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Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 97-81
27-28 24-22 26-14 20-17
Position#1
Record2-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game112.0
Allowed / game105.5
Milwaukee Bucks 🏆
USA
vs
Oklahoma City Thunder
USA
Position#2
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game114.5
Allowed / game100.0
USANBA CupNBA Cup - Final· T-Mobile Arena
Other2024
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Oklahoma City Thunder
28 Nov 2026
MIL v OKC
upcoming
21 Jan 2026
MIL102
OKC122
16 Mar 2025
MIL105
OKC121
17 Dec 2024
MIL97
OKC81
24 Mar 2024
MIL118
OKC93
05 Nov 2022
MIL108
OKC94
19 Nov 2021
MIL96
OKC89
19 Feb 2021
MIL98
OKC85
28 Feb 2020
MIL133
OKC86
10 Apr 2019
MIL116
OKC127
31 Oct 2017
MIL91
OKC110
02 Jan 2017
MIL98
OKC94
06 Mar 2016
MIL96
OKC104
11 Nov 2014
MIL85
OKC78
16 Nov 2013
MIL79
OKC92
30 Mar 2013
MIL99
OKC109
09 Apr 2012
MIL89
OKC109
20 Nov 2010
MIL81
OKC82
02 Jan 2010
MIL103
OKC97
11 Apr 2009
MIL115
OKC98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
129-117
129
117
+12
129avg 108
H23/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
125-119
125
119
+6
117avg 108
H24/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
106-103
106
103
+3
102avg 108
A27/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
124-114
124
114
+10
120avg 108
H01/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
128-107
128
107
+21
124avg 108
A04/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
104-119
104
119
-15
94avg 108
H05/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
105-111
105
111
-6
91avg 108
A07/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
118-113
118
113
+5
117avg 108
A08/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#6
W
114-109
114
109
+5
132avg 108
H11/12
NBA Cup
Atlanta Hawks
#3
W
110-102
110
102
+8
124avg 108
H14/12
NBA Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-22
24-22
35-35
36-38
28-28
31-23
37-34
29-34
31-20
34-31
20-29
21-23
28-29
35-29
29-28
32-28
36-31
42-28
32-29
18-19
35-38
24-32
28-29
17-20
27-29
30-24
25-25
23-33
27-25
24-27
35-34
32-27
25-33
35-26
20-13
34-37
26-28
29-21
27-34
28-19
227.7Avg total
116.3Scored
111.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)112.0105.5217.5+6.5100%
Season at home (2)112.0105.5217.5+6.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)116.3111.4227.7+4.980%
Last 5 (5)110.2110.8221.0-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)109.4114.6224.0-5.20%
vs Similar (15)112.3115.1227.4-2.947%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)115.4108.0223.4+7.478%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
109-99
109
99
+10
100avg 110
H21/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
130-109
130
109
+21
129avg 110
A26/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
105-101
105
101
+4
99avg 110
A28/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
101-93
101
93
+8
87avg 110
A30/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
116-119
116
119
-3
109avg 110
A02/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
133-106
133
106
+27
122avg 110
H04/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
129-92
129
92
+37
123avg 110
A06/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
119-109
119
109
+10
117avg 110
A08/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#8
W
118-104
118
104
+14
137avg 110
H11/12
NBA Cup
Houston Rockets
#4
W
111-96
111
96
+15
128avg 110
H15/12
NBA Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
26-21
23-25
39-30
31-30
32-32
34-22
33-25
39-23
23-27
22-33
21-18
32-24
19-24
20-21
30-24
28-33
32-29
36-29
20-28
32-25
30-25
40-25
31-31
34-17
33-25
32-23
30-27
35-23
42-28
22-29
20-29
32-24
25-30
33-19
28-31
18-20
23-22
34-27
36-27
219.9Avg total
117.1Scored
102.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)114.5100.0214.5+14.5100%
Season at home (2)114.5100.0214.5+14.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)117.1102.8219.9+14.390%
Last 5 (5)122.0101.4223.4+20.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (29)113.5104.3217.8+9.269%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.8+1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.8+1.8
Milwaukee BucksOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H23/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H24/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
65-51
65
51
+14
A27/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H01/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
78-59
78
59
+19
A04/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
59-70
59
70
-11
H05/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A07/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A08/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#6
W
60-59
60
59
+1
H11/12
NBA Cup
Atlanta Hawks
#3
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H14/12
NBA Cup
115.1Avg total
60.5Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.857.0114.9+0.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.855.4114.2+3.475%-
