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Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 116-127
31-29 27-39 31-30 27-29
Position#1
Record60-21
FormLWWLW
Points / game118.1
Allowed / game109.0
Milwaukee Bucks
USA
vs
Oklahoma City Thunder 🏆
USA
Position#10
Record48-33
FormLWWWW
Points / game114.3
Allowed / game111.0
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Oklahoma City Thunder
28 Nov 2026
MIL v OKC
upcoming
21 Jan 2026
MIL102
OKC122
16 Mar 2025
MIL105
OKC121
17 Dec 2024
MIL97
OKC81
24 Mar 2024
MIL118
OKC93
05 Nov 2022
MIL108
OKC94
19 Nov 2021
MIL96
OKC89
19 Feb 2021
MIL98
OKC85
28 Feb 2020
MIL133
OKC86
10 Apr 2019
MIL116
OKC127
31 Oct 2017
MIL91
OKC110
02 Jan 2017
MIL98
OKC94
06 Mar 2016
MIL96
OKC104
11 Nov 2014
MIL85
OKC78
16 Nov 2013
MIL79
OKC92
30 Mar 2013
MIL99
OKC109
09 Apr 2012
MIL89
OKC109
20 Nov 2010
MIL81
OKC82
02 Jan 2010
MIL103
OKC97
11 Apr 2009
MIL115
OKC98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
102-107
102
107
-5
no box
A20/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
116-87
116
87
+29
120avg 111
H23/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
127-105
127
105
+22
124avg 111
H24/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
108-94
108
94
+14
no box
H27/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
128-118
128
118
+10
125avg 111
H29/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
135-136 OT
135
136
-1
no box
A31/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
131-121
131
121
+10
122avg 111
A01/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
128-122
128
122
+6
118avg 111
A05/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
128-133
128
133
-5
124avg 111
H06/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
115-107
115
107
+8
108avg 111
H07/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-30
23-28
34-23
21-26
33-32
30-19
31-18
22-18
32-27
36-28
22-22
37-28
20-25
38-28
32-18
18-23
28-25
39-21
33-31
28-41
43-26
28-42
26-30
25-24
35-20
24-34
32-35
40-32
30-26
26-32
26-28
46-36
26-34
39-32
31-42
32-25
28-21
26-24
31-27
30-35
234.8Avg total
121.8Scored
113.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (81)118.1109.0227.2+9.174%
Season at home (40)120.0107.3227.2+12.782%
Season away (41)116.4110.7227.1+5.766%
Last 10 (10)121.8113.0234.8+8.870%
Last 5 (5)127.4123.8251.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)119.7111.8231.5+7.973%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
114-123 OT
114
123
-9
no box
H21/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
116-109
116
109
+7
107avg 102
A22/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
103-115
103
115
-12
82avg 102
A26/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
107-99
107
99
+8
98avg 102
H28/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
105-115
105
115
-10
89avg 102
H30/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
103-106
103
106
-3
no box
H31/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
119-103
119
103
+16
111avg 102
H03/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
W
123-110
123
110
+13
no box
H06/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
132-126
132
126
+6
127avg 102
A07/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
112-111
112
111
+1
101avg 102
H10/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-39
24-24
23-29
32-18
22-29
26-29
35-22
33-29
23-31
25-23
30-32
25-29
29-27
16-27
31-15
31-30
29-33
23-23
23-30
30-29
24-31
32-27
19-22
28-26
34-28
25-27
35-23
25-25
30-34
35-32
32-30
26-14
38-31
24-29
33-37
37-29
26-32
25-28
29-33
32-18
225.1Avg total
113.4Scored
111.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (81)114.3111.0225.3+3.359%
Season at home (41)114.5109.6224.1+4.966%
Season away (40)114.2112.4226.6+1.752%
Last 10 (10)113.4111.7225.1+1.760%
Last 5 (5)117.8111.2229.0+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (21)113.3114.5227.9-1.248%
vs Weaker (9)115.3112.4227.8+2.956%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +5.2+5.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +5.2+5.2
Milwaukee BucksOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A20/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H23/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
68-55
68
55
+13
H24/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H27/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
67-46
67
46
+21
H29/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A31/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A01/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A05/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
65-66
65
66
-1
H06/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H07/04
NBA
116.2Avg total
60.8Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.755.4114.1+3.267%-
Last 30 at home (14)61.056.1117.1+4.964%-
Last 30 away (16)56.654.8111.4+1.869%-
Last 10 (10)60.855.4116.2+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)61.058.2119.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)58.755.4114.1+3.267%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
55-63
55
63
-8
H21/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A22/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A26/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H28/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H30/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H31/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H03/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#16
