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Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 102-122
18-38 33-31 26-30 25-23
Position#21
Record18-24
FormWLLLW
Points / game112.4
Allowed / game115.6
vs
Position#1
Record35-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game121.3
Allowed / game108.3
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Oklahoma City Thunder
28 Nov 2026
MIL v OKC
upcoming
21 Jan 2026
MIL102
OKC122
16 Mar 2025
MIL105
OKC121
17 Dec 2024
MIL97
OKC81
24 Mar 2024
MIL118
OKC93
05 Nov 2022
MIL108
OKC94
19 Nov 2021
MIL96
OKC89
19 Feb 2021
MIL98
OKC85
28 Feb 2020
MIL133
OKC86
10 Apr 2019
MIL116
OKC127
31 Oct 2017
MIL91
OKC110
02 Jan 2017
MIL98
OKC94
06 Mar 2016
MIL96
OKC104
11 Nov 2014
MIL85
OKC78
16 Nov 2013
MIL79
OKC92
30 Mar 2013
MIL99
OKC109
09 Apr 2012
MIL89
OKC109
20 Nov 2010
MIL81
OKC82
02 Jan 2010
MIL103
OKC97
11 Apr 2009
MIL115
OKC98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
123-113
123
113
+10
116avg 106
A30/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
113-114
113
114
-1
105avg 106
H01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
122-121
122
121
+1
118avg 106
H03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
115-98
115
98
+17
109avg 106
A05/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
113-120
113
120
-7
108avg 106
A08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
105-101
105
101
+4
101avg 106
A10/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
104-108
104
108
-4
100avg 106
A12/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
106-139
106
139
-33
96avg 106
H14/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
101-119
101
119
-18
86avg 106
A16/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
112-110
112
110
+2
110avg 106
A19/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
38-40
32-23
28-24
32-30
30-35
26-21
25-28
24-38
27-22
36-31
35-30
28-26
34-18
23-25
30-29
31-31
22-33
29-34
31-22
24-25
37-27
25-25
19-24
23-27
29-35
22-23
30-23
20-38
25-38
33-30
28-33
27-31
26-35
16-40
32-13
20-19
34-19
26-34
32-38
225.7Avg total
111.4Scored
114.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)112.4115.6228.0-3.243%
Season at home (19)116.6117.8234.4-1.247%
Season away (23)109.0113.8222.8-4.939%
Last 10 (10)111.4114.3225.7-2.950%
Last 5 (5)105.6115.4221.0-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)110.3116.2226.5-6.032%
vs Similar (6)106.7107.7214.3-1.067%
vs Weaker (2)119.5121.5241.0-2.00%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
131-94
131
94
+37
135avg 111
A03/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
105-108
105
108
-3
91avg 111
A05/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
97-124
97
124
-27
71avg 111
H06/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
129-125 OT
129
125
+4
116avg 111
H08/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
117-116
117
116
+1
103avg 111
A10/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
124-112
124
112
+12
114avg 111
H12/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
119-98
119
98
+21
118avg 111
H14/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
111-91
111
91
+20
104avg 111
A16/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
120-122
120
122
-2
120avg 111
A18/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
136-104
136
104
+32
132avg 111
A19/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-23
30-22
31-21
36-28
26-20
23-22
24-32
32-34
33-33
17-34
21-32
26-25
31-22
27-31
33-33
23-28
25-35
21-30
35-29
36-22
32-34
22-25
39-26
31-27
32-26
23-26
40-24
24-22
21-19
34-29
22-27
34-16
37-30
28-30
30-35
25-27
32-27
34-24
25-28
45-25
228.3Avg total
118.9Scored
109.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)121.3108.3229.6+13.083%
Season at home (21)121.5108.1229.6+13.490%
Season away (21)121.1108.6229.7+12.676%
Last 10 (10)118.9109.4228.3+9.570%
Last 5 (5)122.0105.4227.4+16.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)110.3115.0225.3-4.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)121.9107.6229.6+14.385%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +5.8+5.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +5.8+5.8
Milwaukee BucksOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A30/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
62-44
62
44
+18
A05/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A10/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A12/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
45-76
45
76
-31
H14/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-66
53
66
-13
A16/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A19/01
NBA
114.9Avg total
55.6Scored
59.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.159.1114.2-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (13)53.663.2116.8-9.615%-
Last 30 away (17)56.355.9112.2+0.447%-
Last 10 (10)55.659.3114.9-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)53.058.8111.8-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)53.760.6114.4-6.923%-
vs Similar (6)57.352.7110.0+4.767%-
vs Weaker (2)64.061.5125.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
64-45
64
45
