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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 May 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 126-128
30-37 27-28 28-25 41-38
Position#7
Record58-37
FormWWLLW
Points / game113.6
Allowed / game108.5
vs
Position#1
Record76-18
FormLWWWL
Points / game119.9
Allowed / game107.5
USANBANBA - Semi-finals· Target Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Oklahoma City Thunder
28 Mar 2027
MIN v OKC
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
MIN v OKC
upcoming
29 Jan 2026
MIN123
OKC111
19 Dec 2025
MIN112
OKC107
26 May 2025
MIN126
OKC128
24 May 2025
MIN143
OKC101
23 Feb 2025
MIN123
OKC130
13 Feb 2025
MIN116
OKC101
20 Jan 2024
MIN97
OKC102
28 Nov 2023
MIN106
OKC103
14 Apr 2023
MIN120
OKC95
03 Dec 2022
MIN128
OKC135
19 Oct 2022
MIN115
OKC108
09 Mar 2022
MIN132
OKC102
05 Jan 2022
MIN98
OKC90
22 Mar 2021
MIN103
OKC112
25 Jan 2020
MIN104
OKC113
13 Jan 2020
MIN104
OKC117
07 Apr 2019
MIN126
OKC132
05 Mar 2019
MIN131
OKC120
10 Jan 2018
MIN104
OKC88
27 Oct 2017
MIN119
OKC116
11 Apr 2017
MIN98
OKC100
13 Jan 2017
MIN96
OKC86
27 Jan 2016
MIN123
OKC126
12 Jan 2016
MIN96
OKC101
15 Apr 2015
MIN113
OKC138
12 Dec 2014
MIN92
OKC111
04 Jan 2014
MIN111
OKC115
01 Nov 2013
MIN100
OKC81
29 Mar 2013
MIN101
OKC93
20 Dec 2012
MIN99
OKC93
14 Apr 2012
MIN110
OKC115
26 Dec 2011
MIN100
OKC104
26 Jan 2011
MIN117
OKC118
08 Dec 2010
MIN103
OKC111
21 Feb 2010
MIN107
OKC109
20 Jan 2010
MIN92
OKC94
22 Mar 2009
MIN90
OKC97
07 Jan 2009
MIN129
OKC87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
116-113
116
113
+3
103avg 107
H27/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
103-96
103
96
+7
96avg 107
A01/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
88-99
88
99
-11
74avg 107
H07/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
117-93
117
93
+24
114avg 107
H09/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
102-97
102
97
+5
99avg 107
A11/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
117-110
117
110
+7
110avg 107
A13/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
121-110
121
110
+11
129avg 107
H15/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
88-114
88
114
-26
73avg 107
A21/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
103-118
103
118
-15
89avg 107
A23/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
143-101
143
101
+42
142avg 107
H25/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-32
33-26
23-36
32-19
31-22
28-27
22-31
22-16
20-18
11-26
29-36
28-19
29-15
27-24
29-26
32-28
21-21
19-21
29-31
33-24
27-28
31-32
39-17
20-33
30-23
32-24
31-25
28-38
23-20
25-24
18-32
22-38
25-29
25-29
21-35
32-25
34-14
38-27
35-29
36-31
214.9Avg total
109.8Scored
105.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (95)113.6108.5222.0+5.161%
Season at home (47)115.9108.0223.9+7.964%
Season away (48)111.3109.0220.2+2.358%
Last 10 (10)109.8105.1214.9+4.770%
Last 5 (5)114.4110.6225.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)111.3111.0222.3+0.333%
vs Similar (17)113.9107.9221.9+6.071%
vs Weaker (10)121.2105.3226.5+15.990%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
119-121
119
121
-2
103avg 111
H06/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
149-106
149
106
+43
149avg 111
H08/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
104-113 OT
104
113
-9
88avg 111
A10/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
92-87
92
87
+5
83avg 111
A11/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
112-105
112
105
+7
107avg 111
H14/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
107-119
107
119
-12
95avg 111
A16/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
125-93
125
93
+32
116avg 111
H18/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
114-88
114
88
+26
113avg 111
H21/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
118-103
118
103
+15
113avg 111
H23/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
101-143
101
143
-42
83avg 111
A25/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
33-24
30-35
29-36
45-21
42-35
37-20
25-30
28-22
28-29
27-29
19-22
17-8
25-28
21-33
29-18
27-28
27-28
24-30
34-19
28-31
33-27
21-32
25-29
21-26
39-20
37-26
28-21
20-23
24-25
32-18
38-22
29-25
29-25
35-21
25-32
14-34
27-38
29-35
31-36
221.9Avg total
114.1Scored
107.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (94)119.9107.5227.4+12.481%
Season at home (48)123.0106.3229.3+16.785%
Season away (46)116.7108.7225.5+8.076%
Last 10 (10)114.1107.8221.9+6.360%
Last 5 (5)113.0109.2222.2+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)120.2107.8227.9+12.480%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
Minnesota TimberwolvesOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H27/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A01/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H07/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H09/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A11/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A13/05
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
62-47
62
47
+15
H15/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A21/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A23/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
72-41
72
41
+31
H25/05
NBA
101.9Avg total
53.7Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.451.7107.1+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.652.0109.6+5.669%-