Last 30 away (14)56.758.9115.6-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)60.554.6115.1+5.980%-
Last 5 (5)56.456.6113.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)60.859.6120.4+1.280%-
vs Similar (15)57.759.1116.8-1.347%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)56.152.0108.1+4.167%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H21/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
63-62
63
62
+1
A26/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A28/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A30/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A02/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
62-50
62
50
+12
H04/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
67-42
67
42
+25
A06/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
77-51
77
51
+26
A08/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#8
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H11/12
NBA Cup
Houston Rockets
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H15/12
NBA Cup
109.2Avg total
58.7Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.252.5110.7+5.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.451.9108.3+4.560%-
Last 30 away (15)60.053.2113.2+6.867%-
Last 10 (10)58.750.5109.2+8.280%-
Last 5 (5)60.847.8108.6+13.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (29)58.252.5110.7+5.862%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 118.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 108.6 points a game
55%
31%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.426.0
53.7%
48.2%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.116.0
43.1%
31.7%48.0
🏀 Free throws24.518.5
75.5%
71.4%18.5
They take 85.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 121.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 108.6 points a game
55%
31%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.531.9
54.5%
48.2%63.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.413.7
35.7%
31.7%41.1
🏀 Free throws20.316.2
79.8%
71.4%16.2
They take 96.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWLLWWWWW
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWWWLWWWW
#1
League position
#2
+6.1
Net rating
+15.0
115.3
Offensive rating
115.5
109.2
Defensive rating
100.5
58.5%
Effective FG%
54.1%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
13.6%
Turnover %
11.0%
18.8%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.21
43.1%
3-point %
35.7%
60.2%
Assist %
57.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 115.5Defence109.2 · 100.5Shooting58.5% · 54.1%3-point %43.1% · 35.7%Ball care13.6% · 11.0%Off. rebounds18.8% · 26.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Milwaukee Bucks wins
2
Oklahoma City Thunder wins
DateGameScore
13/04/24Oklahoma City Thunder v Milwaukee Bucks125-107
24/03/24Milwaukee Bucks v Oklahoma City Thunder118-93
10/11/22Oklahoma City Thunder v Milwaukee Bucks132-136 OT
06/11/22Milwaukee Bucks v Oklahoma City Thunder108-94
09/03/22Oklahoma City Thunder v Milwaukee Bucks115-142
20/11/21Milwaukee Bucks v Oklahoma City Thunder96-89
20/02/21Milwaukee Bucks v Oklahoma City Thunder98-85
15/02/21Oklahoma City Thunder v Milwaukee Bucks114-109
29/02/20Milwaukee Bucks v Oklahoma City Thunder133-86
11/11/19Oklahoma City Thunder v Milwaukee Bucks119-121
Milwaukee Buckslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24HAtlanta Hawks110-102
11/12/24HOrlando Magic114-109
08/12/24ABrooklyn Nets118-113
07/12/24ABoston Celtics105-111
05/12/24HAtlanta Hawks104-119
04/12/24ADetroit Pistons128-107
01/12/24HWashington Wizards124-114
27/11/24AMiami Heat106-103
24/11/24HCharlotte Hornets125-119
23/11/24HIndiana Pacers129-117
Oklahoma City Thunderlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24HHouston Rockets111-96
11/12/24HDallas Mavericks118-104
08/12/24ANew Orleans Pelicans119-109
06/12/24AToronto Raptors129-92
04/12/24HUtah Jazz133-106
02/12/24AHouston Rockets116-119
30/11/24ALos Angeles Lakers101-93
28/11/24AGolden State Warriors105-101
26/11/24ASacramento Kings130-109
21/11/24HPortland Trail Blazers109-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA Cup 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game112.0112.0-
Allowed / game105.5105.5-
Point differential+6.5+6.5-
Avg total217.5217.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA Cup 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game114.5114.5-
Allowed / game100.0100.0-
Point differential+14.5+14.5-
Avg total214.5214.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder220100%114.5100.0+14.5
2 Milwaukee Bucks220100%112.0105.5+6.5
3 Atlanta Hawks21150%105.0105.0+0.0
4 Houston Rockets21150%93.5100.5-7.0
5 Golden State Warriors1010%90.091.0-1.0
6 Orlando Magic1010%109.0114.0-5.0
7 New York Knicks1010%100.0108.0-8.0
8 Dallas Mavericks1010%104.0118.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks2724262097
Oklahoma City Thunder2822141781
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