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Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 98-85
16-20 30-22 32-20 20-23
Position#5
Record16-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game118.6
Allowed / game113.8
Milwaukee Bucks 🏆
USA
vs
Oklahoma City Thunder
USA
Position#27
Record12-19
FormLLWLL
Points / game107.8
Allowed / game113.5
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Oklahoma City Thunder
28 Nov 2026
MIL v OKC
upcoming
21 Jan 2026
MIL102
OKC122
16 Mar 2025
MIL105
OKC121
17 Dec 2024
MIL97
OKC81
24 Mar 2024
MIL118
OKC93
05 Nov 2022
MIL108
OKC94
19 Nov 2021
MIL96
OKC89
19 Feb 2021
MIL98
OKC85
28 Feb 2020
MIL133
OKC86
10 Apr 2019
MIL116
OKC127
31 Oct 2017
MIL91
OKC110
02 Jan 2017
MIL98
OKC94
06 Mar 2016
MIL96
OKC104
11 Nov 2014
MIL85
OKC78
16 Nov 2013
MIL79
OKC92
30 Mar 2013
MIL99
OKC109
09 Apr 2012
MIL89
OKC109
20 Nov 2010
MIL81
OKC82
02 Jan 2010
MIL103
OKC97
11 Apr 2009
MIL115
OKC98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
134-106
134
106
+28
139avg 110
H02/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
130-110
130
110
+20
127avg 110
H04/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
123-105
123
105
+18
119avg 110
A06/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
124-99
124
99
+25
118avg 110
A07/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
125-112
125
112
+13
no box
A09/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
124-125
124
125
-1
no box
A11/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
115-129
115
129
-14
94avg 110
A13/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
109-114
109
114
-5
98avg 110
A15/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
113-124
113
124
-11
106avg 110
H17/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
96-110
96
110
-14
88avg 110
H19/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
46-36
33-20
34-21
21-29
29-21
39-30
38-21
24-38
26-33
34-30
34-26
29-16
25-22
34-32
35-23
30-22
37-42
22-20
34-26
32-24
32-32
39-27
30-39
23-27
31-35
21-34
30-27
33-33
24-24
17-28
40-29
28-33
33-33
31-31
27-30
22-30
26-33
15-25
31-27
24-25
232.7Avg total
119.3Scored
113.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)118.6113.8232.4+4.850%
Season at home (15)118.1111.5229.6+6.560%
Season away (17)119.1115.8234.9+3.341%
Last 10 (10)119.3113.4232.7+5.950%
Last 5 (5)111.4120.4231.8-9.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)118.0121.0239.0-3.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)120.0110.1230.1+9.962%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#30
L
106-136
106
136
-30
95avg 98
H02/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
104-87
104
87
+17
98avg 98
H04/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
103-106
103
106
-3
99avg 98
H06/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
120-118
120
118
+2
113avg 98
H07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
112-119 OT
112
119
-7
no box
A09/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
113-114 OT
113
114
-1
no box
A11/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
95-97
95
97
-2
88avg 98
A13/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
114-109
114
109
+5
110avg 98
H15/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
104-115
104
115
-11
96avg 98
H17/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
113-122
113
122
-9
108avg 98
A18/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-48
30-25
22-29
30-34
30-25
24-18
27-15
23-29
23-25
32-26
21-34
27-21
43-24
40-38
13-32
24-24
33-26
27-30
24-20
26-34
37-23
30-34
17-23
21-25
28-16
25-24
26-30
16-27
24-24
28-17
29-40
33-28
21-34
29-30
29-29
25-22
31-30
25-27
29-29
28-36
220.7Avg total
108.4Scored
112.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)107.8113.5221.3-5.739%
Season at home (15)107.1116.9223.9-9.827%
Season away (16)108.5110.3218.8-1.850%
Last 10 (10)108.4112.3220.7-3.930%
Last 5 (5)107.8111.4219.2-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)107.5114.2221.8-6.735%
vs Similar (4)106.2110.0216.2-3.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +6.4+6.4Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +6.4+6.4Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
Milwaukee BucksOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
79-56
79
56
+23
H02/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
68-51
68
51
+17
H04/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A06/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A07/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A09/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
71-59
71
59
+12
A11/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A13/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A15/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
D
64-64
64
64
+0
H17/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
41-58
41
58
-17
H19/02
NBA
118.2Avg total
59.4Scored
58.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.156.3116.4+3.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)62.553.5116.0+8.969%-
Last 30 away (17)58.358.4116.7-0.141%-
Last 10 (10)59.458.8118.2+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)53.860.4114.2-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)57.758.9116.6-1.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)61.155.2116.3+6.062%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#30
L
54-73
54
73
-19
H02/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H04/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H06/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
83-62
83
62
+21
