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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 115-142
34-39 31-37 28-29 22-37
Position#27
Record20-44
FormWLWLL
Points / game102.1
Allowed / game109.3
vs
Position#5
Record40-25
FormLWWWW
Points / game114.0
Allowed / game110.4
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Milwaukee Bucks
29 Dec 2026
OKC v MIL
upcoming
12 Feb 2026
OKC93
MIL110
03 Feb 2025
OKC125
MIL96
12 Apr 2024
OKC125
MIL107
09 Nov 2022
OKC132
MIL136
08 Mar 2022
OKC115
MIL142
14 Feb 2021
OKC114
MIL109
10 Nov 2019
OKC119
MIL121
27 Jan 2019
OKC118
MIL112
29 Dec 2017
OKC95
MIL97
04 Apr 2017
OKC110
MIL79
29 Dec 2015
OKC131
MIL123
09 Dec 2014
OKC114
MIL101
11 Jan 2014
OKC101
MIL85
17 Apr 2013
OKC89
MIL95
13 Apr 2011
OKC106
MIL110
27 Nov 2009
OKC108
MIL90
29 Oct 2008
OKC87
MIL98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
87-100
87
100
-13
78avg 92
A12/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
101-106
101
106
-5
87avg 92
A13/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
127-123 OT
127
123
+4
118avg 92
A15/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
106-114
106
114
-8
89avg 92
H17/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
104-124
104
124
-20
92avg 92
H25/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
129-125 OT
129
125
+4
118avg 92
A26/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
110-131
110
131
-21
101avg 92
H01/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
119-107
119
107
+12
115avg 92
A03/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
101-138
101
138
-37
87avg 92
H05/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
103-116
103
116
-13
91avg 92
H07/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
17-22
20-31
26-23
29-22
25-28
26-31
21-25
29-31
32-31
30-32
21-18
29-34
29-39
23-16
25-25
14-31
31-17
32-37
27-39
29-36
40-25
23-32
31-30
32-35
27-24
31-40
20-32
24-24
31-33
31-22
33-28
34-32
26-45
27-31
14-30
24-33
21-28
31-30
27-25
227.1Avg total
108.7Scored
118.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)102.1109.3211.4-7.231%
Season at home (32)102.1108.8210.9-6.728%
Season away (32)102.2109.8212.0-7.734%
Last 10 (10)108.7118.4227.1-9.730%
Last 5 (5)112.4123.4235.8-11.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)104.5111.5216.0-7.023%
vs Similar (4)101.8104.5206.2-2.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
131-116
131
116
+15
124avg 108
A09/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
107-131
107
131
-24
90avg 108
A11/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
L
107-122
107
122
-15
92avg 108
H15/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
128-119
128
119
+9
127avg 108
H16/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
120-123
120
123
-3
104avg 108
H18/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
123-126
123
126
-3
118avg 108
H27/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
130-106
130
106
+24
129avg 108
H01/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
120-119
120
119
+1
113avg 108
H03/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
118-112
118
112
+6
108avg 108
A05/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
W
132-122
132
122
+10
133avg 108
H06/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-24
40-32
31-29
22-31
34-31
22-33
21-33
30-34
30-31
24-40
24-23
29-28
34-27
35-36
30-31
29-25
27-24
34-45
32-31
27-23
32-25
27-28
34-43
30-30
32-32
44-21
32-23
22-30
36-28
28-38
29-31
27-22
25-25
32-28
24-35
37-24
30-33
30-30
31-27
41-32
241.2Avg total
121.6Scored
119.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)114.0110.4224.4+3.762%
Season at home (35)114.4109.9224.4+4.566%
Season away (30)113.6110.9224.5+2.757%
Last 10 (10)121.6119.6241.2+2.060%
Last 5 (5)124.6117.0241.6+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)116.7115.4232.1+1.447%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)120.8112.3233.1+8.582%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.5+1.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.5+1.5
Oklahoma City ThunderMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A12/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A13/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A15/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
58-73
58
73
-15
H17/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H25/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A26/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#24
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H01/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A03/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
L
60-77
60
77
-17
H05/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
45-61
45
61
-16
H07/03
NBA
114.1Avg total
54.7Scored
59.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.656.9108.5-5.323%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.557.9108.4-7.520%-
Last 30 away (15)52.755.8108.5-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)54.759.4114.1-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)57.663.0120.6-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)51.857.2109.0-5.327%-
