5219.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (21)116.3113.1229.5+3.257%
vs Weaker (7)118.1111.6229.7+6.686%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#30
W
128-102
128
102
+26
122avg 107
H16/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
130-132 OT
130
132
-2
116avg 107
H18/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
115-119
115
119
-4
107avg 107
H20/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
134-93
134
93
+41
136avg 107
H22/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
103-119
103
119
-16
96avg 107
A24/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
124-109
124
109
+15
123avg 107
H29/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
123-104
123
104
+19
119avg 107
H30/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
140-139 OT
140
139
+1
130avg 107
A02/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
105-90
105
90
+15
105avg 107
A03/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
114-109
114
109
+5
109avg 107
A05/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-20
28-31
37-25
29-26
30-30
16-30
41-29
30-28
30-24
31-38
30-34
24-23
28-22
34-26
35-24
37-21
23-25
25-29
25-41
30-24
27-21
30-24
35-30
32-34
20-34
34-26
38-23
31-21
26-32
26-21
32-26
28-33
20-19
29-18
28-30
28-23
27-23
28-28
28-31
31-27
233.2Avg total
121.6Scored
111.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (78)114.0109.4223.4+4.759%
Season at home (39)115.7109.2224.9+6.559%
Season away (39)112.4109.5221.9+2.859%
Last 10 (10)121.6111.6233.2+10.070%
Last 5 (5)121.2110.2231.4+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)119.2121.8241.0-2.550%
vs Similar ◀ (9)117.3115.3232.7+2.044%
vs Weaker (17)119.2107.4226.5+11.876%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +4.0+4.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +4.0+4.0
Milwaukee BucksMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
57-46
57
46
+11
A21/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A23/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A25/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
64-67
64
67
-3
A27/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
49-60
49
60
-11
H29/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H30/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H01/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A03/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A06/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A07/04
NBA
118.4Avg total
58.8Scored
59.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.458.6117.0-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.160.2118.4-2.143%-
Last 30 away (16)58.757.2115.9+1.556%-
Last 10 (10)58.859.6118.4-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)62.261.6123.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)46.557.5104.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)59.159.3118.4-0.143%-
vs Weaker (7)59.756.9116.6+2.986%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#30
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H16/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
46-60
46
60
-14
H18/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
61-62
61
62
-1
H20/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H22/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A24/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H29/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H30/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A02/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A03/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A05/04
NBA
106.7Avg total
54.6Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.556.6113.0-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.657.7116.4+0.953%-
Last 30 away (13)53.655.1108.7-1.538%-
Last 10 (10)54.652.1106.7+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)53.449.2102.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)54.061.8115.8-7.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)54.158.1112.2-4.011%-
vs Weaker (17)58.354.5112.8+3.865%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 117.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.630.3
59.9%
54.3%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.612.9
39.6%
35.9%38.7
🏀 Free throws25.118.4
73.3%
77.8%18.4
They take 83.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 121.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.429.7
58.9%
54.3%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.914.5
36.3%
35.9%43.5
🏀 Free throws24.718.7
75.7%
77.8%18.7
They take 90.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWWLLLLWW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWWWLWLLW
#13
League position
#7
+2.6
Net rating
+10.0
119.6
Offensive rating
119.6
116.9
Defensive rating
109.6
59.7%
Effective FG%
57.0%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
11.3%
Turnover %
13.0%
17.8%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
39.6%
3-point %
36.3%
61.8%
Assist %
63.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence119.6 · 119.6Defence116.9 · 109.6Shooting59.7% · 57.0%3-point %39.6% · 36.3%Ball care11.3% · 13.0%Off. rebounds17.8% · 29.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/25ANew Orleans Pelicans111-107
06/04/25AMiami Heat121-115 OT
03/04/25APhiladelphia 76ers126-113
01/04/25HPhoenix Suns133-123
30/03/25HAtlanta Hawks124-145
29/03/25HNew York Knicks107-116
27/03/25ADenver Nuggets117-127
25/03/25APhoenix Suns106-108
23/03/25ASacramento Kings114-108
21/03/25ALos Angeles Lakers118-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25APhiladelphia 76ers114-109
03/04/25ABrooklyn Nets105-90
02/04/25ADenver Nuggets140-139 OT
30/03/25HDetroit Pistons123-104
29/03/25HPhoenix Suns124-109
24/03/25AIndiana Pacers103-119
22/03/25HNew Orleans Pelicans134-93
20/03/25HNew Orleans Pelicans115-119
18/03/25HIndiana Pacers130-132 OT
16/03/25HUtah Jazz128-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW55%
HomeWLLLW62%
AwayLLWWW49%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763739
Win %55%62%49%
Points / game115.0118.0112.1
Allowed / game113.1112.9113.2
Point differential+1.9+5.0-1.1
Avg total228.0230.9225.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%41%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won39% (18)20% (5)46% (13)
Overtime %3%3%3%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW59%
HomeLLWWW59%
AwayWLWWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games783939
Win %59%59%59%
Points / game114.0115.7112.4
Allowed / game109.4109.2109.5
Point differential+4.7+6.5+2.8
Avg total223.4224.9221.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%41%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (26)36% (14)67% (12)
Overtime %6%5%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder76621482%120.1107.7+12.5
2 Cleveland Cavaliers79631680%122.3112.3+9.9
3 Boston Celtics79592075%116.9107.7+9.2
4 Houston Rockets77512666%114.9109.1+5.8
5 New York Knicks78502864%116.3111.8+4.5
6 Los Angeles Lakers78483062%113.4112.1+1.3
7 Indiana Pacers79483161%117.3115.0+2.4
8 Golden State Warriors77463160%114.0111.0+2.9
9 Memphis Grizzlies79473259%121.7116.8+4.9
10 Denver Nuggets79473259%120.7117.1+3.6
11 Minnesota Timberwolves78463259%114.0109.4+4.7
12 Los Angeles Clippers78463259%112.5108.0+4.5
13 Milwaukee Bucks76423455%115.0113.1+1.9
14 Detroit Pistons79433654%115.2113.2+2.0
15 Orlando Magic78393950%105.2105.6-0.3
16 Sacramento Kings79394049%116.0115.5+0.5
17 Dallas Mavericks78384049%114.6115.4-0.7
18 Atlanta Hawks77364147%118.3120.1-1.9
19 Miami Heat79364346%110.0109.9+0.1
20 Chicago Bulls79364346%117.7120.1-2.4
21 Phoenix Suns78354345%114.0116.6-2.6
22 Portland Trail Blazers79354444%111.0114.2-3.1
23 San Antonio Spurs78324641%113.9116.7-2.7
24 Toronto Raptors79295037%110.7115.2-4.5
25 Brooklyn Nets79265333%105.2111.9-6.6
26 Philadelphia 76ers79235629%109.5115.8-6.3
27 New Orleans Pelicans79215827%110.0118.7-8.7
28 Charlotte Hornets79196024%105.6114.1-8.5
29 Washington Wizards79176222%108.2120.5-12.3
30 Utah Jazz79166320%111.7120.9-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks23222540110
Minnesota Timberwolves28283413103
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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