H07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A09/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
67-57
67
57
+10
A11/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A13/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H15/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
50-64
50
64
-14
H17/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A18/02
NBA
112.8Avg total
58.4Scored
54.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.156.7110.8-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.157.5111.5-3.440%-
Last 30 away (15)54.156.0110.1-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)58.454.4112.8+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)55.651.8107.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)54.156.7110.8-2.738%-
vs Similar (4)54.056.8110.8-2.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 118.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.030.0
54.5%
52.8%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.514.6
40.0%
36.6%43.8
🏀 Free throws20.715.1
72.9%
77.7%15.1
They take 91.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 108.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.125.7
50.3%
52.8%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.413.4
37.9%
36.6%40.2
🏀 Free throws21.817.0
78.0%
77.7%17.0
They take 86.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LLLLLWWWWW
Oklahoma City Thunder
LLWLLLWLWL
#5
League position
#27
+5.3
Net rating
-4.6
115.6
Offensive rating
105.0
110.3
Defensive rating
109.7
56.7%
Effective FG%
52.9%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
11.6%
Turnover %
14.4%
22.2%
Off. rebound %
17.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.25
40.0%
3-point %
37.9%
58.7%
Assist %
62.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence115.6 · 105.0Defence110.3 · 109.7Shooting56.7% · 52.9%3-point %40.0% · 37.9%Ball care11.6% · 14.4%Off. rebounds22.2% · 17.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Milwaukee Bucks wins
6
Oklahoma City Thunder wins
DateGameScore
15/02/21Oklahoma City Thunder v Milwaukee Bucks114-109
29/02/20Milwaukee Bucks v Oklahoma City Thunder133-86
11/11/19Oklahoma City Thunder v Milwaukee Bucks119-121
11/04/19Milwaukee Bucks v Oklahoma City Thunder116-127
27/01/19Oklahoma City Thunder v Milwaukee Bucks118-112
30/12/17Oklahoma City Thunder v Milwaukee Bucks95-97
01/11/17Milwaukee Bucks v Oklahoma City Thunder91-110
05/04/17Oklahoma City Thunder v Milwaukee Bucks110-79
03/01/17Milwaukee Bucks v Oklahoma City Thunder98-94
06/03/16Milwaukee Bucks v Oklahoma City Thunder96-104
Milwaukee Buckslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/21HToronto Raptors96-110
17/02/21HToronto Raptors113-124
15/02/21AOklahoma City Thunder109-114
13/02/21AUtah Jazz115-129
11/02/21APhoenix Suns124-125
09/02/21ADenver Nuggets125-112
07/02/21ACleveland Cavaliers124-99
06/02/21ACleveland Cavaliers123-105
04/02/21HIndiana Pacers130-110
02/02/21HPortland Trail Blazers134-106
Oklahoma City Thunderlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/21AMemphis Grizzlies113-122
17/02/21HPortland Trail Blazers104-115
15/02/21HMilwaukee Bucks114-109
13/02/21ADenver Nuggets95-97
11/02/21ALos Angeles Lakers113-114 OT
09/02/21ALos Angeles Lakers112-119 OT
07/02/21HMinnesota Timberwolves120-118
06/02/21HMinnesota Timberwolves103-106
04/02/21HHouston Rockets104-87
02/02/21HHouston Rockets106-136

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL50%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWWLLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %50%60%41%
Points / game118.6118.1119.1
Allowed / game113.8111.5115.8
Point differential+4.8+6.5+3.3
Avg total232.4229.6234.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%53%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)100% (1)0% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL39%
HomeWLWWL27%
AwayWLLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %39%27%50%
Points / game107.8107.1108.5
Allowed / game113.5116.9110.3
Point differential-5.7-9.8-1.8
Avg total221.3223.9218.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%7%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)50% (6)67% (6)
Overtime %10%7%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz3227584%115.9105.5+10.4
2 Los Angeles Lakers3426876%112.2105.4+6.8
3 Philadelphia 76ers32221069%114.2110.9+3.3
4 Los Angeles Clippers33211264%113.8109.1+4.7
5 Brooklyn Nets33211264%120.9116.3+4.6
6 Portland Trail Blazers32191359%114.6115.7-1.1
7 Denver Nuggets32181456%115.9110.3+5.7
8 Phoenix Suns31171455%110.4108.7+1.6
9 Golden State Warriors33181555%114.5112.7+1.8
10 Memphis Grizzlies28151354%112.8111.9+0.9
11 San Antonio Spurs30161453%110.4112.4-1.9
12 Milwaukee Bucks32161650%118.6113.8+4.8
13 Toronto Raptors32161650%113.7111.3+2.4
14 New York Knicks34171750%103.1102.0+1.1
15 Boston Celtics31151648%109.6109.5+0.1
16 Dallas Mavericks31151648%113.8114.6-0.8
17 Indiana Pacers32151747%112.7111.9+0.8
18 Chicago Bulls32151747%113.6114.1-0.5
19 New Orleans Pelicans30141647%115.0113.7+1.3
20 Houston Rockets32141844%109.9110.2-0.3
21 Charlotte Hornets32141844%111.4112.0-0.7
22 Sacramento Kings32141844%113.3118.7-5.4
23 Atlanta Hawks33141942%112.9113.6-0.6
24 Miami Heat31131842%107.0110.4-3.4
25 Orlando Magic34142041%106.6112.0-5.4
26 Oklahoma City Thunder31121939%107.8113.5-5.7
27 Cleveland Cavaliers34122235%103.4112.5-9.1
28 Washington Wizards29101934%112.4117.9-5.4
29 Detroit Pistons32102231%106.8110.0-3.2
30 Minnesota Timberwolves3282425%109.1116.5-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks1630322098
Oklahoma City Thunder2022202385
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