+19
A03/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A05/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
50-67
50
67
-17
H06/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H08/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
46-65
46
65
-19
A10/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H12/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H14/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A16/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A18/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
66-51
66
51
+15
A19/01
NBA
110.4Avg total
56.2Scored
54.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.553.8114.3+6.877%-
Last 30 at home (16)61.154.6115.7+6.675%-
Last 30 away (14)59.952.9112.7+7.079%-
Last 10 (10)56.254.2110.4+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)59.054.0113.0+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)58.359.7118.0-1.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)60.853.1113.9+7.778%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 111.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.026.1
54.4%
54.8%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.714.4
39.2%
35.8%43.2
🏀 Free throws21.216.0
75.5%
78.1%16.0
They take 84.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 118.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.430.4
58.0%
54.8%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.512.6
34.5%
35.8%37.8
🏀 Free throws25.320.3
80.2%
78.1%20.3
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WLLLWLWWLW
Oklahoma City Thunder
WLWWWWWLLW
#21
League position
#1
-2.9
Net rating
+9.2
112.9
Offensive rating
115.6
115.8
Defensive rating
106.4
56.3%
Effective FG%
55.5%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
13.1%
Turnover %
10.4%
20.4%
Off. rebound %
19.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
39.2%
3-point %
34.5%
65.2%
Assist %
58.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 115.6Defence115.8 · 106.4Shooting56.3% · 55.5%3-point %39.2% · 34.5%Ball care13.1% · 10.4%Off. rebounds20.4% · 19.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/26AAtlanta Hawks112-110
16/01/26ASan Antonio Spurs101-119
14/01/26HMinnesota Timberwolves106-139
12/01/26ADenver Nuggets104-108
10/01/26ALos Angeles Lakers105-101
08/01/26AGolden State Warriors113-120
05/01/26ASacramento Kings115-98
03/01/26HCharlotte Hornets122-121
01/01/26HWashington Wizards113-114
30/12/25ACharlotte Hornets123-113
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/26ACleveland Cavaliers136-104
18/01/26AMiami Heat120-122
16/01/26AHouston Rockets111-91
14/01/26HSan Antonio Spurs119-98
12/01/26HMiami Heat124-112
10/01/26AMemphis Grizzlies117-116
08/01/26HUtah Jazz129-125 OT
06/01/26HCharlotte Hornets97-124
05/01/26APhoenix Suns105-108
03/01/26AGolden State Warriors131-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeWLLWL47%
AwayLWLLW39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games421923
Win %43%47%39%
Points / game112.4116.6109.0
Allowed / game115.6117.8113.8
Point differential-3.2-1.2-4.9
Avg total228.0234.4222.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%37%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)50% (4)44% (9)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayLWWLW76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %83%90%76%
Points / game121.3121.5121.1
Allowed / game108.3108.1108.6
Point differential+13.0+13.4+12.6
Avg total229.6229.6229.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%67%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)100% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %7%10%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4235783%121.3108.3+13.0
2 Detroit Pistons42321076%117.2109.9+7.3
3 San Antonio Spurs42281467%117.5112.6+4.9
4 Denver Nuggets44291566%121.4117.0+4.4
5 Houston Rockets41261563%117.0110.5+6.4
6 Los Angeles Lakers41261563%116.2116.1+0.1
7 Boston Celtics43271663%116.8109.8+6.9
8 Phoenix Suns43271663%115.3111.2+4.1
9 Minnesota Timberwolves44271761%120.1115.0+5.1
10 Toronto Raptors44261859%114.5112.5+2.0
11 New York Knicks42241857%117.6113.9+3.7
12 Golden State Warriors45252056%116.9114.0+2.9
13 Cleveland Cavaliers45252056%119.1117.1+1.9
14 Orlando Magic40221855%116.0114.9+1.1
15 Philadelphia 76ers42231955%116.5115.4+1.2
16 Miami Heat43232053%119.8118.3+1.5
17 Portland Trail Blazers44222250%116.2118.2-1.9
18 Chicago Bulls43212249%117.9120.0-2.1
19 Atlanta Hawks46212546%117.6119.1-1.5
20 Los Angeles Clippers43192444%112.3113.8-1.4
21 Memphis Grizzlies42182443%115.3116.2-1.0
22 Milwaukee Bucks42182443%112.4115.6-3.2
23 Dallas Mavericks44182641%114.2116.6-2.4
24 Charlotte Hornets44162836%115.8115.9-0.2
25 Utah Jazz44152934%119.3127.4-8.1
26 Brooklyn Nets42123029%107.9114.5-6.5
27 Sacramento Kings44123227%110.8120.7-10.0
28 Washington Wizards42103224%112.5123.6-11.0
29 Indiana Pacers45103522%109.9118.3-8.4
30 New Orleans Pelicans46103622%114.7122.0-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks18332625102
Oklahoma City Thunder38313023122
← all games of the day
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