Last 30 away (14)52.951.4104.3+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)53.748.2101.9+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)58.050.0108.0+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)56.747.7104.3+9.067%-
vs Similar (17)53.152.6105.8+0.541%-
vs Weaker (10)59.051.3110.3+7.790%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H06/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
87-56
87
56
+31
H08/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A10/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A11/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H14/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A16/05
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
60-46
60
46
+14
H18/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H21/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H23/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
41-72
41
72
-31
A25/05
NBA
108.6Avg total
56.3Scored
52.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.954.7115.6+6.377%-
Last 30 at home (16)64.853.5118.2+11.281%-
Last 30 away (14)56.656.0112.6+0.671%-
Last 10 (10)56.352.3108.6+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)52.854.8107.6-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)60.954.7115.6+6.377%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 109.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.926.6
55.5%
54.3%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.813.0
34.4%
35.9%39.0
🏀 Free throws22.917.6
76.9%
77.8%17.6
They take 85.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 114.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.729.6
54.1%
54.3%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.111.9
33.0%
35.9%35.7
🏀 Free throws24.419.2
78.7%
77.8%19.2
They take 90.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLWWWWLWW
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWWWLWWLWL
#7
League position
#1
+4.8
Net rating
+6.2
113.0
Offensive rating
112.0
108.1
Defensive rating
105.8
53.8%
Effective FG%
52.3%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
14.8%
Turnover %
10.7%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
23.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.4%
3-point %
33.0%
63.1%
Assist %
61.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 112.0Defence108.1 · 105.8Shooting53.8% · 52.3%3-point %34.4% · 33.0%Ball care14.8% · 10.7%Off. rebounds29.3% · 23.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/25HOklahoma City Thunder143-101
23/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder103-118
21/05/25AOklahoma City Thunder88-114
15/05/25HGolden State Warriors121-110
13/05/25AGolden State Warriors117-110
11/05/25AGolden State Warriors102-97
09/05/25HGolden State Warriors117-93
07/05/25HGolden State Warriors88-99
01/05/25ALos Angeles Lakers103-96
27/04/25HLos Angeles Lakers116-113
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/25AMinnesota Timberwolves101-143
23/05/25HMinnesota Timberwolves118-103
21/05/25HMinnesota Timberwolves114-88
18/05/25HDenver Nuggets125-93
16/05/25ADenver Nuggets107-119
14/05/25HDenver Nuggets112-105
11/05/25ADenver Nuggets92-87
10/05/25ADenver Nuggets104-113 OT
08/05/25HDenver Nuggets149-106
06/05/25HDenver Nuggets119-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW61%
HomeWLWWW64%
AwayWWWLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954748
Win %61%64%58%
Points / game113.6115.9111.3
Allowed / game108.5108.0109.0
Point differential+5.1+7.9+2.3
Avg total222.0223.9220.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%47%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (28)40% (15)69% (13)
Overtime %5%4%6%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL81%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWLWLL76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games944846
Win %81%85%76%
Points / game119.9123.0116.7
Allowed / game107.5106.3108.7
Point differential+12.4+16.7+8.0
Avg total227.4229.3225.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%48%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)0% (3)67% (6)
Overtime %2%2%2%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder94761881%119.9107.5+12.4
2 Cleveland Cavaliers91692276%121.7111.9+9.7
3 Boston Celtics93672672%115.0106.3+8.7
4 Indiana Pacers95603563%117.4114.9+2.5
5 New York Knicks96603662%114.9111.2+3.7
6 Houston Rockets87543362%113.9109.5+4.4
7 Minnesota Timberwolves95583761%113.6108.5+5.1
8 Los Angeles Clippers89533660%112.5108.2+4.3
9 Denver Nuggets96573959%118.8116.1+2.6
10 Los Angeles Lakers87513659%112.6111.9+0.7
11 Golden State Warriors94544057%112.8110.2+2.6
12 Memphis Grizzlies88493956%120.7116.9+3.7
13 Milwaukee Bucks85473855%115.3113.5+1.8
14 Detroit Pistons88464252%114.9113.2+1.7
15 Orlando Magic87434449%104.9105.4-0.5
16 Sacramento Kings83404348%115.6115.3+0.3
17 Dallas Mavericks83404348%114.3115.3-1.0
18 Atlanta Hawks82394348%118.2119.7-1.5
19 Chicago Bulls83394447%117.5119.2-1.8
20 Miami Heat88394944%110.0110.6-0.5
21 Portland Trail Blazers82364644%110.9113.9-3.0
22 Phoenix Suns82364644%113.6116.6-3.0
23 San Antonio Spurs82344841%113.9116.7-2.8
24 Toronto Raptors82305237%110.9115.2-4.3
25 Brooklyn Nets82265632%105.1112.2-7.1
26 Philadelphia 76ers82245829%109.6115.8-6.2
27 New Orleans Pelicans82216126%109.8119.3-9.4
28 Charlotte Hornets82196323%105.1114.2-9.1
29 Washington Wizards82186422%108.0120.4-12.4
30 Utah Jazz82176521%111.9121.2-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves30272841126
Oklahoma City Thunder37282538128
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