L
65-66
65
66
-1
H06/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A07/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H10/04
NBA
112.5Avg total
54.1Scored
58.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.759.5114.3-4.820%-
Last 30 at home (17)53.958.2112.1-4.218%-
Last 30 away (13)55.861.3117.1-5.523%-
Last 10 (10)54.158.4112.5-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)58.659.8118.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (21)54.059.6113.6-5.519%-
vs Weaker (9)56.359.4115.8-3.122%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 119.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.029.4
55.5%
51.7%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.813.8
37.5%
35.4%41.4
🏀 Free throws25.719.4
75.5%
76.6%19.4
They take 89.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 112.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.529.4
51.1%
51.7%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.012.9
34.9%
35.4%38.7
🏀 Free throws20.615.2
73.8%
76.6%15.2
They take 94.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WLWWLWWWWL
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWWLLWLWL
#1
League position
#10
+9.9
Net rating
+2.3
113.0
Offensive rating
111.4
103.1
Defensive rating
109.2
55.8%
Effective FG%
51.6%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
11.8%
Turnover %
12.0%
18.1%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.22
37.5%
3-point %
34.9%
59.7%
Assist %
57.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 111.4Defence103.1 · 109.2Shooting55.8% · 51.6%3-point %37.5% · 34.9%Ball care11.8% · 12.0%Off. rebounds18.1% · 29.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Milwaukee Bucks wins
7
Oklahoma City Thunder wins
DateGameScore
27/01/19Oklahoma City Thunder v Milwaukee Bucks118-112
30/12/17Oklahoma City Thunder v Milwaukee Bucks95-97
01/11/17Milwaukee Bucks v Oklahoma City Thunder91-110
05/04/17Oklahoma City Thunder v Milwaukee Bucks110-79
03/01/17Milwaukee Bucks v Oklahoma City Thunder98-94
06/03/16Milwaukee Bucks v Oklahoma City Thunder96-104
30/12/15Oklahoma City Thunder v Milwaukee Bucks131-123
10/12/14Oklahoma City Thunder v Milwaukee Bucks114-101
12/11/14Milwaukee Bucks v Oklahoma City Thunder85-78
12/01/14Oklahoma City Thunder v Milwaukee Bucks101-85
Milwaukee Buckslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/19HAtlanta Hawks115-107
06/04/19HBrooklyn Nets128-133
05/04/19APhiladelphia 76ers128-122
01/04/19ABrooklyn Nets131-121
31/03/19AAtlanta Hawks135-136 OT
29/03/19HLos Angeles Clippers128-118
27/03/19HHouston Rockets108-94
24/03/19HCleveland Cavaliers127-105
23/03/19HMiami Heat116-87
20/03/19ACleveland Cavaliers102-107
Oklahoma City Thunderlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/19HHouston Rockets112-111
07/04/19AMinnesota Timberwolves132-126
06/04/19HDetroit Pistons123-110
03/04/19HLos Angeles Lakers119-103
31/03/19HDallas Mavericks103-106
30/03/19HDenver Nuggets105-115
28/03/19HIndiana Pacers107-99
26/03/19AMemphis Grizzlies103-115
22/03/19AToronto Raptors116-109
21/03/19HToronto Raptors114-123 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW74%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayWLLWW66%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games814041
Win %74%82%66%
Points / game118.1120.0116.4
Allowed / game109.0107.3110.7
Point differential+9.1+12.7+5.7
Avg total227.2227.2227.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%65%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won35% (17)33% (6)36% (11)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW59%
HomeLLWWW66%
AwayWLWLW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games814140
Win %59%66%52%
Points / game114.3114.5114.2
Allowed / game111.0109.6112.4
Point differential+3.3+4.9+1.7
Avg total225.3224.1226.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%34%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (22)44% (9)46% (13)
Overtime %6%7%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks81602174%118.1109.0+9.1
2 Toronto Raptors82582471%114.4108.4+6.1
3 Golden State Warriors81572470%117.7111.0+6.7
4 Denver Nuggets81532865%110.8106.9+4.0
5 Houston Rockets82532965%113.9109.1+4.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers81522964%114.4110.2+4.2
7 Utah Jazz81503162%111.4106.0+5.4
8 Philadelphia 76ers81503162%115.1112.5+2.5
9 Boston Celtics82493360%112.4108.0+4.4
10 Oklahoma City Thunder81483359%114.3111.0+3.3
11 Indiana Pacers81473458%107.7104.3+3.4
12 San Antonio Spurs81473458%111.7110.2+1.6
13 Los Angeles Clippers81473458%114.8114.0+0.8
14 Orlando Magic81414051%107.1106.5+0.6
15 Brooklyn Nets81414051%112.2112.5-0.3
16 Detroit Pistons81404149%107.0107.5-0.6
17 Miami Heat81394248%105.9105.9+0.0
18 Charlotte Hornets81394248%110.7111.7-1.0
19 Sacramento Kings81394248%114.0115.0-1.1
20 Los Angeles Lakers82374545%111.8113.5-1.7
21 Minnesota Timberwolves81364544%112.7114.2-1.5
22 Dallas Mavericks81334841%109.0110.2-1.2
23 New Orleans Pelicans82334940%115.4116.8-1.3
24 Memphis Grizzlies81324940%103.2106.0-2.8
25 Washington Wizards82325039%114.0116.9-2.9
26 Atlanta Hawks81295236%113.1119.2-6.1
27 Chicago Bulls81225927%104.9113.2-8.3
28 Phoenix Suns82196323%107.5116.8-9.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers82196323%104.5114.1-9.6
30 New York Knicks81176421%104.8113.8-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks31273127116
Oklahoma City Thunder29393029127
← all games of the day
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