vs Similar (4)50.255.0105.2-4.80%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
78-56
78
56
+22
A09/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A11/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
L
54-71
54
71
-17
H15/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H16/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H18/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H27/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
W
76-53
76
53
+23
H01/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H03/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A05/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H06/03
NBA
124.5Avg total
63.4Scored
61.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.455.1116.5+6.473%-
Last 30 at home (18)62.256.7118.8+5.572%-
Last 30 away (12)60.352.7113.0+7.775%-
Last 10 (10)63.461.1124.5+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)63.257.6120.8+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)60.855.8116.6+5.163%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)62.553.8116.3+8.691%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 108.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.631.0
52.9%
53.1%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.810.2
30.2%
35.3%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.116.1
76.3%
77.4%16.1
They take 92.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 121.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.929.7
57.2%
53.1%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.013.5
36.5%
35.3%40.5
🏀 Free throws29.121.7
74.6%
77.4%21.7
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LLWLWLLWLL
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWWLLWLLW
#27
League position
#5
-9.2
Net rating
+1.9
103.1
Offensive rating
117.5
112.3
Defensive rating
115.5
50.1%
Effective FG%
56.2%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
12.3%
Turnover %
12.0%
19.5%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.2%
3-point %
36.5%
56.3%
Assist %
54.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 117.5Defence112.3 · 115.5Shooting50.1% · 56.2%3-point %30.2% · 36.5%Ball care12.3% · 12.0%Off. rebounds19.5% · 24.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/22HUtah Jazz103-116
05/03/22HMinnesota Timberwolves101-138
03/03/22ADenver Nuggets119-107
01/03/22HSacramento Kings110-131
26/02/22AIndiana Pacers129-125 OT
25/02/22HPhoenix Suns104-124
17/02/22HSan Antonio Spurs106-114
15/02/22ANew York Knicks127-123 OT
13/02/22AChicago Bulls101-106
12/02/22APhiladelphia 76ers87-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/22HPhoenix Suns132-122
05/03/22AChicago Bulls118-112
03/03/22HMiami Heat120-119
01/03/22HCharlotte Hornets130-106
27/02/22HBrooklyn Nets123-126
18/02/22HPhiladelphia 76ers120-123
16/02/22HIndiana Pacers128-119
15/02/22HPortland Trail Blazers107-122
11/02/22APhoenix Suns107-131
09/02/22ALos Angeles Lakers131-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL31%
HomeLLLLL28%
AwayLLWWW34%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643232
Win %31%28%34%
Points / game102.1102.1102.2
Allowed / game109.3108.8109.8
Point differential-7.2-6.7-7.7
Avg total211.4210.9212.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%12%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (21)36% (11)60% (10)
Overtime %6%3%9%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeLLWWW66%
AwayWWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653530
Win %62%66%57%
Points / game114.0114.4113.6
Allowed / game110.4109.9110.9
Point differential+3.7+4.5+2.7
Avg total224.4224.4224.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%37%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)57% (7)0% (3)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns65521380%113.7106.1+7.6
2 Memphis Grizzlies67452267%114.2109.3+4.9
3 Miami Heat66442267%109.7104.6+5.1
4 Golden State Warriors65432266%111.2105.0+6.2
5 Utah Jazz64402462%113.6107.6+6.0
6 Philadelphia 76ers64402462%108.5106.1+2.4
7 Milwaukee Bucks65402562%114.0110.4+3.7
8 Dallas Mavericks65402562%107.1103.7+3.4
9 Denver Nuggets65392660%111.3108.3+3.0
10 Chicago Bulls65392660%112.4111.0+1.4
11 Boston Celtics66392759%109.6104.1+5.5
12 Cleveland Cavaliers65382758%106.9103.5+3.4
13 Minnesota Timberwolves66372956%114.4111.8+2.6
14 Toronto Raptors64343053%108.2107.3+1.0
15 Los Angeles Clippers66343252%107.0107.5-0.5
16 Brooklyn Nets66333350%111.1112.0-0.9
17 Charlotte Hornets66323448%114.4114.8-0.5
18 Atlanta Hawks64313348%112.5111.8+0.8
19 Washington Wizards63293446%108.1110.7-2.6
20 Los Angeles Lakers64283644%110.6112.8-2.2
21 New York Knicks65273842%105.8107.3-1.5
22 New Orleans Pelicans65273842%107.8109.5-1.7
23 Portland Trail Blazers64253939%107.2113.2-6.0
24 San Antonio Spurs65254038%112.8112.9-0.1
25 Sacramento Kings67244336%110.2115.3-5.2
26 Indiana Pacers67224533%110.3112.8-2.5
27 Oklahoma City Thunder64204431%102.1109.3-7.2
28 Detroit Pistons65184728%103.5112.5-8.9
29 Houston Rockets65164925%108.6117.9-9.4
30 Orlando Magic66165024%103.8111.8-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder34312822115
Milwaukee Bucks39372937142
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